Rambus (RMBS)
Market Price (7/26/2026): $96.5 | Market Cap: $10.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Rambus (RMBS)
Market Price (7/26/2026): $96.5Market Cap: $10.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -3.0% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% Key risksRMBS key risks include [1] its inherent patent and intellectual property challenges, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -3.0% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
| Key risksRMBS key risks include [1] its inherent patent and intellectual property challenges, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Rambus (RMBS) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations and Robust Outlook. Rambus reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results on April 27, 2026, with diluted non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.63, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.61 or $0.62. Quarterly revenue reached $180.2 million, slightly exceeding the consensus estimate of $179.94 million. Product revenue notably increased by 15% year-over-year to $88.0 million, driven by strong DDR5 product performance and new project ramps. The company also provided an optimistic fiscal Q2 2026 revenue guidance of $192 million to $198 million, with product revenue projected to grow approximately 11% sequentially at the midpoint, signaling continued growth. This strong financial performance and forward-looking guidance instilled investor confidence, contributing to the stock's upward movement.
2. Strategic Expansion in AI and Data Center Memory Solutions. Rambus made significant advancements in its offerings for next-generation AI and data center platforms during the period. On April 22, 2026, the company introduced the LPDDR5X SOCAMM2 server module chipset, designed to enable power-efficient, high-bandwidth memory modules critical for AI servers. This was followed by the announcement on May 5, 2026, of its PCIe 7.0 Switch IP with Time Division Multiplexing, aimed at addressing escalating bandwidth, latency, and scalability requirements in AI, cloud, and high-performance computing (HPC) systems. Earlier, on March 4, 2026, Rambus unveiled the industry's fastest HBM4E memory controller IP, crucial for demanding AI and HPC workloads. These innovations position Rambus favorably within the rapidly growing AI and data center markets, driving investor interest and stock appreciation.
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Rambus (RMBS) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations and Robust Outlook. Rambus reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results on April 27, 2026, with diluted non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.63, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.61 or $0.62. Quarterly revenue reached $180.2 million, slightly exceeding the consensus estimate of $179.94 million. Product revenue notably increased by 15% year-over-year to $88.0 million, driven by strong DDR5 product performance and new project ramps. The company also provided an optimistic fiscal Q2 2026 revenue guidance of $192 million to $198 million, with product revenue projected to grow approximately 11% sequentially at the midpoint, signaling continued growth. This strong financial performance and forward-looking guidance instilled investor confidence, contributing to the stock's upward movement.
2. Strategic Expansion in AI and Data Center Memory Solutions. Rambus made significant advancements in its offerings for next-generation AI and data center platforms during the period. On April 22, 2026, the company introduced the LPDDR5X SOCAMM2 server module chipset, designed to enable power-efficient, high-bandwidth memory modules critical for AI servers. This was followed by the announcement on May 5, 2026, of its PCIe 7.0 Switch IP with Time Division Multiplexing, aimed at addressing escalating bandwidth, latency, and scalability requirements in AI, cloud, and high-performance computing (HPC) systems. Earlier, on March 4, 2026, Rambus unveiled the industry's fastest HBM4E memory controller IP, crucial for demanding AI and HPC workloads. These innovations position Rambus favorably within the rapidly growing AI and data center markets, driving investor interest and stock appreciation.
3. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets. The company received favorable attention from financial analysts, leading to multiple rating upgrades and increased price targets. For instance, on April 28, 2026, following the Q1 earnings report, Jefferies Financial Group raised its price target for Rambus from $120.00 to $145.00. Similarly, Rosenblatt Securities increased its price objective from $130.00 to $150.00, and Wells Fargo & Company boosted its target from $115.00 to $145.00 on the same day. More recently, on July 16, 2026, Benchmark upgraded Rambus to a "strong-buy" rating, setting a new price target of $165.00. This consistently positive analyst sentiment and higher valuations contributed significantly to the stock's positive trend.
