Ero Copper (ERO)


Market Price (7/23/2026): $27.04 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Copper

Ero Copper (ERO)


Market Price (7/23/2026): $27.04
Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Copper

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, EV Manufacturing, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%

Key risks
ERO key risks include [1] geopolitical and country-specific risks from its heavy operational concentration in Brazil and [2] project execution challenges with the ramp-up of its Tucumã operation.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, EV Manufacturing, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
5 Key risks
ERO key risks include [1] geopolitical and country-specific risks from its heavy operational concentration in Brazil and [2] project execution challenges with the ramp-up of its Tucumã operation.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/21/2026

Ero Copper (ERO) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q1 2026 Results Offset by Strong Deleveraging.

Ero Copper reported mixed financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, and were released on May 4, 2026. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.69 surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.56. However, reported revenue of $263.2 million fell short of some consensus estimates of $291.64 million. Despite the revenue miss, the stock surged 7.5% to $33.35 on May 5, 2026, driven by investor confidence in the company's significant balance sheet improvement. Ero Copper notably reduced its net debt leverage ratio to approximately 1.0x at quarter-end, a substantial decrease from 2.4x in fiscal Q1 2025. This combination of operational performance and strengthened financial health created a balanced market reaction, preventing a sustained major price movement in either direction.

2. Steady Progress and Positive Outlook for the Furnas Project.

Ongoing positive developments related to the Furnas Copper-Gold Project provided underlying support for Ero Copper's stock. On March 30, 2026, the company filed a technical report for the project. Subsequently, on June 10, 2026, Ero Copper announced it had confirmed high-grade continuity and extended known mineralization at Furnas with significant new step-out intercepts. These consistent updates on a key growth project, following an inaugural Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) in February 2026 outlining a low capital intensity project with a 24-year initial mine life, likely contributed to investor confidence and helped stabilize the stock within its trading range.

Show more
Updated on 7/21/2026

Ero Copper (ERO) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q1 2026 Results Offset by Strong Deleveraging.

Ero Copper reported mixed financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, and were released on May 4, 2026. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.69 surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.56. However, reported revenue of $263.2 million fell short of some consensus estimates of $291.64 million. Despite the revenue miss, the stock surged 7.5% to $33.35 on May 5, 2026, driven by investor confidence in the company's significant balance sheet improvement. Ero Copper notably reduced its net debt leverage ratio to approximately 1.0x at quarter-end, a substantial decrease from 2.4x in fiscal Q1 2025. This combination of operational performance and strengthened financial health created a balanced market reaction, preventing a sustained major price movement in either direction.

2. Steady Progress and Positive Outlook for the Furnas Project.

Ongoing positive developments related to the Furnas Copper-Gold Project provided underlying support for Ero Copper's stock. On March 30, 2026, the company filed a technical report for the project. Subsequently, on June 10, 2026, Ero Copper announced it had confirmed high-grade continuity and extended known mineralization at Furnas with significant new step-out intercepts. These consistent updates on a key growth project, following an inaugural Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) in February 2026 outlining a low capital intensity project with a 24-year initial mine life, likely contributed to investor confidence and helped stabilize the stock within its trading range.

