Thryv (THRY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.04 | Market Cap: $264.2 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Thryv (THRY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.04Market Cap: $264.2 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -136% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 50% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.3% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20% | |
| Key risksTHRY key risks include [1] potential revenue instability and high client churn during its strategic transition from a declining legacy business to its SaaS platform and [2] successfully competing against established players as it enters the crowded SMB software market. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -136% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 50% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20% |
| Key risksTHRY key risks include [1] potential revenue instability and high client churn during its strategic transition from a declining legacy business to its SaaS platform and [2] successfully competing against established players as it enters the crowded SMB software market. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
THRY Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -53% stock movement for Thryv (THRY) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Thryv's Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Significantly Missed Estimates.
On October 30, 2025, Thryv reported a Q3 2025 EPS of $0.13, which was substantially below analysts' consensus estimates of $0.43 by $0.30. This significant miss, despite a revenue beat, led to a sharp stock price decline of over 20% on the day of the announcement, with a further premarket drop.
2. Investor Concerns Persisted Regarding the Strategic Pivot Away from Marketing Services.
Despite the company reporting robust 33% year-over-year growth in its SaaS segment revenue for Q3 2025, investors demonstrated ongoing concerns about Thryv's strategic transition, particularly its plans to fully exit the traditional Marketing Services division by 2028. This divergence between strong SaaS operational performance and broader investor sentiment contributed to the stock's downturn.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| THRY Return | � | 205% | -54% | 7% | -27% | -61% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| THRY Win Rate | 100% | 75% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| THRY Max Drawdown | � | 0% | -57% | -13% | -33% | -64% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, CHAI, WSHP, GOOGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | THRY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 152.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 148 days |
Compare to Z, ZIP, CHAI, WSHP, GOOGL
In The Past
Thryv's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -60.3% loss requires a 152.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to THRY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.3% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.9% | -27.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.3% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.9% | -27.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Thryv
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,621 |
| Op Inc LTM | -7 |
| FCF LTM | 99 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 135 |
| CFO LTM | 250 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 252 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.5 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| P/EBIT | -29.2 |
| P/E | -7.4 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | -6.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -27.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -55.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thryv Marketing Services | 653 | ||||
| Thryv Software as a Service (SaaS) | 264 | ||||
| Thryv International Marketing Services | 166 | 145 | |||
| Thryv International Software as a Service (SaaS) | 5 | 1 | |||
| Thryv U.S. Marketing Services | 820 | 797 | |||
| Thryv U.S. Software as a Service (SaaS) | 212 | 170 | |||
| Marketing Services | 980 | 1,293 | |||
| Software as a Service | 130 | 129 | |||
| Total | 917 | 1,202 | 1,113 | 1,109 | 1,421 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -30.2% | -38.3% | -52.2% |
| 7/30/2025 | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| 2/27/2025 | -6.1% | -8.9% | -22.4% |
| 10/29/2024 | -22.0% | -17.0% | -10.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | -3.9% | -17.4% | -4.3% |
| 5/2/2024 | 2.1% | -9.4% | -11.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | -9.4% | -3.2% | 3.8% |
| 11/2/2023 | 4.9% | 14.0% | 12.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -9.4% | -10.8% |
| Max Positive | 8.4% | 14.0% | 27.6% |
| Max Negative | -30.2% | -38.3% | -52.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |