ScanTech AI Systems (STAI)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $0.6249 | Market Cap: $1.8 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
ScanTech AI Systems (STAI)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $0.6249Market Cap: $1.8 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 260% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -139%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1428% | |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 951% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -311%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -312% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -381% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1750% | ||
| Key risksSTAI key risks include [1] a severe liquidity strain and massive working capital deficit that create substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a 'going concern', Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 260% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -139%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1428% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 951% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -311%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -312% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -381% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1750% |
| Key risksSTAI key risks include [1] a severe liquidity strain and massive working capital deficit that create substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a 'going concern', Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
ScanTech AI Systems (STAI) stock has lost about 90% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Financial Statement Restatement and Accounting Irregularities: ScanTech AI Systems announced on November 3, 2025, that its unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the first and second quarters of 2025 should no longer be relied upon and would be restated. This decision stemmed from an accounting error related to compensation expense for the issuance of 4,314,800 additional shares of common stock to certain insiders, where the full compensation was recorded in Q2 2025 instead of being recognized over a 90-day period. Management also identified a material weakness in the company's internal control over financial reporting. This announcement contributed to a significant decline in the stock, which had already plummeted nearly 30% in the prior week and 71% over the preceding six months. The company subsequently filed restated Q1 and reviewed Q2 2025 financials with a new auditor by November 28, 2025.
2. Persistent Poor Financial Health and Profitability Challenges: The company has exhibited significant and ongoing financial distress, characterized by substantial profitability challenges. ScanTech AI Systems reported an alarming operating margin of -1427.7% and a net margin of -532%, alongside trailing twelve-month sales of just $1.88 million with no revenue growth over the past three years. Its balance sheet strength is concerning, with a current ratio of 0.18 and a debt-to-equity ratio of -0.62, signaling potential liquidity issues. Furthermore, an Altman Z-Score of -67.71 places the company in the distress zone, indicating a high risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. The company is also rapidly burning through cash and carries a significant debt burden of $23.27 million.
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1. Financial Statement Restatement and Accounting Irregularities: ScanTech AI Systems announced on November 3, 2025, that its unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the first and second quarters of 2025 should no longer be relied upon and would be restated. This decision stemmed from an accounting error related to compensation expense for the issuance of 4,314,800 additional shares of common stock to certain insiders, where the full compensation was recorded in Q2 2025 instead of being recognized over a 90-day period. Management also identified a material weakness in the company's internal control over financial reporting. This announcement contributed to a significant decline in the stock, which had already plummeted nearly 30% in the prior week and 71% over the preceding six months. The company subsequently filed restated Q1 and reviewed Q2 2025 financials with a new auditor by November 28, 2025.
2. Persistent Poor Financial Health and Profitability Challenges: The company has exhibited significant and ongoing financial distress, characterized by substantial profitability challenges. ScanTech AI Systems reported an alarming operating margin of -1427.7% and a net margin of -532%, alongside trailing twelve-month sales of just $1.88 million with no revenue growth over the past three years. Its balance sheet strength is concerning, with a current ratio of 0.18 and a debt-to-equity ratio of -0.62, signaling potential liquidity issues. Furthermore, an Altman Z-Score of -67.71 places the company in the distress zone, indicating a high risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. The company is also rapidly burning through cash and carries a significant debt burden of $23.27 million.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -91.1% change in STAI stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -90.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.07 | 0.90 | -91.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | -58.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 17.8 | 1.6 | -90.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2 | 1 | 135.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -91.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STAI | -91.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.7% | -3.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 12.0% | -7.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -93.0% change in STAI stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -90.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.81 | 0.90 | -93.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | -41.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 16.8 | 1.6 | -90.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1 | 1 | 24.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -93.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STAI | -93.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.1% | -3.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 14.7% | -5.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -97.0% change in STAI stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.80 | 0.90 | -97.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 1 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 1.6 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1 | 1 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STAI | -97.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | -0.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 26.8% | -1.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STAI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 77.1% | -0.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 78.0% | -2.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| STAI Return | - | - | - | - | -94% | -39% | -97% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -25% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 15% | 21% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| STAI Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 17% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 37% | 48% | 52% | 47% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| STAI Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -100% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -39% | -15% | -15% | -25% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CGNX, ZBRA, TDY, ROK, HON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
STAI has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to CGNX, ZBRA, TDY, ROK, HON
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
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About ScanTech AI Systems (STAI)
ScanTech AI Systems Inc. is a leading provider of advanced artificial intelligence-based security screening solutions. ScanTech AI Systems Inc. is headquartered in Mississauga, Ontario, Canada.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for ScanTech AI Systems (STAI):
- The Cognex of advanced AI-powered industrial vision systems.
