Tivic Health Systems (TIVC)
Market Price (1/19/2026): $1.26 | Market Cap: $1.7 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Tivic Health Systems (TIVC)
Market Price (1/19/2026): $1.26Market Cap: $1.7 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -214% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -175% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1537% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -35% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 99% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1261%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1376% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -470% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1381% | ||
| Key risksTIVC key risks include [1] significant financial distress and going concern uncertainty, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -214% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -175% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1537% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -35% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 99% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1261%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1376% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -470% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1381% |
| Key risksTIVC key risks include [1] significant financial distress and going concern uncertainty, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Weak Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Tivic Health Systems reported a wider net loss of $2.6 million for the third quarter of 2025, compared to $1.4 million in the same period of 2024. The company also experienced a gross loss of $145,000, primarily due to a $230,000 inventory reserve as it wound down its consumer business.
2. Increased Operating Expenses and Limited Cash Position: Operating expenses for Q3 2025 rose to $2.3 million from $1.5 million in the prior year, driven by increased research and development investments in its biologics program and corporate costs. At September 30, 2025, cash and equivalents stood at $3.5 million, with the company relying on remaining tranches of a preferred purchase agreement for near-term funding.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -51.4% change in TIVC stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -49.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 10312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.51 | 1.22 | -51.39% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.46 | 0.48 | 4.33% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.79 | 3.34 | -30.18% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 0.88 | 1.32 | -49.87% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -63.48% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TIVC | -51.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.4% | 29.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.0% | 4.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -64.6% change in TIVC stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -121.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 7312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.45 | 1.22 | -64.64% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.52 | 0.48 | -6.59% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.99 | 3.34 | -16.16% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 0.60 | 1.32 | -121.47% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -116.81% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TIVC | -64.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 21.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 20.0% | 10.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -69.6% change in TIVC stock from 1/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -262.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 1312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.01 | 1.22 | -69.55% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.96 | 0.48 | -49.63% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.52 | 3.34 | 119.24% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 0.36 | 1.32 | -262.67% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -279.62% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TIVC | -69.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.9% | 4.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.4% | 1.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -99.9% change in TIVC stock from 1/31/2023 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -23104.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 1312023 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1413.89 | 1.22 | -99.91% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1.82 | 0.48 | -73.55% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.42 | 3.34 | -24.31% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 0.01 | 1.32 | -23104.11% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4705.90% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TIVC | -99.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.5% | 3.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.2% | 1.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TIVC Return | -25% | -84% | -97% | -81% | -75% | -15% | -100% |
| Peers Return | -16% | -10% | -4% | 22% | -16% | 19% | -12% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TIVC Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 17% | 33% | 25% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 47% | 45% | 50% | 42% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TIVC Max Drawdown | -33% | -84% | -98% | -89% | -96% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -46% | -38% | -29% | -37% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | 0% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ECOR, STIM, INSP, LIVN, MDT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TIVC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -99.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47592.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ECOR, STIM, INSP, LIVN, MDT
In The Past
Tivic Health Systems's stock fell -99.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -99.8% loss requires a 47592.3% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- Analogies for Tivic Health Systems (TIVC):
- A Claritin or Sudafed, but as a drug-free electronic device for sinus relief.
- An Omron that makes bioelectronic devices specifically for sinus pain.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- ClearUP Sinus Pain Relief device: A non-invasive, drug-free bioelectronic medical device that uses proprietary microcurrent technology to relieve sinus pain, pressure, and congestion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlTivic Health Systems (TIVC) primarily sells its ClearUP Sinus Relief device directly to individuals through various retail channels (both online and brick-and-mortar) and its own e-commerce platform.
Given that the company sells primarily to individuals, here are three categories of customers it serves:
-
Allergy Sufferers: Individuals who experience chronic or seasonal allergic rhinitis and are seeking drug-free, non-invasive solutions for their associated sinus pain and congestion. This group often looks for effective alternatives to oral medications or nasal sprays.
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Health-Conscious Consumers: Individuals who prioritize drug-free or non-pharmacological approaches to managing common ailments. They may be sensitive to medications, prefer natural remedies, or simply wish to avoid potential side effects of conventional drugs for sinus relief.
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Convenience Seekers: Individuals looking for an easy-to-use, at-home, and reusable device that provides on-demand relief for sinus symptoms. They value the ability to self-treat without the need for prescriptions or frequent pharmacy visits.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Sanmina Corporation (SANM)
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Jennifer Ernst, Chief Executive Officer & Co-founder
Jennifer Ernst co-founded Tivic Health in 2016. Her career began in computing, including over 20 years at Xerox PARC in various go-to-market roles, and as Director of Business Development. She also served as CEO and Chief Strategy Officer of the U.S. subsidiary of Thin Film Electronics ASA. Ernst has a history of developing new products and markets in the technology sector and previously served as a director of FlexTech Alliance. She earned an MBA from Santa Clara University.
Lisa Wolf, Chief Financial Officer
Lisa Wolf was appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer effective October 1, 2024, and then permanent Chief Financial Officer effective July 7, 2025. She brings over 30 years of financial leadership experience in both public and private companies across various industries, including life sciences and technology. Wolf most recently served as Vice President at Murdock Martell, a consulting firm. Previously, she was the Chief Accounting Officer of Nasdaq-listed Resonant, Inc., where she played a key role in its growth and eventual sale to Murata Electronics North America. She holds a B.S. in Business Administration from California State University, Northridge, and earned her CPA while at Arthur Andersen.
Michael K. Handley, Chief Operating Officer and President of Biopharma
Michael K. Handley joined Tivic Health in February 2025. He previously served as Chief Executive Officer, President, and Chairman of Statera Biopharma, a public company, where he was responsible for executing growth strategy, advancing clinical development and intellectual property, and spearheading business development and financing activities. Handley has held senior management roles at other life science companies, including Armis Biopharma, Vessix Vascular, Inc. (acquired by Boston Scientific), and Acclarent (acquired by Johnson & Johnson). He began his career as a research scientist at Amgen, where he developed patents and published in peer-reviewed journals, and subsequently worked as a management consultant in the healthcare industry. He graduated cum laude from Colorado State University with Bachelor of Science degrees in Molecular Biology and Physiology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Tivic Health Systems (TIVC):- Significant Financial Hardship and Going Concern: Tivic Health Systems is in a precarious financial state, with a high probability of experiencing financial hardship. The company has reported substantial net losses and operates with a short cash runway, indicating potential difficulties in sustaining operations without additional funding. Its low market capitalization further underscores this vulnerability.
- Dependence on Successful Biopharmaceutical Pipeline Development: The company is undergoing a major strategic transformation, shifting its focus from consumer health technology to biopharmaceutical drug development, specifically with its lead drug candidate Entolimod and vagus nerve stimulation (VNS) devices. This pivot introduces considerable risks associated with the successful achievement of clinical, regulatory, and manufacturing milestones for these new drug candidates. Failure to meet these milestones could severely impact the company's future viability.
- Regulatory Hurdles and Potential NASDAQ Delisting: As Tivic Health Systems transitions into a biopharmaceutical company, it faces rigorous, time-consuming, and costly regulatory approval processes, particularly with the FDA. Additionally, the company faces the risk of being delisted from NASDAQ if its stock price remains below the required threshold for an extended period, which would further impair its ability to raise capital and damage investor confidence.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Tivic Health Systems (TIVC) is focusing its efforts on two primary areas: a biopharmaceutical program and a bioelectronic program, while phasing out its initial product, ClearUP.
Bioelectronic Program: Non-invasive Cervical Vagus Nerve Stimulation (ncVNS)
For its non-invasive cervical vagus nerve stimulation (ncVNS) approach, Tivic Health has identified market opportunities exceeding $30 billion in annual market opportunity. The company's intellectual property portfolio for VNS is robust, covering both U.S. and international markets, suggesting this market opportunity is global. Another reference indicates a $21 billion VNS market.
