Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $2.99 | Market Cap: $144.5 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Conglomerates
Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $2.99Market Cap: $144.5 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Conglomerates
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -86% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Datacenter Power, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.3% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -51% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 76x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -35% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -209% Key risksTUSK key risks include [1] persistent net losses threatening its long-term viability, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -86% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Datacenter Power, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -51% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 76x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -35% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -209% |
| Key risksTUSK key risks include [1] persistent net losses threatening its long-term viability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) stock has gained about 25% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mammoth Energy Services reported significantly improved First Quarter 2026 financial results, marking a return to profitability and substantial revenue growth.
The company achieved its first positive adjusted EBITDA in eight quarters, reaching $1.9 million for Q1 2026. Total revenue surged to $22.0 million, representing a 133% increase sequentially from Q4 2025 and a 90% increase year-over-year from Q1 2025. Additionally, net income from continuing operations was $4.7 million, or $0.10 per diluted share, in Q1 2026, a notable turnaround from losses in prior periods.
2. Management raised its full-year 2026 guidance, reflecting strong operational momentum.
Following the robust Q1 performance, Mammoth Energy Services increased its full-year revenue growth guidance to over 60%, an upgrade from its previous expectation of 50%. The company also now anticipates achieving positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2026.
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1. Mammoth Energy Services reported significantly improved First Quarter 2026 financial results, marking a return to profitability and substantial revenue growth.
The company achieved its first positive adjusted EBITDA in eight quarters, reaching $1.9 million for Q1 2026. Total revenue surged to $22.0 million, representing a 133% increase sequentially from Q4 2025 and a 90% increase year-over-year from Q1 2025. Additionally, net income from continuing operations was $4.7 million, or $0.10 per diluted share, in Q1 2026, a notable turnaround from losses in prior periods.
2. Management raised its full-year 2026 guidance, reflecting strong operational momentum.
Following the robust Q1 performance, Mammoth Energy Services increased its full-year revenue growth guidance to over 60%, an upgrade from its previous expectation of 50%. The company also now anticipates achieving positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.6% change in TUSK stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.34 | 2.94 | 25.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 40 | 51 | 26.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.8 | 2.8 | -0.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 48 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TUSK | 25.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.7% | 9.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 44.1% change in TUSK stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.04 | 2.94 | 44.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 42 | 51 | 20.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.3 | 2.8 | 20.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 48 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 44.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TUSK | 44.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | 10.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 13.1% | 15.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.2% change in TUSK stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.53 | 2.94 | 16.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 73 | 51 | -30.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.7 | 2.8 | 68.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 48 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TUSK | 16.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 34.6% | 14.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 34.7% | 19.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -20.3% change in TUSK stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -86.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.69 | 2.94 | -20.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 362 | 51 | -86.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 2.8 | 480.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 47 | 48 | -2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -20.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TUSK | -20.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.4% | 21.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 82.3% | 26.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TUSK Return | -59% | 375% | -48% | -33% | -38% | 57% | -35% |
| Peers Return | 95% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 26% | 3% | 206% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TUSK Win Rate | 25% | 67% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 48% | 45% | 48% | 48% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TUSK Max Drawdown | -60% | -20% | -60% | -40% | -42% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -18% | -28% | -18% | -25% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HON, TTI, HHS, MMM, CSL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/12/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TUSK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 59 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -24.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -59.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Mammoth Energy Services's stock fell -31.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 46.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | TUSK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 59 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -24.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -59.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Mammoth Energy Services's stock fell -31.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 46.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. operates as an energy service company. The company operates in four segments: Infrastructure Services, Well Completion Services, Natural Sand Proppant Services, and Drilling Services. The Infrastructure Services segment offers a range of services on electric transmission and distribution, and networks and substation facilities, including engineering, design, construction, upgrade, maintenance, and repair of high voltage transmission lines, substations, and lower voltage overhead and underground distribution systems; storm repair and restoration services; and commercial services comprising installation, maintenance, and repair of commercial wiring. The Well Completion Services segment provides high-pressure hydraulic fracturing services to enhance the production of oil and natural gas from formations having low permeability, and sand hauling and water transfer services. The Natural Sand Proppant Services segment is involved in mining, processing, and selling natural sand proppant used for hydraulic fracturing; buying processed sand from suppliers on the spot market and reselling that sand; and providing logistics solutions to facilitate delivery of frac sand products. The Drilling Services segment offers contract land and directional drilling services, as well as rig moving services. The company also offers other services, including aviation, coil tubing, pressure control, flowback, cementing, acidizing, equipment rental, crude oil hauling, full-service transportation, and remote accommodation services, as well as equipment manufacturing, and infrastructure engineering and design. It serves government-funded utilities, private and public investor owned utilities, co-operative utilities, independent oil and natural gas producers and land-based drilling contractors in the United States and Canada. Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
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Mammoth Energy Services is like a company that combines the electric utility infrastructure work of Quanta Services with the broad range of oilfield services provided by Halliburton.