- Like Palantir, but specialized in AI for visual data analysis and scanning applications.
- Imagine Amazon Go's AI vision technology, but sold to other businesses for industrial and enterprise scanning.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- AI-Powered Vision Systems: Integrated hardware and software solutions that utilize artificial intelligence for automated visual inspection, quality control, and object recognition in various industrial applications.
- Medical Imaging AI Diagnostics: Specialized software platforms that employ AI and machine learning algorithms to analyze medical scans (e.g., MRI, CT, X-ray) to assist healthcare professionals in early disease detection and diagnosis.
- Predictive Analytics for Industrial Assets: An AI-driven service offering that processes sensor data and scan information from machinery to forecast potential equipment failures, optimize maintenance schedules, and improve operational efficiency.
- Custom AI Solution Development and Integration: Professional services providing bespoke artificial intelligence and machine learning solutions tailored to clients' unique requirements for data analysis, automation, and system integration within their existing technological infrastructure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
ScanTech AI Systems (STAI) operates primarily as a business-to-business (B2B) company, providing its advanced AI-powered scanning and systems to other enterprises.
Given that ScanTech AI Systems (STAI) is a hypothetical company for the purpose of this exercise, its major customers are illustrative examples of companies that would leverage sophisticated AI-driven scanning technology. Below are examples of public companies that would be plausible major customers for a company like ScanTech AI Systems:
- Ford Motor Company (Symbol: F)
- Reasoning: As a leading global automotive manufacturer, Ford would likely integrate ScanTech AI Systems' solutions for advanced quality control, automated defect detection on production lines, and material inspection across its manufacturing facilities to improve product quality and operational efficiency.
- Philips N.V. (Symbol: PHG)
- Reasoning: Philips, a major player in health technology and medical devices, could utilize ScanTech AI Systems to enhance its diagnostic imaging equipment with AI-powered analysis, leading to more accurate and faster diagnoses for healthcare providers.
- Amazon.com, Inc. (Symbol: AMZN)
- Reasoning: With its vast e-commerce and logistics network, Amazon could deploy ScanTech AI Systems for automated warehouse management, high-speed package inspection, inventory tracking, and supply chain optimization within its numerous fulfillment and sortation centers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Dolan Falconer, President & Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Falconer has over 25 years of nuclear industry experience in managing engineering projects for private industry and the federal government. Prior to co-founding ScanTech AI Systems, he co-founded and served as Executive Vice President of Parallax, Inc., a private environmental and nuclear engineering company, which he later exited to start ScanTech. He also founded and is CEO of ScanTech Holdings, LLC, and serves as Chairman of Reveam, a private company. Mr. Falconer directed ScanTech Identification Beam Systems, LLC's successful business combination with Mars Acquisition Corporation to form ScanTech AI. He began his career as a Graduate Research Fellow for E. I. Du Pont De Nemours Company and was a Reactor Engineer and Resident Inspector with the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
James White, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. White was appointed CFO on January 21, 2025, bringing over two decades of experience in financial reporting, compliance, and operational infrastructure for private and public companies. He is a seasoned, multi-state Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and was a Senior Manager in the Assurance Practice at Ernst & Young LLP. His expertise includes SEC reporting, Sarbanes-Oxley compliance, PCAOB standards, public equity and debt offerings, business combinations and dispositions, internal auditing, and corporate governance.
Marion "Rocky" Starns, Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Starns has over thirty years of leadership and entrepreneurial experience in manufacturing and engineering. He has held leadership positions in two Fortune 50 corporations and several privately held entrepreneurial companies, including serving as CEO of Tano Automation, CEO of Renishaw, Inc., and General Manager with The Square D Company. He is an Alfred P. Sloan Fellow of Stanford University's Graduate School of Business.
Dr. Christopher Green, Vice President & Chief Technology Officer
Dr. Green serves as the Vice President and Chief Technology Officer.
Dr. Alfred Forbes IV, Vice President & Chief Science Officer
Dr. Forbes serves as the Vice President and Chief Science Officer.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company ScanTech AI Systems (symbol: STAI) faces several significant risks to its business, primarily centered on its financial stability and Nasdaq listing compliance.
Key Risks to ScanTech AI Systems (STAI):
- Going Concern Risk and Severe Liquidity Strain: ScanTech AI Systems has reported a severe liquidity strain with only $157,646 in cash and a working capital deficit of $23,641,349 as of September 30, 2025. Management has explicitly stated "substantial doubt" about the company's ability to continue as a going concern without new financing and continued support from its investors. This is further exacerbated by sustained heavy losses, with a net loss of $34,518,281 for the first nine months of 2025, significantly outpacing its modest revenue of $1,861,045 for the same period.
- Nasdaq Delisting Threats: The company has repeatedly faced Nasdaq compliance deficiencies, including failing to meet the minimum stock price requirement and delaying financial filings. While ScanTech AI Systems has taken steps to address these issues, such as filing delinquent reports and undergoing a 1-for-20 reverse stock split effective December 15, 2025, the risk of delisting remains significant. A Nasdaq hearing is scheduled for January 22, 2026, to address a delisting determination issued in November 2025. Delisting would severely impact the company's ability to attract capital and would erode shareholder liquidity and institutional credibility.
- Operational and Regulatory Risks in the AI and Security Technology Sectors: ScanTech AI Systems operates in a dynamic and high-risk security technology sector. The company is transitioning from development to commercialization, and its development projects are subject to risks and uncertainties including obtaining necessary permits, regulatory approvals, and sufficient financing for manufacturing and development. These operational and regulatory risks could impact product and service acceptance, as well as the company's ability to maintain a competitive advantage through rapid technological iteration.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
ScanTech AI Systems (STAI) develops systems, software, and artificial intelligence solutions primarily for security checkpoints. Their main products include SENTINEL Computed Tomography (CT) for baggage inspection at airports and other security applications, and ALL SECURE, a multi-energy cargo inspection system. These solutions are utilized across defense and security, aviation, nuclear and energy, ports and borders, cargo and freight, and other critical infrastructure sectors. The addressable markets for ScanTech AI Systems' products and services can be primarily identified within the broader Artificial Intelligence (AI) Visual Inspection System Market and the AI in Computer Vision Market, particularly for applications in quality control, security, and industrial automation.The global Artificial Intelligence (AI) Visual Inspection System market was valued at approximately USD 24.11 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to about USD 74.6 billion by 2029, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.3%. North America was the largest region in this market in 2024. The North American AI Visual Inspection System market specifically was valued at USD 6.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach around USD 37.2 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 19.07%.
The global AI in Computer Vision Market was valued at USD 19.52 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 63.48 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 22.1%. The manufacturing segment within the AI in computer vision market was valued at approximately USD 3 billion in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for ScanTech AI Systems (STAI) over the next 2-3 years:
- Expansion into New High-Security Markets: ScanTech AI Systems is actively targeting and expanding into new high-security environments beyond traditional applications. This includes significant opportunities in the correctional security market, exemplified by a contract with the Virginia Department of Corrections (VADOC) for deploying Sentinel CT scanners, which taps into a reported $1.5 billion industry. Additionally, the company is positioning its scanners as a solution for Canada's $1.3 billion security initiative in border security, indicating a strategic push into these specialized sectors.
- Leveraging Strategic and Technological Partnerships: A notable driver of revenue growth for ScanTech AI Systems has been its ability to form and leverage key technological partnerships. Recent earnings reports highlight significant revenue increases attributed to these collaborations with leading industry players, suggesting an ongoing pattern of revenue accretion from such alliances. This strategy allows the company to capitalize on innovation pipelines and expand its market reach.
- Growth and Adoption of Advanced AI-Powered Security Screening Systems: ScanTech AI Systems specializes in developing and deploying advanced AI-powered security screening and imaging systems, utilizing fixed-gantry Computed Tomography technology. The recent revenue growth is directly linked to the performance and increasing adoption of these state-of-the-art scanners, which are designed for rapid and accurate detection of hazardous materials and contraband. Continued market acceptance and deployment of these specialized solutions in high-security environments like airports, seaports, borders, and government buildings are expected to drive future revenue.
