TruGolf (TRUG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.185 | Market Cap: $1.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
TruGolf (TRUG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.185Market Cap: $1.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -106% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -15% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -45% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Gaming Content & Platforms. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 2346% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -239% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 4185% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 29% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -106% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Gaming Content & Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -15% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -45% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 2346% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -239% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 4185% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 29% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TRUG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide specific key points for the stock movement of TruGolf (TRUG) for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. My access to information does not extend to future market data or news events that would explain such a price change during the requested timeframe.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TRUG Return | - | - | 8% | 10% | -94% | -97% | -100% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 3% | -3% | -1% | 7% | -5% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TRUG Win Rate | - | 58% | 58% | 33% | 0% | ||
| Peers Win Rate | 12% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 33% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TRUG Max Drawdown | - | - | 0% | -4% | -97% | -100% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -2% | -8% | -9% | -5% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, TRON, AS, PLNT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TRUG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -8.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 9.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to FUN, NOMA, TRON, AS, PLNT
In The Past
TruGolf's stock fell -8.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/19/2023. A -8.8% loss requires a 9.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With TruGolf Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TRUG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for TruGolf
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 656 |
| Op Inc LTM | 123 |
| FCF LTM | -2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 10 |
| CFO LTM | -0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 172 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -35.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -41.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -11.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 9.9 |
| P/E | 20.8 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | -37.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -66.1% |
| D/E | 1.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -22.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -35.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -27.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -29.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -30.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -22.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -45.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -41.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -42.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -102.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8192025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8212024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9192023 | S-4/A 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 12292023 | 424B3 12/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |