Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -181%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -291%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -254%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -260%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Animal Fertility & Population Control, and Eco-friendly Pest Management.
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 145%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -107%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Animal Fertility & Population Control, and Eco-friendly Pest Management.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -181%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -291%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -254%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -260%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 145%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -107%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SNES Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 39% stock movement for SenesTech (SNES) from July 31, 2025, to November 12, 2025:

1. Lower-than-Expected Q3 2025 Revenue. Despite reporting record revenue of $690,000 for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, SenesTech fell short of analyst estimates of $744,600, a miss of approximately 7.3%. This revenue miss led to an immediate negative market reaction, with the stock declining over 8% in after-market trading following the announcement on November 10, 2025.

2. Potential Share Dilution from Public Offerings. In August and September 2025, SenesTech engaged in activities that suggested potential future share dilution. Specifically, on August 15, 2025, the company filed to sell 2.26 million shares of common stock by selling shareholders, and on September 25, 2025, it registered additional shares for a market offering. Such filings often create downward pressure on a stock's price as they signal an increase in the number of outstanding shares.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SNES Return-99%-43%-84%-97%-74%-3%-100%
Peers Return13%33%-49%-10%5%6%-23%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SNES Win Rate42%33%33%17%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%52%37%47%45%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SNES Max Drawdown-99%-46%-88%-98%-83%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-2%-62%-40%-46%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUL, GEVO, FSI, LOOP, BON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/11/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSNESS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97789.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-99.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17544.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-96.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3027.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to FUL, GEVO, FSI, LOOP, BON


In The Past

SenesTech's stock fell -99.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -99.9% loss requires a 97789.1% gain to breakeven.

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About SenesTech (SNES)

Better Bets than SenesTech (SNES)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1SenesTech Stock Lost 22%, Buy Or Wait?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SNES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.9%0.9%-1.3%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.9%-22.9%-22.9%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
7.9%7.9%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.7%2.7%-7.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.9%0.9%-1.3%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.9%-22.9%-22.9%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
7.9%7.9%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.7%2.7%-7.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SenesTech

Financials

SNESFULGEVOFSILOOPBONMedian
NameSenesTechH.B. Ful.Gevo Flexible.Loop Ind.Bon Natu. 
Mkt Price3.1957.712.098.161.311.962.64
Mkt Cap0.03.10.50.10.1-0.1
Rev LTM23,502803711-37
Op Inc LTM-6349-496-1--1
FCF LTM-5121-920-1--1
FCF 3Y Avg-7220-1091-16--7
CFO LTM-5242-565-1--1
CFO 3Y Avg-7348-556-14--7

Growth & Margins

SNESFULGEVOFSILOOPBONMedian
NameSenesTechH.B. Ful.Gevo Flexible.Loop Ind.Bon Natu. 
Rev Chg LTM36.9%-1.3%341.8%-1.5%11,012.0%-36.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg37.8%-1.7%729.7%-2.0%3,661.4%-37.8%
Rev Chg Q36.2%-2.8%725.3%8.0%-100.0%-8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.6%-0.7%90.8%2.3%-0.2%-2.3%
Op Mgn LTM-290.5%10.0%-60.6%16.0%-13.3%--13.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-523.1%10.5%-494.2%12.9%-13,399.3%--494.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM24.4%0.2%126.0%3.2%16.5%-16.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-254.4%6.9%-70.4%13.4%-8.5%--8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-493.8%9.8%-303.8%14.1%-12,027.4%--303.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-260.4%3.5%-114.6%1.0%-10.9%--10.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-501.0%6.2%-691.7%3.4%-13,970.5%--501.0%

Valuation

SNESFULGEVOFSILOOPBONMedian
NameSenesTechH.B. Ful.Gevo Flexible.Loop Ind.Bon Natu. 
Mkt Cap0.03.10.50.10.1-0.1
P/S2.80.96.12.85.6-2.8
P/EBIT-1.010.2-10.217.6-5.7--1.0
P/E-1.027.3-8.333.9-5.4--1.0
P/CFO-1.113.0-8.620.7-65.9--1.1
Total Yield-102.2%4.9%-12.0%2.9%-18.7%--12.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-188.1%5.7%-49.1%4.4%-12.5%--12.5%
D/E0.50.70.40.10.0-0.4
Net D/E-0.60.60.2-0.0-0.1--0.0

Returns

SNESFULGEVOFSILOOPBONMedian
NameSenesTechH.B. Ful.Gevo Flexible.Loop Ind.Bon Natu. 
1M Rtn-16.8%1.1%-4.6%-3.7%-20.1%-6.7%-5.6%
3M Rtn-30.4%-0.3%5.0%17.4%-16.6%50.8%2.4%
6M Rtn13.3%2.2%68.5%83.8%45.7%3,369.0%57.1%
12M Rtn8.7%-24.4%31.4%91.1%-0.8%-94.7%4.0%
3Y Rtn-99.2%-20.2%-13.3%187.0%-57.5%-99.4%-38.8%
1M Excs Rtn-25.1%-3.3%-14.7%-10.3%-24.9%-11.3%-13.0%
3M Excs Rtn-38.6%-10.0%-0.3%2.8%-23.5%43.7%-5.2%
6M Excs Rtn-3.0%-14.1%52.2%67.5%29.4%3,352.7%40.8%
12M Excs Rtn-9.2%-40.0%-4.6%83.7%-16.9%-108.8%-13.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-180.8%-96.0%-89.1%111.1%-135.8%-181.0%-115.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity59,117
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-7.0%
Average Daily Volume58,358
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.01
Basic Shares Quantity1,854,531
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/2025-8.2%  
8/7/2025-13.0%-14.5%-6.9%
3/12/20254.3%-7.4%-30.9%
11/12/2024-7.1%-14.9%12.4%
8/8/20240.0%-4.3%-25.0%
5/9/2024-26.2%-25.8%-22.8%
2/21/2024-19.8%-20.9%-34.8%
11/9/2023-31.3%-47.7%-86.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive534
# Negative151716
Median Positive0.9%3.1%11.7%
Median Negative-8.8%-7.7%-22.8%
Max Positive4.3%8.4%73.2%
Max Negative-31.3%-47.7%-86.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022317202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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