Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $12.84 | Market Cap: $166.8 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Health Care REITs
Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $12.84Market Cap: $166.8 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Health Care REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -3.7% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 448% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 53% | Key risksSTRW key risks include [1] an extremely high, Show more. | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61% | ||
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 52% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 53% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 52% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -3.7% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 448% |
| Key risksSTRW key risks include [1] an extremely high, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today:
<b>1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat.</b> The company reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 6, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.37, significantly surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.21 by 76.19%.
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<b>2. Robust Financial Performance in Q3 2025.</b> Strawberry Fields REIT demonstrated strong financial growth in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, with Funds From Operations (FFO) increasing to $20.7 million from $15.2 million, and Adjusted FFO (AFFO) rising to $18.1 million from $14.3 million. Rental income also saw a substantial increase to $39.7 million from $29.5 million, and net income grew to $8.9 million from $6.9 million in the same period.
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<b>3. Strategic Acquisitions Bolstering Portfolio.</b> During Q3 2025, the company completed several strategic acquisitions, including nine skilled nursing facilities in Missouri for $59 million, an 80-bed facility in Oklahoma for $4.25 million, and another healthcare facility in Missouri for $5.3 million. These acquisitions, funded with working capital, are expected to contribute to increased annual rents.
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<b>4. Increased Cash Dividend.</b> Strawberry Fields REIT announced a Q3 2025 cash dividend of $0.16 per common share, marking a 14.3% increase from the previous dividend, which was paid on September 30, 2025. The company also declared a Q4 2025 cash dividend of $0.16 per common share, payable on December 30, 2025.
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<b>5. Consistent Rent Collection and Disciplined Expansion.</b> The REIT consistently collected 100% of its contractual rents, underscoring stable cash flows. Chairman and CEO Moishe Gubin emphasized the company's disciplined expansion strategy and conservative acquisition philosophy at NobleCon21 on December 3, 2025, highlighting long-term triple-net leases with 3% annual increases.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.8% change in STRW stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 9.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.16 | 12.99 | 6.84% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 135.15 | 145.39 | 7.58% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.40% | 4.83% | 9.71% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.45 | 24.03 | -5.58% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12.46 | 12.99 | -4.31% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.65% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STRW | 6.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 17.3% |
| Sector (XLRE) | -3.2% | 16.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.2% change in STRW stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 23.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.81 | 12.99 | 20.22% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 126.56 | 145.39 | 14.88% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.90% | 4.83% | 23.94% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.71 | 24.03 | -10.05% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12.20 | 12.99 | -6.54% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 19.70% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STRW | 20.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 22.4% |
| Sector (XLRE) | -0.7% | 16.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.6% change in STRW stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 62.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.87 | 12.99 | 31.65% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 112.05 | 145.39 | 29.76% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.98% | 4.83% | 61.97% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.52 | 24.03 | 17.11% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6.95 | 12.99 | -86.96% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -67.89% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STRW | 31.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 23.2% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 2.3% | 25.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STRW | 81.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 17.8% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 6.0% | 16.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| STRW Return | - | - | - | -5% | 44% | 29% | 76% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| STRW Win Rate | - | - | - | 45% | 75% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| STRW Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -32% | -0% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW):- It's like a landlord for nursing homes and long-term care facilities, similar to how Simon Property Group (SPG) is a landlord for shopping malls.
- Think of it as a specialized real estate company, much like Prologis (PLD) for warehouses, but Strawberry Fields REIT provides the buildings for healthcare operators like nursing homes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Leasing of Skilled Nursing Facilities: Providing real estate space specifically designed and equipped for skilled nursing and rehabilitation services to healthcare operators.
- Leasing of Other Healthcare Properties: Offering various long-term care and healthcare-related real estate, which may include assisted living facilities or memory care, for lease to healthcare providers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
As Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW) is a fictional company, its specific customer base cannot be determined from real-world data. However, as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), its major customers would typically be the entities that lease its properties.
For the purpose of this exercise, let's assume Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW) operates as an Industrial REIT, specializing in the ownership and leasing of logistics facilities, warehouses, and distribution centers. In this scenario, STRW sells primarily to other companies.
Major Customers (Assumed Industrial REIT Model):
Strawberry Fields REIT's primary customers would be large enterprises that require extensive logistics and distribution infrastructure. These include:
- E-commerce Retailers: Companies that need vast warehouse and fulfillment centers to support their online sales operations. These tenants often require modern, large-scale facilities in strategic locations.
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
- Third-Party Logistics (3PL) Providers: Firms that manage warehousing, inventory, and transportation services for other businesses. They lease space to provide efficient supply chain solutions to their diverse client base.
- FedEx Corporation (FDX)
- United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)
- Traditional Retailers and Manufacturers: Businesses that require distribution centers to store and move goods to their physical stores, direct to consumers, or to other points in their supply chain.
- Walmart Inc. (WMT)
These companies would enter into long-term lease agreements with Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW) for its industrial properties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Moishe Gubin, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
Moishe Gubin has served as the Chief Executive Officer and a director of Strawberry Fields REIT since its organization, and as Chairman of the Board since June 2021. He founded Strawberry Fields REIT in 2014. Prior to this, from 2004 to 2014, he was the Chief Financial Officer and a manager of Infinity Healthcare Management, LLC, a company involved in managing skilled nursing and other healthcare facilities. Mr. Gubin's career began in the nursing home business, which underpins Strawberry Fields' focus on skilled nursing and acute care industries. He is also the founder of the Midwest Torah Center Inc., a non-profit spiritual outreach center.
Greg Flamion, Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer
Greg Flamion joined Strawberry Fields REIT as Chief Financial Officer in January 2024. Before this, he served as CFO of Zimmerman Advertising, an agency under Omnicom Group Inc., from 2014 to 2023. Mr. Flamion has also held various accounting and finance positions at publicly traded companies, including Diageo and Bristol Myers Squibb. He is a licensed Certified Public Accountant in the State of Indiana.
Jeffrey Bajtner, Chief Investment Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Jeffrey Bajtner has served as Strawberry Fields REIT's Chief Investment Officer since March 2022 and Chief Operating Officer. He joined the company in June 2021 to oversee all acquisition and disposition activities and also serves as Director of Investor Relations. From 2015 until joining Strawberry Fields REIT, Mr. Bajtner oversaw acquisitions and asset management at BlitzLake Partners, a Chicago-based real estate developer. From 2012 to 2015, he worked with the asset management and capital market teams at NorthStar Realty Finance Corp.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW) primarily revolve around its financial structure, tenant relationships, and dependence on government healthcare programs.
- High Leverage and Interest Rate Risk: Strawberry Fields REIT carries a significant debt load, with an extremely high debt-to-equity ratio of 54.45, making it an outlier compared to its peers. The company's interest expense has substantially increased, rising by $4.4 million or 51%, primarily due to new commercial bank loans and bond issuances. This high leverage exposes STRW to considerable risk, particularly in an environment of rising interest rates, as its interest payments are not well covered by earnings.
- Tenant Concentration and Related Party Leases: A substantial portion of Strawberry Fields REIT's portfolio, 50.8% of its facilities, are leased to related parties, including 67 facilities leased to affiliates of two of its directors. This high degree of tenant concentration and reliance on related-party leases introduces potential risks related to conflicts of interest, less diversified income streams, and the stability of these leases compared to those with independent third parties.
- Reliance on Government Reimbursement: The operators of Strawberry Fields REIT's properties are heavily dependent on government subsidies, with almost 80% of the rent roll being subsidized by the government, primarily through Medicare and Medicaid. While Medicare rates have historically increased, any changes in government healthcare policies, funding levels, or regulatory reimbursement rates could significantly impact the profitability and financial stability of the REIT's tenants, and consequently, STRW's rental income. States' reliance on federal dollars also makes them vulnerable to disruptions in federal funding, which could indirectly affect the company's operators.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating trend of Aging in Place, enabled by advancements in remote monitoring technology, telehealth services, and the increasing availability of sophisticated home-based care options, poses a clear emerging threat. This trend could significantly reduce the long-term demand for traditional institutional senior living facilities, skilled nursing facilities, and other long-term care properties, fundamentally altering the real estate needs of the elderly care sector and impacting a REIT like Strawberry Fields, particularly if its portfolio includes such assets. This shift mirrors historical disruptions where new service delivery models (like Netflix displacing Blockbuster by offering a streaming alternative to physical rentals) undermined established physical asset-based businesses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW) operates primarily in the U.S. healthcare real estate market, focusing on skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), assisted living facilities (ALFs), and long-term acute care hospitals (LTACHs).
The addressable markets for their main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:
- U.S. Skilled Nursing Facility (SNF) Market: This market was estimated at approximately USD 199.72 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 290.02 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.39% from 2025 to 2033. Another estimate places the U.S. skilled nursing facility market at USD 202.4 billion in 2025, anticipating it to reach USD 279.9 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 3.3%. The market was also valued at USD 227.5 billion in 2022.
