Progress Software (PRGS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $43.11 | Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Progress Software (PRGS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $43.11Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 72% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.08, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% | ||
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.9% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software Security, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software Security, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.08, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 72% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PRGS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -6.3% movement in Progress Software (PRGS) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Decline in GAAP Operating Margin: Despite reporting better-than-expected revenue and earnings per share for its third quarter of 2025, which ended on August 31, 2025, Progress Software saw its GAAP operating margin decrease from 23% in Q3 2024 to 18% in Q3 2025. This indicated a tightening of profitability.
2. Significant Decrease in Cash and Equivalents: Progress Software experienced a notable drop in its cash and cash equivalents, which fell by 57.5% year-over-year from $233 million to $99 million in the third quarter of 2025. This reduction in liquidity can raise concerns among investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRGS Return | 11% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 21% | -34% | 10% |
| Peers Return | 90% | 26% | -38% | 57% | 1% | -9% | 114% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRGS Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 46% | 25% | 44% | 42% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRGS Max Drawdown | -28% | -11% | -13% | -1% | -11% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -16% | -43% | -7% | -19% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DDOG, DT, ESTC, CHOW, ECST. See PRGS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRGS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 555 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1061 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 430 days | 1480 days |
Compare to DDOG, DT, ESTC, CHOW, ECST
In The Past
Progress Software's stock fell -22.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -22.3% loss requires a 28.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PRGS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 02282018 | PRGS | Progress Software | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -12.7% | -20.3% | -33.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 02282018 | PRGS | Progress Software | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -12.7% | -20.3% | -33.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Progress Software
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,702 |
| Op Inc LTM | 72 |
| FCF LTM | 393 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 303 |
| CFO LTM | 412 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 320 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 22.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 23.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 22.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.7 |
| P/S | 6.8 |
| P/EBIT | 214.1 |
| P/E | 33.9 |
| P/CFO | 28.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -28.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 23.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -28.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -39.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 9292025 | 10-Q 8/31/2025 |
| 5312025 | 6302025 | 10-Q 5/31/2025 |
| 2282025 | 3312025 | 10-Q 2/28/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1212025 | 10-K 11/30/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10082024 | 10-Q 8/31/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7082024 | 10-Q 5/31/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4082024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1262024 | 10-K 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10102023 | 10-Q 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7072023 | 10-Q 5/31/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4072023 | 10-Q 2/28/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1272023 | 10-K 11/30/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10062022 | 10-Q 8/31/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7072022 | 10-Q 5/31/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4072022 | 10-Q 2/28/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1272022 | 10-K 11/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Gawlick Rainer | 8132025 | Buy | 43.48 | 1,710 | 74,351 | 2,415,053 | Form | |
| 1 | Gupta Yogesh K | Chief Executive Officer | 7242025 | Buy | 49.14 | 2,100 | 103,194 | 11,419,939 | Form |
| 2 | KRALL DAVID | 7242025 | Buy | 48.90 | 5,125 | 250,612 | 4,894,401 | Form | |
| 3 | Pitt Ian | Chief Information Officer | 7022025 | Sell | 65.21 | 2,186 | 142,549 | 424,713 | Form |
| 4 | Subramanian Sundar | EVP/GM Infrastructure Mgmt | 7022025 | Sell | 60.30 | 501 | 30,210 | 1,698,591 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |