Tearsheet

Canadian Solar (CSIQ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $23.295 | Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Canadian Solar (CSIQ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $23.295
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 357%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 98x
3   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 120%
4   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3%
5   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
6   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 51%
7   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
8   Key risks
CSIQ key risks include [1] vulnerability to potentially catastrophic retroactive US tariffs and Foreign Entity of Concern (FEOC) restrictions due to its significant manufacturing operations in China, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 357%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 98x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 120%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
9 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 51%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
11 Key risks
CSIQ key risks include [1] vulnerability to potentially catastrophic retroactive US tariffs and Foreign Entity of Concern (FEOC) restrictions due to its significant manufacturing operations in China, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CSIQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Canadian Solar (CSIQ) experienced a significant stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results and Exceeded Guidance. Canadian Solar reported strong Q2 2025 results on August 21, 2025, with a 14% quarter-over-quarter increase in solar module shipments to 7.9 GW, within guidance, and a gross margin of 29.8%, exceeding guidance of 23% to 25%. This strong performance likely set a positive tone for the stock leading into the specified period.

2. Exceeding Q3 2025 Revenue Expectations. On November 13, 2025, Canadian Solar announced its Q3 2025 financial results, reporting revenue of $1.5 billion, which surpassed analyst consensus estimates of $1.37 billion to $1.39 billion. This revenue beat, despite a wider-than-expected earnings loss, led to a significant positive market reaction with pre-market trading showing an upward movement of over 12% and the stock being up over 80% in the month leading to the announcement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CSIQ Return132%-39%-1%-15%-58%109%5%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CSIQ Win Rate83%33%50%42%25%58% 
Peers Win Rate46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CSIQ Max Drawdown-40%-41%-28%-38%-59%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FSLR, ENPH, SEDG, FLNC, SPWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCSIQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven233.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven268 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1600.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,306 days1,480 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Canadian Solar's stock fell -70.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/21/2021. A -70.1% loss requires a 233.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Canadian Solar (CSIQ)

Better Bets than Canadian Solar (CSIQ)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CSIQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Canadian Solar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CSIQFSLRENPHSEDGFLNCSPWRMedian
NameCanadian.First So.Enphase .SolarEdg.Fluence .SunPower  
Mkt Price23.33254.0331.6128.9218.571.7026.12
Mkt Cap1.627.24.11.72.40.12.1
Rev LTM5,8994,3431,5121,0452,2632441,888
Op Inc LTM-201,362207-471-46-53-33
FCF LTM-1,734-94321763-175-54-115
FCF 3Y Avg-1,575-557454-229-80--229
CFO LTM-12129925689-146-5418
CFO 3Y Avg2762518-110-59-2

Growth & Margins

CSIQFSLRENPHSEDGFLNCSPWRMedian
NameCanadian.First So.Enphase .SolarEdg.Fluence .SunPower  
Rev Chg LTM-4.5%15.4%21.0%2.4%-16.1%308.5%8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.6%20.6%0.5%-13.6%30.2%-0.5%
Rev Chg Q-1.3%8.6%7.8%44.5%-15.2%1,403.2%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%2.0%2.0%11.1%-7.6%34.7%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-0.3%31.3%13.7%-45.1%-2.0%-21.7%-1.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.9%22.9%12.9%-57.7%-2.0%-49.6%0.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.9%0.9%95.1%-0.9%11.3%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.1%6.9%16.9%8.6%-6.4%-22.1%2.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.0%21.7%27.1%-12.5%-2.8%--1.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-29.4%-21.7%14.4%6.0%-7.7%-22.2%-14.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-25.5%-14.8%23.7%-19.9%-3.7%--14.8%

Valuation

CSIQFSLRENPHSEDGFLNCSPWRMedian
NameCanadian.First So.Enphase .SolarEdg.Fluence .SunPower  
Mkt Cap1.627.24.11.72.40.12.1
P/S0.35.43.12.11.10.61.6
P/EBIT-363.417.119.1-3.2-52.5-7.5-5.3
P/E97.918.823.7-3.9-50.4-3.37.8
P/CFO-13.079.118.124.5-16.7-2.87.7
Total Yield1.0%5.3%4.2%-25.6%-2.0%-30.4%-0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-150.6%-2.6%3.9%-15.8%-5.0%--5.0%
D/E4.70.00.30.20.21.10.2
Net D/E3.6-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.11.0-0.0

Returns

CSIQFSLRENPHSEDGFLNCSPWRMedian
NameCanadian.First So.Enphase .SolarEdg.Fluence .SunPower  
1M Rtn-18.0%0.2%14.8%-15.6%7.8%8.3%4.0%
3M Rtn89.4%20.6%-18.4%-15.2%149.6%7.6%14.1%
6M Rtn120.1%76.8%-13.1%70.3%233.4%4.9%73.6%
12M Rtn99.9%34.9%-56.9%101.3%9.0%-34.9%
3Y Rtn-31.6%63.8%-89.6%-91.0%-6.8%--31.6%
1M Excs Rtn-18.8%-0.5%14.1%-16.3%7.0%7.5%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn96.9%19.8%-19.1%-18.0%133.1%1.7%10.8%
6M Excs Rtn107.7%64.4%-25.5%57.9%221.0%-7.4%61.2%
12M Excs Rtn72.8%16.1%-68.3%105.6%-2.9%-16.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-98.7%0.6%-158.6%-159.2%-60.5%--98.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Canadian Solar Infrastructure (CSI) Solar7,2316,9764,3723,1052,591
Recurrent Energy4988221,124726719
Elimination and unallocated items-115-329-219-355-109
Total7,6147,4695,2773,4763,201


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Canadian Solar Infrastructure (CSI) Solar45634474253268
Recurrent Energy9780975319
Elimination and unallocated items-99-6819-86-28
Total453356190220259


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,472,274
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-20.6%
Average Daily Volume6,484,359
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.62
Basic Shares Quantity67,620,463
Short % of Basic Shares15.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111320256-K 9/30/2025
630202582120256-K 6/30/2025
331202551520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024430202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024120520246-K 9/30/2024
630202482220246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023426202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202382220236-K 6/30/2023
331202351820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022418202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022112220226-K 9/30/2022
630202281820226-K 6/30/2022
331202252420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021428202220-F 12/31/2021