4. Robust Financial Health and Cash Generation. Rambus demonstrated strong underlying financial health and efficient cash flow management. The company generated $83.2 million in cash from operating activities in fiscal Q1 2026. This led to an increase in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities to $786.1 million as of March 31, 2026. Furthermore, Rambus maintains a strong financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.02. This financial stability and ability to generate substantial cash from operations reassured investors and provided a solid foundation for the stock's gains.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.6% change in RMBS stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 86.03 | 96.01 | 11.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 708 | 721 | 1.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 32.6% | 31.9% | -2.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 40.2 | 45.1 | 12.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 108 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 11.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.6% | 59.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 32.3% | 71.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.5% change in RMBS stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 91.89 | 96.01 | 4.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 678 | 721 | 6.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 33.7% | 31.9% | -5.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 43.2 | 45.1 | 4.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 108 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 4.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.7% | 54.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 22.3% | 66.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 50.0% change in RMBS stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 64.02 | 96.01 | 50.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 605 | 721 | 19.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 34.2% | 31.9% | -6.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.1 | 45.1 | 36.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 107 | 108 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 50.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 50.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.6% | 55.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 39.5% | 65.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 49.6% change in RMBS stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 171.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 64.17 | 96.01 | 49.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 470 | 721 | 53.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.8% | 31.9% | 171.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 125.9 | 45.1 | -64.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 108 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 49.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 49.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 72.6% | 60.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 106.1% | 69.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RMBS Return | 68% | 22% | 91% | -23% | 74% | 12% | 491% |
| Peers Return | 44% | -21% | 30% | 8% | 19% | 76% | 238% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RMBS Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 37% | 67% | 52% | 52% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RMBS Max Drawdown | -18% | -39% | -27% | -49% | -37% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -38% | -25% | -25% | -37% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMAT, TXN, ADI, MTSI, DIOD. See RMBS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RMBS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 182 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 118 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -43.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -30.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Rambus's stock fell -35.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 54.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | RMBS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 182 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 118 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -43.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -30.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.4% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 154 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -36.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.5% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 57 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.3% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4051 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 314.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 384 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -30.6% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.1% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Rambus's stock fell -35.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 54.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Rambus (RMBS)
Rambus Inc. is a semiconductor company that specializes in providing advanced technology for data transfer and security in electronic systems. The company develops and licenses high-performance solutions that are critical for modern computing, focusing on enhancing memory performance and protecting sensitive information.
Rambus's main products include DDR memory interface chips, such as DDR5, DDR4, and DDR3, which are essential components used by manufacturers to build memory modules. Beyond hardware, Rambus is a significant provider of silicon IP (intellectual property), offering interface IP for high-speed data movement and security IP to protect data in advanced applications. This IP includes physical interface and digital controller solutions designed for integrated memory and interconnect subsystems.
The company primarily serves module manufacturers and Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) who integrate its memory interface chips into their products. Its silicon IP solutions are licensed to various semiconductor and electronics companies globally, enabling them to incorporate cutting-edge memory and security features into their designs. Rambus also maintains a substantial patent portfolio covering memory architecture, high-speed serial links, and security products, underscoring its foundational role in these technology areas across markets in the United States, Asia, and Europe.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Rambus (RMBS):
- They're essentially the ARM Holdings of high-speed computer memory – providing the core technology and chips that make data move fast and securely.
- Imagine a highly specialized Texas Instruments or Analog Devices, but solely dedicated to designing the crucial interface chips and intellectual property that power high-speed, secure computer memory.
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- DDR Memory Interface Chips: Rambus offers DDR5, DDR4, and DDR3 memory interface chips to module manufacturers and OEMs.
- Silicon IP Solutions: The company provides interface and security IP solutions that move and protect data in advanced applications.
- Physical Interface and Digital Controller IP: Rambus offers physical interface and digital controller IP for integrated memory and interconnect subsystems.
- Patent Portfolio: Rambus holds a portfolio of patents covering memory architecture, high-speed serial links, and security products, which it licenses.
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Rambus (RMBS) primarily sells its semiconductor products, IP solutions, and patent licenses to other companies.
Based on the provided company description, its major customer categories include:
- Module manufacturers: These companies integrate Rambus's DDR memory interface chips (such as DDR5, DDR4, and DDR3) into memory modules.
- Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): These companies incorporate Rambus's DDR memory interface chips into their own systems and products.
- Semiconductor companies: These companies license Rambus's silicon IP solutions (including interface and security IP, as well as physical interface and digital controller IP) for integration into advanced applications, and/or license its portfolio of patents covering memory architecture, high-speed serial links, and security products.
The provided background information does not name specific customer companies or their public symbols.
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- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)
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Mr. Seraphin has over 30 years of experience managing global businesses. Before becoming CEO, he served as Senior Vice President and General Manager of the Memory and Interface Division (October 2015 - June 2018) and Senior Vice President of Worldwide Sales and Operations (June 2014 - October 2015). His career began at NEC in 1985, followed by roles at AT&T Bell Labs, Lucent Technologies, and Agere Systems (now Broadcom Inc.), where he was Executive Vice President and General Manager of the Wireless Business Unit. He also held the position of general manager at a GPS startup company in Switzerland and was Vice President of Worldwide Sales and Support at Sequans Communications.
John Allen Interim CFOMr. Allen joined Rambus in 2023 and leads the global accounting organization, bringing over 40 years of finance experience. Prior to Rambus, he served as senior vice president and corporate controller at Xperi (formerly Tessera), a role that included a period as acting chief financial officer. He also held senior finance leadership positions at Corsair as vice president, corporate controller, and at Leadis Technology, where he was chief financial officer and vice president, corporate controller.
Sean Fan EVP & COOMr. Fan joined Rambus as Chief Operating Officer in August 2019, with a track record of over 20 years in semiconductor operations. Before Rambus, he was a corporate vice president and general manager at Renesas Electronics, leading the datacenter business unit. Prior to Renesas's acquisition of Integrated Device Technology Inc. (IDT) in March 2019, Mr. Fan spent over 19 years at IDT in various senior executive roles, actively participating in corporate strategy, mergers and acquisitions, and leading efforts in business turnaround and transformation. He previously worked at Lucent Microelectronics, Mitel Semiconductor, and the National Lab of Telecom in China.
Simon Blake-Wilson SVP & General Manager of Silicon IPDr. Blake-Wilson joined Rambus in January 2026. He is responsible for the development and growth of the company's silicon IP products, driving high-performance, secured memory and interconnect architectural innovation. Throughout his career, he has focused on driving commercial adoption of advanced technologies, beginning as Director of Research at Certicom, where he spearheaded the adoption of Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC).
Rami Sethi SVP & General Manager of Memory Interface ChipsPrior to joining Rambus, Mr. Sethi was Corporate Vice President and General Manager of the Analog and Mixed Signal Business Unit at Renesas Electronics. Before Renesas acquired Integrated Device Technology (IDT) in 2019, he served as Vice President and General Manager of the Memory Interface and Power Management Divisions at IDT starting in 2013. His experience also includes various marketing and engineering roles at IDT, SiTime, and Essential Test Systems.
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The key risks to Rambus (RMBS) are primarily related to the inherent volatility and complexities of the semiconductor industry, specifically in its supply chain, competitive landscape, and customer relationships.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Rambus faces significant risks from disruptions in its global supply chain. The semiconductor industry is characterized by a complex and geographically concentrated supply chain, making it vulnerable to various external factors. Recently, Rambus experienced a manufacturing issue in its backend supply chain during Q4 2025, which negatively impacted its Q1 2026 product revenue guidance and led to a temporary drop in stock price. Broader industry risks such as geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade relations, the role of Taiwan in chip manufacturing), natural disasters, and limited foundry options can also disrupt the availability of critical materials and components, affecting Rambus's production and ability to meet customer demand.
- Intense Industry Competition and Technological Obsolescence: The semiconductor market is highly competitive and rapidly evolving, with short product lifecycles and constant technological advancements. Rambus competes with larger companies that possess greater resources. The company's success relies on its ability to continuously innovate and develop new memory interface chips and silicon IP solutions (like DDR5, HBM4, and PCIe 7) to meet the demands of emerging technologies such as AI and high-performance computing. Failure to keep pace with these advancements or the emergence of alternative technologies could render its products less competitive, impacting revenue and market share.
- Customer Concentration Risks: A notable portion of Rambus Inc.'s revenue is concentrated in a limited number of key customers. The loss of one or more of these major customers, whether due to contract termination, acquisition, or other factors, could lead to a substantial decrease in revenue and financial performance. This reliance on a concentrated customer base increases Rambus's vulnerability to market fluctuations and risks specific to those customers.
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Rambus Inc. operates in several key addressable markets for its semiconductor products and intellectual property (IP) solutions. These include the markets for DDR memory interface chips, as well as broader silicon IP markets encompassing interface and security IP.
Addressable Markets for Rambus's Main Products and Services
DDR Memory Interface Chips
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Global DRAM Market: The global Dynamic Random-Access Memory (DRAM) market is a significant addressable market for Rambus's DDR memory interface chips. This market was valued at approximately USD 121.83 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to about USD 223.7 billion by 2034, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.20% during the forecast period. Another estimate places the global DRAM market size at USD 99.29 billion in 2025, growing to USD 141.81 billion in 2031 with a CAGR of 6.1%. Asia Pacific dominated the global DRAM market with a share of 45.80% in 2025.
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Global Memory Interface Chip Market: More specifically, the global memory interface chip market, which includes DDR, GDDR, HBM, and LPDDR types, was valued at USD 1.37 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 14.03 billion by 2035, with a robust CAGR of 29.5% from 2026 to 2035. Another report indicates a market size of USD 1.33 billion in 2024, growing to USD 1.75 billion in 2025 and exceeding USD 12.66 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 28.5%.
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Global DDR5 Memory Interface Chip Market: For DDR5, a key focus area for Rambus, the global DDR5 Memory Interface Chip market is projected to be approximately USD 1.64 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach about USD 5.02 billion in 2033, growing at a CAGR of 15.03% from 2025 to 2033. The DDR5 RDIMM memory interface chip market alone is estimated to have a current annual value exceeding USD 5 billion, with a projected CAGR of around 15% for the next five years. Rambus is identified as a key player in the DDR5 Memory Interface Chip market.
Silicon IP (Interface and Security IP Solutions)
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Global Semiconductor IP Market: The broader global semiconductor IP market, which includes various types of IP solutions, was valued at approximately USD 7.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 11.2 billion by 2029, at a CAGR of 8.5%. Another source estimates the market at USD 8.8 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach around USD 35.7 billion by 2034, driven by a CAGR of 15.1% from 2025 to 2034. Asia Pacific held the largest share of this market, at 52.63% in 2025. North America is also a major market, holding approximately 45% of the global market share.
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Global Interface IP Market: Specifically for interface IP, the global market was valued at USD 2.91 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 6.86 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 11.30% during the forecast period. Another report valued the Interface IP Market at USD 1.33 billion in 2025, with an expected increase to USD 2.83 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 11.4%. North America dominated the interface IP market with over 35% revenue share in 2024.
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Global Security IP Market (IPSec): For security IP, the global IP Security (IPSec) market is projected to reach approximately USD 15 billion by 2032, increasing from USD 5 billion in 2023, with a CAGR of around 12%. In 2024, the global IPSec market size was estimated at USD 2.9 billion. North America is expected to lead this market, with a projected market size of approximately USD 5 billion by 2032.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Rambus (RMBS) over the next 2-3 years:
- Accelerating DDR5 Adoption and Market Share Expansion: Rambus is experiencing robust growth driven by the increasing adoption of DDR5 memory interface chips, particularly Register Clock Drivers (RCDs), across server and client platforms. The company maintains a leading market share in the DDR5 RCD market and anticipates further gains as the industry transitions from DDR4 to DDR5.
