Sonida Senior Living (SNDA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.16 | Market Cap: $545.7 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities
Sonida Senior Living (SNDA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.16Market Cap: $545.7 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 147% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 153x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.4% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 147% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 153x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SNDA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Sonida Senior Living announced a strategic merger with CNL Healthcare Properties Inc., valued at approximately $1.8 billion. This transformational deal, announced on November 5, 2025, is set to create a $3 billion pure-play senior housing owner-operator, doubling Sonida's footprint to 153 owned communities and making it the eighth-largest owner of U.S. senior housing assets with over 14,700 units.
2. The company reported strong Q3 2025 financial performance. Key highlights from the earnings report on November 10, 2025, included improved Adjusted EBITDA, which was ahead of market expectations, enhanced clinical response processes, a 4% year-over-year increase in move-ins, and spot occupancy that improved to 88.2%. Additionally, same-store occupancy increased by 90 basis points sequentially to 87.7% and finished October with an average of 88%.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SNDA Return | -73% | 131% | -56% | -23% | 139% | 35% | -33% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 36% | -0% | 14% | 10% | 23% | 135% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SNDA Win Rate | 33% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 53% | 42% | 43% | 42% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SNDA Max Drawdown | -85% | -6% | -60% | -50% | -8% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -5% | -28% | -8% | -11% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACHC, SRTA, HCA, THC, UHS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SNDA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -89.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 811.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -86.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 621.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 402 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -82.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 467.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 496.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1357 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ACHC, SRTA, HCA, THC, UHS
In The Past
Sonida Senior Living's stock fell -89.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/7/2021. A -89.0% loss requires a 811.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Sonida Senior Living Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SNDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sonida Senior Living
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 120.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,129 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,197 |
| FCF LTM | 466 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 378 |
| CFO LTM | 1,142 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 974 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 8.2 |
| P/E | 13.2 |
| P/CFO | 7.2 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 89.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 40.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 255 | ||||
| Ancillary services | 1 | ||||
| Community fees | 2 | ||||
| Housing and support services | 204 | ||||
| Managed community reimbursement revenue | 27 | 41 | 25 | ||
| Management fees | 2 | 4 | 2 | ||
| Other operating revenue | 1 | ||||
| Resident revenue | 190 | 357 | 447 | ||
| Total | 255 | 238 | 235 | 384 | 447 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | -26 | ||||
| Total | -26 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3172025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5232022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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