SanDisk (SNDK)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $215.16 | Market Cap: $31.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
SanDisk (SNDK)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $215.16Market Cap: $31.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 445% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 120% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 445% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 120% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SNDK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
SanDisk (SNDK) experienced a significant surge in its stock price, moving by 306% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, following its re-emergence as an independent public company earlier in 2025. This substantial growth can be attributed to several key factors.
1. Strong Q3 Earnings Beat and Improved Profitability: SanDisk delivered a standout first quarter, significantly exceeding earnings expectations with a 37% EPS beat. Revenue reached $2.38 billion against an expected $2.12 billion, and gross margin climbed to 29.8%, indicating meaningful improvements in profitability.
2. Return to Net Cash Positive Status Ahead of Schedule: The company achieved net cash positive status six months earlier than anticipated, boasting $1.44 billion in cash compared to $1.35 billion in gross debt. Additionally, SanDisk generated $448 million in adjusted free cash flow, representing a 19.4% margin.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SNDK Return | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Return | 27% | 35% | -21% | 43% | 18% | 50% | 240% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SNDK Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 42% | 18% | 45% | 38% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SNDK Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -4% | -25% | -3% | -5% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
SNDK has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1183 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| SanDisk (SNDK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| SanDisk (SNDK) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| SanDisk (SNDK) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| SanDisk (SNDK) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| SanDisk (SNDK) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| SanDisk (SNDK) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| SanDisk (SNDK) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| SanDisk (SNDK) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| SNDK Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Can Sandisk Stock Drop 50%? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| How SanDisk Stock Gained 320% | November 27th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Next For SanDisk Stock After A 3x Surge? | October 1st, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: VBTX, NBIS, EOSE | Losers: WAT, UP, SNDK | July 15th, 2025 | ||
| SanDisk Beats Consensus On Revenue, EPS As Removable Storage Sales Rebound | April 29th, 2016 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SNDK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SanDisk
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 176.15 |
| Mkt Cap | 75.7 |
| Rev LTM | 9,097 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,915 |
| FCF LTM | 818 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,600 |
| CFO LTM | 1,083 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,098 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 22.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 75.7 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 19.4 |
| P/E | 25.7 |
| P/CFO | 29.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 44.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 75.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 243.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 35.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 59.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 166.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 10/3/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8212025 | 10-K 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/28/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3072025 | 10-Q 12/27/2024 |
| 3312016 | 5022016 | 10-Q 4/3/2016 |
| 12312015 | 2122016 | 10-K 1/3/2016 |
| 9302015 | 10302015 | 10-Q 9/27/2015 |
| 6302015 | 7312015 | 10-Q 6/28/2015 |
| 3312015 | 4302015 | 10-Q 3/29/2015 |
| 12312014 | 2102015 | 10-K 12/28/2014 |
| 9302014 | 11032014 | 10-Q 9/28/2014 |
| 6302014 | 7312014 | 10-Q 6/29/2014 |
| 3312014 | 5012014 | 10-Q 3/30/2014 |
| 12312013 | 2212014 | 10-K 12/29/2013 |
| 9302013 | 10222013 | 10-Q 9/29/2013 |
| 6302013 | 7302013 | 10-Q 6/30/2013 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |