Tearsheet

Titan Machinery (TITN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.24 | Market Cap: $369.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Titan Machinery (TITN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.24
Market Cap: $369.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Agriculture, and Modern Infrastructure & Construction. Themes include Precision Agriculture, Agricultural Automation, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -40 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.6%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2%
2   Key risks
TITN key risks include [1] declining profitability and net losses, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Agriculture, and Modern Infrastructure & Construction. Themes include Precision Agriculture, Agricultural Automation, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -40 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.6%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2%
4 Key risks
TITN key risks include [1] declining profitability and net losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TITN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Titan Machinery (TITN) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Weak Fiscal Second Quarter 2026 Results: Titan Machinery reported a challenging fiscal second quarter ended July 31, 2025, with a decline in revenue to $546.4 million from $633.7 million in the prior year, an increased net loss of $6.0 million (loss per diluted share of $0.26), and decreased EBITDA of $12.4 million compared to $18.3 million a year ago. These results, announced on August 28, 2025, indicated ongoing operational headwinds.

2. Softening Demand and Negative Outlook for Fiscal 2026: Throughout 2025, Titan Machinery consistently highlighted softening demand in its agricultural and construction equipment segments. The company anticipated a decline in agriculture segment revenue of 20-25% and projected an overall loss for fiscal 2026, driven by declining net farm income and sustained high interest rates. This negative forecast likely weighed on investor sentiment within the period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TITN Return32%72%18%-27%-51%15%10%
Peers Return4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TITN Win Rate67%83%42%50%17%42% 
Peers Win Rate48%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TITN Max Drawdown-52%-3%-36%-42%-55%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTITNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven201 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven777 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven326.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,130 days1,480 days

Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST


In The Past

Titan Machinery's stock fell -51.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/7/2023. A -51.8% loss requires a 107.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Titan Machinery (TITN)

Better Bets than Titan Machinery (TITN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TITN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Titan Machinery

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TITNWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameTitan Ma.Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Mkt Price16.26346.2352.31792.54225.0041.87138.66
Mkt Cap0.413.110.350.844.148.128.6
Rev LTM2,5457,4145,97215,98631,1597,9987,706
Op Inc LTM-407347004,0092,7891,6161,175
FCF LTM171517-1,8204501,647965484
FCF 3Y Avg-2540-1,7174461,7651,069493
CFO LTM2105491,6204,9821,9931,2101,415
CFO 3Y Avg475731,5334,8122,1451,2791,406

Growth & Margins

TITNWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameTitan Ma.Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Rev Chg LTM-8.9%-0.7%5.9%6.7%4.9%6.9%5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.7%1.0%0.5%13.2%1.6%5.5%3.6%
Rev Chg Q-5.2%-4.3%3.7%5.9%5.1%11.7%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%-1.2%1.0%1.5%1.3%2.9%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-1.6%9.9%11.7%25.1%9.0%20.2%10.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.6%10.2%16.6%26.5%8.9%20.4%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.1%-0.6%-0.4%0.2%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.3%7.4%27.1%31.2%6.4%15.1%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%7.7%26.5%32.2%7.1%16.9%12.3%
FCF/Rev LTM6.7%7.0%-30.5%2.8%5.3%12.1%6.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.0%7.3%-29.6%2.9%5.9%14.2%4.4%

Valuation

TITNWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameTitan Ma.Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Mkt Cap0.413.110.350.844.148.128.6
P/S0.12.11.93.81.47.02.0
P/EBIT-20.917.915.0-34.719.4
P/E-6.229.348.124.222.545.926.8
P/CFO1.827.96.912.322.146.517.2
Total Yield-16.2%6.4%2.4%4.9%4.4%3.9%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.0%0.3%0.7%0.0%1.7%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.4%-14.2%0.9%-2.7%1.8%
D/E-0.00.70.2-0.00.1
Net D/E--0.00.50.2-0.00.1

Returns

TITNWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameTitan Ma.Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
1M Rtn5.7%2.5%6.4%-1.7%-4.5%5.5%4.0%
3M Rtn-14.6%-9.9%-6.4%-14.7%0.6%-10.7%-10.3%
6M Rtn-15.3%-17.0%-15.8%13.9%5.8%1.9%-6.7%
12M Rtn10.3%-30.1%-27.7%5.4%23.7%10.1%7.8%
3Y Rtn-58.4%46.8%-12.5%131.5%-88.6%46.8%
1M Excs Rtn5.0%1.7%5.6%-2.5%-5.3%4.7%3.2%
3M Excs Rtn-16.7%-10.5%-8.8%-17.1%-2.8%-12.2%-11.4%
6M Excs Rtn-27.7%-29.4%-28.2%1.5%-6.6%-10.5%-19.1%
12M Excs Rtn-1.0%-41.4%-39.7%-8.4%11.0%-2.1%-5.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-127.4%-27.7%-87.1%58.6%-6.3%-27.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Agriculture1,183788481350445
Europe280171155177192
Construction257188158186276
Australia225    
Shared Resources Assets464215210363
Total1,9921,189947816975


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity787,253
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.1%
Average Daily Volume231,042
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.41
Basic Shares Quantity22,776,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/21/2024-6.7%-9.9%-13.5%
8/31/20236.7%-1.4%-8.6%
5/25/2023-18.6%-23.8%-17.0%
3/16/2023-19.5%-29.2%-25.6%
11/30/202226.2%12.7%14.2%
8/25/20226.0%-0.5%-14.3%
3/24/2022-11.3%-12.1%-22.4%
11/23/20218.6%-5.7%-9.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1064
# Negative101416
Median Positive10.9%12.6%14.5%
Median Negative-12.6%-12.6%-13.8%
Max Positive26.2%28.9%24.4%
Max Negative-19.5%-29.2%-26.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251204202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025904202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025605202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025407202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241205202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024905202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024607202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024403202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023907202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023330202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022909202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022401202210-K 1/31/2022