Ero Copper (ERO)


Market Price (9/6/2026): $34.89 | Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Copper

Ero Copper (ERO)


Market Price (9/6/2026): $34.89
Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Copper

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 95%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, EV Manufacturing, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.7%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 133%

Key risks
ERO key risks include [1] geopolitical and country-specific risks from its heavy operational concentration in Brazil and [2] project execution challenges with the ramp-up of its Tucumã operation.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 95%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, EV Manufacturing, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.7%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 133%
6 Key risks
ERO key risks include [1] geopolitical and country-specific risks from its heavy operational concentration in Brazil and [2] project execution challenges with the ramp-up of its Tucumã operation.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 9/1/2026

Ero Copper (ERO) stock has gained about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance: Ero Copper reported robust operating and financial results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced adjusted earnings per share of $0.83, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.74, and reported revenue of $284.3 million, above the $277.64 million forecast. Additionally, cash flow from operations significantly increased by approximately 49% quarter-on-quarter to $137.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose by 15% quarter-on-quarter to $144.0 million. This strong financial execution led to a reduction in net debt by $38.0 million to $452.7 million, improving the net debt leverage ratio to 0.8x.

2. Favorable Copper and Gold Production and Operational Efficiency: The company demonstrated strong operational execution across its portfolio during fiscal Q2 2026. Consolidated copper production totaled 17,315 tonnes in concentrate, while gold from the Xavantina Operations increased by 170% quarter-on-quarter to 20,553 ounces. Ero Copper's "OneEro" efficiency program contributed to these gains, delivering approximately $10 million to $15 million in annualized supply contract savings and leading to improved smelting and refining terms expected to save over $20 million in 2026. The company also benefited from its foreign exchange hedge program, which generated $12.7 million in realized gains in fiscal Q2 2026.

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Updated on 9/1/2026

Ero Copper (ERO) stock has gained about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance: Ero Copper reported robust operating and financial results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced adjusted earnings per share of $0.83, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.74, and reported revenue of $284.3 million, above the $277.64 million forecast. Additionally, cash flow from operations significantly increased by approximately 49% quarter-on-quarter to $137.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose by 15% quarter-on-quarter to $144.0 million. This strong financial execution led to a reduction in net debt by $38.0 million to $452.7 million, improving the net debt leverage ratio to 0.8x.

2. Favorable Copper and Gold Production and Operational Efficiency: The company demonstrated strong operational execution across its portfolio during fiscal Q2 2026. Consolidated copper production totaled 17,315 tonnes in concentrate, while gold from the Xavantina Operations increased by 170% quarter-on-quarter to 20,553 ounces. Ero Copper's "OneEro" efficiency program contributed to these gains, delivering approximately $10 million to $15 million in annualized supply contract savings and leading to improved smelting and refining terms expected to save over $20 million in 2026. The company also benefited from its foreign exchange hedge program, which generated $12.7 million in realized gains in fiscal Q2 2026.

3. Positive Commodity Price Tailwinds: The period was characterized by a favorable trend in copper prices. Copper prices remained firm in fiscal Q2 2026 due to tight mine supply and stronger physical buying, and COMEX copper futures reached a new record high of $6.8795 per pound in August 2026, after trading around $6.2905 per pound in early June 2026. This increase in copper prices, a core commodity for Ero Copper, provided significant tailwinds for the company's revenue and profitability.