3. Balanced Global Copper Market Dynamics.

The broader copper market experienced a push-and-pull of factors during the period. Copper prices remained elevated but volatile throughout fiscal Q2 2026 (April 1 to June 30, 2026). While demand was strong due to urbanization, the energy transition, electric vehicle (EV) production, and the development of artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, supply was simultaneously constrained by disruptions at major mine sites and geopolitical events, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the US-led war against Iran. J.P. Morgan forecasted copper at $12,500 per metric tonne for fiscal Q2 2026, yet highlighted persistent bearish macroeconomic risks. This equilibrium between robust demand drivers and ongoing supply challenges, coupled with macroeconomic uncertainties, resulted in a relatively stable trading environment for copper prices, which in turn contributed to Ero Copper's stock remaining largely at the same level.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.5% change in ERO stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120267222026Change
Stock Price ($)26.6727.071.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)78692417.6%
Net Income Margin (%)33.6%31.6%-5.7%
P/E Multiple10.59.7-8.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)104104-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution1.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERO1.5% 
Market (SPY)14.9%58.5%
Sector (XLB)1.7%52.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.3% change in ERO stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -54.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257222026Change
Stock Price ($)28.2927.07-4.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)58892457.1%
Net Income Margin (%)23.4%31.6%35.0%
P/E Multiple21.39.7-54.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)104104-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution-4.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERO-4.3% 
Market (SPY)9.9%49.9%
Sector (XLB)12.6%55.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 60.7% change in ERO stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 719.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020257222026Change
Stock Price ($)16.8527.0760.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)49092488.7%
Net Income Margin (%)3.9%31.6%719.7%
P/E Multiple92.49.7-89.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)104104-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution60.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERO60.7% 
Market (SPY)22.0%46.2%
Sector (XLB)17.4%49.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 33.8% change in ERO stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 120.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237222026Change
Stock Price ($)20.2327.0733.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)418924120.8%
Net Income Margin (%)17.5%31.6%80.8%
P/E Multiple25.59.7-62.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)92104-11.5%
Cumulative Contribution33.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERO33.8% 
Market (SPY)74.6%45.4%
Sector (XLB)29.4%53.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ERO Return119%-10%15%-15%110%-5%285%
Peers Return36%-5%16%17%91%26%318%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%100%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ERO Win Rate17%58%50%58%75%57% 
Peers Win Rate57%45%50%45%67%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ERO Max Drawdown-36%-49%-52%-46%-33%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-53%-31%-31%-32%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FCX, SCCO, HBM, TECK, TGB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventEROS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-28.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven28 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven52 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-49.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven96.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven186 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-44.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven190 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven116.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven454 days140 days

Compare to FCX, SCCO, HBM, TECK, TGB

In The Past

Ero Copper's stock fell -28.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventEROS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-28.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven28 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven52 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-49.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven96.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven186 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-44.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven190 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven116.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven454 days140 days

Compare to FCX, SCCO, HBM, TECK, TGB

In The Past

Ero Copper's stock fell -28.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ero Copper (ERO)

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) is a Vancouver, Canada-headquartered mining company primarily engaged in the production, exploration, and development of various mining projects exclusively within Brazil. The company systematically operates to discover, extract, and process valuable mineral resources across its Brazilian properties.

The company's main products are a portfolio of essential metals, specifically copper, gold, and silver. Ero Copper's operations are anchored by its principal asset, the Vale do Curaçá property, located in Brazil's northeastern Bahia State. Complementing this, the company also holds significant interests in the Boa Esperança project in Pará and the NX gold mine situated in Mato Grosso, further solidifying its production capabilities for these key commodities.

As a producer of base and precious metals, Ero Copper serves global industrial markets that rely on copper for applications in electronics, construction, and infrastructure, as well as the broader commodity and investment markets for gold and silver. Its business is centered on supplying these fundamental raw materials to meet worldwide demand.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Ero Copper:

  • Think of it as a regionally focused Freeport-McMoRan, extracting copper, gold, and silver in Brazil.
  • Imagine a Newmont or Barrick Gold, but also significantly producing copper, with all its projects centered in Brazil.
  • A smaller, Brazil-focused version of a diversified mining giant like Rio Tinto, specializing in copper and gold.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Copper: A base metal produced from its mining operations, primarily from the Vale do Curaçá property and Boa Esperança project.
  • Gold: A precious metal extracted and produced, mainly from its NX gold mine.
  • Silver: A precious metal also explored for and produced alongside its other mining activities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ero Copper (ERO) primarily sells its products to other companies, not directly to individuals. As a producer of raw materials like copper concentrate and gold dore, its major customers are typically industrial entities involved in processing and trading these commodities. The company does not publicly disclose the specific names of its individual customer companies, which is common practice for commodity producers.

