Tearsheet

Tredegar (TG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.94 | Market Cap: $276.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Tredegar (TG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.94
Market Cap: $276.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 39x
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.5%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 39x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Tredegar (TG) experienced a 4.2% increase in its stock price during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to today, driven by several key developments.

**1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results**
On November 7, 2025, Tredegar reported significantly improved third-quarter 2025 financial results, with net income from continuing operations rising to $7.1 million ($0.20 per share) compared to a loss in the prior year's third quarter. The company's Aluminum Extrusions segment notably increased its EBITDA from ongoing operations by 172.1% year-over-year.

**2. Positive Market Reaction to Q3 Earnings**
Following the announcement of its strong third-quarter 2025 earnings, Tredegar's stock saw a positive market response. On November 13, 2025, reports indicated that the stock surged by 33% due to robust aluminum demand, reflecting favorable investor sentiment towards the company's performance.

**3. Reduction in Net Debt**
Tredegar demonstrated improved financial health by substantially reducing its net debt. As of September 30, 2025, the company's net debt decreased to $36.2 million from $54.8 million at the beginning of the year.

**4. Orderly Leadership Transition**
The company announced key leadership changes that signaled a smooth transition. On October 6, 2025, Tredegar disclosed the retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, D. Andrew Edwards, effective December 31, 2025. This was followed by the announcement on November 20, 2025, of the retirement of President and CEO John M. Steitz, with Arijit (Bapi) DasGupta named as his successor, effective January 1, 2026. These planned transitions likely contributed to investor confidence in the company's future stability.

**5. Issuance of a Technical Buy Signal**
On November 24, 2025, Tredegar's stock received a technical "buy signal" from a pivot bottom point, which was followed by a short-term rise in its price. Such technical indicators often influence trading decisions and can contribute to positive momentum in the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TG Return39%-27%-10%-45%42%2%-27%
Peers Return6%-1%-19%64%66%13%161%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TG Win Rate50%33%33%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%50%42%67%54%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TG Max Drawdown-49%-33%-17%-56%-26%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-15%-38%-2%-6%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven320.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1178 days1480 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG


In The Past

Tredegar's stock fell -76.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2021. A -76.2% loss requires a 320.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tredegar (TG)

Better Bets than Tredegar (TG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tredegar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TGGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameTredegar Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Mkt Price8.1682.9957.30---57.30
Mkt Cap0.313.80.6---0.6
Rev LTM6932,192228---693
Op Inc LTM2158217---21
FCF LTM21625-11---21
FCF 3Y Avg349612---12
CFO LTM3767213---37
CFO 3Y Avg2362226---26

Growth & Margins

TGGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameTredegar Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Rev Chg LTM43.8%2.9%16.0%---16.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.9%1.0%17.0%---1.0%
Rev Chg Q33.5%4.7%23.3%---23.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.6%1.1%5.8%---5.8%
Op Mgn LTM3.0%26.6%7.4%---7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.3%28.0%5.1%---5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.6%-0.1%-0.4%----0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.3%30.7%5.7%---5.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%28.7%13.5%---13.5%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%28.5%-4.7%---3.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.0%22.8%6.8%---6.8%

Valuation

TGGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameTredegar Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Mkt Cap0.313.80.6---0.6
P/S0.46.42.6---2.6
P/EBIT38.723.035.6---35.6
P/E-5.228.344.1---28.3
P/CFO7.620.946.4---20.9
Total Yield-19.3%4.8%2.3%---2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.3%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.3%3.6%6.0%---3.6%
D/E0.20.00.0---0.0
Net D/E0.2-0.0-0.0----0.0

Returns

TGGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameTredegar Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
1M Rtn24.2%1.9%-8.0%---1.9%
3M Rtn7.1%-1.5%20.9%---7.1%
6M Rtn-5.0%-0.9%40.1%----0.9%
12M Rtn6.4%-7.6%27.6%---6.4%
3Y Rtn-18.6%22.7%487.7%---22.7%
1M Excs Rtn24.2%1.9%-8.0%---1.9%
3M Excs Rtn0.4%-8.7%11.2%---0.4%
6M Excs Rtn-19.7%-15.6%25.4%----15.6%
12M Excs Rtn0.3%-21.2%14.3%---0.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-88.0%-47.2%414.9%----47.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aluminum Extrusions256293281245265
Flexible Packaging Films84103756674
Polyethylene (PE) Films57102114119124
General corporate37242372110
Cash and cash equivalents1319311231
Discontinued operations  01108
Total446542524515713


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity368,526
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-12.8%
Average Daily Volume177,757
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.07
Basic Shares Quantity34,773,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021