Tearsheet

T1 Energy (TE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.53 | Market Cap: $890.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

T1 Energy (TE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.53
Market Cap: $890.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -75%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -123 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Smart Metering, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 269%
2  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
3  Key risks
TE key risks include [1] severe financial distress, Show more.
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -75%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Smart Metering, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -123 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 269%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
5 Key risks
TE key risks include [1] severe financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why T1 Energy (TE) stock moved by 228% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Significant Expansion of U.S. Manufacturing Capacity. T1 Energy commenced construction on its G2_Austin solar cell manufacturing facility in Texas in December 2025. This project represents an anticipated investment of $400 to $425 million, with the first phase expected to have an annual capacity of 2.1 GW of high-efficiency TOPCon solar cells and begin production by the end of 2026, significantly expanding the U.S. solar supply chain.

2. Strong Production and Sales Forecasts. By the second quarter of 2025, the company's G1_Dallas facility had surpassed 1 GW of cumulative production and was reported as "sold out" for 2025 based on its production plan. Furthermore, T1 Energy anticipated a "meaningful ramp" in G1_Dallas production, sales, and EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2025, expecting Q4 module sales to exceed the total sales of the first three quarters of 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TE Return
Peers Return-13%13%-35%-55%53%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TE Win Rate67% 
Peers Win Rate83%38%52%37%35%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TE Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-38%-54%-63%-49% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FSLR, ENPH, SEDG, CSIQ, STEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TE has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,463 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About T1 Energy (TE)

Better Bets than T1 Energy (TE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1T1 Energy Earnings Notes 
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0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for T1 Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TEFSLRENPHSEDGCSIQSTEMMedian
NameT1 EnergyFirst So.Enphase .SolarEdg.Canadian.Stem  
Mkt Price5.42254.0331.6128.9223.3315.9226.12
Mkt Cap0.427.24.11.71.60.11.6
Rev LTM4004,3431,5121,0455,8991651,279
Op Inc LTM-1231,362207-471-20-94-57
FCF LTM-55-94321763-1,734-24-40
FCF 3Y Avg-186-557454-229-1,575-107-208
CFO LTM2229925689-121-1656
CFO 3Y Avg-52762518-1102-94-25

Growth & Margins

TEFSLRENPHSEDGCSIQSTEMMedian
NameT1 EnergyFirst So.Enphase .SolarEdg.Canadian.Stem  
Rev Chg LTM-15.4%21.0%2.4%-4.5%-35.6%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-20.6%0.5%-13.6%-4.6%-2.0%-2.0%
Rev Chg Q-8.6%7.8%44.5%-1.3%30.5%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM111.3%2.0%2.0%11.1%-0.3%5.7%3.9%
Op Mgn LTM-30.7%31.3%13.7%-45.1%-0.3%-57.3%-15.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-22.9%12.9%-57.7%2.9%-55.1%2.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM21.4%-0.9%0.9%95.1%0.6%20.9%10.9%
CFO/Rev LTM5.6%6.9%16.9%8.6%-2.1%-9.7%6.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-21.7%27.1%-12.5%-1.0%-24.4%-1.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-13.7%-21.7%14.4%6.0%-29.4%-14.8%-14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--14.8%23.7%-19.9%-25.5%-29.1%-19.9%

Valuation

TEFSLRENPHSEDGCSIQSTEMMedian
NameT1 EnergyFirst So.Enphase .SolarEdg.Canadian.Stem  
Mkt Cap0.427.24.11.71.60.11.6
P/S0.95.43.12.10.30.91.5
P/EBIT-17.119.1-3.2-363.41.21.2
P/E-0.618.823.7-3.997.91.410.1
P/CFO15.879.118.124.5-13.0-9.116.9
Total Yield-155.5%5.3%4.2%-25.6%1.0%69.9%2.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--2.6%3.9%-15.8%-150.6%-714.2%-15.8%
D/E-0.00.30.24.72.20.3
Net D/E--0.0-0.1-0.03.61.9-0.0

Returns

TEFSLRENPHSEDGCSIQSTEMMedian
NameT1 EnergyFirst So.Enphase .SolarEdg.Canadian.Stem  
1M Rtn70.4%0.2%14.8%-15.6%-18.0%2.2%1.2%
3M Rtn206.2%20.6%-18.4%-15.2%89.4%-9.5%5.5%
6M Rtn268.7%76.8%-13.1%70.3%120.1%3,555.6%98.5%
12M Rtn-34.9%-56.9%101.3%99.9%118.6%99.9%
3Y Rtn-63.8%-89.6%-91.0%-31.6%-92.8%-89.6%
1M Excs Rtn69.7%-0.5%14.1%-16.3%-18.8%1.5%0.5%
3M Excs Rtn190.0%19.8%-19.1%-18.0%96.9%-8.4%5.7%
6M Excs Rtn256.3%64.4%-25.5%57.9%107.7%3,543.2%86.1%
12M Excs Rtn-16.1%-68.3%105.6%72.8%111.0%72.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-0.6%-158.6%-159.2%-98.7%-161.0%-158.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment73262762716
Total73262762716


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,151,597
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.2%
Average Daily Volume10,061,015
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.31
Basic Shares Quantity160,977,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/2025-3.7%-22.1% 
8/20/2025-8.9%10.3%27.4%
3/17/20255.9%-2.0%-27.0%
11/6/2024   
8/9/2024   
2/29/2024   
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative555
Median Positive5.9%10.3%27.4%
Median Negative-6.3%-12.0%-27.0%
Max Positive5.9%10.3%27.4%
Max Negative-8.9%-22.1%-27.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025819202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021