Tearsheet

TON Strategy (TONX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.58 | Market Cap: $3.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

TON Strategy (TONX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.58
Market Cap: $3.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -173%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1301%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1321%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -979%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1027%
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -152%
3  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 85%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -173%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1321%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1301%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -979%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1027%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -152%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 85%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TONX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of TON Strategy (TONX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. TON Trading on Major Platforms: On September 8, 2025, TON Strategy Company welcomed the trading of $TON on platforms such as Gemini, Robinhood, and Zengo, which contributed to an 18.35% increase in the stock.

2. Share Repurchase Program and Staking Initiation: The company announced on September 10, 2025, the commencement of initial share repurchases under its $250 million program and the start of staking activities, leading to a 9.27% increase in the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TONX Return------ 
Peers Return13%-2%-7%5%55%836%1483%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TONX Win Rate-----0% 
Peers Win Rate13%10%9%30%44%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TONX Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-4%-8%-15%-8%-51% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TONX has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1183 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TON Strategy (TONX)

Better Bets than TON Strategy (TONX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TONX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TON Strategy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TONXADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameTON Stra.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Price3.48307.241.292.223.427.563.45
Mkt Cap0.065.40.1---0.1
Rev LTM16,60527-21,02627
Op Inc LTM-121,5151--0651
FCF LTM-91,8471--255128
FCF 3Y Avg-151,704---216216
CFO LTM-91,9254--310157
CFO 3Y Avg-131,775---271271

Growth & Margins

TONXADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameTON Stra.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM1,320.6%13.8%29.7%--10.6%21.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg382.9%11.7%---10.2%11.7%
Rev Chg Q2,393.1%17.1%86.2%--12.0%51.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM345.3%4.1%19.3%--2.9%11.7%
Op Mgn LTM-1,301.0%22.9%5.0%--3.8%6.3%5.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7,992.0%21.5%---6.9%6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4,144.8%0.8%-0.1%---0.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-979.3%29.1%13.5%--30.2%21.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6,173.0%30.7%---29.0%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,027.2%28.0%4.9%--24.9%14.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6,409.5%29.5%---23.1%23.1%

Valuation

TONXADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameTON Stra.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Cap0.065.40.1---0.1
P/S7.810.01.8---7.8
P/EBIT-0.746.724.6---24.6
P/E-0.763.235.8---35.8
P/CFO-0.834.313.5---13.5
Total Yield-147.7%1.6%2.8%---1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.3%----3.3%
D/E0.10.00.0---0.0
Net D/E-1.70.0-0.2----0.2

Returns

TONXADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameTON Stra.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
1M Rtn-15.9%1.2%-52.2%-12.3%-3.1%-13.3%-12.8%
3M Rtn-70.9%-3.2%-53.8%-20.1%-14.5%-64.8%-37.0%
6M Rtn-3.0%104.0%-30.6%-14.5%-64.8%-14.5%
12M Rtn-2.8%--27.5%4,785.7%-64.8%-12.3%
3Y Rtn-52.8%--3,320.0%-64.8%52.8%
1M Excs Rtn-15.9%1.2%-52.2%-12.2%-3.1%-13.3%-12.7%
3M Excs Rtn-73.3%-9.3%-59.4%-23.1%-19.8%-70.2%-41.3%
6M Excs Rtn--11.7%89.3%-45.3%-29.2%-79.6%-29.2%
12M Excs Rtn--8.3%--45.7%4,643.1%-78.4%-27.0%
3Y Excs Rtn--15.5%--3,299.3%-137.6%-15.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
MARKET.live0    
Corporate0    
Go Fund Yourself0    
Single Segment 0   
Non-digital revenue  2  
Other digital revenue  111
Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) recurring subscription revenue  753
Design, printing, fulfillment, and shipping   3 
Design, printing, and fulfillment    4
Shipping    1
Total0011109


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Go Fund Yourself0    
MARKET.live-5    
Corporate-9    
Total-14    


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity847,430
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202550.9%
Average Daily Volume600,851
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.41
Basic Shares Quantity993,120
Short % of Basic Shares85.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
12312024325202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023522202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022417202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021
6302021816202110-Q 6/30/2021
3312021513202110-Q 3/31/2021