Tredegar (TG)
Market Price (2/27/2026): $9.025 | Market Cap: $313.8 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Tredegar (TG)
Market Price (2/27/2026): $9.025Market Cap: $313.8 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.1% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.6% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -93% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more. | Key risksTG key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its PE Films segment and [2] manufacturing inefficiencies within its Aluminum Extrusions business. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.6% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -93% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% |
| Key risksTG key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its PE Films segment and [2] manufacturing inefficiencies within its Aluminum Extrusions business. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Tredegar reported significantly improved earnings for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, with adjusted net income from ongoing operations rising to $0.26 per share, a substantial increase from $0.01 per share in the prior year's quarter. This positive earnings surprise served as a major catalyst, leading to a 33.2% stock gain following the announcement.
2. Robust Performance in Aluminum Extrusions Segment: The company's Aluminum Extrusions segment saw a sharp increase in Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) from ongoing operations, reaching $16.8 million in the third quarter of 2025, a 172.1% rise from the same period in 2024. This growth was primarily fueled by a 19.5% increase in sales volume and favorable pricing dynamics.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 30.5% change in TG stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.91 | 9.02 | 30.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 644 | 693 | 7.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.5 | 21.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 35 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 30.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TG | 30.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 40.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 14.0% | 35.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.6% change in TG stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.71 | 9.02 | 3.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 619 | 693 | 12.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.5 | -7.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 35 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TG | 3.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 40.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 16.7% | 42.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.9% change in TG stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.85 | 9.02 | 14.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 482 | 693 | 43.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.5 | -19.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34 | 35 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TG | 14.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.5% | 47.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 29.0% | 49.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.0% change in TG stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.71 | 9.02 | -23.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 970 | 693 | -28.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.5 | 10.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34 | 35 | -2.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TG | -23.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 32.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 81.0% | 37.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TG Return | -27% | -10% | -45% | 42% | -7% | 26% | -39% |
| Peers Return | 33% | -18% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 39% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TG Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 40% | 47% | 48% | 43% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TG Max Drawdown | -33% | -17% | -56% | -26% | -18% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -33% | -22% | -9% | -32% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KALU, APOG, EMN, AVY, SEE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 320.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 267 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,178 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to KALU, APOG, EMN, AVY, SEE
In The Past
Tredegar's stock fell -76.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2021. A -76.2% loss requires a 320.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Tredegar (TG)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Tredegar is a diversified B2B industrial manufacturer, somewhat like a smaller **3M** or **DuPont**, specializing in high-performance plastic films and custom aluminum extrusions.
- An industrial components supplier providing specialized materials for other manufacturers, akin to **Illinois Tool Works (ITW)** but focused on advanced plastic films and aluminum extrusions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Personal Care Films: Specialty plastic films engineered for use in hygiene products such as disposable diapers, feminine care, and adult incontinence products.
- Surface Protection Films: Protective plastic films designed to safeguard various surfaces during manufacturing, shipping, and installation processes.
- Aluminum Extrusions: Custom-fabricated aluminum components supplied to diverse industries, including building & construction, automotive, and general industrial markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tredegar Corporation (symbol: TG) primarily operates as a business-to-business (B2B) supplier, manufacturing and selling specialized plastic films and components to other companies.
While Tredegar's SEC filings indicate a concentration of customers (e.g., one customer accounted for approximately 11% of net sales in 2023), the company does not publicly disclose the names of its major customer companies in its financial reports or investor materials. This is common practice for B2B component manufacturers due to competitive reasons and confidentiality agreements.
Based on Tredegar's product lines and business segments, its major customers would generally fall into the following categories:
- Manufacturers of Personal Care and Hygiene Products: Tredegar's Film Products segment produces polyethylene and polypropylene films, elastic films, and apertured films primarily used as components in disposable hygiene products such as baby diapers, adult incontinence products, and feminine hygiene products. Therefore, major global and regional consumer goods companies that manufacture these items would be key customers. Examples of such companies (though not confirmed Tredegar customers) might include Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB), and Unicharm.