4. Reaffirmed Full-Year Production Guidance and Analyst Confidence: Ero Copper maintained its full-year 2026 consolidated copper production guidance at 67,500–77,500 tonnes and consolidated copper C1 cash costs at $2.15–$2.35 per pound, signaling confidence in its operational outlook despite an increase in capital expenditure guidance. This steady guidance, coupled with strong Q2 results, led to positive sentiment from analysts. Several analysts either upgraded their ratings or increased their price targets for Ero Copper, with an average price target of C$47.63, reflecting optimism about the company's future growth prospects, particularly with the Furnas Copper-Gold Project progressing towards a pre-feasibility study in 2027.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.7% change in ERO stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120269052026Change
Stock Price ($)30.4434.9014.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9241,04513.1%
Net Income Margin (%)31.6%29.8%-5.8%
P/E Multiple10.911.77.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1041040.0%
Cumulative Contribution14.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERO14.7% 
Market (SPY)1.8%57.9%
Sector (XLB)2.5%46.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.1% change in ERO stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 77.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820269052026Change
Stock Price ($)34.1834.902.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5881,04577.6%
Net Income Margin (%)23.4%29.8%27.2%
P/E Multiple25.711.7-54.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)104104-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution2.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERO2.1% 
Market (SPY)12.6%56.9%
Sector (XLB)-1.4%56.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 143.4% change in ERO stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 94.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120259052026Change
Stock Price ($)14.3434.90143.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5361,04594.9%
Net Income Margin (%)26.6%29.8%11.9%
P/E Multiple10.411.712.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)104104-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution143.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERO143.4% 
Market (SPY)20.4%48.7%
Sector (XLB)15.3%51.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 68.8% change in ERO stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 155.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120239052026Change
Stock Price ($)20.6834.9068.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4081,045155.8%
Net Income Margin (%)19.3%29.8%54.1%
P/E Multiple24.311.7-51.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)93104-11.1%
Cumulative Contribution68.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERO68.8% 
Market (SPY)77.1%44.5%
Sector (XLB)33.5%52.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ERO Return119%-10%15%-15%110%25%406%
Peers Return36%-5%16%17%91%43%377%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ERO Win Rate17%58%50%58%75%56% 
Peers Win Rate57%45%50%45%67%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ERO Max Drawdown-36%-49%-52%-46%-33%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-53%-31%-31%-32%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FCX, SCCO, HBM, TECK, TGB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/4/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventEROS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-28.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven28 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven52 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-49.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven96.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven186 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-44.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven190 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven116.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven454 days140 days

Compare to FCX, SCCO, HBM, TECK, TGB

In The Past

Ero Copper's stock fell -28.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventEROS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-28.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven28 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven52 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-49.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven96.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven186 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-44.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven190 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven116.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven454 days140 days

Compare to FCX, SCCO, HBM, TECK, TGB

In The Past

Ero Copper's stock fell -28.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ero Copper (ERO)

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) is a Vancouver, Canada-headquartered mining company primarily engaged in the production, exploration, and development of various mining projects exclusively within Brazil. The company systematically operates to discover, extract, and process valuable mineral resources across its Brazilian properties.

The company's main products are a portfolio of essential metals, specifically copper, gold, and silver. Ero Copper's operations are anchored by its principal asset, the Vale do Curaçá property, located in Brazil's northeastern Bahia State. Complementing this, the company also holds significant interests in the Boa Esperança project in Pará and the NX gold mine situated in Mato Grosso, further solidifying its production capabilities for these key commodities.

As a producer of base and precious metals, Ero Copper serves global industrial markets that rely on copper for applications in electronics, construction, and infrastructure, as well as the broader commodity and investment markets for gold and silver. Its business is centered on supplying these fundamental raw materials to meet worldwide demand.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Ero Copper:

  • Think of it as a regionally focused Freeport-McMoRan, extracting copper, gold, and silver in Brazil.
  • Imagine a Newmont or Barrick Gold, but also significantly producing copper, with all its projects centered in Brazil.
  • A smaller, Brazil-focused version of a diversified mining giant like Rio Tinto, specializing in copper and gold.

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  • Copper: A base metal produced from its mining operations, primarily from the Vale do Curaçá property and Boa Esperança project.
  • Gold: A precious metal extracted and produced, mainly from its NX gold mine.
  • Silver: A precious metal also explored for and produced alongside its other mining activities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ero Copper (ERO) primarily sells its products to other companies, not directly to individuals. As a producer of raw materials like copper concentrate and gold dore, its major customers are typically industrial entities involved in processing and trading these commodities. The company does not publicly disclose the specific names of its individual customer companies, which is common practice for commodity producers.

However, the categories of companies that would purchase Ero Copper's products include:

  • Copper Smelters and Refiners: These industrial companies purchase copper concentrate to process it into refined copper metal, which is then used in various industries.
  • Gold Refiners: These companies buy gold dore (a semi-pure alloy of gold and silver) to refine it into pure gold, often for use in bullion, jewelry, or electronics.
  • International Commodity Trading Houses: These firms specialize in the global trade of raw materials, purchasing large volumes of concentrates and dore from producers like Ero Copper and then selling them to smelters, refiners, and other industrial end-users, often managing logistics and financing.

