Tvardi Therapeutics (TVRD)


Market Price (9/20/2026): $1.69 | Market Cap: $15.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Tvardi Therapeutics (TVRD)


Market Price (9/20/2026): $1.69
Market Cap: $15.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -102%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%

Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -175%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 143%

Key risks
TVRD key risks include [1] the recent Phase 2 clinical trial failure of its lead candidate, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -102%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -175%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 143%
7 Key risks
TVRD key risks include [1] the recent Phase 2 clinical trial failure of its lead candidate, Show more.

TVRD in ETFs

Weight = TVRD's share of each fund

VTI0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 9/15/2026

Tvardi Therapeutics (TVRD) stock has lost about 50% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Deteriorating Financial Position and Explicit Need for New Funding. Tvardi Therapeutics reported a net loss of $6.5 million for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, a shift from a net income of $4.2 million in the comparable period of fiscal Q2 2025. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments significantly decreased to $15.8 million as of June 30, 2026, compared to $30.8 million at December 31, 2025. While funds are projected to last through the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) topline readout in fiscal Q4 2026 and into fiscal Q3 2027, the company explicitly stated that advancing its next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, into ulcerative colitis (UC) and other indications "will require additional funding and IND clearance," signaling potential dilution or financing challenges.

2. Uncertainty Surrounding TTI-109 Clinical Progression. Despite positive Phase 1 results for TTI-109, announced on July 7, 2026, which confirmed prodrug design, improved tolerability, and pharmacodynamic evidence of STAT3 target engagement, the progression of this key asset into further clinical trials is dependent on securing additional funding. The company selected UC as the initial indication for TTI-109 on July 30, 2026, highlighting a large underserved market, but the initiation of a clinical trial in UC remains contingent on both IND clearance and the availability of this additional funding. This creates uncertainty and delays for the clinical development of a promising pipeline candidate.

Show more
Updated on 9/15/2026

Tvardi Therapeutics (TVRD) stock has lost about 50% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Deteriorating Financial Position and Explicit Need for New Funding. Tvardi Therapeutics reported a net loss of $6.5 million for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, a shift from a net income of $4.2 million in the comparable period of fiscal Q2 2025. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments significantly decreased to $15.8 million as of June 30, 2026, compared to $30.8 million at December 31, 2025. While funds are projected to last through the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) topline readout in fiscal Q4 2026 and into fiscal Q3 2027, the company explicitly stated that advancing its next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, into ulcerative colitis (UC) and other indications "will require additional funding and IND clearance," signaling potential dilution or financing challenges.

2. Uncertainty Surrounding TTI-109 Clinical Progression. Despite positive Phase 1 results for TTI-109, announced on July 7, 2026, which confirmed prodrug design, improved tolerability, and pharmacodynamic evidence of STAT3 target engagement, the progression of this key asset into further clinical trials is dependent on securing additional funding. The company selected UC as the initial indication for TTI-109 on July 30, 2026, highlighting a large underserved market, but the initiation of a clinical trial in UC remains contingent on both IND clearance and the availability of this additional funding. This creates uncertainty and delays for the clinical development of a promising pipeline candidate.

3. Prior Clinical Setback and Significant Share Dilution. The lingering negative sentiment from the failure of Tvardi's Phase 2 REVERT IPF clinical trial for its first-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-101, announced on October 13, 2025, likely contributed to investor apprehension. Although some additional analysis was presented in January 2026, the study "did not meet its goals." Compounding this, shareholders experienced substantial dilution, with the total shares outstanding increasing by 42.2% over the past year, reducing per-share value for existing investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -51.8% change in TVRD stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120269192026Change
Stock Price ($)3.381.63-51.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)990.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TVRD-51.8% 
Market (SPY)0.9%8.3%
Sector (XLV)12.7%-6.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -59.1% change in TVRD stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820269192026Change
Stock Price ($)3.991.63-59.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)990.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TVRD-59.1% 
Market (SPY)11.6%11.4%
Sector (XLV)5.5%-0.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -94.6% change in TVRD stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -72.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120259192026Change
Stock Price ($)29.921.63-94.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)00.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)39-72.5%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TVRD-94.6% 
Market (SPY)19.4%4.0%
Sector (XLV)24.1%2.9%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TVRD  
Market (SPY)75.6%6.0%
Sector (XLV)32.3%4.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TVRD Return-----76%-62%-91%
Peers Return-7%32%41%-1%13%18%127%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TVRD Win Rate----67%33% 
Peers Win Rate42%67%58%50%83%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TVRD Max Drawdown------69% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-19%-12%-23%-29%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, APMD, ATTO, BLSM, BRVE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TVRD has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

