Callaway Golf (CALY)
Market Price (3/13/2026): $13.15 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
Callaway Golf (CALY)
Market Price (3/13/2026): $13.15Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods. | Key risksCALY key risks include [1] the fallout from a recent significant data breach that exposed the data of over 1.1 million customers and [2] underperforming sales resulting from a recent pullback in discretionary consumer and corporate spending. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17% |
| Key risksCALY key risks include [1] the fallout from a recent significant data breach that exposed the data of over 1.1 million customers and [2] underperforming sales resulting from a recent pullback in discretionary consumer and corporate spending. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Callaway Golf's 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance fell below expectations, leading to a significant stock decline.
Despite exceeding net sales and Adjusted EBITDA targets for fiscal year 2025, Callaway Golf's guidance for 2026 Adjusted EBITDA was projected between $170 million and $195 million, notably below the $222.4 million achieved in 2025 and analyst estimates of $204.2 million. The stock experienced a 15.05% drop on February 13, 2026, following the Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings announcement, which equated to an approximate $483 million reduction in market valuation.
2. A major insider sale occurred shortly after the company's rebranding.
On January 27, 2026, PEP TG Investments GP LLC, a ten percent owner of Callaway Golf, sold 10,000,000 shares of common stock at $14.70 per share, totaling $147,000,000. This substantial insider selling event took place shortly after the company officially rebranded to Callaway Golf Company on January 16, 2026, following the sale of a majority stake in Topgolf. Such a large divestment by a significant shareholder can be interpreted negatively by the market, indicating potential concerns about future performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CALY | ||
| Market (SPY) | -2.5% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.7% | 36.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CALY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 3.5% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.6% | 36.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CALY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 13.1% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 4.0% | 36.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CALY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.3% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 56.9% | 36.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CALY Return | - | - | - | - | - | -8% | -8% |
| Peers Return | 7% | -22% | 9% | 36% | -1% | -9% | 12% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CALY Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 38% | 46% | 57% | 42% | 20% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CALY Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -42% | -25% | -28% | -27% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FUN, CALY, AS, PLNT, LTH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/12/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
CALY has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to FUN, CALY, AS, PLNT, LTH
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Callaway Golf (CALY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Lululemon for golf equipment and apparel.
Dave & Buster's for golf, combined with a leading golf equipment brand.
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- Golf Clubs: Callaway and Odyssey branded drivers, irons, wedges, and putters designed for performance.
- Golf Balls: A range of golf balls engineered for various swing speeds and playing characteristics.
- Golf Lifestyle Apparel & Gear: Apparel, footwear, golf bags, and accessories primarily under the TravisMathew and OGIO brands.
- Outdoor Apparel & Equipment: Technical apparel, footwear, and equipment for outdoor activities through its Jack Wolfskin brand.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Callaway Golf (symbol: CALY), which operates as a brand under its parent company Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp., primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically a global network of golf retailers and sporting goods stores.
Based on recent financial filings, its major identified customer is:
- Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. (NYSE: DKS)
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Oliver G. "Chip" Brewer III President and Chief Executive Officer
Chip Brewer has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Callaway Golf Company since joining in March 2012. Prior to Callaway, he spent nearly a decade as President and CEO of Adams Golf from January 2002 to February 2012, where he oversaw a successful turnaround. Under his leadership, Callaway transformed into a modern golf and active lifestyle company, and the company recently transitioned back to focus on pure-play golf as Callaway Golf Company. Mr. Brewer holds an MBA from Harvard University and played college golf at William and Mary.
Brian Lynch Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Legal Officer
Brian Lynch was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Callaway Golf Company in July 2017, having served as Interim CFO since April 2017. He has held the role of Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Legal Officer since January 2019. Mr. Lynch joined Callaway in December 1999 and has over 30 years of experience in financial, legal, strategic, and operational roles. He received a J.D. from the University of Pittsburgh and a B.A. in Economics from Franklin and Marshall College.
Mark Leposky Executive Vice President and Chief Supply Chain Officer
Mark Leposky joined Callaway Golf Company in April 2012 as Executive Vice President and Chief Supply Chain Officer. He brings over 20 years of industry experience, having previously served as President & CEO of Gathering Storm, Chief Supply Chain Officer at Fisher Scientific, and Chief Operating Officer at Taylormade Golf. Mr. Leposky also held roles at The Coca-Cola Company and United Parcel Service.
Glenn Hickey Executive Vice President and President, Callaway Golf
Glenn Hickey serves as Executive Vice President and President of Callaway Golf, leading global sales and marketing for Callaway golf clubs, balls, apparel, and performance gear across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia regions. He was promoted to this role in March 2023, after joining Callaway Golf in 1991. Before his time at Callaway, Mr. Hickey worked as a bond trader for First Interstate Bank and Wedbush Securities.
Angela Deskins Chief People Officer
Angela Deskins is the Chief People Officer at Callaway Golf Company. (No further background information was explicitly available within the provided search results for Angela Deskins beyond her title.)
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Callaway Golf (CALY) include:
- Cybersecurity Risks and Data Breaches: Callaway Golf has recently experienced a significant data breach, affecting over 1.1 million customers in August 2023. This incident led to unauthorized access to customer data, including names, shipping addresses, email addresses, phone numbers, order histories, account passwords, and security questions. Such breaches can severely harm the company's reputation, erode customer trust, disrupt e-commerce services, and potentially lead to financial liabilities.
- Shifting Consumer Preferences and Market Dynamics: The company's future success is heavily reliant on its ability to accurately anticipate and adapt to evolving consumer preferences in both golf equipment and active lifestyle products. A failure to respond promptly and effectively to these changes or to navigate the transforming retail landscape could result in reputational damage to its brands, reduced sales, excess inventory, and lower profit margins.
