Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 157%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -104%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.6%
  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 123%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 157%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.6%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -104%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 123%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TXMD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The public company TherapeuticsMD (symbol: TXMD) experienced a 43.2% stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.



1. TherapeuticsMD announced its Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results in August 2025. This announcement likely presented a positive financial performance or outlook to investors, contributing to an upward movement in the stock price.

2. The company released its Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results in November 2025. This subsequent earnings report further influenced the stock, potentially confirming sustained growth or improved financial metrics that encouraged investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TXMD Return-50%-71%-69%-60%-62%70%-99%
Peers Return7%30%20%-3%7%16%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TXMD Win Rate42%8%33%17%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%63%38%47%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TXMD Max Drawdown-64%-71%-88%-64%-62%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-7%-11%-23%-10%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTXMDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6275.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-76.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven332.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven650.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days1480 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

TherapeuticsMD's stock fell -98.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -98.4% loss requires a 6275.0% gain to breakeven.

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About TherapeuticsMD (TXMD)

Better Bets than TherapeuticsMD (TXMD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TXMD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TherapeuticsMD

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TXMDLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameTherapeu.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price1.591,033.56205.33102.2725.5750.9676.61
Mkt Cap0.0928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
Rev LTM353,25892,14964,23562,78648,03458,022
Op Inc LTM-322,88224,14622,39115,41711,42018,904
FCF LTM1-5018,67913,04910,37615,30211,712
FCF 3Y Avg9-15617,81413,6858,92713,59811,262
CFO LTM110,93824,20417,06513,07716,62114,849
CFO 3Y Avg97,23023,20917,50612,12714,84613,487

Growth & Margins

TXMDLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameTherapeu.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM156.9%36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%1.3%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg112.0%23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%1.0%4.5%
Rev Chg Q306.8%37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%2.8%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM39.0%8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%0.7%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-103.5%43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%23.8%25.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-218.8%35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%19.0%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM85.6%1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%2.9%2.4%
CFO/Rev LTM40.1%20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%34.6%26.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-296.3%17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%31.7%22.6%
FCF/Rev LTM40.1%-0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%31.9%20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-296.3%0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%17.1%

Valuation

TXMDLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameTherapeu.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap0.0928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
P/S5.212.94.83.32.31.94.1
P/EBIT-7.638.613.89.112.29.210.7
P/E-29.349.617.811.014.715.215.0
P/CFO13.162.618.412.311.15.512.7
Total Yield-3.4%2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.3%0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%13.2%5.5%
D/E0.50.10.10.20.40.60.3
Net D/E0.00.10.10.10.30.40.1

Returns

TXMDLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameTherapeu.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn38.3%15.5%10.9%24.0%3.7%10.7%13.2%
3M Rtn43.9%40.3%16.1%22.7%5.0%8.8%19.4%
6M Rtn40.7%35.5%35.9%33.3%13.2%9.2%34.4%
12M Rtn18.2%28.0%38.9%4.1%7.3%-8.9%12.7%
3Y Rtn-64.3%182.4%25.7%1.6%-40.3%-28.3%-13.3%
1M Excs Rtn38.3%15.5%11.0%24.0%3.7%10.8%13.2%
3M Excs Rtn41.9%34.0%10.2%17.5%0.7%5.3%13.9%
6M Excs Rtn26.0%20.7%21.1%18.6%-1.6%-5.6%19.6%
12M Excs Rtn-1.6%17.4%23.0%-9.2%-8.9%-23.2%-5.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-135.2%116.6%-46.0%-69.7%-111.4%-99.3%-84.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
License and service revenue170   
License revenue  3216
ANNOVERA   206
BIJUVA   62
IMVEXXY   2716
Prescription vitamin   1010
Total17036550


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity69,507
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-47.3%
Average Daily Volume167,041
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity11,574,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023329202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022407202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021323202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021