However, the categories of companies that would purchase Ero Copper's products include:

  • Copper Smelters and Refiners: These industrial companies purchase copper concentrate to process it into refined copper metal, which is then used in various industries.
  • Gold Refiners: These companies buy gold dore (a semi-pure alloy of gold and silver) to refine it into pure gold, often for use in bullion, jewelry, or electronics.
  • International Commodity Trading Houses: These firms specialize in the global trade of raw materials, purchasing large volumes of concentrates and dore from producers like Ero Copper and then selling them to smelters, refiners, and other industrial end-users, often managing logistics and financing.

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Makko DeFilippo, President and Chief Executive Officer

Makko DeFilippo was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Ero Copper, effective January 1, 2025. He joined the company in January 2017 as Vice President, Corporate Development, playing a crucial role in supporting its initial public offering in October 2017. He was promoted to President in January 2021 and took on the additional role of Chief Operating Officer in March 2023. Mr. DeFilippo has been instrumental in several strategic initiatives, including transforming the Xavantina Operations into a high-margin asset, leading a $110 million streaming transaction with Royal Gold Inc., and establishing a partnership with Vale Base Metals for the Furnas Copper-Gold Project earn-in agreement.

Wayne Drier, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Wayne Drier serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Ero Copper. He brings over 20 years of corporate finance and capital markets experience within the global mining sector. His previous roles include Head of Business & Corporate Development at Asanko Gold Inc., Vice President-Strategy & Development at Coalspur Mines Pty Ltd., Head-Business Development at Norilsk Nickel Africa Pty Ltd., and Director & Vice President-Commercial at BHP Billiton Ltd. Mr. Drier has also served on the board of Mantra Resources Pty Ltd.

David Strang, Executive Chairman of the Board

David Strang co-founded Ero Copper in May 2016 and served as its President and Chief Executive Officer and a director since May 16, 2016, before transitioning to Executive Chairman of the Board, effective January 1, 2025. Mr. Strang has a history of leading successful mining ventures; he was a director, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Lumina Copper Corp. from August 2008 until its sale to First Quantum Minerals Limited in August 2014. He also held similar leadership roles at Lumina Royalty Corp., which was sold to Franco Nevada Corporation in 2011, and Global Copper Corp. Prior to co-founding Ero Copper, he formed Ero Resource Partners LLC in February 2014 with Christopher Noel Dunn.

Gelson Batista, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Gelson Batista was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, succeeding Makko DeFilippo in this role effective January 1, 2025. He joined Ero Copper in September 2024 as Senior Vice President, Operations, bringing over 25 years of extensive international mining experience. Throughout his career, Mr. Batista has held various technical, operational, and senior leadership positions in mining operations and development projects globally, including roles at ArcelorMittal and Rio Tinto.

Deepk Hundal, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Deepk Hundal is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary for Ero Copper. He has served as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary since June 2017.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Ero Copper (symbol: ERO):

  1. Commodity Price Volatility: As a producer of copper and gold, Ero Copper's financial performance is highly dependent on the fluctuating market prices of these commodities. The company is a "price-taker," meaning it does not control the selling prices of its products, making it vulnerable to downturns in global copper and gold markets.
  2. Operational and Execution Risks: Ero Copper faces challenges in consistently meeting production targets and controlling operating costs. This includes risks related to maintaining desired ore grades and recoveries at its mines, such as the Caraíba operation, and addressing specific operational issues like power quality at the Tucumã mine, which can lead to weaker-than-anticipated production volumes and higher costs.
  3. Jurisdictional and Political Risks in Brazil: Operating solely in Brazil exposes Ero Copper to potential political instability, changes in mining regulations, and shifts in governmental policies. Maintaining strong relations with the host country and navigating its legal and regulatory framework are crucial for uninterrupted operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) operates in the mining sector, with its primary products being copper, gold, and silver. The addressable markets for these products, both globally and in Brazil where the company has significant operations, are substantial.

Copper

  • The global copper market size was estimated at USD 241.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 339.95 billion by 2030, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates place the global market at USD 261.93 billion in 2025, growing to USD 466.67 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 6.63%.
  • In Brazil, the copper market generated a revenue of USD 1,902.9 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 2,582.3 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.9% from 2025 to 2030. Another report indicates the Brazil copper market was valued at USD 11.92 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 17.59 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 5.09%.

