Tearsheet

TMC The Metals (TMC)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $6.83 | Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

TMC The Metals (TMC)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $6.83
Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Critical Battery Raw Materials, Show more.
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -112 Mil
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 520%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 129%
5  Key risks
TMC key risks include [1] an uncertain regulatory path to securing commercial exploitation licenses, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Critical Battery Raw Materials, Show more.
1 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -112 Mil
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 520%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 129%
6 Key risks
TMC key risks include [1] an uncertain regulatory path to securing commercial exploitation licenses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TMC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Metals Company (TMC) experienced a 27.2% stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025, driven by several key developments.

<b>1. Positive Project Milestones and Economic Studies:</b> The company bolstered investor confidence with the release of a Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) for its NORI-D Project in Q2 2025. This study showcased a combined Net Present Value (NPV) of $23.6 billion and declared 51 million tonnes of probable mineral reserves, providing a strong positive outlook on TMC's asset value and its pathway to commercial production.

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<b>2. Strategic Alliances and Funding:</b> In Q2 2025, TMC secured a strategic investment from Korea Zinc, a global leader in non-ferrous metal refining, and renewed its sponsorship agreements with the Pacific island nations of Nauru and Tonga. These collaborations not only strengthened TMC's financial position and extended its market reach, particularly in refining capabilities, but also highlighted potential future cash inflows from the exercise of warrants.

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<b>3. Advancements in Regulatory Compliance and Government Support:</b> A significant regulatory milestone was achieved in August 2025 when TMC USA received full compliance notice from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) for its exploration license applications, initiating a 100-day certification process. This progress, coupled with the U.S. government's supportive stance on deep-sea mineral exploration and efforts to streamline permitting, served to de-risk the project and enhance investor confidence in the prospect of future commercial operations.

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<b>4. Progress Towards Commercial Production and Critical Mineral Supply:</b> TMC demonstrated advancements in processing by successfully producing battery-grade manganese sulfate from seafloor nodules in bench-scale trials. This development positions the company as a potential key supplier for critical battery materials, crucial for the energy transition and potentially contributing to U.S. manganese independence. The company maintained its target for commencing commercial production by the fourth quarter of 2027, further supported by the inclusion of copper on the U.S. Critical Minerals List, which underscored the strategic importance of TMC's resources.

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<b>5. Resilient Liquidity Amidst Operational Losses:</b> Despite reporting substantial net losses in Q2 ($74.3 million) and Q3 ($184.5 million) of 2025, largely attributed to non-cash, non-recurring items and operational expenses typical for a pre-revenue company, TMC successfully maintained a strong cash balance, ranging from approximately $115.6 million to $165 million. This demonstrated the company's financial stability and capacity to fund its ongoing exploration, development, and regulatory activities, providing a degree of reassurance to investors during this crucial developmental phase.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.2% change in TMC stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
927202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)6.366.827.23%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)366.63405.51-10.60%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TMC7.2% 
Market (SPY)4.3%29.9%
Sector (XLB)3.8%16.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.1% change in TMC stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
628202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)6.816.820.15%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)345.35405.51-17.42%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TMC0.1% 
Market (SPY)12.6%19.9%
Sector (XLB)5.4%4.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 520.0% change in TMC stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1227202412272025Change
Stock Price ($)1.106.82520.00%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)323.66405.51-25.29%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TMC520.0% 
Market (SPY)17.0%24.2%
Sector (XLB)10.2%20.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1036.7% change in TMC stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1228202212272025Change
Stock Price ($)0.606.821036.67%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)239.74405.51-69.14%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TMC482.9% 
Market (SPY)48.0%23.3%
Sector (XLB)10.9%20.5%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TMC Return11%-81%-63%43%2%580%-21%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TMC Win Rate57%42%42%42%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TMC Max Drawdown0%-84%-74%-14%-34%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTMCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2164.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-6.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven37 days148 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

TMC The Metals's stock fell -95.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/13/2021. A -95.6% loss requires a 2164.0% gain to breakeven.

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About TMC The Metals (TMC)

TMC the metals company Inc., a deep-sea minerals exploration company, focuses on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in the Clarion Clipperton Zone (CCZ) in the south-west of San Diego, California. The company primarily explores for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese products. TMC the metals company Inc., through its subsidiaries, holds exploration rights in three polymetallic nodule contract areas in the CCZ of the Pacific Ocean. Its products are used in electric vehicles (EV), renewable energy storage markets, EV wiring, clean energy transmission, manganese alloy production required for steel production, and other applications. The company was formerly known as Sustainable Opportunities Acquisition Corporation and changed its name to TMC the metals company Inc. TMC the metals company Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for TMC The Metals:

  • Albemarle for ocean-mined EV battery metals.

  • SpaceX for deep-sea mining of critical minerals.

  • The 'Rio Tinto of the deep ocean' for EV battery metals.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Polymetallic Nodules: Raw mineral resources found on the deep seabed, rich in critical battery metals such as nickel, copper, cobalt, and manganese.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Metals Company (symbol: TMC) is currently in the exploration and development phase of its deep-sea polymetallic nodule collection project. As such, it has not yet commenced commercial production or generated revenue from the sale of metals. Therefore, TMC does not currently have established "major customers" in the traditional sense of companies purchasing products from them.

However, TMC has publicly identified its target customer base as other companies within the critical metals supply chain, particularly those supporting the transition to a green economy. Based on its investor disclosures and business strategy, TMC anticipates its future customers will primarily fall into the following categories:

  • Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): Specifically, automotive manufacturers producing electric vehicles (EVs) that require nickel, cobalt, and manganese for their battery chemistries, and other OEMs in the broader renewable energy and technology sectors.
  • Battery Manufacturers: Companies specializing in the production of EV batteries and other energy storage solutions, which require a secure and sustainably sourced supply of critical raw materials.
  • Integrated Metals Companies and Refiners: Firms involved in the processing, refining, and trading of base and critical metals. These companies would purchase TMC's polymetallic nodules or intermediate products for further conversion into market-ready metals suitable for various industrial applications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Allseas Group S.A. (Private Company)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Gerard Barron, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board

Gerard Barron is the Co-Founder, Chairman, and CEO of The Metals Company, a role he has held since 2017. He was appointed CEO in September 2021. A seasoned entrepreneur, he launched his first venture while still in university in Australia. In 2001, he founded Adstream Holdings Pty Ltd., a global advertising technology and services provider, and served as CEO until 2013, expanding it to over 40 offices in 30 countries and generating over $100 million in annual revenue. He was an early investor in the deep-sea mining company Nautilus Minerals from 2001 to 2008. In 2011, he co-founded DeepGreen Metals, which later became The Metals Company, with the aim of sourcing battery metals from seafloor polymetallic nodules. DeepGreen Metals merged with Sustainable Opportunities Acquisition Corp to go public on Nasdaq in 2021.

Craig Shesky, Chief Financial Officer

Craig Shesky is the Chief Financial Officer of The Metals Company, joining full-time in 2021. He brings over 15 years of experience in public investing, metals research, and investment banking in New York. Prior to joining TMC, he spent 12 years at King Street Capital Management, most recently as a senior analyst focused on global metals & mining investments. His experience includes analyzing electrification trends, battery chemistries, and their impact on critical base metal supply and demand, with expertise in nickel and copper. He also worked for two years as a top-tier analyst on the insurance & asset management investment banking team at Morgan Stanley. Raised in an iron mining family, he worked in Cleveland-Cliffs iron mines during college summers. In 2020, he established a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) to invest in DeepGreen (now The Metals Company) after extensive due diligence.

Erika Ilves, Chief Strategy Officer

Erika Ilves serves as the Chief Strategy Officer of The Metals Company.

Anthony O'Sullivan, Chief Development Officer

Anthony O'Sullivan is the Chief Development Officer for The Metals Company.

Dr. Gregory S. Stone Ph.D., Chief Ocean Scientist

Dr. Gregory S. Stone serves as the Chief Ocean Scientist for The Metals Company. He joined DeepGreen Metals (now The Metals Company) in 2018 as Chief Ocean Scientist and Board Director.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Metals Company (TMC) faces several significant risks due to the nascent and controversial nature of the deep-sea mining industry. The most pressing risks include regulatory and legal uncertainties, its pre-revenue financial state, and substantial environmental and reputational challenges.

  1. Regulatory and Legal Uncertainty: The foremost risk for TMC is the absence of a finalized regulatory framework for deep-sea mining. The International Seabed Authority (ISA), which governs mining in international waters, has not yet completed its rulebook. While TMC is pursuing a parallel permitting pathway through the U.S. to bypass ISA, this approach faces potential international legal challenges and political pushback. The inability to secure necessary exploitation licenses under a clear regulatory regime could halt commercial operations entirely.
  2. Financial Health and Funding: TMC is currently a pre-revenue company incurring significant operating losses, with a net loss of $184.5 million in the third quarter of 2025. The company has a high cash burn rate and relies on securing substantial future financing to fund its operations and transition to commercial production. This dependence on future funding raises concerns about potential share dilution for existing investors and the company's long-term financial viability if it cannot achieve profitability.
  3. Environmental Concerns and Reputational Risk: Deep-sea mining is a highly contentious activity due to warnings of irreversible ecological damage to poorly understood deep-sea ecosystems. Strong environmental opposition persists, and the company faces the risk of consumer boycotts from end-users, such as electric vehicle manufacturers, if deep-sea metals are perceived as environmentally harmful. Such reputational damage could significantly impact market access and the demand for TMC's polymetallic nodules, regardless of regulatory approvals.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The most significant clear emerging threat for TMC The Metals (TMC) is the ongoing regulatory uncertainty and growing global opposition to deep-sea mining. Numerous nations, environmental organizations, and some major corporations have called for a moratorium or a "precautionary pause" on deep-sea mining due to environmental concerns. The International Seabed Authority (ISA) has repeatedly failed to finalize the mining code, leaving the industry in limbo. This lack of clear regulations, coupled with increasing political pressure for a ban or delay, poses an existential threat to TMC's ability to commence commercial operations and secure market acceptance for its deep-sea sourced metals.