- Electronics and Display Manufacturers: The company also produces surface protection films designed for the temporary protection of flat panel displays (e.g., during manufacturing, assembly, and transport of LCD/OLED screens for televisions, monitors, and mobile devices) and other sensitive surfaces. Companies involved in the production of electronics and displays would likely be customers for these specialized films.
- Industrial and Specialty Product Manufacturers: Tredegar's films are also utilized in various other industrial applications. This includes manufacturers requiring specialized films for protective packaging, release liners, or other technical applications where film properties like strength, elasticity, and barrier function are critical.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
John M. Steitz, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Steitz was named President and Chief Executive Officer of Tredegar Corporation in March 2019. He previously served as Chief Executive Officer of Addivant Corporation, a global supplier of polymer additives, from March 2015 until January 2019, and as President and Chief Operating Officer of PQ Corporation from October 2013 until March 2015. Mr. Steitz also served as Chief Operating Officer of Albemarle Corporation from April 2007 to March 2012. He was a director of Innophos Holdings, Inc., a producer of specialty grade phosphate products, from 2008 until its acquisition in 2020. Addivant, where he was CEO, merged with SI Group in 2018.
D. Andrew Edwards, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Edwards was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Tredegar Corporation effective August 6, 2020. He had previously served as Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since July 20, 2015, after returning to the company. Prior to rejoining Tredegar, he was Chief Financial Officer of United Sporting Companies, Inc. since February 2013. From December 2009 to February 2013, Mr. Edwards held various capacities as a Vice President of Owens & Minor, Inc., including Acting Chief Financial Officer and Controller and Chief Accounting Officer. He previously served in various roles at Tredegar from 1992 through 2009, including as the company's Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer from August 2003 to December 2009. Mr. Edwards is scheduled to retire effective December 31, 2025.
Kevin C. Donnelly, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Mr. Donnelly was named Executive Vice President and General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Tredegar Corporation effective January 1, 2025. He had been Vice President and General Counsel and Corporate Secretary since January 1, 2021, and joined Tredegar in 2010, serving as Associate General Counsel since 2013. Prior to Tredegar, he was an associate at Hunton & Williams LLP.
W. Brook Hamilton, President, Bonnell Aluminum
Mr. Hamilton serves as the President of Bonnell Aluminum, a subsidiary of Tredegar Corporation.
Arijit DasGupta, President, Surface Protection
Mr. DasGupta was named President of Tredegar’s Surface Protection business unit in August 2015. He has been with Tredegar since 2007, most recently as Vice President, Surface Protection for Tredegar Film Products. Before joining Tredegar, he held leadership positions at Johns Manville, Solutia, and Monsanto. Mr. DasGupta holds a Ph.D. and Master of Science in polymer science, an Executive MBA, and a Bachelor of Science in chemistry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Tredegar Corporation (TG) include significant customer concentration in its PE Films segment, the cyclical nature and economic sensitivity of its Aluminum Extrusions business, and vulnerability to raw material and energy cost volatility.
- Customer Concentration in PE Films: Tredegar's PE Films segment is highly dependent on a relatively small number of large customers. The top four customers for PE Films comprised approximately 16% of Tredegar's consolidated net sales in 2024. The loss or substantial reduction in sales from one or more of these key customers, without adequate replacement business, could have a material adverse effect on the company's financial condition.
- Cyclicality and Economic Dependence of Aluminum Extrusions: The sales volume and profitability of the Aluminum Extrusions segment are inherently cyclical and seasonal, with a strong reliance on broader economic conditions, particularly within the U.S. construction sector. Economic slowdowns can dampen demand for Tredegar's products, impacting this segment. Additionally, this segment has faced challenges such as manufacturing inefficiencies and tariff uncertainties, which have led to delayed orders and increased costs.
