Tearsheet

South Bow (SOBO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $27.635 | Market Cap: $5.8 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

South Bow (SOBO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $27.635
Market Cap: $5.8 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 5.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 12x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  Key risks
SOBO key risks include [1] operational integrity issues and regulatory scrutiny on its Keystone pipeline, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 12x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
6 Key risks
SOBO key risks include [1] operational integrity issues and regulatory scrutiny on its Keystone pipeline, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SOBO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why South Bow (SOBO) stock experienced positive movement around the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Jefferies Upgraded South Bow to Buy. On December 15, 2025, Jefferies upgraded South Bow Corp (SOBO) from a "Hold" to a "Buy" rating. The firm also increased its price target for the stock, citing strengthened confidence in the company's execution of its growth strategy after meetings with management.

2. Increased Analyst Price Targets. Several analysts revised their price targets for SOBO upwards. For instance, National Bankshares raised its price target for South Bow from $27 to $29 on December 17, 2025. This reflects a positive outlook on the stock's future performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SOBO Return23%
Peers Return-30%34%25%10%39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SOBO Win Rate50%67% 
Peers Win Rate42%69%65%56%71%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SOBO Max Drawdown-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-1%-1%-10%-4%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ENB, ET, KMI, PBA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SOBO has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,201 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,858 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About South Bow (SOBO)

Better Bets than South Bow (SOBO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1South Bow (SOBO) Valuation Ratios ComparisonFinancials
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SOBO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.4%9.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.0%-3.0%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.4%9.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.0%-3.0%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for South Bow

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SOBOENBETKMIPBAMedian
NameSouth BowEnbridge Energy T.Kinder M.Pembina . 
Mkt Price27.6446.94-26.6537.3632.50
Mkt Cap5.9102.4-59.321.740.5
Rev LTM1,97164,23479,75716,4168,04016,416
Op Inc LTM68311,1999,2404,4592,9314,459
FCF LTM3434,0545,1892,7572,5512,757
FCF 3Y Avg-6,7076,0953,3752,3284,735
CFO LTM48912,82110,8415,7353,3425,735
CFO 3Y Avg-13,19110,2175,9183,0798,068

Growth & Margins

SOBOENBETKMIPBAMedian
NameSouth BowEnbridge Energy T.Kinder M.Pembina . 
Rev Chg LTM-9.8%32.3%-4.7%8.3%11.3%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.6%-3.0%-4.3%-8.8%-3.6%
Rev Chg Q-13.7%-1.6%-3.9%12.1%-2.9%-2.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.6%-0.4%-1.0%2.8%-0.7%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM34.7%17.4%11.6%27.2%36.5%27.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.1%10.8%27.6%34.5%23.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.1%0.1%-0.5%-0.7%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM24.8%20.0%13.6%34.9%41.6%24.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-25.6%12.7%37.5%41.0%31.6%
FCF/Rev LTM17.4%6.3%6.5%16.8%31.7%16.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.5%7.5%21.5%31.0%17.5%

Valuation

SOBOENBETKMIPBAMedian
NameSouth BowEnbridge Energy T.Kinder M.Pembina . 
Mkt Cap5.9102.4-59.321.740.5
P/S3.01.7-3.82.93.0
P/EBIT-8.4-14.18.08.4
P/E17.718.3-23.113.218.0
P/CFO12.08.6-11.07.09.8
Total Yield10.9%12.9%-8.4%14.5%11.9%
Dividend Yield5.3%7.4%-4.1%6.9%6.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.3%-7.2%11.1%8.3%
D/E-0.9-0.50.60.6
Net D/E-0.9-0.50.60.6

Returns

SOBOENBETKMIPBAMedian
NameSouth BowEnbridge Energy T.Kinder M.Pembina . 
1M Rtn0.1%-1.7%--1.8%-1.0%-1.3%
3M Rtn-0.8%-3.1%--2.2%-3.8%-2.7%
6M Rtn9.9%7.3%--1.2%4.6%6.0%
12M Rtn27.8%20.2%-4.6%6.9%13.5%
3Y Rtn-49.2%-77.6%35.5%49.2%
1M Excs Rtn-0.6%-2.4%--2.5%-1.7%-2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-2.0%-4.4%--3.9%-5.8%-4.2%
6M Excs Rtn-2.5%-5.0%--13.6%-7.8%-6.4%
12M Excs Rtn12.5%7.6%--7.6%-6.6%0.5%
3Y Excs Rtn--22.9%-7.9%-38.7%-22.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024
Single Segment0
Total0


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,507,030
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.1%
Average Daily Volume772,783
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.42
Basic Shares Quantity208,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580720256-K 6/30/2025
331202551520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024306202540-F 12/31/2024