Biopharmaceutical Program: TLR5 Agonists (Entolimodâ„¢ and Entolasta)
Tivic Health is advancing its TLR5 agonist program, which includes Entolimodâ„¢ and Entolasta. Entolimodâ„¢ is in late-stage development for acute radiation syndrome (ARS) and is being developed for advanced cancers and neutropenia. However, the addressable market sizes for these specific indications related to Tivic Health's TLR5 agonists are not explicitly provided in the available information.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tivic Health Systems (TIVC) is undergoing a significant strategic transformation from a consumer health technology company to a diversified immunotherapeutics company, which is expected to drive its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years. The key expected drivers of future revenue growth include: * Advancement and Commercialization of Entolimod: Tivic Health has acquired worldwide exclusive rights to Entolimod (and a second molecular structure, Entelasta), a late-stage immunomodulatory drug candidate with over $140 million invested in its development. Entolimod, which aims to treat acute radiation syndrome (ARS) and has shown promising results in animal models, has received FDA fast track and orphan drug designations. The company plans to move into manufacturing validation for Entolimod, with expectations of potential FDA approval and market availability within two years. * Expansion of the Vagus Nerve Stimulation (VNS) Program: The company is advancing its noninvasive cervical vagus nerve stimulation device, which has demonstrated a significant increase in effects with personalized stimulation. This device is designed to treat various conditions, including inflammatory, cardiac, and neurologic disorders, without invasive surgeries. Tivic Health plans to increase its research and development investments in this platform and its clinical applications. * Strategic Shift to Diversified Biopharmaceutical Offerings: Tivic Health is actively transitioning into a diversified therapeutic entity, combining biologic and bioelectronic medicine to address immune dysrhythmias. This strategic pivot from consumer health tech to biopharmaceuticals, with a focus on their TLR5 agonist program, underpins a broader pipeline and the potential for developing new innovative therapies within this sector. The company's management has explicitly stated a "reinvention of Tivic" to focus on a clinical pipeline targeting diseases involving immune system dysregulation. This includes plans to exit the consumer health tech business by the end of 2025.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Tivic Health Systems (TIVC) completed an initial public offering (IPO) on November 11, 2021, raising $16 million by issuing 3,000,000 shares at a price range of $5.00-$6.00 per share.
- In a public offering reported on August 14, 2025, the company raised gross proceeds of approximately $4.0 million (net ~$3.3 million), with about $1.4 million allocated to common stock and $1.9 million to warrants.
- The company has also entered into a Tranched Financing arrangement structured to raise up to $8.4 million through sales of Series B Preferred Stock and warrants, and an Equity Line of Credit enabling sales of up to 25 million common shares over 24 months.
Inbound Investments
- The company raised $16 million through its initial public offering (IPO) on November 11, 2021.
- A public offering, reported on August 14, 2025, generated gross proceeds of approximately $4.0 million.
- Tivic Health has structured a Tranched Financing to potentially raise up to an additional $8.4 million via Series B Preferred Stock and warrants, alongside an Equity Line of Credit for selling up to 25 million common shares over two years.
Capital Expenditures
- As of June 30, 2025, capital expenditures were $3,000.
- The trailing twelve months (TTM) capital expenditure for Tivic Health Systems is $0.
- Over the past five years, the company's average capital expenditure was $34.2K, with a peak of $123K.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Tivic Health Systems Earnings Notes | ||
| How Low Can Tivic Health Systems Stock Really Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons for Tivic Health Systems
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| Rev LTM | 506 |
| Op Inc LTM | 15 |
| FCF LTM | 46 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 21 |
| CFO LTM | 64 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 36 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 20.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -19.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -3.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -12.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -15.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.22 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/11/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -90.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.80 | $3.22 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -32.2% | -62.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 117.9% | 1,392.0% |
| Downside Capture | 607.59 | 205.94 |
| Upside Capture | 21.68 | 29.91 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.7% | 4.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 6.51 | 3.48 | 2.38 | 1.86 | 3.22 | 1.94 |
| Up Beta | -11.97 | 0.46 | 0.73 | 0.50 | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| Down Beta | 12.28 | 4.19 | 2.61 | 2.80 | 0.40 | 0.97 |
| Up Capture | 527% | 199% | 81% | 24% | 5% | -6% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 26 | 49 | 96 | 290 |
| Down Capture | 778% | 478% | 352% | 275% | 130% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 37 | 71 | 145 | 440 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullReturns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/25/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K (12/31/2022) |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q (09/30/2022) |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q (06/30/2022) |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q (03/31/2022) |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/31/2022 | 10-K (12/31/2021) |
External Quote Links
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