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Makko DeFilippo, President and Chief Executive Officer

Makko DeFilippo was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Ero Copper, effective January 1, 2025. He joined the company in January 2017 as Vice President, Corporate Development, playing a crucial role in supporting its initial public offering in October 2017. He was promoted to President in January 2021 and took on the additional role of Chief Operating Officer in March 2023. Mr. DeFilippo has been instrumental in several strategic initiatives, including transforming the Xavantina Operations into a high-margin asset, leading a $110 million streaming transaction with Royal Gold Inc., and establishing a partnership with Vale Base Metals for the Furnas Copper-Gold Project earn-in agreement.

Wayne Drier, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Wayne Drier serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Ero Copper. He brings over 20 years of corporate finance and capital markets experience within the global mining sector. His previous roles include Head of Business & Corporate Development at Asanko Gold Inc., Vice President-Strategy & Development at Coalspur Mines Pty Ltd., Head-Business Development at Norilsk Nickel Africa Pty Ltd., and Director & Vice President-Commercial at BHP Billiton Ltd. Mr. Drier has also served on the board of Mantra Resources Pty Ltd.

David Strang, Executive Chairman of the Board

David Strang co-founded Ero Copper in May 2016 and served as its President and Chief Executive Officer and a director since May 16, 2016, before transitioning to Executive Chairman of the Board, effective January 1, 2025. Mr. Strang has a history of leading successful mining ventures; he was a director, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Lumina Copper Corp. from August 2008 until its sale to First Quantum Minerals Limited in August 2014. He also held similar leadership roles at Lumina Royalty Corp., which was sold to Franco Nevada Corporation in 2011, and Global Copper Corp. Prior to co-founding Ero Copper, he formed Ero Resource Partners LLC in February 2014 with Christopher Noel Dunn.

Gelson Batista, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Gelson Batista was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, succeeding Makko DeFilippo in this role effective January 1, 2025. He joined Ero Copper in September 2024 as Senior Vice President, Operations, bringing over 25 years of extensive international mining experience. Throughout his career, Mr. Batista has held various technical, operational, and senior leadership positions in mining operations and development projects globally, including roles at ArcelorMittal and Rio Tinto.

Deepk Hundal, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Deepk Hundal is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary for Ero Copper. He has served as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary since June 2017.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Ero Copper (symbol: ERO):

  1. Commodity Price Volatility: As a producer of copper and gold, Ero Copper's financial performance is highly dependent on the fluctuating market prices of these commodities. The company is a "price-taker," meaning it does not control the selling prices of its products, making it vulnerable to downturns in global copper and gold markets.
  2. Operational and Execution Risks: Ero Copper faces challenges in consistently meeting production targets and controlling operating costs. This includes risks related to maintaining desired ore grades and recoveries at its mines, such as the Caraíba operation, and addressing specific operational issues like power quality at the Tucumã mine, which can lead to weaker-than-anticipated production volumes and higher costs.
  3. Jurisdictional and Political Risks in Brazil: Operating solely in Brazil exposes Ero Copper to potential political instability, changes in mining regulations, and shifts in governmental policies. Maintaining strong relations with the host country and navigating its legal and regulatory framework are crucial for uninterrupted operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) operates in the mining sector, with its primary products being copper, gold, and silver. The addressable markets for these products, both globally and in Brazil where the company has significant operations, are substantial.

Copper

  • The global copper market size was estimated at USD 241.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 339.95 billion by 2030, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates place the global market at USD 261.93 billion in 2025, growing to USD 466.67 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 6.63%.
  • In Brazil, the copper market generated a revenue of USD 1,902.9 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 2,582.3 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.9% from 2025 to 2030. Another report indicates the Brazil copper market was valued at USD 11.92 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 17.59 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 5.09%.

Gold

  • The global gold market size was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030, with a CAGR of 6.51% during the forecast period of 2025-2030. In terms of volume, the global gold market is expected to grow from 4,890.0 tons in 2025 to 7,424.4 tons by 2034, at a CAGR of 4.70%.
  • Brazil's gold mining market was estimated at USD 7.54 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 11.0 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.4% during the forecast period of 2025-2035. The market is projected to reach USD 10 billion by 2025.

