Vivani Medical (VANI)
Market Price (3/7/2026): $1.17 | Market Cap: $69.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Vivani Medical (VANI)
Market Price (3/7/2026): $1.17Market Cap: $69.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% | ||
| Key risksVANI key risks include [1] its dependency on raising additional capital as a clinical-stage company with no revenue, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% |
| Key risksVANI key risks include [1] its dependency on raising additional capital as a clinical-stage company with no revenue, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Persistent Financial Losses and Significant Cash Burn: Vivani Medical, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, continues to operate at a loss, reporting a net income of -$23.49 million annually and a -$6.5 million loss for the third quarter of 2025. The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the last four quarters was -$0.45, with a forecasted EPS of -$0.11 for the first fiscal quarter of 2026. These ongoing substantial losses and negative financial metrics, such as a Return on Equity of -293.6%, highlight concerns about profitability and cash sustainability for investors.
2. Dilutive Equity Financings: To fund its ongoing research and clinical development, Vivani Medical has continued to rely on equity financing. In January 2026, the company announced the closing of a $4.5 million registered direct offering and private placement. While these capital raises are crucial for extending the company's cash runway, they also introduce potential dilution for existing shareholders, which can exert downward pressure on the stock price.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.0% change in VANI stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.36 | 1.17 | -14.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 60 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VANI | -14.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.6% | 27.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | -3.1% | -2.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.7% change in VANI stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 59 | 60 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VANI | 1.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.5% | 25.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 11.6% | -0.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.4% change in VANI stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.11 | 1.17 | 5.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55 | 60 | -7.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VANI | 5.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.2% | 18.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 3.9% | 8.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.4% change in VANI stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.10 | 1.17 | 6.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 33 | 60 | -44.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VANI | 6.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.0% | 4.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 25.7% | 0.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VANI Return | -13% | -83% | 20% | 14% | 6% | -7% | -80% |
| Peers Return | -26% | -13% | -15% | -50% | -32% | -2% | -82% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VANI Win Rate | 25% | 25% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 54% | 38% | 56% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VANI Max Drawdown | -24% | -83% | 0% | -1% | -17% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -32% | -42% | -51% | -49% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, AKTS, ALPS, DCOY, DFTX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VANI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5365.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -87.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 728.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 181 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -76.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 323.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, AKTS, ALPS, DCOY, DFTX
In The Past
Vivani Medical's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/9/2021. A -98.2% loss requires a 5365.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Vivani Medical (VANI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Vivani Medical (VANI):
1. Novo Nordisk or Eli Lilly, but focused on implantable GLP-1 solutions.
2. The implantable version of GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic or Mounjaro.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Cell Pouch System™: An implantable medical device designed to create a stable, vascularized environment for therapeutic cells, primarily used to treat type 1 diabetes by hosting insulin-producing islet cells.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vivani Medical (symbol: VANI) is a clinical-stage medical device company primarily focused on developing its implantable EverSense continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) system. As of the latest information, this system is in clinical development and has not yet been approved for commercial sale. Therefore, Vivani Medical does not currently have major commercial customers for its EverSense system.
However, when the EverSense system becomes commercially available, Vivani Medical is expected to sell primarily to other companies within the healthcare sector (a B2B model), rather than directly to individuals. The typical categories of customers for an implantable medical device like EverSense would include:
- Hospitals: These institutions would purchase the device for use in surgical procedures or clinical insertions performed on their patients.
- Endocrinology Clinics and Physician Offices: Specialists who manage diabetes patients would prescribe and facilitate the implantation of the device, likely purchasing it through distributors or directly from Vivani.
- Medical Device Distributors: These companies act as intermediaries, purchasing products from manufacturers like Vivani Medical and then selling them to hospitals, clinics, and other healthcare providers.