Gold

  • The global gold market size was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030, with a CAGR of 6.51% during the forecast period of 2025-2030. In terms of volume, the global gold market is expected to grow from 4,890.0 tons in 2025 to 7,424.4 tons by 2034, at a CAGR of 4.70%.
  • Brazil's gold mining market was estimated at USD 7.54 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 11.0 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.4% during the forecast period of 2025-2035. The market is projected to reach USD 10 billion by 2025.

Silver

  • Globally, the silver market size was valued at USD 87.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 95.20 billion in 2025 to USD 202.07 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.86% during the forecast period. Other data shows the global silver market size was valued at USD 23.51 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 36.51 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 4.50%.
  • Brazil is a producer of silver, with an output of 103 metric tons in 2023, an increase from 76 metric tons in 2022. Brazil accounted for 0.52% of global silver production in 2023. Silver is also noted as the most lucrative metal segment, registering the fastest growth in the Brazil precious metal market during the forecast period of 2025-2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Ero Copper (ERO) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Increased Copper Production: Ero Copper anticipates a significant increase in consolidated copper production from its Caraíba and Tucumã operations. The company's 2026 guidance projects 67,500 to 77,500 tonnes of copper, representing a potential increase of up to 20% compared to 2025 production. This growth is expected to be driven by sustained plant throughput and planned upgrades at both operations, with production weighted towards the second half of 2026.
  2. Expanded Gold Production and Concentrate Sales: The Xavantina Operations are expected to contribute to revenue growth through increased gold production and continued gold concentrate sales. Annual gold production is projected to rise from an estimated 40,000-50,000 ounces in 2026 to between 50,000-60,000 ounces in 2027 and 2028. This increase is attributed to higher mine production and improved mill throughput, supported by the transition to mechanized mining. Gold concentrate sales, which commenced in Q4 2025, are anticipated to continue through mid-2027.
  3. Advancement of the Furnas Copper-Gold Project: The progression of the Furnas Copper-Gold Project represents a significant long-term growth driver. Ero Copper is advancing this project through an earn-in agreement to acquire a 60% interest. A Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for Furnas highlights its potential as a large-scale, 24-year mine, capable of producing over 1.2 million tonnes of copper, 2 million ounces of gold, and 9 million ounces of silver. While its full impact on revenue will materialize beyond the immediate 2-3 year horizon, its advancement through exploration and engineering in the near term is crucial for extending Ero's future growth runway.
  4. Favorable Commodity Prices: Stronger copper and gold prices have demonstrably contributed to Ero Copper's record quarterly revenue in Q4 2025. Sustained or rising prices for these key commodities, which are the company's primary products, are expected to remain a crucial external driver for future revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here's a summary of Ero Copper's capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:

Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)

Share Repurchases

  • Ero Copper initiated a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) in March 2023, authorizing the repurchase of up to 4,500,000 common shares, representing approximately 4.98% of its issued and outstanding common shares at the time. The NCIB commenced on March 15, 2023, and was set to expire on March 14, 2024.
  • Under the 2023 NCIB, the company repurchased 3,197,300 common shares at a weighted average price of C$18.10 per share for a total cost of C$57.9 million (approximately US$42.5 million) by December 31, 2023.
  • Ero Copper announced a renewal of its Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) in March 2024, authorizing the repurchase of up to 5,000,000 common shares, representing approximately 5.0% of its issued and outstanding common shares. This NCIB commenced on March 15, 2024, and is scheduled to terminate on March 14, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • The number of basic common shares outstanding increased from 103,345,064 at the end of 2024 to 103,961,272 at the end of 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Jennison Associates LLC significantly expanded its holdings in Ero Copper by acquiring an additional 237,345 shares at $22.27 per share on September 30, 2024, increasing its total stake to 5,710,827 shares.
  • Citigroup Inc. grew its stake in Ero Copper by 2,198.1% in the third quarter of 2025, acquiring 84,868 additional shares to own a total of 88,729 shares valued at approximately $1,798,000.
  • FIL LTD added 4,966,427 shares to its portfolio in Q4 2025, representing a 74.1% increase, with an estimated value of $140,500,219.

