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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 34%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 28x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.11
Key risks
RMD key risks include [1] the erosion of market share gains as a key competitor resolves its product recall and [2] new liabilities and regulatory challenges related to its increasing use of artificial intelligence (AI) in products.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Health Data Analytics, and AI in Healthcare Management.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 34%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Health Data Analytics, and AI in Healthcare Management.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.11
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 28x
7 Key risks
RMD key risks include [1] the erosion of market share gains as a key competitor resolves its product recall and [2] new liabilities and regulatory challenges related to its increasing use of artificial intelligence (AI) in products.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RMD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining ResMed (RMD) stock's approximate -10.2% movement during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Threat from GLP-1 Medications: ResMed faced significant investor concern due to the looming threat of pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly's GLP-1 medication, tirzepatide (marketed as Mounjaro and Zepbound), potentially gaining approval for an obstructive sleep apnea indication. This development was expected to disrupt ResMed's core continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) products business, with analysts projecting a 15% to 25% decline in sales of these devices.

2. Analyst Downgrades and Bearish Outlooks: During this period, ResMed experienced multiple analyst downgrades. For instance, in September 2024, Wolfe Research downgraded the stock to "underperform" (sell) from "peerperform" (hold), citing disruption risks to ResMed's business in 2025-2026 due to Eli Lilly's likely launch of a sleep apnea indication for its GLP-1 drug. Additionally, in December 2025, Baird downgraded ResMed to a "Hold" or "Neutral" rating.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RMD Return38%23%-19%-17%34%9%68%
Peers Return27%0%-11%-12%15%-10%2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RMD Win Rate75%50%50%58%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%55%48%48%50%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RMD Max Drawdown-26%-15%-26%-35%-4%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-15%-29%-29%-12%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: INSP, INGN, MDT, SYK, BDX. See RMD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRMDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven94 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven133 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-45.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven466 days1,480 days

Compare to MTD, STE, XRAY, OFIX, DAVI


In The Past

ResMed's stock fell -54.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -54.7% loss requires a 120.8% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About ResMed (RMD)

Better Bets than ResMed (RMD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RMD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
RMD_4302024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302024RMDResMedMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.7%11.6%-14.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
RMD_4302024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302024RMDResMedMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.7%11.6%-14.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ResMed

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RMDINSPINGNMDTSYKBDXMedian
NameResMed Inspire .Inogen MedtronicStryker Becton D. 
Mkt Price245.94118.276.8298.30352.58195.36156.81
Mkt Cap36.03.50.2126.0134.856.046.0
Rev LTM5,25788334734,75824,38121,84013,549
Op Inc LTM1,76237-326,7194,7852,9882,375
FCF LTM1,75799-245,2064,0732,6712,214
FCF 3Y Avg1,29948-274,9173,2822,6191,959
CFO LTM1,883134-137,1134,8323,4312,657
CFO 3Y Avg1,42080-86,6263,9523,4062,413

Growth & Margins

RMDINSPINGNMDTSYKBDXMedian
NameResMed Inspire .Inogen MedtronicStryker Becton D. 
Rev Chg LTM9.4%16.8%4.7%5.3%11.0%8.2%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.3%37.7%-1.5%4.1%10.8%5.0%7.9%
Rev Chg Q9.1%10.5%4.0%6.6%10.2%8.4%8.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%2.5%1.0%1.6%2.4%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM33.5%4.2%-9.3%19.3%19.6%13.7%16.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg30.3%-0.9%-14.6%18.6%19.5%13.4%16.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%-0.6%0.3%-0.1%0.0%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM35.8%15.1%-3.8%20.5%19.8%15.7%17.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.1%10.1%-2.3%19.9%17.8%16.7%17.2%
FCF/Rev LTM33.4%11.2%-7.0%15.0%16.7%12.2%13.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.5%5.9%-8.2%14.8%14.7%12.8%13.8%

Valuation

RMDINSPINGNMDTSYKBDXMedian
NameResMed Inspire .Inogen MedtronicStryker Becton D. 
Mkt Cap36.03.50.2126.0134.856.046.0
P/S7.62.50.63.65.82.63.1
P/EBIT22.746.9-6.919.729.522.422.6
P/E27.848.8-8.726.548.033.430.6
P/CFO21.216.3-16.617.729.316.317.0
Total Yield4.4%2.0%-11.5%6.6%3.0%5.1%3.7%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.0%0.0%2.9%0.9%2.1%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%1.8%-17.7%4.3%2.6%4.1%3.2%
D/E0.00.00.10.20.10.30.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.1-0.50.20.10.30.0

Returns

RMDINSPINGNMDTSYKBDXMedian
NameResMed Inspire .Inogen MedtronicStryker Becton D. 
1M Rtn0.5%39.4%1.6%2.1%-2.1%2.9%1.9%
3M Rtn-9.3%47.8%-18.0%4.7%-6.2%4.7%-0.8%
6M Rtn-1.5%-8.8%3.3%16.5%-5.1%17.1%0.9%
12M Rtn2.3%-38.0%-25.2%24.8%-4.1%-11.5%-7.8%
3Y Rtn20.5%-53.4%-67.0%41.5%51.4%-17.4%1.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%38.6%0.9%1.4%-2.8%2.1%1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-11.1%40.5%-23.8%2.3%-7.8%2.9%-2.8%
6M Excs Rtn-13.9%-21.2%-9.0%4.1%-17.5%4.8%-11.5%
12M Excs Rtn-7.0%-48.1%-35.0%12.0%-16.1%-22.6%-19.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.0%-118.4%-135.9%-32.2%-22.7%-87.3%-70.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sleep and Breathing Health4,1013,7253,1772,8232,602
Residential Care Software584498401374357
Total4,6854,2233,5783,1972,959


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sleep and Breathing Health1,6811,4471,3121,037 
Residential Care Software1541169393 
Acquisition related expenses0-11-2  
Masks with magnets field safety notification expenses-60   
Astral field safety notification expenses-80   
Restructuring expenses-64-9 -9 
Amortization of acquired intangible assets-79-72-71-76 
Corporate costs-358-338-332-141 
Total1,3201,1321,000904 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,416,904
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.2%
Average Daily Volume937,247
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.11
Basic Shares Quantity146,182,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-2.1%-0.8%-0.3%
7/31/20252.7%3.0%1.2%
4/23/202510.1%10.3%14.7%
1/30/2025-8.3%-7.9%-9.3%
10/24/20247.1%1.4%2.2%
8/1/20244.2%-0.2%14.5%
4/25/202418.9%18.9%16.5%
1/24/20248.5%10.7%7.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101212
# Negative141212
Median Positive6.9%4.4%10.1%
Median Negative-4.9%-5.0%-4.2%
Max Positive18.9%18.9%17.0%
Max Negative-18.5%-19.5%-27.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024131202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023125202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022127202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021128202210-Q 12/31/2021