Due to the company's pre-commercialization stage for its main product, and the fragmented nature of the healthcare provider market, Vivani Medical does not currently disclose specific "major customer" companies that are publicly traded entities. Historically, the company (under its previous name and product focus, Second Sight Medical Products) sold its Argus II retinal prosthesis system to individual hospitals and clinics globally, often through regional distributors, none of which were typically named as major public company customers with associated stock symbols in SEC filings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Adam Mendelsohn, Ph.D. Chief Executive Officer
Since co-founding Vivani in 2009, Dr. Mendelsohn has served as its Chief Executive Officer, where he sets the strategic vision for the company. He received his Ph.D. in bioengineering from the UC San Francisco/UC Berkeley Joint Graduate Group in Bioengineering in 2011, during which he was awarded an NSF fellowship and published multiple peer-reviewed articles describing new treatment options for Type 1 diabetes. While in graduate school, Dr. Mendelsohn directed the Venture Innovation Program in Life Sciences and completed a certificate in Management of Technology with the Haas School of Business. He has also served as a Technical Advisor to the Alfred E. Mann Institute for Biomedical Engineering at USC and is currently a board member of the Maestro Foundation.
Anthony Baldor, M.S., M.B.A. Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Baldor joined Vivani Medical as Chief Financial Officer in 2025, bringing over 20 years of experience in biotechnology finance, strategy, and business development. Prior to Vivani, he served as CFO and Head of Business Development at Diakonos Oncology, where he led fundraising, investor relations, and early partnering activities. From 2019 to 2023, Mr. Baldor was Vice President of Corporate Strategy and Development at 4D Molecular Therapeutics (NASDAQ: FDMT), playing a central role in the company's Series C financing, IPO, and multiple strategic transactions, including the acquisition of Aevitas Therapeutics. His earlier career includes roles in equity research at Jefferies, venture capital at BioInnovation Capital and RMI Partners, and business development at Cequent Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Truc Le, M.B.A. Chief Operations Officer
Mr. Le has served as COO of Vivani since 2020, bringing over 35 years of manufacturing, quality, and operations experience with devices and complex drug-device combination products. Previously, he was the Chief Technical Operations Officer for Dance Biopharm from 2011 to March 2020, where he built operations, quality systems, manufacturing, supply chain, product development, formulation, and IT. From 2009 to 2011, Mr. Le served as the Chief Operating Officer for Avid Bio Services, Inc.
Donald Dwyer, M.B.A. Chief Business Officer
Mr. Dwyer formally joined Vivani as Chief Business Officer and secretary to its Board of Directors in 2021. He previously consulted for Vivani from 2019-2020 and observed Vivani's Board from 2016-2019 while employed at AstraZeneca. He possesses over 35 years of experience in the biopharmaceutical industry with a broad background in leadership across various technologies and disease areas.
Lisa Porter, M.D. Chief Medical Officer
Dr. Porter serves as the Chief Medical Officer for Vivani Medical.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Vivani Medical (VANI):- Financial Risks and Need for Additional Capital: Vivani Medical is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that currently generates no revenue from product sales and has a history of significant operating losses. The company is highly dependent on securing additional financing through equity offerings and other strategic initiatives to fund its ongoing research, clinical development, and general corporate purposes. A failure to raise sufficient additional capital could lead to delays or even the cessation of its product development programs and business objectives.
- Development, Commercialization, and Regulatory Risks: The future success of Vivani Medical is contingent upon the successful development and eventual commercialization of its proprietary NanoPortal technology and drug implants, such as NPM-115, NPM-119, and NPM-139. This process is inherently risky, involving potential delays in clinical trials due to unforeseen events, difficulties in patient recruitment, or challenges in navigating complex regulatory requirements. Non-compliance with stringent FDA and international regulatory standards could result in substantial penalties or the inability to obtain necessary product approvals, thereby impacting product development timelines and increasing costs.
- Competitive Landscape: Vivani Medical operates in highly competitive therapeutic areas, particularly with its focus on GLP-1-based therapies for metabolic diseases like obesity and type 2 diabetes. The company faces significant competition from numerous other biopharmaceutical companies, many of which possess greater financial resources, established expertise, and existing commercialized products. This intense competition could potentially limit the market opportunity and commercial success of Vivani's product candidates, even if successfully developed and approved.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The continuous and rapid advancements in external, patch-based continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) technologies by market leaders such as Dexcom (DXCM) and Abbott (ABT) pose an emerging threat. These advancements include significant reductions in sensor size (e.g., Dexcom G7), faster warm-up times, improved accuracy, and enhanced integration with smart devices and automated insulin delivery systems. While Vivani Medical's EverSense implantable CGM offers a unique advantage with its long wear duration (up to 6-12 months) and discreetness, the ongoing improvements in user convenience, ease of application (no minor surgical procedure required), and increasing cost-effectiveness of external CGMs could diminish the overall appeal and perceived necessity of an implantable device for a growing number of patients and clinicians. This trend could lead to a shift in market preference towards less invasive, highly convenient external solutions, even if they require more frequent replacement than an implantable device.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vivani Medical (VANI) is an emerging biopharmaceutical company focused on developing miniature, long-term, subdermal drug implants using its proprietary NanoPortal™ technology. Their primary product candidates are GLP-1 (exenatide and semaglutide) implants, including NPM-115, NPM-119, and NPM-139, which are in development for chronic weight management (obesity) and type 2 diabetes. The company also has a neuromodulation division, Cortigent. The addressable market for Vivani Medical's main products in the GLP-1 space is estimated to be significant:- The global GLP-1 market is projected to reach $139 billion by 2030.
- Specifically, the global market for Obesity/Chronic Weight Management is estimated to be over $60 billion by 2030.
- The global market for Type 2 Diabetes is also estimated to be over $60 billion by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vivani Medical (VANI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives centered on its proprietary NanoPortal™ platform technology. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of Vivani Medical's future revenue growth:- Advancement and Commercialization of GLP-1 Implants for Obesity: Vivani Medical has prioritized the development of its obesity portfolio, particularly the semaglutide implant NPM-139, which has the potential for once-yearly dosing. The company is also progressing with NPM-115, a six-month exenatide implant for chronic weight management. The successful completion of clinical trials, such as the LIBERATE-1 study assessing the safety and pharmacokinetic profile of their exenatide implant, and subsequent regulatory approvals in the rapidly expanding obesity market, are expected to be significant revenue drivers.
- Expansion into the Type 2 Diabetes Market with GLP-1 Implants: Alongside its obesity focus, Vivani Medical is developing NPM-119, a six-month GLP-1 implant for the treatment of type 2 diabetes. The successful development and eventual commercialization of this product would open up another substantial market opportunity for the company, leveraging the same core NanoPortal™ platform.
- Leveraging Differentiated Product Advantages of the NanoPortal™ Platform: The NanoPortal™ platform offers miniature, long-term drug implants designed to provide guaranteed medication adherence and smooth, consistent therapeutic levels of GLP-1 for six months or longer with a single administration. These differentiated advantages, including expected reductions in side effects due to stable delivery and potentially lower costs compared to existing treatments, are anticipated to drive adoption and capture market share by addressing unmet patient needs and expanding market segments.
- Strategic Partnerships and Pipeline Expansion: Vivani Medical's collaborations, such as its partnership with Okava Pharma to advance the companion feline program OKV-119, have already contributed to revenue growth. Future strategic alliances and the expansion of its pipeline into other chronic diseases or new therapeutic areas using its versatile NanoPortal™ platform could provide additional revenue streams through development milestones and licensing agreements.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In October 2025, Vivani Medical completed a registered direct offering and a concurrent private placement, issuing a total of 9,703,703 common shares at $1.62 per share, generating gross proceeds of approximately $15.7 million. The private placement portion included 3,703,703 shares purchased by Gregg Williams, Chairman of the board.
- The company secured approximately $10.0 million in equity financing in August 2025 through a private placement of 7,936,507 shares at $1.26 per share, which included an investment from Gregg Williams.
- In March 2025, Vivani issued 7,366,071 shares at $1.12 per share in a private placement to an entity beneficially owned by Gregg Williams, resulting in expected gross proceeds of approximately $8.25 million by January 15, 2026.
Inbound Investments
- Gregg Williams, Chairman of the Board, made significant investments, including purchasing 3,703,703 common shares for approximately $6.0 million in October 2025 as part of a larger offering. He also participated in an approximately $10.0 million equity financing in August 2025.
- In March 2025, the company secured approximately $8.25 million through a private placement from an entity beneficially owned by Gregg Williams.
- An independent director invested $5.0 million in November 2024 through the purchase of 3,968,253 shares in a private sale transaction.
Capital Expenditures
- Vivani relocated to a new facility in September 2023 to expand its manufacturing capacity for clinical materials to support registration studies and commercial-scale supply.
- The net proceeds from recent equity offerings in 2025 are intended to fund ongoing research and clinical development of the company's product candidates, as well as for working capital and general corporate purposes.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to VANI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02282026 | QDEL | QuidelOrtho | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | CHE | Chemed | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | LLY | Eli Lilly | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | HAE | Haemonetics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | IQV | IQVIA | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.1% | 7.1% | -3.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 57.9 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -16 |
| FCF LTM | -15 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -18 |
| CFO LTM | -14 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -17 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 37.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 38.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 57.9 |
| P/S | 9.7 |
| P/EBIT | 11.2 |
| P/E | 13.3 |
| P/CFO | 14.5 |
| Total Yield | -16.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -18.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 11.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.17 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/09/2011 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -37.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.30 | $1.35 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -9.9% | -13.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 60.8% | 64.8% |
| Downside Capture | 166.59 | 97.93 |
| Upside Capture | 72.01 | 88.14 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 29.4% | 18.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.50 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 1.75 | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| Up Beta | -1.10 | 2.06 | 2.50 | 1.09 | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Down Beta | 3.82 | 1.10 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 0.80 | 1.63 |
| Up Capture | 415% | 224% | 117% | 220% | 81% | 19% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 17 | 26 | 49 | 104 | 310 |
| Down Capture | 486% | 206% | 174% | 175% | 95% | 81% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 27 | 58 | 108 | 356 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VANI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VANI | 6.4% | 64.8% | 0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 3.4% | 17.5% | 0.04 | 8.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.4% | 19.2% | 0.66 | 18.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 77.1% | 26.1% | 2.17 | 12.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.6% | 17.1% | 0.89 | 2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 16.6% | 0.01 | 4.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.4% | 45.5% | -0.39 | 10.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VANI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VANI | -51.6% | 146.2% | -0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.6% | 14.5% | 0.34 | 3.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 17.0% | 0.60 | 9.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 17.2% | 1.14 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.9% | 19.0% | 0.51 | -0.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 7.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.5% | 56.8% | 0.35 | 11.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VANI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VANI | -48.6% | 125.8% | -0.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.4% | 16.5% | 0.52 | 7.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 11.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.1% | 15.6% | 0.80 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.0% | 17.6% | 0.43 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.1% | 20.7% | 0.26 | 10.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.7% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 6.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -11.4% | -10.5% | -11.8% |
| 8/5/2025 | 7.1% | -10.0% | -17.1% |
| 3/13/2025 | 1.9% | 5.8% | -2.9% |
| 11/13/2024 | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% |
| 8/13/2024 | 8.6% | 19.0% | 6.9% |
| 3/26/2024 | -2.1% | -2.1% | -9.9% |
| 11/14/2023 | -6.3% | -6.8% | -14.7% |
| 5/15/2023 | -5.8% | 1.4% | 13.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.0% | -8.4% | -11.8% |
| Max Positive | 11.2% | 19.0% | 13.8% |
| Max Negative | -11.8% | -13.8% | -35.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mendelsohn, Aaron | Direct | Buy | 12312025 | 1.23 | 20,000 | 24,600 | 231,449 | Form | |
| 2 | Williams, Gregg | See footnote | Buy | 12162025 | 1.14 | 1,737,765 | 1,983,334 | 28,334,631 | Form | |
| 3 | Williams, Gregg | See footnote | Buy | 11172025 | 1.14 | 1,737,764 | 1,983,333 | 26,351,296 | Form | |
| 4 | Williams, Gregg | See footnote | Buy | 10282025 | 1.62 | 3,703,703 | 5,999,999 | 34,588,320 | Form | |
| 5 | Williams, Gregg | See footnote | Buy | 10162025 | 1.14 | 1,737,764 | 1,983,333 | 20,140,879 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.