Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS)
Market Price (3/8/2026): $73.24 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS)
Market Price (3/8/2026): $73.24Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 147% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. | Key risksTARS key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the commercial success of its single product, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 147% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% |
| Key risksTARS key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the commercial success of its single product, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Delayed Profitability Projections: Despite strong Q4 and full-year 2025 net product sales for XDEMVY, Tarsus Pharmaceuticals reported a GAAP EPS of -$0.20, missing analyst consensus by $0.01 for Q4 2025. The company also adjusted its expectation for profitability to 2027, a delay that introduced "cash-flow conversion risk" and negatively impacted investor sentiment.
2. Anticipated First Quarter Seasonality in 2026 Guidance: While Tarsus projected robust 2026 net product sales between $670 million and $700 million, management explicitly noted that annual revenue growth is "not anticipated to be linear" and that typical first-quarter seasonality, including deductible resets affecting patient visits and increasing gross-to-net discounts, is expected to impact growth. This forward-looking caution regarding near-term linearity may have tempered investor enthusiasm.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.4% change in TARS stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 79.96 | 73.26 | -8.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 366 | 451 | 23.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.3 | 6.9 | -25.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 43 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TARS | -8.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.6% | 26.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | -3.1% | 13.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.1% change in TARS stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 52.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.58 | 73.26 | 25.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 296 | 451 | 52.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.4 | 6.9 | -17.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 43 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.1% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TARS | 25.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.5% | 16.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 11.6% | 12.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 64.7% change in TARS stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 146.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 44.48 | 73.26 | 64.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 183 | 451 | 146.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.4 | 6.9 | -26.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 39 | 43 | -9.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 64.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TARS | 64.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.2% | 23.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 3.9% | 23.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 373.0% change in TARS stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 2694.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.49 | 73.26 | 373.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16 | 451 | 2694.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 25.6 | 6.9 | -72.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27 | 43 | -37.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 373.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TARS | 373.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.0% | 17.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 25.7% | 15.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TARS Return | -46% | -35% | 38% | 173% | 48% | -9% | 81% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 6% | 8% | 28% | 17% | -4% | 45% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TARS Win Rate | 25% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 53% | 47% | 53% | 53% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TARS Max Drawdown | -49% | -51% | -21% | -3% | -30% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -30% | -26% | -15% | -36% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BLCO, ABBV, REGN, OCUL, ALDX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TARS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 326.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 910 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 12 days | 148 days |
Compare to BLCO, ABBV, REGN, OCUL, ALDX
In The Past
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -76.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -76.6% loss requires a 326.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS):
- A specialized biotech, similar to Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), but dedicated to innovative treatments for specific eye and skin conditions.
- A smaller, focused Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), developing specialized drugs for unmet needs in eye and skin diseases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- XDEMVY (Lotilaner ophthalmic solution): The first and only FDA-approved treatment for *Demodex* blepharitis.
- TP-04 (Lotilaner topical gel): An investigational therapeutic currently in clinical development for rosacea.
- TP-05 (Oral Lotilaner): An investigational therapeutic currently in clinical development for the prevention of Lyme disease.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS) Major Customers
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS) primarily sells its products, such as XDEMVY (lotilaner ophthalmic solution) 0.25% for the treatment of Demodex blepharitis, to pharmaceutical wholesalers. These wholesalers then distribute the products to retail pharmacies, hospitals, and other healthcare providers.
Based on their public filings, the major customer companies (pharmaceutical wholesalers) include:
- AmerisourceBergen Corporation (NYSE: COR)
- Cardinal Health, Inc. (NYSE: CAH)
- McKesson Corporation (NYSE: MCK)
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Here is the information about the Tarsus Pharmaceuticals management team:Bobak Azamian, M.D., Ph.D. Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Bobby co-founded Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. with Michael Ackermann in November 2016 and has served as its President and CEO since September 2018, and as Chairman since December 2022. He has co-founded and led other novel therapeutics companies, including Vibrato Medical and Metavention, and currently serves on the board of Vibrato Medical and as Chairman of the board of Osanni Bio. Prior to his entrepreneurial career, Dr. Azamian began his biotechnology career at Versant Ventures and Third Rock Ventures, where he was an investor and board observer for various life sciences companies. He trained as a physician scientist, completing his residency in internal medicine and serving as an attending hospitalist at Brigham and Women's Hospital. He received an M.D. from Harvard Medical School (Harvard-MIT Health Sciences and Technology) and a Ph.D. in chemistry from Oxford University as a Rhodes Scholar.