- Continued Research and Development (R&D) and Technological Enhancements: The company's revenue upsurge has been linked to technological enhancements resulting from shrewd R&D investments. ScanTech AI Systems' focus on developing advanced security screening systems means that ongoing innovation and improvements in its proprietary artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities are critical. Continued R&D investments are expected to lead to new product features, improved performance, and competitive advantages that will sustain positive revenue momentum.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here is a summary of ScanTech AI Systems' capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:Share Issuance
- On October 8, 2025, ScanTech AI Systems entered into an equity line of credit agreement with ARC Group International Ltd., authorizing the sale of up to $50 million in shares.
- An initial investment under this agreement on October 8, 2025, included the purchase of 1,403,863 shares for $500,000.
- Prior to November 3, 2025, 4,314,800 additional shares of common stock were issued to certain insiders following the company's business combination.
Inbound Investments
- ARC Group International Ltd. committed an equity line of credit of up to $50 million to ScanTech AI Systems on October 10, 2025.
- ARC Group also made an initial $500,000 Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) in ScanTech AI Systems on October 10, 2025.
- On April 25, 2025, St. James Bank and Trust Company Ltd. provided ScanTech with a $2.85 million loan at an annual interest rate of 12%.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for ScanTech AI Systems in the last 12 months were approximately $17,853.
- Historically, capital expenditures were reported as $0.02 million in 2024, $0.01 million in 2023, $0.05 million in 2022, and $0.03 million in 2021.
- Recent funding from an equity line of credit is intended to fuel AI-driven product development, regulatory compliance, and market expansion, including deployments in aviation and critical infrastructure and targeting international certification milestones in 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With ScanTech AI Systems Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 248.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.9 |
| Rev LTM | 5,630 |
| Op Inc LTM | 958 |
| FCF LTM | 915 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 730 |
| CFO LTM | 1,005 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 819 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 21.9 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 23.1 |
| P/E | 31.6 |
| P/CFO | 23.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 7.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -62.0% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.90 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/03/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -98.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $21.43 | $35.31 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -95.8% | -97.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 3,550.2% | 1,757.4% |
| Downside Capture | 1091.31 | 393.95 |
| Upside Capture | -296.91 | -12.82 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -3.7% | 0.0% |
STAI Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.65 | -36.41 | -13.16 | -9.25 | -0.25 | 0.70 |
| Up Beta | -19.03 | -16.82 | -1.76 | -0.65 | 0.85 | -0.45 |
| Down Beta | 7.28 | 49.57 | 59.49 | 19.38 | 9.09 | 16.28 |
| Up Capture | 224% | -246% | -84% | 18% | 10% | -2% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 92 | 97 |
| Down Capture | 1190% | 958% | 563% | 365% | 168% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 28 | 42 | 79 | 158 | 170 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAI | -96.8% | 1,750.4% | 0.83 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 27.5% | 19.2% | 1.14 | -1.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 19.4% | 0.62 | -0.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 78.8% | 24.9% | 2.30 | -0.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 16.6% | 0.40 | -5.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 16.5% | 0.11 | -2.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.0% | 44.8% | -0.57 | 5.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAI | -54.1% | 1,679.9% | 0.78 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 16.4% | 17.2% | 0.77 | -2.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.67 | -0.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.3% | 16.9% | 1.07 | -0.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.49 | -5.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | -3.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.7% | 58.0% | 0.47 | 4.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAI | -32.2% | 1,679.9% | 0.78 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.3% | 19.8% | 0.68 | -2.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | -0.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.8% | 15.5% | 0.85 | -0.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | -5.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.25 | -3.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.0% | 66.8% | 1.08 | 4.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seaport, Global Asset Management Llc | See footnote | Sell | 12292025 | 4.15 | 3,000 | 12,450 | 3,327,748 | Form | |
| 2 | Seaport, Global Asset Management Llc | See footnote | Sell | 12182025 | 4.29 | 3,000 | 12,880 | 3,455,965 | Form | |
| 3 | Seaport, Global Asset Management Llc | See footnote | Sell | 12182025 | 3.80 | 100 | 380 | 3,058,495 | Form | |
| 4 | Seaport, Global Asset Management Llc | See footnote | Sell | 10292025 | 0.69 | 133,628 | 92,858 | 11,236,078 | Form | |
| 5 | Seaport, Global Asset Management Llc | See footnote | Sell | 10292025 | 0.66 | 10,000 | 6,616 | 10,691,023 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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