EventXLVS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven142 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-13.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven166 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-27.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven191 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.9%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven165 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-15.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven153 days123 days

Compare to VRTX, APMD, ATTO, BLSM, BRVE

In The Past

State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

TVRD has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

EventXLVS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-27.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-37.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven767 days1085 days

Compare to VRTX, APMD, ATTO, BLSM, BRVE

In The Past

State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tvardi Therapeutics (TVRD)

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Cara Therapeutics, Inc. (symbol: TVRD) is an early commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and marketing novel treatments for pruritus (itching) and pain. The company's therapeutic approach involves selectively targeting kappa opioid receptors, with product candidates designed to act on the body's peripheral nervous system and immune cells. While its primary focus is the United States, Cara Therapeutics also has licensing agreements for its compounds in Japan and South Korea, indicating a broader potential market for its specialized treatments.

The company's lead commercial product is KORSUVA (difelikefalin) injection, which is approved for treating moderate-to-severe pruritus in adult patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who are undergoing hemodialysis. Beyond its approved injection, Cara Therapeutics is also advancing an oral formulation of difelikefalin, Oral KORSUVA, through Phase II clinical trials. This oral candidate is being investigated for a range of pruritic conditions including atopic dermatitis, non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD) associated pruritus, pruritus linked to chronic liver disease (CLD) primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), and notalgia paresthetica.

Cara Therapeutics serves a patient population suffering from severe chronic pruritus, particularly those with kidney disease requiring hemodialysis. Its ongoing clinical trials for Oral KORSUVA aim to expand its reach to patients experiencing pruritus related to various other conditions, including different stages of kidney disease, liver disease, and specific dermatological issues. Through strategic licensing, the company also addresses potential markets for acute pain and uremic pruritus in Asian territories, broadening its global impact on difficult-to-treat conditions.

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Imran Alibhai, Ph.D., Chief Executive Officer

Prior to becoming CEO of Tvardi, Dr. Alibhai was a Senior Vice President and Managing Director of DNAtrix, a clinical-stage biotech company focused on oncolytic viruses for cancer. During his tenure at DNAtrix, the company secured multiple financing rounds, initiated a Phase 2 immuno-oncology collaboration with Merck, and advanced a next-generation armed virus into the clinic. He previously worked as an investment banker in PJ Solomon's Healthcare Advisory Group, concentrating on M&A transactions in science-based markets. Dr. Alibhai also held roles as Senior Director at Alexandria Venture Investments, where he managed investments in emerging healthcare companies, and directed investments for MPM Capital's BioEquities hedge fund. He began his career in early-stage venture capital at the Accelerator Corp., gaining experience in company formation and management.

Dan Conn, J.D., M.B.A., Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Conn brings a comprehensive background in corporate law, finance, and business management. He started his career as an M&A and securities lawyer before transitioning to investment banking. As an investment banker, he served as an Executive Director at Morgan Stanley and a Director at PJ Solomon, where he focused on M&A, restructuring, and financing transactions across the life sciences and other sectors. Mr. Conn also worked on the buy side, investing in various industries, including life sciences, as a Vice President and Portfolio Manager at D.E. Shaw & Co and later as a Senior Vice President and Portfolio Manager at Brookfield Asset Management. His recent focus has been on operational aspects, directing the development and monetization of intellectual property rights.

John Kauh, M.D., Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Kauh is a board-certified medical oncologist with demonstrated leadership in both early and late-phase drug development. His experience includes guiding US and EU regulatory submissions for drug approval.

Joseph Chen, Ph.D., Vice President, CMC

Dr. Chen possesses 25 years of experience in the Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls (CMC) development of drug substances and products. He has extensive expertise in both technical leadership and management oversight for CMC development and manufacturing, both in-house and with Contract Manufacturing Organizations (CMOs). Prior to joining Tvardi, he held positions of increasing responsibility at Boehringer Ingelheim, Tanox, Johnson-Johnson, and Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, leading CMC development for numerous pharmaceutical and biological products.

