Tearsheet

ScanTech AI Systems (STAI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.32 | Market Cap: $9.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

ScanTech AI Systems (STAI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.32
Market Cap: $9.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 260%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1428%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -76%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -311%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -312%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 77%
3  Key risks
STAI key risks include [1] a severe liquidity strain and massive working capital deficit that create substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a 'going concern', Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 260%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -76%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1428%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -311%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -312%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 77%
6 Key risks
STAI key risks include [1] a severe liquidity strain and massive working capital deficit that create substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a 'going concern', Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STAI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, ScanTech AI Systems (STAI) experienced a significant stock decline of -57.3% due to several key factors:

1. Nasdaq Delisting Threat and Compliance Issues. Nasdaq issued a delisting determination on November 26, 2025, citing ScanTech AI Systems' failure to meet the minimum market value of listed securities and for having delinquent periodic reports. Although the company filed its Q3 2025 Form 10-Q on December 15, 2025, to address some of these filing delinquencies, it is appealing the delisting with a hearing scheduled for January 22, 2026.

2. Significant Financial Losses and Liquidity Concerns. ScanTech AI Systems reported Q3 2025 results around December 12-14, 2025, which highlighted ongoing heavy losses and substantial liquidity pressure. The company reported a nine-month net loss of over $34 million and a working capital deficit exceeding $23 million as of September 30, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STAI Return
Peers Return32%21%-25%6%7%4%41%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STAI Win Rate18% 
Peers Win Rate57%67%37%48%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STAI Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-6%-39%-15%-15%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CGNX, ZBRA, TDY, ROK, HON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

STAI has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,463 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ScanTech AI Systems (STAI)

Better Bets than ScanTech AI Systems (STAI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STAI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ScanTech AI Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STAICGNXZBRATDYROKHONMedian
NameScanTech.Cognex Zebra Te.Teledyne.Rockwell.Honeywel. 
Mkt Price3.6135.76254.27502.82389.54199.89227.08
Mkt Cap0.06.012.923.639.3127.018.2
Rev LTM29725,2556,0058,34240,6705,630
Op Inc LTM-271588061,1101,4237,692958
FCF LTM-62147921,0381,3586,164915
FCF 3Y Avg-61505379231,0705,212730
CFO LTM-62228661,1451,5447,4851,005
CFO 3Y Avg-61666121,0261,2616,336819

Growth & Margins

STAICGNXZBRATDYROKHONMedian
NameScanTech.Cognex Zebra Te.Teledyne.Rockwell.Honeywel. 
Rev Chg LTM260.2%10.2%12.9%7.4%0.9%7.5%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--0.8%-2.4%3.6%3.0%5.2%3.0%
Rev Chg Q-18.0%5.2%6.7%13.8%7.0%7.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM50.5%4.5%1.3%1.6%3.5%1.7%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-1,427.6%16.3%15.3%18.5%17.1%18.9%16.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-15.4%14.6%18.4%16.7%19.5%16.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM506.5%2.1%-0.2%-0.1%1.6%-0.9%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-310.7%22.8%16.5%19.1%18.5%18.4%18.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-18.1%12.4%17.8%14.7%16.4%16.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-311.6%22.0%15.1%17.3%16.3%15.2%15.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-16.3%10.9%16.0%12.5%13.5%13.5%

Valuation

STAICGNXZBRATDYROKHONMedian
NameScanTech.Cognex Zebra Te.Teledyne.Rockwell.Honeywel. 
Mkt Cap0.06.012.923.639.3127.018.2
P/S0.77.82.94.64.73.33.9
P/EBIT-48.118.925.8-15.222.3
P/E-0.169.029.533.645.221.831.5
P/CFO-0.234.217.424.025.417.920.9
Total Yield-817.8%2.2%3.4%3.0%3.7%6.8%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%1.5%2.2%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.0%3.2%4.2%-4.0%3.6%
D/E-0.00.20.1-0.30.1
Net D/E--0.00.10.1-0.20.1

Returns

STAICGNXZBRATDYROKHONMedian
NameScanTech.Cognex Zebra Te.Teledyne.Rockwell.Honeywel. 
1M Rtn-54.6%-0.6%9.3%0.7%5.3%1.9%1.3%
3M Rtn-59.2%-18.7%-19.9%-8.7%13.4%0.7%-13.7%
6M Rtn-74.8%19.8%-12.8%2.8%22.0%-3.4%-0.3%
12M Rtn--1.3%-35.6%6.8%34.9%-7.1%-1.3%
3Y Rtn--23.6%2.1%26.8%62.1%7.8%7.8%
1M Excs Rtn-55.3%-1.3%8.5%-0.1%4.5%1.2%0.6%
3M Excs Rtn-61.0%-23.8%-22.6%-12.0%10.8%0.1%-17.3%
6M Excs Rtn-87.1%7.4%-25.2%-9.5%9.6%-15.8%-12.7%
12M Excs Rtn--13.8%-48.1%-5.2%22.1%-15.9%-13.8%
3Y Excs Rtn--95.0%-69.9%-48.7%-13.3%-63.0%-63.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment 00
Total 00


Assets by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment 11
Total 11


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,284,088
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-26.0%
Average Daily Volume860,444
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.65
Basic Shares Quantity2,948,421
Short % of Basic Shares77.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251215202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025917202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025725202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024514202510-K 12/31/2024
33120246282024S-4 3/31/2024
1231202311142024424B3 12/31/2023
630202311132023DRS 6/30/2023
123120222202024DRS/A 12/31/2022