Jeff Farrow Chief Financial Officer and Chief Strategy Officer
Jeff Farrow was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Chief Strategy Officer of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, effective April 2023, replacing Leo Greenstein. Prior to joining Tarsus, Jeff served as Chief Financial Officer at Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. (GBT), where he played a significant role in securing regulatory approval and commercializing Oxbryta® for sickle cell disease. Before GBT, he was CFO at ZS Pharma, a company that developed a therapy for hyperkalemia before its acquisition by AstraZeneca. He also served as CFO of Hyperion Therapeutics, Inc., a pharmaceutical company that successfully commercialized Ravicti® for urea cycle disorders. Earlier in his career, Jeff worked in the audit practice of KPMG LLP.
Sesha Neervannan, Ph.D. Chief Operating Officer
Sesha Neervannan has over 25 years of global drug development experience with novel therapeutics. Before joining Tarsus, he was a Senior Vice President of Global Pharmaceutical Development at Allergan (an AbbVie company), where he oversaw product development for small molecules and biologics and contributed to regulatory filings and approvals for multiple ocular, oral, and dermal product candidates. His work at Allergan included novel intra-ocular, sustained-release injectables (Ozurdex®, Durysta®), a multidose non-preserved drug product (Restasis® Multidose), topical dermal products (Rhofade® Cream, Aczone® Gel 7.5%), and several Rx and OTC topical ophthalmic products. Prior to Allergan, he was Director, Pharmaceutics R&D, at Amgen Inc.
Aziz Mottiwala Chief Commercial Officer
Aziz Mottiwala has over 20 years of leadership experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, covering all aspects of commercialization in several therapeutic areas, with over 10 years in the eye care space. Before joining Tarsus, Aziz was Chief Commercial Officer at Opiant Pharmaceuticals, overseeing commercial strategy for the company's addiction medicine portfolio. Prior to that, he was Senior Vice President and Head of Commercial at Avanir Pharmaceuticals.
Elizabeth Yeu, M.D. Chief Medical Officer
Elizabeth Yeu has over 20 years of clinical ophthalmology and eye care leadership experience. Before becoming CMO, Dr. Yeu served as Tarsus' Chief Medical Advisor since 2020 and as a Board member since 2021. She is also a partner at Virginia Eye Consultants and an Executive Committee member and current Secretary for the American Society of Cataract and Refractive Surgery (ASCRS), and is slated to be President of the ASCRS in 2023. Dr. Yeu serves as Board Chair of STAAR Surgical.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to the business of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS):- Heavy Reliance on a Single Commercial Product and Limited Operating History: Tarsus Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with a limited operating history, and its financial performance is substantially dependent on the success of its flagship product, XDEMVY (lotilaner ophthalmic solution) 0.25%, for Demodex blepharitis. Any factors affecting XDEMVY's market acceptance, such as competition, regulatory changes, or manufacturing issues, could significantly impact the company's revenue and overall financial health.
- Ongoing Significant Losses and Negative Cash Flows: Since its inception, Tarsus Pharmaceuticals has consistently incurred significant losses and negative cash flows from operations, a trend it anticipates will continue for the foreseeable future. While the company currently maintains cash reserves, these financial challenges necessitate careful resource management and may require Tarsus to secure additional funding to sustain operations, advance its pipeline, and fund commercialization efforts, particularly given its intensive research and development (R&D) and marketing expenditures.
- Inherent Risks of Clinical Drug Development: The development of Tarsus's pipeline product candidates, such as TP-04 for ocular rosacea and TP-05 for Lyme disease, is a lengthy, expensive, and inherently risky process with uncertain timelines and outcomes. Delays or failures in clinical trials to meet safety or efficacy endpoints, or an inability to secure necessary regulatory approvals, would adversely affect future revenue streams and the company's long-term growth prospects. Additionally, the company's reliance on third parties for conducting clinical trials and manufacturing introduces further operational and supply chain risks.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (symbol: TARS) focuses on developing and commercializing therapeutic candidates for eye care and infectious disease prevention. The addressable markets for their main products and pipeline candidates are as follows:
XDEMVY (lotilaner ophthalmic solution) for Demodex Blepharitis
- Addressable Market Size: Approximately 25 million people in the U.S. suffer from Demodex blepharitis.
- Region: U.S.
- The global blepharitis drug market, which includes treatments for Demodex blepharitis, was valued at USD 1.14 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1.75 billion by 2033.
TP-04 for Ocular Rosacea
- Addressable Market Size: Ocular Rosacea affects an estimated 15-18 million Americans.
- Region: U.S.
TP-05 for Lyme Disease Prophylaxis
- Addressable Market Size: Estimates for annual cases of Lyme disease in the United States range from approximately 300,000 to 400,000.
- Region: U.S. (for annual cases). The broader Lyme disease market across the top 7 markets (US, EU4, UK, and Japan) reached USD 632.4 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1,281.9 million by 2035.
TP-05 for Community Malaria Reduction
- Addressable Market Size: Globally, there are approximately 247 million malaria cases and more than 600,000 deaths worldwide.
- Region: Global
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: TARS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives, primarily centered around its flagship product, XDEMVY, and the advancement of its pipeline:
- Continued Robust Adoption and Increased Prescription Volumes of XDEMVY in the U.S. Market: XDEMVY, approved for Demodex blepharitis, is a significant revenue generator, with Tarsus reporting strong net product sales and bottle dispensations in its first full year in the market. The company is actively expanding its sales force, which grew from 100 to 150 representatives, and leveraging direct-to-consumer (DTC) campaigns to increase patient awareness and drive potential patients to eye care professional (ECP) offices. Tarsus also aims to encourage ECPs to move from monthly to more frequent prescribing patterns. The company has achieved broad commercial and Medicare coverage, extending to over 90% of covered lives.
- International Expansion of XDEMVY: Tarsus is actively pursuing global market penetration for XDEMVY. The company anticipates a potential European regulatory submission in 2026, with approval expected in 2027, for a preservative-free formulation of XDEMVY. Additionally, discussions are ongoing with regulatory authorities in Japan to determine a path forward for Demodex blepharitis, and a marketing application for XDEMVY has been accepted in China. Successful expansion into these international markets would significantly broaden XDEMVY's revenue base.
- Advancement and Potential Launch of Pipeline Products: Beyond XDEMVY, Tarsus is developing a robust pipeline of other potential category-creating therapeutics. Key candidates include TP-03 for the treatment of Meibomian Gland Disease (MGD), which is currently in Phase 2a clinical trials. The successful progression and potential launch of TP-03, particularly given its focus on eye care, within the 2-3 year timeframe could provide an additional stream of revenue. Tarsus is also advancing TP-04 for ocular rosacea and TP-05 for Lyme disease prevention, both in Phase 2a studies, demonstrating a broader therapeutic strategy for future growth.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (2020-2025)
Share Issuance
- Tarsus Pharmaceuticals completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in October 2020, offering 6,325,000 shares of common stock at $16.00 per share, resulting in approximately $101.2 million in gross proceeds.
- In March 2024, the company completed a public offering of 3,281,250 shares of common stock and pre-funded warrants, generating approximately $107.8 million in net proceeds.
- Tarsus Pharmaceuticals priced an upsized underwritten public offering in March 2025, selling 2,808,988 shares of common stock at $44.50 per share, which was expected to raise approximately $125.0 million in gross proceeds, with an option for underwriters to purchase additional shares. This offering strengthened their financial position with $134.8 million in proceeds.
Inbound Investments
- In January 2020, Tarsus Pharmaceuticals completed a $60 million Series B financing round. The financing was led by Vivo Capital, with participation from Frazier Healthcare Partners, Flying L Partners, Visionary Ventures, Aperture Venture Partners, and Horowitz Group. These funds were earmarked to support a Phase 2b/3 trial for their lead product TP-03 and other clinical pipeline development.
- Institutional investors hold a significant stake in Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, owning 90.01% of the company's stock as of November 2025.
- Vanguard Group Inc. made a significant acquisition on September 30, 2024, acquiring 2,097,323 shares of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Outbound Investments
- Tarsus Pharmaceuticals has made no investments or acquisitions in other companies.