Outbound Investments

  • Ero Copper is advancing the Furnas Copper-Gold Project through a definitive earn-in agreement with Vale Base Metals to acquire a 60% interest in the project.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for 2025 totaled $273.0 million, compared to $324.9 million in 2024.
  • The company's 2026 capital expenditure guidance is projected to be between $275 million and $320 million.
  • A significant focus of capital expenditures includes supporting growth at the Xavantina Operations and the construction of a new shaft at the Pilar Mine. Additionally, initial capital expenditures of approximately $1.3 billion are anticipated for the Furnas copper-gold project.

Better Bets vs. Ero Copper (ERO)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EROFCXSCCOHBMTECKTGBMedian
NameEro Copp.Freeport.Southern.Hudbay M.Teck Res.Trekor M. 
Mkt Price27.0765.00195.4823.5557.217.5842.14
Mkt Cap2.893.5160.69.328.02.818.7
Rev LTM92426,42114,5502,37312,4097717,391
Op Inc LTM3186,6377,9466822,5901721,636
FCF LTM1391,7524,276277669122473
FCF 3Y Avg-921,5053,230272-163102187
CFO LTM4226,0475,7257943,0182581,906
CFO 3Y Avg2606,1654,4196642,7622231,713

Growth & Margins

EROFCXSCCOHBMTECKTGBMedian
NameEro Copp.Freeport.Southern.Hudbay M.Teck Res.Trekor M. 
Rev Chg LTM88.7%6.3%21.7%13.5%27.5%28.4%24.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg35.1%7.0%13.7%20.6%-3.2%26.5%17.2%
Rev Chg Q110.4%8.8%36.2%27.3%72.2%70.4%53.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM17.6%2.0%8.4%7.3%15.4%14.6%11.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM108.0%1.6%34.7%41.6%152.9%181.2%74.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg58.1%4.5%24.8%44.4%25.8%117.9%35.1%
Op Mgn LTM34.4%25.1%54.6%28.7%20.9%22.3%26.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.2%25.9%48.5%23.7%13.9%18.1%24.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.0%2.4%3.3%7.6%6.2%2.9%
CFO/Rev LTM45.7%22.9%39.3%33.5%24.3%33.4%33.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.1%24.7%36.1%31.0%27.0%34.8%32.9%
FCF/Rev LTM15.0%6.6%29.4%11.7%5.4%15.8%13.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-26.0%6.0%26.2%12.9%-2.5%15.8%9.4%

Valuation

EROFCXSCCOHBMTECKTGBMedian
NameEro Copp.Freeport.Southern.Hudbay M.Teck Res.Trekor M. 
Mkt Cap2.893.5160.69.328.02.818.7
P/S3.13.511.03.92.33.63.6
P/Op Inc8.914.120.213.710.816.013.9
P/EBIT7.412.419.88.08.624.710.5
P/E9.734.232.314.215.1179.723.7
P/CFO6.715.528.111.89.310.711.2
Total Yield10.4%3.8%4.8%7.1%7.5%0.6%6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%1.7%0.1%0.9%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.0%2.1%3.1%5.9%-0.8%8.7%2.6%
D/E0.20.10.00.10.30.30.2
Net D/E0.20.10.00.00.20.20.1

Returns

EROFCXSCCOHBMTECKTGBMedian
NameEro Copp.Freeport.Southern.Hudbay M.Teck Res.Trekor M. 
1M Rtn-11.1%-5.9%2.9%-15.6%-10.0%8.9%-7.9%
3M Rtn-2.1%-7.4%4.7%-4.6%-3.3%2.6%-2.7%
6M Rtn-13.1%7.8%7.3%-2.0%8.3%7.4%7.3%
12M Rtn84.4%43.4%102.1%136.3%48.6%119.7%93.3%
3Y Rtn25.6%66.0%175.1%346.1%40.6%433.8%120.5%
1M Excs Rtn-11.5%-6.2%2.6%-16.0%-10.3%8.6%-8.3%
3M Excs Rtn-5.8%-9.7%0.9%-7.4%-5.1%0.6%-5.5%
6M Excs Rtn-23.0%-1.6%-4.3%-14.9%4.0%-4.3%-4.3%
12M Excs Rtn68.3%26.5%85.4%121.7%32.9%115.0%76.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-41.3%0.8%118.3%291.5%-23.9%353.4%59.5%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Caraiba (Brazil)358312321351424
Tucuma (Brazil)2613100 
Xavantina (Brazil)1661271077566
Corporate and Other0000 
Total786470427426490


