Tearsheet

Saga Communications (SGA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.8 | Market Cap: $72.9 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting

Saga Communications (SGA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.8
Market Cap: $72.9 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Broadcasting

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 9.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Local Media & Community Engagement. Themes include Local Broadcast Media, Local Digital Advertising, and Community-Focused Content & Information.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 9.5%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Local Media & Community Engagement. Themes include Local Broadcast Media, Local Digital Advertising, and Community-Focused Content & Information.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SGA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Saga Communications (SGA) stock moved during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Financial Results: Saga Communications reported a net loss of $532 thousand, or $0.08 loss per share, for the third quarter of 2025, a significant decrease from a net income of $1.3 million in the same period last year. Net revenue also declined by 1.8% to $28.2 million compared to the prior year.

2. Impact of Music Licensing Settlement: The reported net loss in Q3 2025 was largely due to an approximately $2.1 million retroactive settlement with music licensing organizations, which increased station operating expenses and shifted the quarter from a potential profit to a loss.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SGA Return-20%5%17%7%-46%16%-34%
Peers Return-10%13%-8%-13%24%40%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SGA Win Rate25%58%58%58%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%45%30%40%53%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SGA Max Drawdown-43%-20%-11%-16%-46%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-9%-17%-24%-14%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA, SBGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSGAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven474 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1266.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1046 days1480 days

Compare to WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA, SBGI


In The Past

Saga Communications's stock fell -28.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/16/2021. A -28.5% loss requires a 39.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Saga Communications (SGA)

Better Bets than Saga Communications (SGA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SGA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Saga Communications

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SGAWBDFOXANXSTTGNASBGIMedian
NameSaga Com.Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna Sinclair  
Mkt Price11.9824.5766.45190.9219.4015.1621.98
Mkt Cap0.160.929.75.83.11.14.5
Rev LTM11237,86316,4745,1483,0323,3374,242
Op Inc LTM21,4123,2431,049737331893
FCF LTM84,1342,665983576211779
FCF 3Y Avg84,9251,834908568168738
CFO LTM115,2303,0361,112619289866
CFO 3Y Avg146,0712,1881,056617255837

Growth & Margins

SGAWBDFOXANXSTTGNASBGIMedian
NameSaga Com.Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna Sinclair  
Rev Chg LTM-3.5%-4.3%14.9%-1.4%5.9%-1.0%-1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.2%17.2%5.6%1.2%-0.4%-8.1%0.5%
Rev Chg Q-5.0%-6.0%4.9%-12.3%-5.0%-15.7%-5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.3%-1.5%1.1%-3.2%-1.2%-4.1%-1.4%
Op Mgn LTM1.6%3.7%19.7%20.4%24.3%9.9%14.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.5%-0.5%18.4%19.8%23.8%5.2%12.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%1.2%-0.1%-2.4%-0.4%-3.7%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM9.7%13.8%18.4%21.6%20.4%8.7%16.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%15.2%14.2%20.5%20.3%7.7%14.7%
FCF/Rev LTM6.8%10.9%16.2%19.1%19.0%6.3%13.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.7%12.3%11.9%17.6%18.7%5.1%12.1%

Valuation

SGAWBDFOXANXSTTGNASBGIMedian
NameSaga Com.Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna Sinclair  
Mkt Cap0.160.929.75.83.11.14.5
P/S0.71.31.71.20.90.31.0
P/EBIT26.113.19.05.53.63.17.2
P/E38.499.813.911.65.9-23.412.7
P/CFO7.49.39.35.44.43.66.4
Total Yield10.5%1.0%8.2%12.3%19.8%2.3%9.4%
Dividend Yield7.9%0.0%1.0%3.7%3.0%6.6%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.5%18.3%8.5%16.7%19.8%21.7%17.5%
D/E0.10.70.31.11.24.00.9
Net D/E-0.20.60.11.00.93.50.7

Returns

SGAWBDFOXANXSTTGNASBGIMedian
NameSaga Com.Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna Sinclair  
1M Rtn0.9%10.2%4.4%-1.2%-1.6%12.8%2.7%
3M Rtn3.7%106.1%10.6%-6.3%-8.4%9.5%6.6%
6M Rtn2.1%151.0%23.6%17.3%21.9%22.5%22.2%
12M Rtn6.3%132.9%44.5%16.8%7.5%-8.1%12.1%
3Y Rtn-36.2%112.7%112.5%16.8%5.1%-30.9%11.0%
1M Excs Rtn0.9%10.3%4.5%-1.2%-1.6%12.8%2.7%
3M Excs Rtn-4.0%103.4%3.9%-12.1%-13.7%4.7%-0.0%
6M Excs Rtn-12.6%136.3%8.9%2.6%7.2%7.8%7.5%
12M Excs Rtn-11.0%120.9%28.8%3.1%-7.3%-23.7%-2.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-104.2%52.2%50.3%-50.2%-65.1%-103.7%-57.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Broadcast Advertising Revenue, net94    
Digital Advertising Revenue12    
Other Revenue9    
Radio 11510896123
Total11611510896123


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,543
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.9%
Average Daily Volume9,013
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity6,176,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021