Stephen O'Brien, CPA, VP, Finance and Corporate Controller

Mr. O'Brien has over 20 years of experience in accounting and financial reporting within the life sciences industry, working with both private and public companies. He was responsible for financial reporting at Eyetech Pharmaceuticals and 3-Dimensional Pharmaceuticals, where he played a role in their IPO processes and managed ongoing public reporting after their listings.

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Tvardi Therapeutics (TVRD) faces several key risks inherent to its business as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company.

Key Risks to Tvardi Therapeutics

  1. Clinical Trial Failure and Regulatory Approval Risk: As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Tvardi Therapeutics' success is heavily dependent on the successful outcome of its ongoing clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approvals for its product candidates. The company's lead product candidate, TTI-101, is currently in Phase 2 clinical trials for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A significant concern is the reported failure of the lead lung disease candidate to show clinical benefit in preliminary Phase 2 REVERT trial data, which led to a significant stock decline. Negative results from ongoing or future clinical trials, or the inability to obtain regulatory approval, would severely impact the company's viability and stock performance.
  2. Financial Sustainability and Funding Risk: Tvardi Therapeutics exhibits signs of financial strain, having reported a deeply negative net margin of -678.79% and a return on equity of -565.83%. These metrics raise serious concerns about the company's ability to sustain operations long enough to achieve clinical milestones and commercialize its products. The company went public in April 2025 through a merger with Cara Therapeutics, a move that provided access to critical funding required to advance its pipeline programs. However, continued heavy investment in clinical development without a clear path to profitability or sustained funding could jeopardize its long-term operations.

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Peer Outperformance in Biotechnology

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Share of Biotechnology constituents that TVRD has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
2%
of 455 industry peers · -95.7% return
3Y
insufficient peer history
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Health Care sector, ranked by 5Y. Biotechnology is TVRD's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Health Care Distributors 6 16.2%43.6%89.3% CAH 387% · MCK 344% · COR 167%
Health Care Services 20 21.1%38.6%1.2% HIMS 248% · RDNT 176% · DGX 76%
Managed Health Care 8 40.4%-3.7%0.8% OSCR 87% · HQY 54% · ELV 17%
Health Care Facilities 24 6.0%4.6%-9.2% NHC 272% · THC 265% · ENSG 129%
Health Care Equipment 50 -2.7%-3.3%-20.5% POCI 11050% · UFPT 344% · GKOS 216%
Pharmaceuticals 62 -10.5%14.7%-38.8% LQDA 2512% · INDV 1092% · ETON 1040%
Health Care Supplies 12 14.1%-11.1%-40.0% LNTH 290% · HAE 57% · MMSI 19%
Life Sciences Tools & Services 109 4.3%-12.6%-67.5% SNWV 1757% · MEDP 235% · NTRA 209%
Health Care Technology 21 -25.8%-52.4%-79.1% SPOK 69% · HSTM 3% · VEEV -12%
Biotechnology ← 364 0.6%-21.4%-79.3% CELZ 1280% · DNTH 1217% · ELVN 1080%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TVRDVRTXAPMDATTOBLSMBRVEMedian
NameTvardi T.Vertex P.Apnimed Attovia .BlossomH.Bravehea. 
Mkt Price1.63508.3429.0022.1425.7429.2027.37
Mkt Cap0.0129.0----64.5
Rev LTM012,5871170000
Op Inc LTM-274,77723-74-72-31-29
FCF LTM-253,796-84-64-65-25-45
FCF 3Y Avg-1,957----1,957
CFO LTM-254,293-84-62-64-22-43
CFO 3Y Avg-2,398----2,398

Growth & Margins

TVRDVRTXAPMDATTOBLSMBRVEMedian
NameTvardi T.Vertex P.Apnimed Attovia .BlossomH.Bravehea. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.2%----10.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.8%----9.8%
Rev Chg Q-12.5%----12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.0%----3.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM8.4%2,497.9%----1,253.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-792.2%----792.2%
Op Mgn LTM-37.9%19.9%-16,551.6%--19.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-23.9%----23.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%-----0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-34.1%-71.5%-13,695.3%---71.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-19.6%----19.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-30.2%-71.5%-14,194.7%---71.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.7%----15.7%

Valuation

TVRDVRTXAPMDATTOBLSMBRVEMedian
NameTvardi T.Vertex P.Apnimed Attovia .BlossomH.Bravehea. 
Mkt Cap0.0129.0----64.5
P/S-10.2----10.2
P/Op Inc-0.627.0----13.2
P/EBIT-0.625.6----12.5
P/E-0.629.3----14.3
P/CFO-0.630.0----14.7
Total Yield-170.4%3.4%-----83.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.6%----1.6%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-1.0-0.0-----0.5

