Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 5.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 5.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UVV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Universal Corporation (UVV) stock experienced an approximate decline of 4.2%. Several factors contributed to this movement: 1. Anticipated Tobacco Oversupply Concerns. Universal Corporation's fiscal year 2026 Q1 earnings call on August 7, 2025, and subsequent reports, indicated an expected oversupply of flue-cured and burley tobacco by year-end. This persistent risk in its primary tobacco operations likely fueled investor apprehension regarding potential margin pressure, despite management expressing confidence in handling shifting market dynamics.

2. Mixed Fiscal Year 2026 Second Quarter Earnings. While Universal Corporation reported improved second-quarter and first-half fiscal 2026 results on November 5, 2025, with increased sales and net income that beat analyst estimates for EPS and revenue, the operating income for the quarter was slightly lower than the previous year. This mixed performance, coupled with a reported "sell signal from a pivot top point" on November 6, 2025, leading to a subsequent drop of 3.86%, suggests that some investors reacted negatively to underlying operational details or market sentiment, despite the positive headline figures.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UVV Return-9%20%2%36%-13%3%34%
Peers Return8%10%-5%11%27%13%80%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UVV Win Rate42%33%50%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate40%40%38%54%57%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UVV Max Drawdown-31%-5%-15%-10%-30%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-6%-16%-7%-22%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PM, MO, TPB, UVV, ISPR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUVVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven438 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven360 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven159.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2871 days1480 days

Compare to PM, MO, TPB, UVV, ISPR


In The Past

Universal's stock fell -30.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2022. A -30.9% loss requires a 44.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Universal (UVV)

Better Bets than Universal (UVV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UVV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Universal

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UVVPMMOTPBISPRMedian
NameUniversalPhilip M.Altria Turning .Ispire T. 
Mkt Price52.76151.7158.4197.572.6458.41
Mkt Cap1.3236.298.41.80.21.8
Rev LTM2,98739,99220,2594361192,987
Op Inc LTM24914,81911,96193-35249
FCF LTM15710,1238,72839-14157
FCF 3Y Avg799,2678,71053-1579
CFO LTM20211,5268,87650-12202
CFO 3Y Avg13910,6798,88760-13139

Growth & Margins

UVVPMMOTPBISPRMedian
NameUniversalPhilip M.Altria Turning .Ispire T. 
Rev Chg LTM3.0%7.5%-0.2%53.5%-20.1%3.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.9%8.0%-0.9%6.4%-7.1%
Rev Chg Q6.1%9.4%0.2%31.2%-22.8%6.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%2.4%0.1%6.9%-7.0%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM8.3%37.1%59.0%21.4%-29.8%21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.2%35.9%57.1%25.3%-15.1%25.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.7%1.7%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.8%28.8%43.8%11.5%-10.3%11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%28.7%43.5%18.4%-9.8%18.4%
FCF/Rev LTM5.3%25.3%43.1%8.9%-11.5%8.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%24.9%42.7%16.4%-11.3%16.4%

Valuation

UVVPMMOTPBISPRMedian
NameUniversalPhilip M.Altria Turning .Ispire T. 
Mkt Cap1.3236.298.41.80.21.8
P/S0.56.35.54.11.24.1
P/EBIT5.616.59.518.0-4.29.5
P/E12.529.312.734.4-4.012.7
P/CFO6.921.912.535.9-12.012.5
Total Yield13.7%6.8%14.1%3.2%-25.2%6.8%
Dividend Yield5.8%3.3%6.2%0.3%0.0%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.7%4.9%9.8%7.8%-5.3%6.7%
D/E0.90.20.20.20.00.2
Net D/E0.80.20.20.1-0.10.2

Returns

UVVPMMOTPBISPRMedian
NameUniversalPhilip M.Altria Turning .Ispire T. 
1M Rtn3.9%4.9%3.1%4.2%54.4%4.2%
3M Rtn-2.8%-6.2%-10.9%0.7%-9.3%-6.2%
6M Rtn-10.1%-14.6%1.8%30.4%6.9%1.8%
12M Rtn0.3%21.4%10.1%61.7%-57.0%10.1%
3Y Rtn10.7%67.6%56.1%355.3%-61.8%
1M Excs Rtn4.0%4.9%3.1%4.2%54.4%4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-7.8%-10.3%-16.2%-6.5%-20.2%-10.3%
6M Excs Rtn-24.8%-29.3%-12.9%15.7%-7.8%-12.9%
12M Excs Rtn-15.3%4.7%-5.0%44.7%-70.6%-5.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-60.2%6.2%-8.1%301.5%--1.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Tobacco Operations2,4392,2581,8361,8421,887
Ingredients Operations31031226814223
Total2,7492,5702,1041,9831,910


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Tobacco Operations222173158169147
Ingredients Operations411170-9
Equity in pretax earnings (loss) of unconsolidated affiliates-1-2-6-3-4
Restructuring and impairment costs-40-10-23-8
Other income 034 
Total222181160148126


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Tobacco Operations2,4522,1652,1102,0021,986
Ingredients Operations485475476340135
Total2,9372,6392,5862,3422,121


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,116,192
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202520.0%
Average Daily Volume236,450
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.72
Basic Shares Quantity25,035,110
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025530202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024421202510-Q 12/31/2024
9302024421202510-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024529202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023525202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022527202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021