Capital Expenditures
- Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s capital expenditures for fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024 averaged 923.4 thousand, peaking in December 2024 at $1.567 million.
- In the last 12 months (as of current time in November 2025), capital expenditures were -$6.95 million.
- Primary focus of capital allocation includes advancing its pipeline, specifically the progression of TP-04 for ocular rosacea, maintaining the expansion of XDEMVY, and investing in international market regulatory sessions.
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,776 |
| Op Inc LTM | 76 |
| FCF LTM | -28 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -57 |
| CFO LTM | 135 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 65 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 6.7 |
| P/EBIT | 2.9 |
| P/E | -8.6 |
| P/CFO | 3.5 |
| Total Yield | -4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 37.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -38.3% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA217603 | XDEMVY | lotilaner | solution/drops | 7242023 | -45.6% | 5.8% | 16.0% | 76.0% | 205.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Therapeutics | 183 | 17 | |||
| License fees and collaboration revenue | 26 | ||||
| Product sales, net | 0 | ||||
| Total | 183 | 17 | 26 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Therapeutics | -121 | ||||
| Total | -121 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Therapeutics | -116 | ||||
| Total | -116 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmaceutical products for commercialization | 179 | 172 | |||
| Total | 179 | 172 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $73.26 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/16/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -11.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $71.97 | $61.07 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 1.8% | 20.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 40.1% | 45.9% |
| Downside Capture | 132.52 | 35.25 |
| Upside Capture | 78.37 | 76.23 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 23.8% | 23.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.34 | 0.72 | 0.88 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| Up Beta | 2.32 | 3.02 | 2.67 | 1.73 | 0.37 | 0.57 |
| Down Beta | 1.41 | -0.18 | -0.38 | 0.09 | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| Up Capture | 240% | 13% | 78% | 76% | 74% | 94% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 19 | 29 | 64 | 129 | 382 |
| Down Capture | -39% | 87% | 118% | 15% | 41% | 77% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 22 | 32 | 59 | 120 | 365 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TARS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TARS | 67.0% | 46.3% | 1.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 3.4% | 17.5% | 0.04 | 24.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.4% | 19.2% | 0.66 | 23.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 77.1% | 26.1% | 2.17 | 6.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.6% | 17.1% | 0.89 | 9.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 16.6% | 0.01 | 23.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -24.9% | 45.6% | -0.49 | 12.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TARS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TARS | 15.1% | 60.4% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.6% | 14.5% | 0.34 | 19.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 17.0% | 0.60 | 24.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 17.2% | 1.14 | 1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.9% | 19.0% | 0.51 | 2.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 22.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.5% | 56.8% | 0.34 | 12.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TARS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TARS | 13.7% | 64.8% | 0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.4% | 16.5% | 0.52 | 19.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 22.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.1% | 15.6% | 0.80 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.0% | 17.6% | 0.43 | 2.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.1% | 20.7% | 0.26 | 19.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 65.9% | 66.8% | 1.05 | 13.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -4.6% | 5.8% | 14.4% |
| 8/6/2025 | 15.2% | 26.6% | 38.4% |
| 2/25/2025 | -9.3% | -6.2% | 12.7% |
| 11/13/2024 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 12.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | 13.7% | 14.2% | 32.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | -8.9% | 3.1% | -13.8% |
| 2/27/2024 | 18.3% | 11.2% | 2.1% |
| 11/9/2023 | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 6.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -3.7% | -12.3% |
| Max Positive | 18.3% | 26.6% | 38.4% |
| Max Negative | -9.3% | -8.0% | -15.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whitfield, Dianne C | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 80.67 | 15,565 | 1,255,684 | 1,887,197 | Form |
| 2 | Azamian, Bobak R | President/CEO and Board Chair | the Bobak Azamian Living Trust established April 16, 2018 | Sell | 12302025 | 82.51 | 6,000 | 495,089 | 70,797,043 | Form |
| 3 | Whitfield, Dianne C | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 80.10 | 7,397 | 592,500 | 3,120,536 | Form |
| 4 | Link, William J Phd | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 81.43 | 12,500 | 1,017,816 | 10,490,182 | Form | |
| 5 | Link, William J Phd | Link Family Enterprise, LP | Sell | 12172025 | 81.07 | 10,446 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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