Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Emerging & Regulated Markets. Themes include Cannabis Banking & Financial Services, and Niche Market Fintech.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 184%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -124%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -65%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 611%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -869%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1683%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Emerging & Regulated Markets. Themes include Cannabis Banking & Financial Services, and Niche Market Fintech.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 184%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -124%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -65%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 611%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -869%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1683%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SHFS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -43.5% movement in SHF (symbol: SHFS) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Financial Results: SHF Holdings reported a significant decline in its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, with total revenue dropping 47.3% year-over-year to $1.83 million and net income falling 49.3% to $179,508. These results, reported around mid-November 2025, signaled a challenging operating environment and contributed to a negative investor outlook.

2. Negative Analyst Ratings and Concerns over Financial Instability: Following the Q3 earnings, analysts issued "Sell" ratings and an "Underperform" outlook for SHFS. Reports indicated "severe financial instability, with declining revenues, net losses, and high leverage," which likely intensified investor apprehension.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SHFS Return---82%-20%-68%-86%-99%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SHFS Win Rate-75%50%50%25%30% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SHFS Max Drawdown---82%-81%-78%-97% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSHFSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3259.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

SHF's stock fell -97.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/12/2022. A -97.0% loss requires a 3259.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SHF (SHFS)

Better Bets than SHF (SHFS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Is SHF Stock Built to Withstand More Downside?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SHFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SHF

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SHFSNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameSHF NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price1.3611.3121.9516.4715.0917.4415.78
Mkt Cap0.00.30.2--84.20.2
Rev LTM122696090268,96775
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-4-52020-843,657-0
FCF 3Y Avg-1-22916-52,3175
CFO LTM-4-51920-443,9410
CFO 3Y Avg-1-22818-52,5065

Growth & Margins

SHFSNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameSHF NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-43.3%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-124.2%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%0.0%
Rev Chg Q-64.6%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-21.4%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-33.3%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%6.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%25.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-33.3%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%3.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%22.7%

Valuation

SHFSNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameSHF NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.00.30.2--84.20.2
P/S0.51.12.7--7.41.9
P/EBIT-------
P/E-0.14.911.6--28.88.3
P/CFO-1.5-0.67.9--16.83.6
Total Yield-865.2%20.2%13.5%--3.5%8.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.0%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E1.92.60.2--0.01.0
Net D/E1.81.8-4.5---0.40.7

Returns

SHFSNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameSHF NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn-45.4%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn-61.5%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn-46.7%10.7%29.3%--46.1%20.0%
12M Rtn-85.2%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%9.1%
3Y Rtn-98.4%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%-8.0%
1M Excs Rtn-45.3%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-69.7%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-61.4%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-98.6%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-171.0%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-77.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity71,007
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202516.4%
Average Daily Volume455,423
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity2,826,468
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025521202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024410202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022414202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
123120216102022DEFM14A 12/31/2021