Tearsheet

Simmons First National (SFNC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.705 | Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Simmons First National (SFNC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.705
Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -83%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 54x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 831%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 754%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -35%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -434%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 14%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 1514%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -83%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 831%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 754%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 14%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
6 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 54x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -35%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -434%
9 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 1514%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SFNC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -8.5% stock movement for Simmons First National (SFNC) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Significant Net Loss in Q3 2025 Due to Strategic Balance Sheet Repositioning

Simmons First National reported a substantial net loss of $562.8 million for the third quarter of 2025. This was primarily attributed to a strategic repositioning of its balance sheet, which involved the sale of approximately $2.4 billion in low-yielding investment securities, resulting in a significant after-tax loss of around $626 million. 2. Missed Revenue Expectations in Q3 2025

The company's reported revenue for Q3 2025, at -$569.5 million, significantly fell short of Wall Street analyst estimates of -$150.5 million. Although adjusted revenue was closer to expectations, the GAAP revenue was substantially negative due to the aforementioned securities loss.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SFNC Return-16%40%-25%-4%17%-14%-14%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SFNC Win Rate50%67%25%42%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SFNC Max Drawdown-45%0%-31%-32%-17%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSFNCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven254 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-43.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1747 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Simmons First National's stock fell -56.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -56.6% loss requires a 130.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Simmons First National (SFNC)

Better Bets than Simmons First National (SFNC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SFNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
SFNC_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020SFNCSimmons First NationalDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
-13.4%66.9%-21.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
SFNC_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020SFNCSimmons First NationalDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
-13.4%66.9%-21.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Simmons First National

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SFNCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameSimmons .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price18.8211.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap2.60.30.2--84.21.5
Rev LTM502696090268,96775
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM378-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg427-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM417-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg466-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

SFNCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameSimmons .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-93.2%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-35.2%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%0.0%
Rev Chg Q-433.7%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-93.7%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM830.9%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg320.3%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM753.7%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg291.2%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

SFNCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameSimmons .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap2.60.30.2--84.21.5
P/S53.61.12.7--7.45.0
P/EBIT-------
P/E-6.34.911.6--28.88.3
P/CFO6.5-0.67.9--16.87.2
Total Yield-11.8%20.2%13.5%--3.5%8.5%
Dividend Yield4.1%0.0%4.9%--0.0%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg16.4%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.22.60.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-0.81.8-4.5---0.4-0.6

Returns

SFNCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameSimmons .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn8.5%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.6%
3M Rtn-8.9%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn3.7%10.7%29.3%--46.1%20.0%
12M Rtn-19.7%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%9.1%
3Y Rtn-6.0%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%1.4%
1M Excs Rtn8.6%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-15.5%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-11.0%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-33.4%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.9%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-70.2%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community and Commercial Banking771  861791
Other34    
Single Segment 875767  
Total806875767861791


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community and Commercial Banking165    
Other10    
Total175    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community and Commercial Banking27,339    
Other7    
Total27,346    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,814,671
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.2%
Average Daily Volume1,125,301
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.39
Basic Shares Quantity140,234,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021