Tearsheet

Twin Hospitality (TWNP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.11 | Market Cap: $61.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Twin Hospitality (TWNP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.11
Market Cap: $61.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.1%
1 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 225%
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.1%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 18.79
0 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.1%
1 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 225%
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.1%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 18.79

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TWNP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -64.5% stock movement for Twin Hospitality (TWNP) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Twin Hospitality reported a decrease in revenue and a widening net loss in its fiscal Third Quarter 2025 financial results, announced on November 5, 2025. The company's total revenue declined by 1.6% year-over-year to $82.3 million, and it posted a net loss of $24.5 million, an increase from $16.2 million in the prior year.

2. The company is burdened by a significant debt load and is quickly burning through cash. As of December 2, 2025, Twin Hospitality had a debt burden of $558.45 million against a market capitalization of only $83.12 million. InvestingPro Tips indicated the company's rapid cash burn.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TWNP Return------ 
Peers Return20%31%4%1%8%-6%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TWNP Win Rate-----22% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%30%25%27%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TWNP Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-3%-15%-10%-14%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TWNP has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Twin Hospitality (TWNP)

Better Bets than Twin Hospitality (TWNP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TWNP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Twin Hospitality

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TWNPBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameTwin Hos.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Price1.27308.6025.1824.6810.47307.7124.93
Mkt Cap0.10.40.2--219.40.3
Rev LTM345387282--26,263366
Op Inc LTM-212447--12,11335
FCF LTM-418134--7,37257
FCF 3Y Avg-5428--7,04954
CFO LTM-2310751--10,48579
CFO 3Y Avg-8056--9,70480

Growth & Margins

TWNPBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameTwin Hos.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Rev Chg LTM6.6%6.9%-5.3%--1.2%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.7%4.2%--4.2%4.2%
Rev Chg Q-4.1%10.3%-6.6%--3.0%-0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%2.5%-1.8%--0.8%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM-6.1%6.2%16.6%--46.1%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.1%19.8%--45.9%19.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.8%1.0%-1.3%---0.0%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.8%27.7%18.2%--39.9%23.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-21.3%19.4%--37.7%21.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-12.0%21.0%11.9%--28.1%16.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.2%9.7%--27.4%14.2%

Valuation

TWNPBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameTwin Hos.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Cap0.10.40.2--219.40.3
P/S0.71.11.2--8.21.1
P/EBIT-9.861.29.3--17.713.5
P/E-4.1200.820.2--25.723.0
P/CFO-10.63.96.5--20.75.2
Total Yield-24.6%0.5%5.7%--6.2%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.7%--2.3%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-17.5%6.6%--3.4%6.6%
D/E2.30.80.8--0.30.8
Net D/E2.3-0.10.7--0.20.5

Returns

TWNPBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameTwin Hos.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
1M Rtn-66.4%-13.3%4.9%1.7%126.6%4.4%3.1%
3M Rtn-69.7%-0.4%-29.4%---2.2%-15.8%
6M Rtn-70.0%18.5%-37.8%---0.1%-18.9%
12M Rtn-37.8%-50.0%--6.9%6.9%
3Y Rtn-112.9%-71.6%--20.6%20.6%
1M Excs Rtn-66.4%-13.2%4.9%1.7%126.7%4.5%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-73.8%-6.1%-35.6%---7.7%-21.6%
6M Excs Rtn-84.8%3.8%-52.5%---14.8%-33.7%
12M Excs Rtn-33.1%-65.2%---6.5%-6.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.2%-143.8%---51.3%-51.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity131,816
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.3%
Average Daily Volume7,017
Days-to-Cover Short Interest18.79
Basic Shares Quantity55,017,636
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025731202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/29/2024
123120231101202410-12B 12/31/2023