- Raw Material and Energy Cost Volatility: Tredegar's operational performance is significantly influenced by fluctuations in the costs of essential raw materials, such as aluminum for its Aluminum Extrusions segment and various resins for its PE Films, as well as energy inputs like natural gas, electricity, and diesel fuel. Rising raw material costs, specifically aluminum, have been noted as a factor eroding profit margins.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The global push towards sustainability and circular economy models poses a significant emerging threat to Tredegar's Film Products segment. As consumers, brands, and regulators demand reduced reliance on single-use plastics and favor recyclable, compostable, or bio-based alternatives, Tredegar faces pressure to innovate its film compositions. Failure to adapt quickly and cost-effectively to these evolving material requirements, or a significant shift in market preference towards reusable personal care products, could diminish demand for its traditional film products and impact market share.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) operates primarily in two main product areas: custom aluminum extrusions and surface protection films. The addressable markets for Tredegar's main products and services are as follows: * **Custom Aluminum Extrusions:** The global aluminum extrusion market was valued at 29.59 million tons in 2017 and is forecasted to increase by 8.45 million tons, growing at a CAGR of 4.7% between 2022 and 2027. These extrusions serve industries such as building and construction, automotive, consumer durables, machinery, and electrical markets in North America. * **Surface Protection Films:** The global surface protection films market was valued at USD 2.54 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach approximately USD 3.78 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.85% from 2024 to 2030. Another report indicates the global market reached US$ 1.3 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 2.0 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5.1% from 2024 to 2031. Tredegar's films are used for high-technology applications in the global electronics industry, as well as automotive and packaging industries, with products sold primarily in the U.S. and Asia. * **Polyethylene (PE) Films (including Overwrap Films):** The global polyethylene film market was valued at $82.6 billion in 2020 and is projected to reach $128.2 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2021 to 2030. The Asia-Pacific region accounted for approximately 46.0% of the global market share in 2020. Tredegar produces polyethylene and polypropylene plastic films, including overwrap films predominantly manufactured and sold in the U.S. * **Flexible Packaging Films:** Tredegar previously had a specialized polyester films business (Terphane) primarily for the Latin American flexible packaging market, which was sold in late 2024. The global flexible packaging market is projected to reach around USD 385.2 billion by 2033 from USD 236.5 billion in 2023, growing at a CAGR of 5.0%. As of 2023, the global flexible packaging market size was estimated at USD 270.96 billion and is expected to reach USD 373.34 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.8% from 2024 to 2030. Plastics dominated this market with a 69.08% revenue share in 2023.AI Analysis | Feedback
Tredegar Corporation (TG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key areas:
- Growth in the Aluminum Extrusions Segment: Tredegar's Aluminum Extrusions segment has demonstrated robust growth, with notable increases in sales volume. This growth is primarily attributed to increased demand within the nonresidential building and construction markets. The company remains optimistic about further expanding its market presence in this segment.
- Increased Sales Volume in Surface Protection Films (PE Films): The PE Films segment, specifically its surface protection films, has shown strong sales volume performance, even exceeding prior expectations. While some moderation is anticipated, this area is still considered a significant contributor to future revenue.
- Expansion of Market Presence: A general but consistent theme in Tredegar's outlook is its focus on expanding its market presence. This strategic initiative aims to sustain its upward growth trajectory across its business segments.
- Product Innovation and Performance Enhancement in PE Films: Tredegar's research and development efforts in its PE Films segment are concentrated on improving film performance in critical areas such as seal integrity, printability, and sustainability. These advancements are crucial for meeting evolving customer and regulatory demands, thereby supporting new applications and maintaining a competitive edge.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Tredegar did not repurchase any shares in the open market in 2022, 2023, or 2024 under its standing authorization.
- The maximum number of shares remaining under this authorization was 1,732,003 at December 31, 2024.
Share Issuance
- As of March 7, 2025, there were 34,676,675 shares of common stock held by shareholders of record, including 772,116 unvested restricted shares granted to employees.
- Issued and outstanding shares were 34,892,602 at September 30, 2025, compared to 34,661,272 shares at December 31, 2024.
Outbound Investments
- Tredegar completed the sale of its Flexible Packaging Films business (Terphane) on November 1, 2024, using the cash proceeds to pay down debt.
- In February 2025, the company received an additional $9.8 million from post-closing settlement of the Terphane transaction.
Capital Expenditures
- Management projects total capital expenditures of $19 million for 2025, with $17 million allocated to Aluminum Extrusions and $2 million to PE Films.
- These projected 2025 capital expenditures include $5 million for Aluminum Extrusions productivity projects, $1 million for PE Films productivity projects, and $13 million to support continuity of operations across both segments.
- Capital expenditures for the first six months of 2025 totaled $5.6 million.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TG.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01312026 | CR | Crane | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| 01302026 | FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -4.7% |
| 01302026 | PAYC | Paycom Software | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.0% | -8.0% | -15.1% |
| 01302026 | HTZ | Hertz Global | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -9.8% | -9.8% | -9.8% |
| 01232026 | PAYX | Paychex | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.4% | -14.4% | -18.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 58.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| Rev LTM | 4,270 |
| Op Inc LTM | 476 |
| FCF LTM | 227 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 257 |
| CFO LTM | 377 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 396 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 12.7 |
| P/E | 19.7 |
| P/CFO | 9.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -3.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -75.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $9.02 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/12/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -3.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $8.24 | $8.12 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 9.5% | 11.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.1% | 44.8% |
| Downside Capture | 33.98 | 129.68 |
| Upside Capture | 123.96 | 122.79 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.0% | 48.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.59 | 1.69 | 2.06 | 1.77 | 1.10 | 1.08 |
| Up Beta | 2.06 | 3.46 | 4.35 | 3.00 | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Down Beta | 2.70 | 1.94 | 1.73 | 1.28 | 1.02 | 1.10 |
| Up Capture | 445% | 151% | 241% | 147% | 148% | 61% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 21 | 30 | 59 | 122 | 365 |
| Down Capture | 98% | 84% | 101% | 166% | 122% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 119 | 358 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TG | 15.4% | 44.7% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 32.5% | 19.1% | 1.34 | 49.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.1% | 19.4% | 0.69 | 48.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 79.3% | 25.7% | 2.25 | 13.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 16.8% | 0.45 | 17.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.6% | 16.6% | 0.21 | 37.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.4% | 45.1% | -0.46 | 24.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TG | -7.7% | 43.4% | -0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.9% | 17.2% | 0.74 | 40.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.0% | 0.63 | 35.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.6% | 17.2% | 1.12 | 10.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.0% | 0.45 | 14.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 18.8% | 0.19 | 31.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 57.0% | 0.29 | 14.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TG | 5.4% | 45.9% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.1% | 19.8% | 0.67 | 48.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 44.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.1% | 15.6% | 0.81 | 5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 19.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.6% | 20.7% | 0.28 | 35.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.3% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 12.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | 9.2% | 34.0% | 21.0% |
| 8/8/2025 | -11.6% | -10.0% | -5.0% |
| 3/12/2025 | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| 11/8/2024 | -20.3% | -18.9% | -7.8% |
| 8/7/2024 | 7.4% | 9.4% | 21.9% |
| 3/15/2024 | 26.4% | 50.9% | 63.3% |
| 11/9/2023 | -0.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| 8/9/2023 | -20.3% | -21.7% | -12.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.9% |
| Median Negative | -10.1% | -14.0% | -6.4% |
| Max Positive | 26.4% | 50.9% | 63.3% |
| Max Negative | -20.3% | -21.7% | -12.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/12/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gottwald, William M | Footnote | Sell | 11192025 | 8.54 | 10,944 | 93,516 | 6,272,064 | Form | |
| 2 | Gottwald, William M | Footnote | Sell | 11192025 | 8.50 | 34 | 289 | 6,238,745 | Form | |
| 3 | Gottwald, James T | Footnote | Sell | 11192025 | 8.54 | 10,944 | 93,516 | 6,272,064 | Form | |
| 4 | Gottwald, James T | Footnote | Sell | 11192025 | 8.50 | 33 | 280 | 6,238,754 | Form | |
| 5 | Gottwald, John D | Footnote | Sell | 11192025 | 8.54 | 10,945 | 93,525 | 6,272,064 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.