Tearsheet

Progress Software (PRGS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $43.6 | Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Progress Software (PRGS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $43.6
Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 72%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Key risks
PRGS key risks include [1] significant legal and financial exposure from major cybersecurity vulnerabilities in its MOVEit product, Show more.
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
  
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.9%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software Security, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.9%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software Security, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
7 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
8 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 72%
9 Key risks
PRGS key risks include [1] significant legal and financial exposure from major cybersecurity vulnerabilities in its MOVEit product, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PRGS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -5.8% stock movement for Progress Software (PRGS) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Ongoing Liability from MOVEit Data Breach Lawsuit. The legal and financial uncertainties surrounding the May 2023 MOVEit file transfer app breach continued to be a significant concern for investors during this period. A Forbes article in November 2025 highlighted this lawsuit as "perhaps the biggest uncertainty for the company's future," noting that July 2025 court decisions largely denied motions to dismiss in bellwether cases, keeping the potential financial liability a live issue.

2. Concerns Regarding Quality of Earnings. Despite reporting strong fiscal Q3 2025 results, investor scrutiny was likely drawn to a decline in Progress's GAAP operating margin from 23% in Q3 2024 to 18% in Q3 2025, as mentioned in a November 2025 analysis. This, coupled with significant non-GAAP add-backs to earnings, could have raised questions about the underlying quality and sustainability of the company's profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PRGS Return11%8%6%9%21%-33%12%
Peers Return33%26%-16%53%12%10%163%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PRGS Win Rate42%58%58%67%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate63%65%33%68%52%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PRGS Max Drawdown-28%-11%-13%-1%-11%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-11%-29%-7%-15%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IBM, MSFT, ORCL, ADBE, QLYS. See PRGS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPRGSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven555 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,061 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven430 days1,480 days

Compare to DDOG, DT, ESTC, AGPU, AIXC


In The Past

Progress Software's stock fell -22.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -22.3% loss requires a 28.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Progress Software (PRGS)

Better Bets than Progress Software (PRGS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PRGS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
PRGS_2282018_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02282018PRGSProgress SoftwareQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-12.7%-20.3%-33.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
PRGS_2282018_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02282018PRGSProgress SoftwareQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-12.7%-20.3%-33.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Progress Software

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PRGSIBMMSFTORCLADBEQLYSMedian
NameProgress.Internat.MicrosoftOracle Adobe Qualys  
Mkt Price43.61303.32476.12178.46354.66141.95240.89
Mkt Cap1.9283.33,539.0805.5150.05.1216.6
Rev LTM94065,402293,81261,01723,18165342,099
Op Inc LTM17411,544135,93719,4908,4022139,973
FCF LTM18611,85478,017-13,1819,5992714,935
FCF 3Y Avg19411,75371,3022,1557,9252435,040
CFO LTM19213,483147,03922,2969,79228111,638
CFO 3Y Avg19913,498121,38419,8748,18525510,841

Growth & Margins

PRGSIBMMSFTORCLADBEQLYSMedian
NameProgress.Internat.MicrosoftOracle Adobe Qualys  
Rev Chg LTM31.4%4.5%15.6%11.1%10.7%10.1%10.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.6%2.6%13.2%9.8%10.5%11.7%11.1%
Rev Chg Q39.8%9.1%18.4%14.2%10.7%10.4%12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.2%2.1%4.3%3.4%2.6%2.5%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM18.5%17.7%46.3%31.9%36.2%32.5%32.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.4%16.4%44.6%30.8%35.4%30.3%30.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%0.6%0.6%0.3%-0.1%1.5%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM20.4%20.6%50.0%36.5%42.2%43.1%39.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.2%21.4%47.2%35.5%39.0%43.0%37.2%
FCF/Rev LTM19.8%18.1%26.6%-21.6%41.4%41.6%23.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.5%18.6%28.0%5.1%37.7%40.9%26.8%

Valuation

PRGSIBMMSFTORCLADBEQLYSMedian
NameProgress.Internat.MicrosoftOracle Adobe Qualys  
Mkt Cap1.9283.33,539.0805.5150.05.1216.6
P/S2.04.013.113.27.17.37.2
P/EBIT13.823.229.6-18.822.422.4
P/E38.933.336.752.223.525.235.0
P/CFO9.819.526.236.116.716.918.2
Total Yield2.6%5.4%3.4%2.6%4.3%4.0%3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.4%0.6%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.4%6.4%2.3%-4.0%4.9%4.9%
D/E0.80.30.0-0.00.00.0
Net D/E0.70.2-0.0-0.0-0.10.0

Returns

PRGSIBMMSFTORCLADBEQLYSMedian
NameProgress.Internat.MicrosoftOracle Adobe Qualys  
1M Rtn9.6%2.1%-6.2%-18.8%9.1%1.8%1.9%
3M Rtn4.1%17.7%-6.5%-40.7%-2.0%7.4%1.0%
6M Rtn-30.8%8.4%-0.5%-15.0%-6.2%3.5%-3.3%
12M Rtn-36.7%35.9%5.5%6.2%-22.1%-2.7%1.4%
3Y Rtn-12.5%141.5%99.2%132.7%4.8%25.1%62.2%
1M Excs Rtn8.9%1.3%-6.9%-19.6%8.4%1.1%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-1.0%13.7%-7.5%-41.1%-4.8%3.2%-2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-43.2%-4.0%-12.9%-27.4%-18.6%-8.9%-15.7%
12M Excs Rtn-47.8%23.7%-3.8%-7.1%-34.9%-14.9%-11.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.3%58.4%24.6%59.4%-63.6%-49.9%-12.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Software products for the development, deployment, and management of responsible, artificial602531442 
Application Development and Deployment   76
Data Connectivity and Integration   40
OpenEdge   297
Total602531442413


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,090,520
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.3%
Average Daily Volume561,293
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.07
Basic Shares Quantity42,988,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/29/20253.1%9.5%7.5%
6/30/2025-13.0%-19.3%-24.7%
1/21/2025-9.9%-11.9%-11.0%
9/9/2024-2.5%0.6%14.2%
6/25/202412.8%12.6%17.9%
3/26/2024-0.0%-2.0%-3.7%
1/16/20245.5%11.4%3.5%
9/26/2023-4.8%-7.0%-9.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111013
# Negative121310
Median Positive3.2%7.1%9.6%
Median Negative-5.0%-6.0%-6.9%
Max Positive14.9%12.6%18.4%
Max Negative-13.0%-19.3%-24.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
8312025929202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025630202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025331202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024121202510-K 11/30/2024
83120241008202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024708202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024408202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023126202410-K 11/30/2023
83120231010202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023707202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023407202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022127202310-K 11/30/2022
83120221006202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022707202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022407202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021127202210-K 11/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Gawlick Rainer 8132025Buy43.481,71074,3512,415,053Form
1Gupta Yogesh KChief Executive Officer7242025Buy49.142,100103,19411,419,939Form
2KRALL DAVID 7242025Buy48.905,125250,6124,894,401Form
3Pitt IanChief Information Officer7022025Sell65.212,186142,549424,713Form
4Subramanian SundarEVP/GM Infrastructure Mgmt7022025Sell60.3050130,2101,698,591Form