Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -36%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -120%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -172%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -291%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -254%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -260%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Animal Fertility & Population Control, and Eco-friendly Pest Management.
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 145%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -36%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Animal Fertility & Population Control, and Eco-friendly Pest Management.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -120%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -172%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -291%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -254%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -260%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 145%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SNES Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, while a precise -41.7% stock movement for SenesTech (SNES) across the entire duration is not explicitly reported, the following key points highlight factors and trends that contributed to significant negative stock performance and could explain such a decline within or around this timeframe:

1. Continuing Net Losses: SenesTech reported ongoing net losses during this period. The company announced a net loss of $1.6 million for the second quarter of 2025 (reported August 7, 2025) and a narrowed net loss of $1.3 million for the third quarter of 2025 (reported November 10, 2025). While the third quarter showed some improvement, persistent unprofitability can weigh heavily on investor confidence and stock valuation.

2. Significant Monthly Decline: As of December 2, 2025, SenesTech's stock experienced a considerable fall of -21.78% over the preceding month. This substantial short-term drop indicates a strong negative sentiment in the market towards SNES shares during the latter part of the requested period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SNES Return-99%-43%-84%-97%-74%-18%-100%
Peers Return19%41%-40%6%21%13%46%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SNES Win Rate42%33%33%17%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%62%35%47%48%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SNES Max Drawdown-99%-46%-88%-98%-83%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-4%-55%-29%-32%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUL, GEVO, FSI, LOOP, SHW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSNESS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97789.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-99.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17544.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-96.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3027.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to FUL, GEVO, FSI, LOOP, SHW


In The Past

SenesTech's stock fell -99.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -99.9% loss requires a 97789.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SenesTech (SNES)

Better Bets than SenesTech (SNES)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SNES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SenesTech

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SNESFULGEVOFSILOOPSHWMedian
NameSenesTechH.B. Ful.Gevo Flexible.Loop Ind.Sherwin-. 
Mkt Price2.8858.922.336.831.07339.244.86
Mkt Cap0.03.20.50.10.183.50.3
Rev LTM23,50280371123,27659
Op Inc LTM-6349-496-13,6802
FCF LTM-5121-920-12,426-0
FCF 3Y Avg-7220-1091-162,305-3
CFO LTM-5242-565-13,2942
CFO 3Y Avg-7348-556-143,225-1

Growth & Margins

SNESFULGEVOFSILOOPSHWMedian
NameSenesTechH.B. Ful.Gevo Flexible.Loop Ind.Sherwin-. 
Rev Chg LTM36.9%-1.3%341.8%-1.5%11,012.0%1.0%18.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg37.8%-1.7%729.7%-2.0%3,661.4%2.4%20.1%
Rev Chg Q36.2%-2.8%725.3%8.0%-100.0%3.2%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.6%-0.7%90.8%2.3%-0.2%0.8%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM-290.5%10.0%-60.6%16.0%-13.3%15.8%-1.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-523.1%10.5%-494.2%12.9%-13,399.3%15.8%-241.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM24.4%0.2%126.0%3.2%16.5%-0.0%9.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-254.4%6.9%-70.4%13.4%-8.5%14.2%-0.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-493.8%9.8%-303.8%14.1%-12,027.4%13.9%-147.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-260.4%3.5%-114.6%1.0%-10.9%10.4%-5.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-501.0%6.2%-691.7%3.4%-13,970.5%10.0%-248.8%

Valuation

SNESFULGEVOFSILOOPSHWMedian
NameSenesTechH.B. Ful.Gevo Flexible.Loop Ind.Sherwin-. 
Mkt Cap0.03.20.50.10.183.50.3
P/S4.50.93.81.66.43.73.7
P/EBIT-1.610.6-6.410.5-6.422.84.5
P/E-1.628.5-5.320.2-6.133.19.3
P/CFO-1.813.5-5.412.3-74.425.95.3
Total Yield-64.1%4.7%-19.0%5.0%-16.5%3.9%-6.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.9%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-188.1%5.7%-49.1%4.4%-12.5%2.9%-4.8%
D/E0.30.60.60.10.00.20.2
Net D/E-0.40.60.4-0.0-0.10.20.1

Returns

SNESFULGEVOFSILOOPSHWMedian
NameSenesTechH.B. Ful.Gevo Flexible.Loop Ind.Sherwin-. 
1M Rtn-12.5%2.7%2.6%-23.0%-35.2%-1.6%-7.0%
3M Rtn-41.2%0.3%42.9%-31.1%-32.3%-6.3%-18.7%
6M Rtn2.1%6.0%104.4%56.7%-31.8%-5.9%4.1%
12M Rtn28.0%-21.4%57.4%78.7%-22.7%-13.4%7.3%
3Y Rtn-99.2%-23.8%8.9%130.6%-61.1%35.2%-7.4%
1M Excs Rtn-12.4%2.7%2.7%-23.0%-35.1%-1.6%-7.0%
3M Excs Rtn-46.3%-8.8%37.6%-36.8%-41.7%-12.4%-24.6%
6M Excs Rtn-12.6%-8.7%89.7%41.9%-46.6%-20.6%-10.7%
12M Excs Rtn14.5%-35.7%27.7%54.9%-41.3%-27.4%-6.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-172.0%-94.3%-55.1%68.2%-132.9%-30.9%-74.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity95,193
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202561.0%
Average Daily Volume95,584
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity1,854,531
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022317202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021