Odyssey Marine Exploration (OMEX)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $1.53 | Market Cap: $63.6 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Odyssey Marine Exploration (OMEX)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $1.53Market Cap: $63.6 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Ocean Economy. Themes include Deep-Sea Mineral Exploration, Marine Salvage & Underwater Archaeology, and Ocean Data & Mapping. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -10 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2170% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 136x | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 295% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -42%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -28%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -71% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 103% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1669%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1669% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 185% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Ocean Economy. Themes include Deep-Sea Mineral Exploration, Marine Salvage & Underwater Archaeology, and Ocean Data & Mapping. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -10 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2170% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 136x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 295% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -42%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -28%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -71% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 103% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1669%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1669% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 185% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Odyssey Marine Exploration continued to report significant financial losses with minimal operational revenue, fueling investor concerns. The company posted a Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.31 and a net loss of -$13.07 million, indicating ongoing unprofitability. As of September 30, 2025, the trailing twelve-month revenue stood at only $467,000, reinforcing the lack of commercialized projects and direct revenue generation from its core business activities.
2. The stock maintained a high-risk profile and was perceived as overvalued by analysts, contributing to negative sentiment. Despite some projections of over 200% sales growth for fiscal year 2025, the stock was deemed overvalued at its current levels and exhibited high price volatility. This assessment, coupled with a consensus "Sell" rating from analysts, highlights a cautious outlook on its valuation and future prospects. The company has also been noted for "severe liquidity issues" and "negative equity".
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.7% change in OMEX stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.06 | 1.53 | -25.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 183.4 | 136.2 | -25.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OMEX | -25.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 40.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.0% | 33.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -21.9% change in OMEX stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.96 | 1.53 | -21.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 0 | -24.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 97.2 | 136.2 | 40.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 42 | -26.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -21.9% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OMEX | -21.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 7.1% | 33.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 266.0% change in OMEX stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 1402.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.42 | 1.53 | 266.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 0 | -49.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.1 | 136.2 | 1402.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 42 | -51.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 266.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OMEX | 266.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 19.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | 12.5% | 20.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -51.7% change in OMEX stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.17 | 1.53 | -51.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 0 | -64.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 47.6 | 136.2 | 186.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 42 | -53.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -51.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OMEX | -51.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 8.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 26.8% | 9.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OMEX Return | -27% | -25% | 20% | -85% | 172% | -16% | -77% |
| Peers Return | -4% | 87% | 48% | -10% | 83% | 40% | 511% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OMEX Win Rate | 25% | 42% | 67% | 25% | 42% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 62% | 53% | 38% | 57% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OMEX Max Drawdown | -28% | -54% | -27% | -93% | -59% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -29% | -11% | -27% | -34% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TMC, RIG, OII, HLX, TDW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OMEX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 255.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -72.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 257.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 502.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TMC, RIG, OII, HLX, TDW
In The Past
Odyssey Marine Exploration's stock fell -71.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -71.9% loss requires a 255.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Odyssey Marine Exploration (OMEX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for Odyssey Marine Exploration (OMEX):
BHP Group for deep-ocean minerals
Schlumberger for deep-ocean projects
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Deep-Ocean Exploration: The company conducts deep-ocean exploration activities globally for various purposes.
- Specialized Mineral Exploration: They provide services focused on the exploration and identification of deep-sea mineral resources.
- Marine Project Development & Management: Odyssey offers services for planning, developing, and managing complex marine projects for clients.
- Marine Research & Scientific Services: This includes providing research, scientific analysis, and resource assessment services in marine environments.
- Marine Operations Services: The company provides planning and execution management for various marine operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Odyssey Marine Exploration (OMEX) primarily sells its specialized services and partners in resource development to other companies and governmental entities rather than directly to individuals. Due to the project-based and often confidential nature of their work, specific major customer names, particularly public companies, are not typically disclosed in their public filings as consistent, recurring major revenue sources.
Based on their business description, OMEX serves the following categories of clients:
- Mining and Resource Development Companies: These clients are typically corporations or joint ventures focused on identifying, exploring, and potentially extracting deep-sea mineral resources such as polymetallic nodules, seafloor massive sulfides, or phosphate deposits. They engage OMEX for its specialized expertise, technology, and operational capabilities in deep-ocean exploration and project development.
- Governmental Agencies: National governments and their relevant agencies (e.g., environmental ministries, natural resource departments, maritime authorities) contract OMEX for services like resource assessment, environmental impact studies, marine spatial planning, and scientific research within their Exclusive Economic Zones. An example of a significant entity they deal with is the Government of Mexico, particularly concerning marine phosphate projects.
- Scientific and Research Institutions: Universities, oceanographic institutes, and other research organizations may utilize OMEX's vessels, remotely operated vehicles (ROVs), and deep-ocean operational experience for various scientific endeavors, including marine biology studies, geological surveys, and archaeological projects.
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A clear emerging threat for Odyssey Marine Exploration (OMEX) is the increasing global push for moratoriums and outright bans on deep-sea mining and exploration due to environmental concerns. Growing scientific and public opposition, along with calls from various governments and international bodies for a precautionary pause or ban on such activities, directly threatens the fundamental viability and expansion of the deep-sea mineral exploration industry, thereby impacting OMEX's core business model and future project opportunities.
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nullLatest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Odyssey Marine Exploration Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 01312026 | IP | International Paper | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
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| 12312025 | AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resources | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -18.6% | -18.6% | -18.6% |
| 12262025 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.9% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| 12122025 | AMCR | Amcor | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 19.2% | 19.2% | -0.5% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,322 |
| Op Inc LTM | 180 |
| FCF LTM | 164 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 138 |
| CFO LTM | 228 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 201 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 4.2 |
| P/E | 3.6 |
| P/CFO | 9.4 |
| Total Yield | -4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 26.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 33.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 107.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 45.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 23.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 28.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 81.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.53 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/26/1999 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -62.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.85 | $1.83 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -17.1% | -16.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 89.5% | 185.8% |
| Downside Capture | 500.03 | 234.46 |
| Upside Capture | 324.78 | 333.18 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 41.5% | 19.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.27 | 3.00 | 3.11 | 2.72 | 1.75 | 0.97 |
| Up Beta | 5.56 | 3.51 | 2.27 | 1.72 | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| Down Beta | 2.67 | 1.51 | 1.96 | 2.52 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Up Capture | 177% | 226% | 318% | 310% | 1050% | 31% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 15 | 25 | 53 | 111 | 331 |
| Down Capture | 596% | 407% | 381% | 259% | 146% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 23 | 33 | 66 | 132 | 396 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OMEX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OMEX | 285.0% | 185.8% | 1.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 17.6% | 20.6% | 0.68 | 19.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 19.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 18.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 12.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 8.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 20.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OMEX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OMEX | -27.0% | 142.0% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 7.2% | 18.8% | 0.28 | 8.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 7.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 4.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 3.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OMEX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OMEX | -10.6% | 119.7% | 0.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.7% | 20.6% | 0.46 | 6.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 5.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 3.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 3.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/19/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/20/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 05/17/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/31/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gordon, Mark | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 3.87 | 30,000 | 116,043 | 2,097,419 | Form |
| 2 | Gordon, Mark | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 3.50 | 30,000 | 105,000 | 1,792,822 | Form |
| 3 | Gordon, Mark | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 3.56 | 30,000 | 106,902 | 1,718,396 | Form |
| 4 | Longley, John D Jr | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 10152025 | 3.50 | 38,977 | 136,420 | 783,598 | Form |
| 5 | Longley, John D Jr | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 10152025 | 3.72 | 217,072 | 808,509 | 559,858 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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