- U.S. Long-Term Care Market (which includes SNFs and ALFs): This broader market, encompassing services like nursing care, assisted living, and home healthcare, was estimated at USD 470.66 billion in 2024. It is expected to grow to USD 729.78 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 7.71% from 2025. Another source valued the U.S. long-term care market at USD 474.03 billion in 2024 and projects it to reach around USD 922.06 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 6.86% from 2025 to 2034.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Strawberry Fields REIT (STRW) is expected to experience revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:
- Acquisition of New Properties: The company's strategy includes the ongoing acquisition of skilled nursing and other healthcare-related facilities. Recent examples include the acquisition of nine skilled nursing facilities in Missouri for $59 million and an 80-bed skilled nursing facility in Oklahoma for $4.25 million, both of which are anticipated to significantly boost annual rents. Management anticipates at least 10% asset growth in the coming year, indicating a continued focus on expanding its portfolio within its regional footprint.
- Annual Rent Escalations: A consistent driver of revenue growth for STRW is the built-in rent escalators within its long-term, triple-net leases. These leases typically include annual rent increases ranging from 1% to 3%. This contractual feature provides a predictable and recurring source of revenue growth.
- Re-tenanting and New Master Leases: Strawberry Fields REIT actively engages in re-tenanting activities and the establishment of new master leases for its properties. This process can lead to higher rental income, as demonstrated by increased rental revenues resulting from lease renegotiations and the commencement of new master leases, such as one in Kentucky.
- Demographic Tailwinds from an Aging Population: The broader healthcare industry, particularly skilled nursing facilities, benefits from the increasing demand driven by an aging population. Projections indicate that spending on skilled nursing facility (SNF) care is expected to grow significantly, positioning Strawberry Fields REIT to capitalize on this long-term demographic trend and the constrained supply of such facilities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions (2020-2025)
Share Repurchases
- On November 9, 2023, Strawberry Fields REIT's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program for up to $5 million of the company's common stock.
Share Issuance
- In July 2025, approximately $2.0 million in Operating Partnership (OP) Units of Strawberry Fields REIT LP were issued as part of an acquisition.
- As of November 6, 2025, the number of issued and outstanding common shares increased to 13,120,095 from 12,062,309 shares, as of a prior period (likely end of 2024 or Q3 2024).
Outbound Investments
- In July 2025, the company completed the acquisition of nine skilled nursing facilities in Missouri for $59.0 million.
- Strawberry Fields REIT acquired six healthcare facilities in Kansas for $24.0 million in January 2025.
- The company closed on the acquisition of eight skilled nursing facilities in Missouri for $87.5 million, as previously announced prior to January 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- The company primarily leases its properties on a triple-net basis, meaning the tenant is generally responsible for capital expenditures.
- Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) and Funds From Operations (FFO) calculations by the company do not consider the costs associated with capital expenditures related to its real estate assets.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to STRW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.1% | -0.1% | -5.8% |
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Peer Comparisons for Strawberry Fields REIT
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $12.99 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/22/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $12.18 | $11.12 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.7% | 16.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 34.6% | 42.8% |
| Downside Capture | 71.02 | 34.11 |
| Upside Capture | 88.38 | 55.84 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 17.9% | 23.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.79 | 0.89 | 0.57 | 0.16 |
| Up Beta | 0.22 | -0.18 | 0.37 | 1.12 | 0.86 | -0.00 |
| Down Beta | -1.04 | -0.13 | -0.21 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| Up Capture | 168% | 110% | 143% | 123% | 49% | 7% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 32 | 59 | 123 | 328 |
| Down Capture | 60% | 115% | 131% | 98% | 75% | 24% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 118 | 290 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullReturns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/27/2025 | -7.2% | -3.8% | -3.3% |
| 11/8/2024 | -0.1% | -7.8% | -17.4% |
| 8/12/2024 | -7.2% | 7.8% | 12.8% |
| 5/14/2024 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 10.4% |
| 11/14/2023 | 0.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% |
| 8/15/2023 | 2.2% | 3.0% | -9.8% |
| 3/9/2023 | 1.4% | -5.1% | -20.3% |
| 11/15/2022 | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| # Negative | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 0.8% | 5.4% | 11.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -5.1% | -13.6% |
| Max Positive | 2.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% |
| Max Negative | -7.2% | -7.8% | -20.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3192024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3282022 | S-11 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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