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Tucuma (Brazil)14922
Xavantina (Brazil)9568
Caraiba (Brazil)6454
Corporate and Other-37-36
Total271109


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Xavantina (Brazil)5443292933
Tucuma (Brazil)2200  
Corporate and Other-41-36-45-32-27
Caraiba (Brazil)-1038711920646
Total-689410320352


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Caraiba (Brazil)1,098883963735564
Tucuma (Brazil)5684173179124
Xavantina (Brazil)2109812012582
Corporate and Other485911123620
Total1,9241,4581,5121,188690


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$27.07 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.8 
First Trading Date03/21/2018 
Distance from 52W High-28.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$27.35$27.04
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-1.0%0.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility70.9%58.5%
Downside Capture407.08246.34
Upside Capture310.08268.05
Correlation (SPY)63.7%47.6%
ERO Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.293.462.852.342.101.58
Up Beta0.741.631.480.941.311.19
Down Beta4.875.254.912.472.091.70
Up Capture325%363%260%383%507%599%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days10213365138374
Down Capture343%316%338%222%167%111%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days11203060113368

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERO
ERO87.7%58.4%1.30-
Sector ETF (XLB)13.8%17.6%0.5851.4%
Equity (SPY)20.0%12.6%1.1647.5%
Gold (GLD)21.2%28.1%0.6757.9%
Commodities (DBC)33.0%19.1%1.3611.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.9%14.0%0.707.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-43.6%42.9%-1.2130.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERO
ERO7.8%55.2%0.35-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.3%19.0%0.2253.6%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5843.5%
Gold (GLD)17.3%18.4%0.7640.3%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%19.5%0.3730.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.7%18.9%0.0430.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)15.2%53.5%0.4623.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERO
ERO-1.6%56.9%0.17-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.9%20.6%0.4354.4%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7246.0%
Gold (GLD)11.5%16.1%0.5837.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.1%17.9%0.3134.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2034.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.5%66.2%0.9926.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 61520263.6%
Average Daily Volume1.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity104.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/04/20266-K
12/31/202503/30/202640-F
09/30/202511/04/20256-K
06/30/202507/31/20256-K
03/31/202505/05/20256-K
12/31/202403/06/202540-F
09/30/202411/05/20246-K
06/30/202408/01/20246-K
03/31/202405/07/20246-K
12/31/202303/07/202440-F
09/30/202311/02/20236-K
06/30/202308/03/20236-K
03/31/202305/08/20236-K
12/31/202203/08/202340-F
09/30/202211/01/20226-K
06/30/202208/02/20226-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/04/20266-K
12/31/202503/30/202640-F
09/30/202511/04/20256-K
06/30/202507/31/20256-K
03/31/202505/05/20256-K
12/31/202403/06/202540-F
09/30/202411/05/20246-K
06/30/202408/01/20246-K
03/31/202405/07/20246-K
12/31/202303/07/202440-F
09/30/202311/02/20236-K
06/30/202308/03/20236-K
03/31/202305/08/20236-K
12/31/202203/08/202340-F
09/30/202211/01/20226-K
06/30/202208/02/20226-K
03/31/202205/09/20226-K
12/31/202103/11/202240-F
09/30/202111/10/20216-K

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 23, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd$52.0 Mil11.8%11ADD +13.5%13F
Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda$28.7 Mil5.4%48Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd$52.0 Mil11.8%11ADD +13.5%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd$52.0 Mil11.8%11ADD +13.5%13F
Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda$28.7 Mil5.4%48Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/22/2026