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- Infrastructure Services: Provides engineering, design, construction, upgrade, maintenance, and repair services for electric transmission, distribution, and substation facilities, including storm restoration and commercial wiring.
- Well Completion Services: Offers high-pressure hydraulic fracturing, sand hauling, and water transfer services to enhance oil and natural gas production.
- Natural Sand Proppant Sales: Mines, processes, and sells natural sand proppant used for hydraulic fracturing.
- Frac Sand Logistics: Provides logistics solutions to facilitate the delivery of frac sand products.
- Drilling Services: Offers contract land and directional drilling services, as well as rig moving services.
- Aviation Services: Provides aviation support.
- Coil Tubing Services: Delivers specialized coil tubing operations for wells.
- Pressure Control Services: Offers solutions for maintaining and managing pressure in oil and gas operations.
- Flowback Services: Provides services related to managing initial well production after fracturing.
- Cementing & Acidizing Services: Performs cementing and acidizing treatments to improve well integrity and production.
- Equipment Rental: Rents out various types of specialized equipment.
- Crude Oil Hauling: Provides transportation services specifically for crude oil.
- Full-Service Transportation: Offers general transportation and logistics solutions.
- Remote Accommodation Services: Provides housing and support solutions for remote workforces.
- Equipment Manufacturing: Manufactures specialized equipment used in energy services.
- Infrastructure Engineering & Design: Provides engineering and design expertise for infrastructure projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) primarily sells its services and products to other companies and organizations. Based on the provided description, its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Electric Utilities and Infrastructure Clients: This category includes government-funded utilities, private and public investor-owned utilities, and co-operative utilities. They are served for electric transmission and distribution network services, substation work, storm repair and restoration, and commercial wiring services.
- Independent Oil and Natural Gas Producers: These companies are customers for Mammoth's well completion services (including hydraulic fracturing, sand hauling, and water transfer), natural sand proppant products, and various other oilfield services like aviation, coil tubing, and equipment rental.
- Land-Based Drilling Contractors: These companies utilize Mammoth's contract land and directional drilling services, as well as rig moving services.
The provided background information does not list specific named customer companies.
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Phil Lancaster, Chief Executive Officer
Phil Lancaster became the Chief Executive Officer of Mammoth Energy Services on January 1, 2025, bringing over 20 years of experience in the energy industry. Prior to his appointment, he was Mammoth's Vice President of Corporate Development and also served as interim President for several of the company's infrastructure subsidiaries. Mr. Lancaster's executive experience includes serving as President of Mammoth Energy Partners LP from 2014 to 2015, Chief Executive Officer of Redback Energy Services LLC from 2011 to 2015, and Chief Executive Officer of Great White Energy Services, Inc. from 2006 to 2010, all within the oil field services sector. Notably, from 2010 to 2011, he acted as a consultant to Wexford Capital LP, a private equity firm that was instrumental in the formation of Mammoth Energy Services through the consolidation of various energy and infrastructure service companies.
Mark Layton, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary
Mark Layton assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer, Chief Compliance Officer, and Secretary at Mammoth Energy Services in August 2014. Before joining Mammoth, Mr. Layton was the Chief Financial Officer of Stingray Pressure Pumping LLC from January 2014 to August 2014. His extensive finance background includes positions as Director of Finance for North America and Controller at Archer Well Company Inc., Corporate Controller and Director of Financial Reporting at Great White Energy Services, and Vice President of Finance at Crossroads Wireless Holding. He also served as the Director of Financial Reporting for Chickasaw Holding Company and began his career in public accounting. Mr. Layton is a Certified Public Accountant.
Bernard Lancaster, Chief Operating Officer and Principal Executive Officer
Bernard Lancaster serves as the Chief Operating Officer and Principal Executive Officer for Mammoth Energy Services. He has been with various subsidiaries of Mammoth for over 11 years, previously holding the position of Vice President of Operations for Mammoth.
Paul Jacobi, Chief Business Officer
Paul Jacobi holds the title of Chief Business Officer at Mammoth Energy Services. He has also been a director of the company since June 2020.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its exposure to the energy sector and ongoing operational challenges. The most significant key risks include:1. Volatility in Oil and Natural Gas Prices and General Economic Conditions
Mammoth Energy Services' well completion, natural sand proppant, and drilling services segments are highly sensitive to fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices and overall economic conditions. Economic downturns and shifts in commodity prices directly impact the activity levels of exploration and production companies, subsequently affecting the demand for Mammoth's services in these areas. Geopolitical events and decisions by organizations like OPEC+ also introduce market uncertainties by influencing commodity prices and service demand. The company has experienced end-market softness in oil and gas and sand, alongside a declining rig count, which impacts its oilfield service lines.2. Persistent Unprofitability and Operational Efficiency/Cost Control Challenges
Mammoth Energy Services has a history of unprofitability, with reported widening losses over several years and persistent negative net profit margins. This indicates fundamental challenges in consistently generating quality earnings and achieving profitability across its diverse operations. The company has also acknowledged execution and cost control issues, particularly within its fiber and non-aviation rental segments, leading to margin pressure from factors such as higher equipment rental costs, insurance premiums, and underutilization in sand and drilling services. Addressing these operational inefficiencies and cost management challenges is crucial for the company's financial stability and future growth.3. Execution Risk Related to Strategic Pivots and Managing a Diverse Portfolio of Services
While Mammoth Energy Services operates a diversified business model across infrastructure, well completion, natural sand proppant, and drilling services, it is also undergoing strategic portfolio simplification and pivots, including an increased focus on aviation rentals. This strategic shift and the management of its varied service offerings present execution risks. There are concerns that heavy capital expenditures in new areas, such as aviation, may not yield immediate returns, creating significant execution risk. Successfully ramping up new segments and restoring profitability in underperforming ones will be critical for the company's ability to drive improved returns and achieve its projected growth.AI Analysis | Feedback
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Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) operates in several energy service segments, each addressing distinct markets primarily within North America. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services are as follows:
- Infrastructure Services: The U.S. electric power transmission and distribution market was valued at approximately USD 89.9 billion in 2024, and is projected to reach USD 110.4 billion by 2032.
- Well Completion Services (High-Pressure Hydraulic Fracturing Services): The North America hydraulic fracturing market was estimated at approximately USD 39.54 billion in 2025. The market was valued at USD 22.63 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to grow robustly through 2028.
- Natural Sand Proppant Services: The North America frac sand market was valued at approximately USD 1.699 billion in 2024, and is anticipated to reach USD 1.811 billion in 2025. This market is projected to reach USD 3.012 billion by 2033.
- Drilling Services: The North America drilling services market is estimated to be approximately USD 56.68 billion in 2025. This region accounted for 36.45% of the global drilling services market in 2025.
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Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)
Over the next two to three years, Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) is expected to experience revenue growth driven by several key factors:
- Expansion of Aviation Rentals Platform: Mammoth Energy Services has made strategic investments to significantly expand its aviation rental fleet. This expansion is anticipated to generate stable, recurring revenue and is projected to contribute to over 50% revenue growth in 2026. The company has deployed substantial capital to grow this platform, with plans to lease out additional aviation assets in the first half of 2026.
- Increased Demand for Electric Grid Infrastructure Services: The Infrastructure Services segment is positioned to capitalize on the sustained demand for electric grid infrastructure. Macroeconomic tailwinds, including the growth of data centers, advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), and new nuclear developments, are expected to support demand for services such as engineering, fiber projects, and transmission and distribution network enhancements. Mammoth is making strategic investments to add equipment and crews to further improve its positioning in this market.
- Anticipated Rebound in Natural Gas Sector and Well Completion Services: Following a period of reduced activity due to lower natural gas prices, there is an optimistic outlook for a rebound in the natural gas sector in 2025 and 2026. This expected increase in natural gas-related demand is poised to drive higher utilization and activity levels within Mammoth's Well Completion Services division. The company aims for steady completions activity in 2025, targeting 1.5 active fleets, and anticipates increased demand for well completion services in 2026.
- Strategic Capital Deployment for Accretive Investments: Mammoth Energy Services has significantly strengthened its financial position, becoming debt-free and holding a strong liquidity buffer after strategic asset divestitures in 2025. Management intends to deploy this robust cash position for accretive investments. This financial flexibility allows the company to pursue further growth opportunities, potentially through equipment acquisitions and operational improvements across its segments, supporting both existing and emerging revenue streams.
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Capital Allocation Decisions for Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)
Share Repurchases
- Mammoth Energy Services authorized a share repurchase program in August 2023 for up to $55 million or 10,000,000 shares, with no specified time limit for completion.
