Tearsheet

Canadian Solar (CSIQ)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $28.57 | Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Canadian Solar (CSIQ)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $28.57
Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -54 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 274%
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 168%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -54 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 274%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 168%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CSIQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 149% stock movement for Canadian Solar (CSIQ) from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Canadian Solar reported net revenues of $1.5 billion for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, hitting the high end of its guidance. The company also achieved a gross margin of 17.2%, exceeding its guidance range of 14% to 16%. This strong revenue performance, despite an earnings per share (EPS) miss, was a significant positive for investor sentiment.

2. Record Battery Energy Storage Shipments and Backlog Growth: The company's e-STORAGE subsidiary reported record quarterly battery energy storage shipments of 2.7 GWh in Q3 2025, surpassing its own guidance. Furthermore, the contracted backlog for e-STORAGE increased to $3.1 billion by October 31, 2025, signaling robust demand and future revenue potential in the energy storage market.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CSIQ Return132%-39%-1%-15%-58%157%30%
Peers Return46%17%-5%13%-4%4%83%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CSIQ Win Rate83%33%50%42%25%60% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%32%42%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CSIQ Max Drawdown-40%-41%-28%-38%-59%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-30%-12%-16%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCSIQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven233.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven268 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1600.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4306 days1480 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Canadian Solar's stock fell -70.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/21/2021. A -70.1% loss requires a 233.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Canadian Solar (CSIQ)

Better Bets than Canadian Solar (CSIQ)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CSIQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-5.2%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.2%6.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-5.2%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.2%6.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Canadian Solar

Financials

CSIQQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameCanadian.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price28.62174.50256.59123.7034.7525.8779.22
Mkt Cap1.9188.127.54.11.9-4.1
Rev LTM5,91944,2844,343743446692,543
Op Inc LTM-5412,3941,362-965-38-16
FCF LTM-2,04712,820-9437480-2127
FCF 3Y Avg-1,46111,277-557-165--1
CFO LTM-24014,01229997100-1699
CFO 3Y Avg6312,5047621985-85

Growth & Margins

CSIQQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameCanadian.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM-9.1%13.7%15.4%47.1%10.5%-13.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.4%1.2%20.6%-0.7%-12.3%--0.4%
Rev Chg Q3.6%10.0%8.6%23.8%2.7%-8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%2.4%2.0%5.6%0.7%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-0.9%28.0%31.3%-12.9%1.2%-54.6%0.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.1%25.9%22.9%-15.6%5.4%-5.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.4%-0.2%-0.9%3.2%-3.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-4.1%31.6%6.9%13.1%22.5%-22.6%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.1%31.5%21.7%2.8%19.4%-19.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-34.6%28.9%-21.7%9.9%17.9%-29.7%-5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-23.2%28.4%-14.8%0.1%14.8%-0.1%

Valuation

CSIQQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameCanadian.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap1.9188.127.54.11.9-4.1
P/S0.34.26.35.54.4-4.4
P/EBIT-70.214.119.9-49.4363.2-14.1
P/E-278.733.921.9-47.2108.1-21.9
P/CFO-8.013.492.141.719.4-19.4
Total Yield-0.4%5.0%4.6%-2.1%3.4%-3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%2.4%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-166.2%7.0%-2.6%-0.1%2.2%--0.1%
D/E3.70.10.00.00.0-0.0
Net D/E2.70.0-0.0-0.1-0.1--0.0

Returns

CSIQQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameCanadian.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn82.1%7.9%14.3%-5.4%-26.1%-19.3%1.2%
3M Rtn145.0%11.0%42.5%-7.1%-26.1%-31.5%2.0%
6M Rtn167.7%15.7%37.8%-7.1%-35.4%-15.7%
12M Rtn140.3%11.2%40.9%16.8%-44.3%-16.8%
3Y Rtn-19.9%54.8%67.0%-11.2%-53.1%--11.2%
1M Excs Rtn80.1%6.1%4.0%-10.9%-29.8%-19.1%-3.5%
3M Excs Rtn123.6%6.7%23.9%-9.8%-29.1%-36.3%-1.5%
6M Excs Rtn153.9%1.8%24.0%-21.0%-49.3%-1.8%
12M Excs Rtn115.2%-6.2%20.1%1.9%-58.0%-1.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.4%-9.8%-1.8%-80.0%-125.9%--80.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Canadian Solar Infrastructure (CSI) Solar7,2316,9764,3723,1052,591
Recurrent Energy4988221,124726719
Elimination and unallocated items-115-329-219-355-109
Total7,6147,4695,2773,4763,201


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Canadian Solar Infrastructure (CSI) Solar45634474253268
Recurrent Energy9780975319
Elimination and unallocated items-99-6819-86-28
Total453356190220259


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,443,566
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202512.1%
Average Daily Volume3,500,336
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.98
Basic Shares Quantity67,167,296
Short % of Basic Shares15.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202582120256-K 6/30/2025
331202551520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024430202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024120520246-K 9/30/2024
630202482220246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023426202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202382220236-K 6/30/2023
331202351820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022418202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022112220226-K 9/30/2022
630202281820226-K 6/30/2022
331202252420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021428202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021111820216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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