- Economic Headwinds and Discretionary Consumer Spending: Callaway Golf operates in a consumer cyclical sector, making it susceptible to fluctuations in economic conditions and consumer discretionary spending. Recent performance has shown "below expectations" same-venue sales due to a pullback in both consumer and corporate spending, indicating the business's sensitivity to economic downturns and changes in consumer purchasing power.
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The addressable markets for Callaway Golf's (symbol: CALY) main products and services are as follows:
- Golf Equipment (Clubs, Bags, and other non-ball/apparel accessories): The global golf equipment market size was valued at USD 10.64 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 16.93 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.3% during the forecast period (2026–2033).
- Golf Balls: The global golf ball market size was valued at USD 1.23 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 1.56 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 2.7% during the forecast period (2026–2033).
- Golf Apparel: The global golf apparel market size was valued at USD 9.07 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 13.28 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.95% over the forecast period.
- Golf Footwear: The global golf shoes market size was valued at USD 9.23 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 11.79 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 3.10% during the forecast period.
- Golf Accessories (excluding clubs, balls, apparel, and footwear): The global golf accessories market size was valued at USD 6.48 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 7.71 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 2.20% from 2026 to 2032.
- Outdoor Apparel (for Jack Wolfskin brand): The global outdoor apparel market size is expected to reach USD 165.22 billion in 2025 and USD 220.54 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.95% during the forecast period.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Callaway Golf (CALY) over the next 2-3 years:- Topgolf Expansion and Enhanced Guest Experience: Callaway Golf anticipates revenue growth from its retained interest in Topgolf through the continued expansion of new venues and operational improvements. The company plans to open three new Topgolf venues in 2026. Furthermore, initiatives such as piloting "pay and bay" and mobile ordering for food, which are expected to be scaled in 2026, aim to deliver gains in efficiency and increase spend per visit, further boosting traffic and same-venue sales.
- New Product Innovation in Golf Equipment: The introduction of new, technologically advanced golf equipment families is a significant growth driver. Callaway Golf launched its new "Quantum" family of drivers, fairway woods, irons, and hybrids in January 2026. These products feature new material technologies, such as the "Tri-Force Face," and next-generation AI-optimized face mapping, designed to improve performance by increasing ball speed, consistency, and forgiveness, thereby stimulating new sales and market share gains in the core golf equipment segment.
- Strategic Focus and Growth of Core Brands: Following the sale of a majority stake in Topgolf, Callaway Golf is sharpening its focus on its core golf equipment business and active lifestyle platform, which includes brands like Callaway, Odyssey, TravisMathew, and OGIO. This streamlined focus is expected to enable the company to grow its golf equipment revenues slightly faster than the overall golf market and strategically invest in and expand these established brands.
- Leveraging a Stronger Balance Sheet for Strategic Investments: The significant debt reduction achieved through the Topgolf stake sale provides Callaway Golf with a stronger financial position. This improved balance sheet offers greater flexibility to invest in research and development, marketing, and other strategic initiatives across its remaining portfolio of golf and active lifestyle brands, indirectly fueling future revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- In December 2021, Callaway Golf Company authorized a $50 million share repurchase program.
- During 2021, the company repurchased approximately $25 million worth of shares under the 2021 program.
- In May 2022, a new $100 million stock repurchase program was authorized.
Share Issuance
- As part of the merger with Topgolf completed in March 2021, Callaway issued approximately 90 million shares of its common stock to former Topgolf shareholders (excluding Callaway's pre-existing stake).
- In connection with the Topgolf merger in March 2021, Callaway granted 385,389 inducement performance stock units (PSUs) and 456,274 inducement restricted stock units (RSUs) to 189 Topgolf employees.
Outbound Investments
- In March 2021, Callaway Golf Company completed an all-stock merger with Topgolf, representing a strategic investment with an implied equity value for Topgolf of approximately $2 billion (including Callaway's existing 14% ownership).
Capital Expenditures
- For the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2025, capital expenditures amounted to approximately $279.9 million.
- For fiscal year 2025, projected capital expenditures include $110-$120 million for Topgolf net capital expenditures and approximately $50 million for Core capital expenditures.
- A significant portion of capital expenditures is focused on the expansion of Topgolf, with an expectation to open 11 company-owned venues annually through 2025.
Trade Ideas
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.74 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,995 |
| Op Inc LTM | 395 |
| FCF LTM | 51 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 16 |
| CFO LTM | 376 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 362 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 13.3 |
| P/E | 21.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.2% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -13.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -13.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -13.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -0.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -77.7% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | -15.0% | -1.5% | |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | -15.0% | -1.5% | |
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | -15.0% | -1.5% | |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pep, Tg Investments Gp Llc | Direct | Sell | 1282026 | 14.70 | 10,000,000 | 147,000,000 | 164,275,822 | Form | |
| 2 | Starrs, Artie | CEO, Topgolf | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 8.64 | 106,734 | 921,837 | 913,968 | Form |
| 3 | Anderson, Erik J | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 9.25 | 25,704 | 237,793 | 190,639 | Form | |
| 4 | Ogunlesi, Adebayo O | Held with Spouse in JTWROS | Buy | 6102025 | 6.48 | 384,731 | 2,494,904 | 4,983,128 | Form | |
| 5 | Ogunlesi, Adebayo O | Held with Spouse in JTWROS | Buy | 6102025 | 7.01 | 38,070 | 266,802 | 5,652,127 | Form |
External Quote Links
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