Tearsheet

Sleep Number (SNBR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.85 | Market Cap: $157.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Household Appliances

Sleep Number (SNBR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.85
Market Cap: $157.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Household Appliances

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Health & Wellness Trends, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -150%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 583%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -53%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 102%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 29%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Health & Wellness Trends, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -150%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 583%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -53%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 102%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 29%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SNBR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Significant Q3 2025 Earnings and Revenue Miss: Sleep Number's third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.73 sharply missed the forecasted $0.15, and revenue of $343 million fell short of the expected $362.48 million, leading to a substantial pre-market stock drop of 27.82% on November 5, 2025.

2. Steep Decline in Net Sales: The company experienced a 19.6% year-over-year decrease in net sales for Q3 2025, reaching $343 million, attributed to lower sales volume, a reduced store footprint, decreased marketing spend, and product portfolio challenges.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SNBR Return66%-6%-66%-43%3%-56%-86%
Peers Return-15%131%-21%44%2%4%137%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SNBR Win Rate83%33%25%42%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%28%27%40%28%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SNBR Max Drawdown-68%-9%-68%-64%-42%-76% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-5%-28%-5%-7%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SCS, HNI, TTSH, ALH, XWIN. See SNBR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSNBRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1471.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven284.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven195 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven64 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-99.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven10441.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1036 days1480 days

Compare to SCS, HNI, TTSH, ALH, XWIN


In The Past

Sleep Number's stock fell -93.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -93.6% loss requires a 1471.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sleep Number (SNBR)

Better Bets than Sleep Number (SNBR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SNBR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
SNBR_3312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312022SNBRSleep NumberDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-33.8%-40.0%-51.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
SNBR_3312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312022SNBRSleep NumberDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-33.8%-40.0%-51.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sleep Number

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SNBRSCSHNITTSHALHXWINMedian
NameSleep Nu.SteelcaseHNI Tile ShopAlliance.XMax  
Mkt Price6.5416.3541.916.5022.495.4911.45
Mkt Cap0.21.91.90.3--1.1
Rev LTM1,4413,2592,593339-101,441
Op Inc LTM15146224-2--415
FCF LTM-47-37190-1--1-1
FCF 3Y Avg-4712717918--218
CFO LTM-291725010--110
CFO 3Y Avg-1018024732--232

Growth & Margins

SNBRSCSHNITTSHALHXWINMedian
NameSleep Nu.SteelcaseHNI Tile ShopAlliance.XMax  
Rev Chg LTM-17.0%3.9%1.2%-3.8%--0.0%-0.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.8%1.8%2.8%-5.2%--9.1%-5.2%
Rev Chg Q-19.6%4.8%1.7%-1.7%--4.9%-1.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.5%1.3%0.4%-0.4%--1.3%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM1.1%4.5%8.6%-0.7%--38.4%1.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.7%4.7%7.2%1.9%--68.5%1.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-1.0%-0.2%-0.7%-2.5%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.0%0.5%9.6%2.9%--9.5%0.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.7%5.6%9.9%8.8%--23.2%5.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.3%-1.1%7.3%-0.3%--9.5%-1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.7%4.0%7.1%4.9%--23.3%4.0%

Valuation

SNBRSCSHNITTSHALHXWINMedian
NameSleep Nu.SteelcaseHNI Tile ShopAlliance.XMax  
Mkt Cap0.21.91.90.3--1.1
P/S0.10.40.80.8--0.6
P/EBIT-4.59.510.1-120.4--2.5
P/E-2.113.015.2-158.5--5.5
P/CFO-5.671.78.627.0--17.8
Total Yield-48.5%7.7%8.1%-0.6%--3.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.5%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.7%11.7%8.4%7.2%--7.8%
D/E5.80.50.20.5--0.5
Net D/E5.80.30.20.4--0.4

Returns

SNBRSCSHNITTSHALHXWINMedian
NameSleep Nu.SteelcaseHNI Tile ShopAlliance.XMax  
1M Rtn28.0%3.2%5.1%4.2%-16.2%-4.2%
3M Rtn-32.3%-2.3%-7.1%9.4%---4.7%
6M Rtn-31.5%60.0%-9.2%2.2%---3.5%
12M Rtn-60.2%24.9%-23.9%-1.7%---12.8%
3Y Rtn-78.8%142.8%58.8%50.8%--54.8%
1M Excs Rtn28.0%3.3%5.1%4.2%-16.2%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-38.1%-8.9%-13.9%3.2%---11.4%
6M Excs Rtn-46.2%45.3%-24.0%-12.5%---18.2%
12M Excs Rtn-69.9%11.8%-37.2%-15.5%---26.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-149.9%49.9%-11.3%-20.2%---15.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,887    
Online, phone, chat and other 291281274 
Retail stores 1,8241,9041,5821,559
Online, Phone and Chat    129
Wholesale/Other    10
Total1,8872,1142,1851,8571,698


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,737,207
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-12.0%
Average Daily Volume1,114,959
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.04
Basic Shares Quantity22,964,000
Short % of Basic Shares29.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023509202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022809202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021301202210-K 1/1/2022