AI Analysis | Feedback

TMC The Metals Company (TMC) focuses on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor. These nodules are rich in critical metals such as nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese.

The addressable markets for TMC's main products and services are global, with the following estimated market sizes:

  • Deep-Sea Polymetallic Nodule Collection Market: The global deep-sea polymetallic nodule collection market was valued at US$38 million in 2024 and is projected to reach US$123 million by 2031, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18.6% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2031. Another estimate indicates the global deep-sea mining market, where polymetallic nodules are a significant segment, recorded a valuation of US$3.92 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$40.79 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 34.02% from 2025 to 2032. Polymetallic nodules constituted 50% of the deep-sea mining market share in 2024.
  • Nickel Market: The global nickel market size was valued at approximately USD 41.62 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 83.77 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 7.25% from 2025 to 2034. Asia-Pacific is a dominant region in the global nickel market.
  • Cobalt Market: The global cobalt market size was estimated at USD 16.96 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 25.91 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.7% from 2025 to 2030. Asia-Pacific held a 51.95% share of the global cobalt market in 2024.
  • Copper Market: The global copper market size was estimated at USD 241.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 339.95 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2025 to 2030. The Asia Pacific region dominated the copper market, holding the largest revenue share of 74.7% in 2024.
  • Manganese Market: The global manganese market was valued at USD 28.9 billion based on a five-year historical analysis. More recent projections indicate the market size was USD 31.15 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 56.82 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 7.8% during the forecast period (2025-2032). Asia Pacific is estimated to have the largest market share and the highest CAGR for the manganese market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Metals Company (TMC) is an exploration-stage company with no current revenue, and its future revenue growth is contingent upon several critical developments over the next 2-3 years.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of TMC's future revenue growth:

  1. Securing Regulatory Approvals and Exploitation Contracts: A primary driver for TMC's future revenue is obtaining the necessary regulatory approvals and exploitation contracts to commence commercial-scale deep-sea mining operations. The company plans to submit NORI's application for an exploitation contract to the International Seabed Authority (ISA) by June 27, 2025. Additionally, TMC is pursuing a dual-path regulatory strategy involving the U.S. Department of Commerce and NOAA under the DSHMRA, which could allow for production in international waters under existing U.S. seabed mining code. Successful navigation of these regulatory hurdles is essential for transitioning from exploration to commercial production.

  2. Commercial-Scale Production and Extraction of Polymetallic Nodules: Once regulatory approvals are secured, the actual extraction and processing of polymetallic nodules from the Clarion Clipperton Zone (CCZ) seabed will be the direct source of revenue. These nodules contain critical metals such as nickel, copper, cobalt, and manganese, which are vital for electric vehicle batteries and other industrial applications. TMC anticipates generating revenue from these activities, with a projected revenue mix of approximately 45% from nickel, 28% from manganese, 17% from copper, and 9% from cobalt.

  3. Establishing Strategic Partnerships for Processing, Refining, and Distribution: Collaborations for the processing, refining, and distribution of the harvested metals are crucial for market access and optimizing capital expenditure. As TMC transitions to commercial production, establishing these partnerships will be key to evolving its revenue streams and scaling up production capacity.

  4. Increasing Global Demand for Battery Metals: The growing electric vehicle (EV) market and the expanding need for energy storage solutions are significantly increasing the demand for battery metals like nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese, all of which are present in TMC's polymetallic nodules. This robust market demand is expected to positively influence the pricing and profitability of TMC's future products.

  5. Technological Advancements in Deep-Sea Mining: Continuous innovation in deep-sea mining technology that enhances efficiency and minimizes environmental impact is a critical driver for TMC. The company's ability to develop and deploy efficient and environmentally responsible nodule extraction and processing technologies will directly impact its operational costs, scalability, and overall revenue potential.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In September 2025, TMC announced a plan to issue 40 million new shares under its 2021 Incentive Equity Plan to employees and executives as compensation, which could result in potential dilution of existing stocks.
  • In May 2025, the company completed a $37 million registered direct offering, issuing 12.3 million common shares at $3.00 per share, each accompanied by a Class C warrant to purchase an additional share.
  • In June 2025, as part of a strategic investment, Korea Zinc acquired 19.6 million common shares at $4.34 per share, along with three-year warrants for an additional 6.9 million shares at an exercise price of $7.00.

Inbound Investments

  • In June 2025, TMC secured a strategic investment of approximately $85.2 million from Korea Zinc, which included the purchase of common shares and warrants, positioning Korea Zinc as one of TMC's largest strategic shareholders.
  • In May 2025, the company received $37 million through a registered direct offering led by Michael Hess, Brian Paes-Braga, and Allseas Group S.A., with the proceeds intended to fund operations through the potential issuance of a commercial recovery permit.
  • As a pre-revenue company, TMC's funding largely relies on private investments in public equity (PIPE) funding and secondary stock offerings to finance its operations.

Capital Expenditures

  • Offshore pre-production capital expenditures were reduced to less than $500 million, with the majority of the $4.4 billion onshore capital expenditures for U.S. refinery capacity anticipated to be spent in the 2030s, after the project is generating significant revenue.
  • As of July 4, 2025, TMC held approximately $120 million in cash, which management believes is sufficient to meet all working capital and capital expenditure requirements for at least the subsequent 12 months.
  • Capital expenditures for the last 12 months were reported as $245,000.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.4%-1.4%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
51.0%51.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.6%30.6%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TMC The Metals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TMCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTMC The .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price6.8223.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap2.821.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM055,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-1123,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM-452,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg-522,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM-453,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg-513,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

TMCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTMC The .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%6.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.6%
Rev Chg Q-4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%18.6%

Valuation

TMCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTMC The .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap2.821.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S-0.41.04.45.410.04.4
P/EBIT-9.56.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E-9.48.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO-61.25.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield-10.7%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.4%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.00.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.00.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

TMCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTMC The .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn17.0%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%1.7%
3M Rtn7.2%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%7.2%
6M Rtn0.1%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn520.0%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%25.3%
3Y Rtn1,036.7%-1.9%71.1%143.1%81.3%120.2%100.7%
1M Excs Rtn23.2%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn2.9%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-12.1%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn686.4%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%9.6%
3Y Excs Rtn918.8%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%13.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Exploration of seafloor polymetallic nodules699513355
Total699513355


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.82 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.5 
First Trading Date06/26/2020 
Distance from 52W High-36.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6.68$5.35
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA2.1%27.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility117.9%127.5%
Downside Capture299.81134.19
Upside Capture275.57297.16
Correlation (SPY)29.7%22.9%
TMC Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.062.631.881.901.501.62
Up Beta3.504.914.000.951.391.20
Down Beta4.453.203.582.461.041.44
Up Capture259%217%127%289%1022%2787%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days8182957125342
Down Capture274%164%4%161%97%110%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12233265118371

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of TMC With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 TMCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return821.6%9.9%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility129.5%19.9%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio2.280.360.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 19.3%22.9%9.2%14.8%16.0%19.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of TMC With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 TMCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-8.2%7.2%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility106.9%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.400.290.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 16.5%20.7%7.5%3.4%17.3%11.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of TMC With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 TMCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-6.2%10.1%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility102.2%20.7%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.400.440.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 15.7%19.8%7.0%3.4%16.4%11.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity28,271,636
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-6.0%
Average Daily Volume9,840,175
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.87
Basic Shares Quantity405,506,978
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-1.7%0.8%33.1%
8/14/2025-9.1%-8.5%0.4%
3/27/20251.2%14.7%94.7%
11/12/2024-2.4%-6.7%-18.8%
8/14/202412.1%10.1%-4.2%
3/25/2024-13.2%1.9%3.2%
11/9/2023-1.0%5.9%8.9%
8/1/2023-17.8%-29.3%-14.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive577
# Negative866
Median Positive7.5%10.1%5.3%
Median Negative-4.4%-9.9%-16.7%
Max Positive21.2%30.7%94.7%
Max Negative-17.8%-29.3%-39.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241115202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023325202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022327202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021325202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0ILVES ErikaChief Strategy Officer9242025Sell5.771,591,4859,182,8686,611,220Form
1May Brendan6272025Sell7.8025,000195,0751,886,687Form
2O'Sullivan AnthonyChief Development Officer5212025Sell4.49164,317738,2605,057,509Form
3Shesky CraigChief Financial Officer4022025Sell1.66353,702585,5181,896,620Form
4May Brendan3062025Sell1.678,91614,890180,970Form