Tearsheet

Tigo Energy (TYGO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.5 | Market Cap: $98.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Tigo Energy (TYGO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.5
Market Cap: $98.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -32%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 120%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.6%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more.
  Key risks
TYGO key risks include [1] potential financial distress highlighted by a looming $50 million debt maturity, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.6%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -32%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 120%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
8 Key risks
TYGO key risks include [1] potential financial distress highlighted by a looming $50 million debt maturity, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TYGO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Tigo Energy (TYGO) stock experienced a 6.4% movement, driven by several key factors:

**1. Strong Financial Performance and Upgraded Outlook:** Tigo Energy reported robust second-quarter 2025 financial results, exceeding revenue and EPS expectations. Following this performance, the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook to between $100 million and $105 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $89.73 million. Additionally, revenue forecasts for the third quarter were projected to be between $29 million and $31 million, outperforming anticipated figures.

**2. Strategic Market Expansion and Product Certifications:** Tigo Energy successfully expanded its market reach and secured important product certifications. This included the certification of its three-phase EI inverters for the PPDS P4 protocol in the Czech Republic, and the clearance of its Three-Phase EI Residential Solution for deployment in Slovakia on September 2, 2025. The company also announced plans to introduce the GO Battery and enhance installer training in Puerto Rico at Energy 2025 on September 30, 2025.

**3. Initiation of U.S. Manufacturing and Partnerships:** A significant strategic move was Tigo Energy's initiation of a 'Made in the USA' manufacturing partnership with EG4 Electronics on August 25, 2025. This was followed by announcements on September 11, 2025, regarding the company setting up US production, signaling a commitment to the domestic market.

**4. Product Innovation and Installer Experience Enhancements:** Tigo continued to innovate its solar solutions, including the debut of its Inverter Power Output Control (IPOC). Furthermore, Tigo Energy modernized the installer experience with all-digital installation resources on November 6, 2025, and added Dynamic Rate Management for its EI Residential Solar-Plus-Storage Solution in the EU on December 8, 2025.

**5. Optimistic Analyst Projections:** Analysts provided optimistic forecasts for Tigo Energy's performance in 2025. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company's 2025 sales indicated an improvement of 91.9% from the prior-year reported figure, while the 2025 EPS was expected to show a 76% increase.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TYGO Return3%-80%-53%52%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TYGO Win Rate67%75%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TYGO Max Drawdown-1%-83%-62%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ENPH, SEDG, GNRC, RUN, SPWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTYGOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1383.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Tigo Energy's stock fell -93.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/25/2023. A -93.3% loss requires a 1383.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tigo Energy (TYGO)

Better Bets than Tigo Energy (TYGO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TYGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tigo Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TYGOENPHSEDGGNRCRUNSPWRMedian
NameTigo Ene.Enphase .SolarEdg.Generac Sunrun SunPower  
Mkt Price1.4931.6128.92144.8217.081.7023.00
Mkt Cap0.14.11.78.43.90.12.8
Rev LTM911,5121,0454,3522,3172441,279
Op Inc LTM-29207-471497-358-53-41
FCF LTM921763424-3,661-5436
FCF 3Y Avg-16454-229405-3,443--16
CFO LTM1025689588-777-5450
CFO 3Y Avg-15518-110538-803--15

Growth & Margins

TYGOENPHSEDGGNRCRUNSPWRMedian
NameTigo Ene.Enphase .SolarEdg.Generac Sunrun SunPower  
Rev Chg LTM97.4%21.0%2.4%5.5%13.8%308.5%17.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.5%-13.6%-1.4%3.3%--0.4%
Rev Chg Q115.0%7.8%44.5%-5.0%34.9%1,403.2%39.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM22.0%2.0%11.1%-1.3%8.8%34.7%10.0%
Op Mgn LTM-31.9%13.7%-45.1%11.4%-15.4%-21.7%-18.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-39.2%12.9%-57.7%10.6%-27.1%-49.6%-33.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM21.9%0.9%95.1%-1.3%7.5%11.3%9.4%
CFO/Rev LTM10.7%16.9%8.6%13.5%-33.5%-22.1%9.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-18.3%27.1%-12.5%12.9%-35.7%--12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM10.1%14.4%6.0%9.7%-158.0%-22.2%7.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%23.7%-19.9%9.7%-154.2%--19.8%

Valuation

TYGOENPHSEDGGNRCRUNSPWRMedian
NameTigo Ene.Enphase .SolarEdg.Generac Sunrun SunPower  
Mkt Cap0.14.11.78.43.90.12.8
P/S1.83.12.12.21.70.62.0
P/EBIT-5.819.1-3.221.9-1.2-7.5-2.2
P/E-4.123.7-3.931.4-1.6-3.3-2.5
P/CFO16.918.124.516.6-5.1-2.816.7
Total Yield-24.6%4.2%-25.6%3.2%-61.8%-30.4%-25.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.2%3.9%-15.8%4.5%-99.4%--8.2%
D/E0.30.30.20.23.71.10.3
Net D/E0.1-0.1-0.00.13.51.00.1

Returns

TYGOENPHSEDGGNRCRUNSPWRMedian
NameTigo Ene.Enphase .SolarEdg.Generac Sunrun SunPower  
1M Rtn-18.1%14.8%-15.6%3.1%-8.0%8.3%-2.5%
3M Rtn-15.6%-18.4%-15.2%-20.1%7.4%7.6%-15.4%
6M Rtn18.3%-13.1%70.3%15.4%178.6%4.9%16.8%
12M Rtn60.2%-56.9%101.3%-12.3%69.8%-60.2%
3Y Rtn-85.5%-89.6%-91.0%53.0%-41.4%--85.5%
1M Excs Rtn-18.9%14.1%-16.3%2.3%-8.8%7.5%-3.2%
3M Excs Rtn-19.0%-19.1%-18.0%-22.7%3.4%1.7%-18.5%
6M Excs Rtn5.9%-25.5%57.9%3.0%166.2%-7.4%4.4%
12M Excs Rtn58.2%-68.3%105.6%-24.5%57.7%-57.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-153.9%-158.6%-159.2%-17.6%-111.0%--153.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Design, development and sale of solar energy optimization solutions1458144
Total1458144


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity171,432
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-39.7%
Average Daily Volume957,423
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity65,683,332
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-9.8%-11.8%-30.3%
7/29/202519.5%0.8%10.6%
5/6/202511.7%16.7%33.6%
2/11/20250.0%1.0%-13.0%
11/6/2024-6.1%-9.6%-31.3%
8/6/2024-11.8%-25.0%-18.1%
5/14/20246.6%-6.6%22.8%
1/17/2024-5.8%-5.8%9.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive444
# Negative666
Median Positive9.2%3.6%16.7%
Median Negative-8.0%-10.7%-24.7%
Max Positive19.5%16.7%33.6%
Max Negative-43.6%-46.4%-57.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
123120224072023S-4/A 12/31/2022