Silver

  • Globally, the silver market size was valued at USD 87.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 95.20 billion in 2025 to USD 202.07 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.86% during the forecast period. Other data shows the global silver market size was valued at USD 23.51 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 36.51 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 4.50%.
  • Brazil is a producer of silver, with an output of 103 metric tons in 2023, an increase from 76 metric tons in 2022. Brazil accounted for 0.52% of global silver production in 2023. Silver is also noted as the most lucrative metal segment, registering the fastest growth in the Brazil precious metal market during the forecast period of 2025-2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Ero Copper (ERO) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Increased Copper Production: Ero Copper anticipates a significant increase in consolidated copper production from its Caraíba and Tucumã operations. The company's 2026 guidance projects 67,500 to 77,500 tonnes of copper, representing a potential increase of up to 20% compared to 2025 production. This growth is expected to be driven by sustained plant throughput and planned upgrades at both operations, with production weighted towards the second half of 2026.
  2. Expanded Gold Production and Concentrate Sales: The Xavantina Operations are expected to contribute to revenue growth through increased gold production and continued gold concentrate sales. Annual gold production is projected to rise from an estimated 40,000-50,000 ounces in 2026 to between 50,000-60,000 ounces in 2027 and 2028. This increase is attributed to higher mine production and improved mill throughput, supported by the transition to mechanized mining. Gold concentrate sales, which commenced in Q4 2025, are anticipated to continue through mid-2027.
  3. Advancement of the Furnas Copper-Gold Project: The progression of the Furnas Copper-Gold Project represents a significant long-term growth driver. Ero Copper is advancing this project through an earn-in agreement to acquire a 60% interest. A Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for Furnas highlights its potential as a large-scale, 24-year mine, capable of producing over 1.2 million tonnes of copper, 2 million ounces of gold, and 9 million ounces of silver. While its full impact on revenue will materialize beyond the immediate 2-3 year horizon, its advancement through exploration and engineering in the near term is crucial for extending Ero's future growth runway.
  4. Favorable Commodity Prices: Stronger copper and gold prices have demonstrably contributed to Ero Copper's record quarterly revenue in Q4 2025. Sustained or rising prices for these key commodities, which are the company's primary products, are expected to remain a crucial external driver for future revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here's a summary of Ero Copper's capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:

Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)

Share Repurchases

  • Ero Copper initiated a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) in March 2023, authorizing the repurchase of up to 4,500,000 common shares, representing approximately 4.98% of its issued and outstanding common shares at the time. The NCIB commenced on March 15, 2023, and was set to expire on March 14, 2024.
  • Under the 2023 NCIB, the company repurchased 3,197,300 common shares at a weighted average price of C$18.10 per share for a total cost of C$57.9 million (approximately US$42.5 million) by December 31, 2023.
  • Ero Copper announced a renewal of its Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) in March 2024, authorizing the repurchase of up to 5,000,000 common shares, representing approximately 5.0% of its issued and outstanding common shares. This NCIB commenced on March 15, 2024, and is scheduled to terminate on March 14, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • The number of basic common shares outstanding increased from 103,345,064 at the end of 2024 to 103,961,272 at the end of 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Jennison Associates LLC significantly expanded its holdings in Ero Copper by acquiring an additional 237,345 shares at $22.27 per share on September 30, 2024, increasing its total stake to 5,710,827 shares.
  • Citigroup Inc. grew its stake in Ero Copper by 2,198.1% in the third quarter of 2025, acquiring 84,868 additional shares to own a total of 88,729 shares valued at approximately $1,798,000.
  • FIL LTD added 4,966,427 shares to its portfolio in Q4 2025, representing a 74.1% increase, with an estimated value of $140,500,219.

Outbound Investments

  • Ero Copper is advancing the Furnas Copper-Gold Project through a definitive earn-in agreement with Vale Base Metals to acquire a 60% interest in the project.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for 2025 totaled $273.0 million, compared to $324.9 million in 2024.
  • The company's 2026 capital expenditure guidance is projected to be between $275 million and $320 million.
  • A significant focus of capital expenditures includes supporting growth at the Xavantina Operations and the construction of a new shaft at the Pilar Mine. Additionally, initial capital expenditures of approximately $1.3 billion are anticipated for the Furnas copper-gold project.

Better Bets vs. Ero Copper (ERO)

Peer Outperformance in Copper

ERO has trailed 100% of its 6 Copper peers over 5Y. Copper ranks 1st of 15 industries in Materials by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Copper constituents that ERO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
86%
of 7 industry peers · 133.1% return
3Y
43%
of 7 industry peers · 76.4% return
5Y
0%
of 6 industry peers · 75.1% return
No Copper peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten ERO by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Copper is ERO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper ← 7 100.1%81.5%291.2% COPR 1037% · HBM 338% · TGB 338%
Silver 6 142.0%363.5%153.0% AYA 257% · HL 230% · SVM 184%
Gold 34 37.0%210.7%147.9% IAG 753% · CNL 596% · OGC 452%
Steel 13 28.0%58.7%146.6% AMR 427% · HCC 369% · NWPX 318%
Aluminum 3 111.7%145.6%60.5% CENX 268% · KALU 61% · AA 11%
Construction Materials 7 -18.1%26.0%41.7% USLM 306% · CRH 90% · VMC 52%
Diversified Metals & Mining 24 -1.5%-10.5%21.2% ATLX 237757% · USAR 58994% · SGML 924%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 11 -6.7%4.8%0.7% KRT 166% · MYE 64% · GEF 46%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials 7 8.5%14.7%-7.7% PKG 80% · CCK 9% · SON -5%
Specialty Chemicals 41 9.4%-0.7%-15.4% ODC 463% · NEU 184% · CMT 75%
Commodity Chemicals 12 19.0%-12.5%-27.4% HWKN 268% · LXU 77% · MEOH 68%
Diversified Chemicals 4 1.4%-28.4%-30.0% CBT 72% · ASH -14% · CC -46%
Precious Metals & Minerals 8 42.0%177.8%-31.9% ASM 592% · PPTA 388% · MTA 31%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 -4.8%-0.3%-32.1% CF 226% · CTVA 107% · NTR 55%
Paper Products 3 -19.9%-52.0%-96.3% CLW -39% · MERC -96% · ITP -96%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EROFCXSCCOHBMTECKTGBMedian
NameEro Copp.Freeport.Southern.Hudbay M.Teck Res.Trekor M. 
Mkt Price34.9072.73198.7627.4369.108.4552.00
Mkt Cap3.6104.6164.811.033.93.122.4
Rev LTM1,04525,86815,7882,46813,9919858,230
Op Inc LTM3786,1908,9837353,7042862,219
FCF LTM1721,7625,1002831,9252721,023
FCF 3Y Avg-511,6503,571333274147304
CFO LTM4705,9006,7378314,6484152,740
CFO 3Y Avg2876,2904,8167542,9582731,856

Growth & Margins

EROFCXSCCOHBMTECKTGBMedian
NameEro Copp.Freeport.Southern.Hudbay M.Teck Res.Trekor M. 
Rev Chg LTM94.9%0.2%32.8%12.1%40.5%70.3%36.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg41.4%5.9%16.8%26.6%9.0%36.3%21.7%
Rev Chg Q73.9%-7.3%40.6%17.7%78.2%184.8%57.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.1%-2.1%8.5%4.0%12.7%27.8%10.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM115.7%-10.5%52.8%24.8%227.8%629.1%84.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg74.2%5.0%28.1%126.9%6,353.7%230.2%100.5%
Op Mgn LTM36.2%23.9%56.9%29.8%26.5%29.1%29.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.4%26.2%50.5%25.5%12.6%19.1%25.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%-1.2%2.3%1.0%5.6%6.8%2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM45.0%22.8%42.7%33.7%33.2%42.1%37.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.0%24.7%37.0%33.7%29.2%37.3%35.4%
FCF/Rev LTM16.4%6.8%32.3%11.5%13.8%27.6%15.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-18.6%6.5%27.3%15.1%0.7%18.9%10.8%

Valuation

EROFCXSCCOHBMTECKTGBMedian
NameEro Copp.Freeport.Southern.Hudbay M.Teck Res.Trekor M. 
Mkt Cap3.6104.6164.811.033.93.122.4
P/S3.54.010.44.42.43.13.8
P/Op Inc9.616.918.314.99.110.812.9
P/EBIT8.814.818.08.87.419.511.8
P/E11.735.529.116.213.6197.122.6
P/CFO7.717.724.513.27.37.410.5
Total Yield8.6%3.6%5.3%6.3%8.1%0.5%5.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%1.8%0.1%0.7%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.9%2.3%3.4%7.4%0.4%10.5%2.8%
D/E0.20.10.10.10.30.20.1
Net D/E0.10.10.00.00.10.20.1

Returns

EROFCXSCCOHBMTECKTGBMedian
NameEro Copp.Freeport.Southern.Hudbay M.Teck Res.Trekor M. 
1M Rtn12.2%6.7%3.5%4.3%4.5%2.5%4.4%
3M Rtn35.4%15.0%15.5%6.9%12.2%27.1%15.3%
6M Rtn25.7%23.1%8.6%23.1%37.2%17.4%23.1%
12M Rtn133.1%58.6%97.3%115.8%102.9%153.8%109.3%
3Y Rtn76.4%86.6%173.7%469.2%73.7%516.8%130.1%
1M Excs Rtn12.1%6.6%3.4%4.1%4.4%2.4%4.3%
3M Excs Rtn30.8%10.5%11.0%2.4%7.7%22.5%10.8%
6M Excs Rtn11.2%8.6%-5.9%8.6%22.6%2.8%8.6%
12M Excs Rtn119.0%40.9%82.8%102.6%93.7%132.8%98.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.7%16.7%97.7%384.2%1.7%437.0%57.2%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Caraiba (Brazil)358312321351424
Tucuma (Brazil)2613100 
Xavantina (Brazil)1661271077566
Corporate and Other0000 
Total786470427426490


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Tucuma (Brazil)14922
Xavantina (Brazil)9568
Caraiba (Brazil)6454
Corporate and Other-37-36
Total271109


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Xavantina (Brazil)5443292933
Tucuma (Brazil)2200  
Corporate and Other-41-36-45-32-27
Caraiba (Brazil)-1038711920646
Total-689410320352


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Caraiba (Brazil)1,098883963735564
Tucuma (Brazil)5684173179124
Xavantina (Brazil)2109812012582
Corporate and Other485911123620
Total1,9241,4581,5121,188690


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$34.90 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.6 
First Trading Date03/21/2018 
Distance from 52W High-13.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$30.08$28.84
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA16.0%21.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility65.8%61.9%
Downside Capture222.55255.68
Upside Capture320.13302.74
Correlation (SPY)57.5%49.1%
ERO Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.092.743.092.742.311.59
Up Beta1.613.061.971.931.431.23
Down Beta1.532.654.193.292.241.73
Up Capture480%451%456%411%881%692%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days12223261139374
Down Capture-134%113%230%225%163%111%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days9203266112370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERO
ERO138.6%61.8%1.64-
Sector ETF (XLB)16.6%17.9%0.7051.2%
Equity (SPY)19.7%12.8%1.1349.0%
Gold (GLD)24.6%29.2%0.7559.4%
Commodities (DBC)43.8%20.3%1.6710.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.1%13.6%0.394.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.1%43.8%-0.6333.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERO
ERO14.8%55.8%0.46-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.1%19.1%0.2153.5%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.2%0.5743.3%
Gold (GLD)19.1%18.8%0.8241.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.7%19.5%0.4328.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.7%18.9%-0.0129.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.2%52.6%0.3824.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERO
ERO0.9%57.2%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.0%20.7%0.4354.1%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7245.7%
Gold (GLD)12.4%16.3%0.6238.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.1%0.3533.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.1933.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.7%66.2%1.0327.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 731202611.5%
Average Daily Volume1.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity104.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/20266-K
03/31/202605/04/20266-K
12/31/202503/30/202640-F
09/30/202511/04/20256-K
06/30/202507/31/20256-K
03/31/202505/05/20256-K
12/31/202403/06/202540-F
09/30/202411/05/20246-K
06/30/202408/01/20246-K
03/31/202405/07/20246-K
12/31/202303/07/202440-F
09/30/202311/02/20236-K
06/30/202308/03/20236-K
03/31/202305/08/20236-K
12/31/202203/08/202340-F
09/30/202211/01/20226-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/20266-K
03/31/202605/04/20266-K
12/31/202503/30/202640-F
09/30/202511/04/20256-K
06/30/202507/31/20256-K
03/31/202505/05/20256-K
12/31/202403/06/202540-F
09/30/202411/05/20246-K
06/30/202408/01/20246-K
03/31/202405/07/20246-K
12/31/202303/07/202440-F
09/30/202311/02/20236-K
06/30/202308/03/20236-K
03/31/202305/08/20236-K
12/31/202203/08/202340-F
09/30/202211/01/20226-K
06/30/202208/02/20226-K
03/31/202205/09/20226-K
12/31/202103/11/202240-F
09/30/202111/10/20216-K

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 6, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd$52.0 Mil11.8%11ADD +13.5%13F
Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda$28.7 Mil5.4%48Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd$52.0 Mil11.8%11ADD +13.5%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd$52.0 Mil11.8%11ADD +13.5%13F
Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda$28.7 Mil5.4%48Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/5/2026