Returns

TVRDVRTXAPMDATTOBLSMBRVEMedian
NameTvardi T.Vertex P.Apnimed Attovia .BlossomH.Bravehea. 
1M Rtn-10.9%-5.9%1.6%9.5%62.9%6.5%4.0%
3M Rtn-38.0%12.6%16.0%1.1%60.9%-2.0%6.8%
6M Rtn-53.7%12.0%16.0%1.1%60.9%-2.0%6.5%
12M Rtn-95.7%32.7%16.0%1.1%60.9%-2.0%8.5%
3Y Rtn-91.1%44.3%16.0%1.1%60.9%-2.0%8.5%
1M Excs Rtn-12.6%-7.2%-8.7%0.7%59.9%1.5%-3.2%
3M Excs Rtn-40.0%10.6%14.0%-0.9%58.9%-4.0%4.8%
6M Excs Rtn-71.5%-4.8%0.2%-14.7%45.1%-17.8%-9.8%
12M Excs Rtn-111.7%15.4%0.1%-14.8%45.0%-17.9%-7.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-162.3%-24.7%-55.3%-70.2%-10.4%-73.3%-62.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20232022
Discovery and development of novel orally bioavailable, small molecule therapies across a broad00
Total00


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Discovery and development of novel orally bioavailable, small molecule therapies across a broad-18-29
Total-18-29


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20232022
Discovery and development of novel orally bioavailable, small molecule therapies across a broad2745
Total2745


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.63 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date01/31/2014 
Distance from 52W High-96.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$2.12$14.43
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-23.2%-88.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility208.0%143.5%
Downside Capture50.34116.76
Upside Capture-206.66-270.60
Correlation (SPY)5.0%3.4%
TVRD Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.35-2.931.261.270.44-0.25
Up Beta-0.60-0.563.303.240.35-0.43
Down Beta-2.706.255.833.973.05-0.00
Up Capture-10%-347%-149%-56%-65%-6%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days916244999151
Down Capture376%-798%100%100%92%52%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days10233773139179

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TVRD
TVRD-95.9%143.0%-1.14-
Sector ETF (XLV)24.4%16.1%1.161.9%
Equity (SPY)16.9%12.9%0.943.6%
Gold (GLD)19.1%29.3%0.60-8.0%
Commodities (DBC)46.3%20.6%1.73-1.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%13.6%0.10-2.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.6%44.3%-0.701.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TVRD
TVRD-38.4%132.5%-0.37-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.4%15.2%0.244.2%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.576.1%
Gold (GLD)19.1%18.8%0.83-8.2%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.5%0.45-3.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.8%-0.051.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.5%52.5%0.424.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TVRD
TVRD-21.5%132.5%-0.37-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.6%16.7%0.514.2%
Equity (SPY)15.1%18.0%0.726.1%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.61-8.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.37-3.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.4%20.7%0.181.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)62.6%66.2%1.024.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 815202652.9%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity9.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/17/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/14/20267.3%3.4%3.4%
5/8/2026-0.7%-5.9%-32.3%
11/13/2025-1.9%-7.1%2.2%
8/14/20250.9%12.0%41.9%
5/13/2025-0.7%4.5%-1.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive233
# Negative322
Median Positive4.1%4.5%3.4%
Median Negative-0.7%-6.5%-17.0%
Max Positive7.3%12.0%41.9%
Max Negative-1.9%-7.1%-32.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/14/20267.3%3.4%3.4%
5/8/2026-0.7%-5.9%-32.3%
11/13/2025-1.9%-7.1%2.2%
8/14/20250.9%12.0%41.9%
5/13/2025-0.7%4.5%-1.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive233
# Negative322
Median Positive4.1%4.5%3.4%
Median Negative-0.7%-6.5%-17.0%
Max Positive7.3%12.0%41.9%
Max Negative-1.9%-7.1%-32.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/14/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/31/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
09/30/202401/27/2025S-4/A
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Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/14/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/31/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
09/30/202401/27/2025S-4/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/15/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/14/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 TTI-101 Phase 1b/2 HCC topline dataReported      
2027 Initiation of clinical trial of TTI-109 in UCReported      


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/8/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Cash RunwayReported     AffirmedGuidance: 0 for Q4 2026

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/13/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Cash RunwayReported      
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/19/2026