- An amendment to its revolving credit facility in April 2025 permitted the company to repurchase up to the lesser of $50 million or 10 million shares on or before March 31, 2026. [cite: 11 in previous turn]
Share Issuance
- The number of common shares outstanding increased from 48,127,369 at December 31, 2024, to 48,358,315 at December 31, 2025, indicating a net issuance of 230,946 shares during 2025. [cite: 6 in previous turn]
Outbound Investments
- In 2025, Mammoth Energy Services executed four divestitures that generated over $150 million in cash proceeds, aiming to reshape its portfolio. [cite: 1, 2 in previous turn, 6 in previous turn, 7 in previous turn]
- The company sold its engineering business, Aquawolf, to Qualus for $30 million in December 2025.
- Mammoth Energy Services completed the sale of three infrastructure subsidiaries (5 Star Electric, Higher Power Electrical, and Python Equipment) for an aggregate price of $108.7 million in April 2025. [cite: 3, 11 in previous turn]
Capital Expenditures
- In 2025, the company deployed over $65 million into its aviation rental platform, which constituted the majority of the approximately $70 million in total capital expenditures for the year. [cite: 1, 2 in previous turn, 5 in previous turn, 7 in previous turn, 10 in previous turn]
- Fourth-quarter 2025 capital expenditures were $25.9 million, predominantly allocated to aviation assets, including the acquisition of eight APUs, two engines, and one small aircraft. [cite: 1, 2 in previous turn, 8 in previous turn]
- Mammoth Energy Services anticipates approximately $11 million in non-aviation capital expenditures for 2026, targeting maintenance and growth investments in its oil and gas and infrastructure segments. [cite: 1, 2 in previous turn, 4 in previous turn]
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Mammoth Energy Services Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Mammoth Energy Services Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TUSK.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04172026 | RSG | Republic Services | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.1% |
| 04102026 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -1.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,803 |
| Op Inc LTM | 524 |
| FCF LTM | 3 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 27 |
| CFO LTM | 85 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 62 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -6.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -22.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 14.8 |
| P/EBIT | 24.6 |
| P/E | 23.5 |
| P/CFO | 13.6 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 49.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -31.7% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.94 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/14/2016 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.47 | $2.26 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 18.9% | 29.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 87.2% | 64.4% |
| Downside Capture | 153.53 | 125.51 |
| Upside Capture | 204.90 | 106.46 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 4.1% | 15.6% |
TUSK Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.40 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| Up Beta | -2.10 | -2.42 | -1.95 | -0.90 | 0.31 | 0.86 |
| Down Beta | 0.27 | -2.24 | 0.23 | 1.21 | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Up Capture | 89% | 200% | 204% | 125% | 67% | 29% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 33 | 61 | 112 | 339 |
| Down Capture | 835% | 142% | 107% | 72% | 105% | 98% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 20 | 28 | 60 | 126 | 381 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TUSK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUSK | 23.5% | 64.2% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 30.0% | 15.6% | 1.48 | 20.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 32.5% | 12.4% | 1.98 | 15.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.3% | 26.9% | 1.26 | 1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.3% | 18.5% | 2.06 | 9.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | 18.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.0% | 41.7% | -0.46 | 19.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TUSK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUSK | -4.3% | 72.4% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.7% | 17.4% | 0.57 | 26.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.7% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 23.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 6.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 19.4% | 0.47 | 21.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 23.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.2% | 55.9% | 0.34 | 10.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TUSK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUSK | -13.4% | 87.3% | 0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.0% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 22.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 20.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.9% | 0.39 | 21.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 15.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.2% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 4.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/6/2026 | -16.9% | -15.1% | -8.2% |
| 10/31/2025 | -4.2% | -5.2% | -17.1% |
| 8/8/2025 | -4.5% | -6.5% | -4.1% |
| 3/7/2025 | -8.4% | -1.4% | -6.0% |
| 11/1/2024 | -16.5% | -13.9% | -22.0% |
| 8/9/2024 | 3.8% | 4.3% | -3.0% |
| 3/1/2024 | 2.7% | -1.4% | 1.4% |
| 11/9/2023 | -1.0% | 9.4% | 14.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.8% | 12.5% | 18.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -8.2% | -16.2% |
| Max Positive | 21.8% | 50.6% | 101.3% |
| Max Negative | -16.9% | -21.1% | -31.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/06/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/07/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/02/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amron, Arthur H | Direct | Buy | 12152025 | 1.89 | 10,000 | 18,900 | 107,985 | Form | |
| 2 | Smith, Arthur L | Direct | Sell | 5272025 | 2.51 | 20,000 | 50,200 | 326,385 | Form | |
| 3 | Smith, Arthur L | Direct | Sell | 5212025 | 2.51 | 50,000 | 125,500 | 376,585 | Form | |
| 4 | Smith, Arthur L | Direct | Sell | 5212025 | 2.49 | 15,000 | 37,350 | 498,085 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.