Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 115x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 121x
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Regenerative Medicine & Cell Therapy, and Targeted Therapies.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Regenerative Medicine & Cell Therapy, and Targeted Therapies.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 115x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 121x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VCEL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Vericel reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 6, 2025, with total net revenue reaching $67.5 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $64.57 million.

2. The company's earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025 stood at $0.10, significantly surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of a loss of $0.02 per share.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VCEL Return77%27%-33%35%54%-31%116%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VCEL Win Rate42%58%33%75%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VCEL Max Drawdown-58%0%-55%-9%-9%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVCELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven284.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven165.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven197 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven54 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven887.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Vericel's stock fell -74.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/28/2021. A -74.0% loss requires a 284.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Vericel (VCEL)

Better Bets than Vericel (VCEL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VCEL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vericel

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VCELVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameVericel Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price37.39463.13-1.07-11.0724.23
Mkt Cap1.9118.4----60.1
Rev LTM25911,723---0259
Op Inc LTM7-92----93-92
FCF LTM203,337----6020
FCF 3Y Avg72,064----1,035
CFO LTM593,718----6059
CFO 3Y Avg462,419----1,232

Growth & Margins

VCELVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameVericel Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM14.1%10.3%----12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.6%10.5%----14.0%
Rev Chg Q16.6%11.0%----13.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.9%2.7%----3.3%
Op Mgn LTM2.7%-0.8%----1.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.6%26.2%----12.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.3%1.0%----1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM22.9%31.7%----27.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%23.1%----21.6%
FCF/Rev LTM7.9%28.5%----18.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.9%19.8%----11.3%

Valuation

VCELVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameVericel Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap1.9118.4----60.1
P/S6.18.5----7.3
P/EBIT114.722.4----68.6
P/E121.527.2----74.3
P/CFO26.926.9----26.9
Total Yield0.8%3.7%----2.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.5%2.3%----1.4%
D/E0.10.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-----0.0

Returns

VCELVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameVericel Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn1.9%8.7%----9.9%1.9%
3M Rtn11.4%16.8%---12.5%12.5%
6M Rtn-13.4%3.9%-----4.8%
12M Rtn-35.8%1.3%-----17.2%
3Y Rtn56.8%44.1%----50.4%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%8.7%----9.9%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn5.7%11.3%---4.5%5.7%
6M Excs Rtn-28.1%-10.8%-----19.5%
12M Excs Rtn-49.2%-14.6%-----31.9%
3Y Excs Rtn4.5%-25.9%-----10.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
MACI implants, kits, and instruments1651321129492
Epicel3232422826
NexoBrid1132 
Total198164156124118


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,501,887
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.3%
Average Daily Volume781,663
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.76
Basic Shares Quantity50,489,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021