- Surging Demand from AI and Data Centers: The exponential growth of AI workloads, encompassing both training and inference, and the continuous expansion of high-performance computing in data centers are significant long-term revenue drivers. AI architectures are leading to substantially higher DRAM content per server, directly benefiting Rambus's memory interface chip and Silicon IP offerings.
- Launch and Ramp-up of New High-Performance Products and Silicon IP: Rambus is consistently introducing and scaling new products and intellectual property crucial for advanced memory and interconnect solutions. Key examples include High Bandwidth Memory (HBM4), GDDR7, PCIe 7.0, CXL 3.1 solutions, and Multiplexed Registering Dual Inline Memory Modules (MRDIMMs). The initial ramp of MRDIMM in late 2026 is identified as a substantial market opportunity, and these new offerings are critical for addressing the evolving demands of high-speed memory interconnect and security in next-generation computing.
- Growth in Silicon IP Business: Rambus's Silicon IP business, which includes high-speed memory and security IP solutions, is expected to continue its consistent growth trajectory of 10-15% annually. This growth is fueled by the ongoing need for enhanced speed and security for data in advanced data center applications and other computing environments.
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Share Repurchases
- Rambus initiated an accelerated share repurchase (ASR) program of approximately $100 million in June 2021, as part of a broader 20 million share repurchase program authorized in October 2020.
- In August 2023, the company launched another ASR program to repurchase approximately $100 million of its common stock.
- A $50 million ASR program was initiated in March 2024.
Share Issuance
- The issuance of common shares by Rambus Inc. was USD 6.9 million in 2025, marking a 25.5% increase year-over-year.
Outbound Investments
- Rambus's annual net acquisitions/divestitures for 2023 were $0.106 billion.
- In December 2025, the CEO stated the company continued to explore acquisitions and had made several small acquisitions, primarily in the silicon IP sector, over the preceding year.
Capital Expenditures
- Rambus reported capital expenditures of $14 million in 2021, $17 million in 2022, $23 million in 2023, $31 million in 2024, and $27 million in 2025.
- Capital expenditures for the fourth quarter of 2025 were $8.6 million.
- The company's capital expenditures are primarily focused on supporting its core business in semiconductor products and IP, particularly for data centers and AI applications.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| ... | 06/24/2026 | |
| NVDA, MU Look Smarter Buy Than Rambus Stock | 05/21/2026 | |
| Rambus Stock Slides 21% In A Single Day, Wait For A Dip To Buy The Stock | 04/29/2026 | |
| Is 29.8% Fall In Rambus (RMBS) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 04/29/2026 | |
| The Bear Case: How RMBS Behaves During Market Shocks | 04/28/2026 | |
| Rambus Earnings Notes | 04/24/2026 | |
| Is 20.0% Fall In Rambus (RMBS) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 03/31/2026 | |
| Rambus Stock (-11%): Dragged Down by South Korean Memory Sector Crash | 03/04/2026 | |
| Is 21.8% Fall In Rambus (RMBS) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 02/04/2026 | |
| Rambus Stock Pre-Market (-16%): Weak Q1 Guidance Sparks Sell-Off | 02/03/2026 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Rambus Stock Is Down, But Is the Business? | 06/24/2026 | |
| The Contradiction in Rambus Stock Right Now | 06/06/2026 | |
| Why NVDA, MU Could Outperform Rambus Stock | 05/21/2026 | |
| Rambus Stock To $77? | 04/29/2026 | |
| Stress Testing RMBS: Historical Drawdowns and Macro Risks | 04/28/2026 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 273.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 100.7 |
| Rev LTM | 7,148 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,226 |
| FCF LTM | 2,450 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,516 |
| CFO LTM | 2,736 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,344 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 17.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 22.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 25.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 31.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 28.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductor space | 708 | 557 | 461 | 455 | 328 |
| Total | 708 | 557 | 461 | 455 | 328 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID | 174 | 185 | 204 | 185 | |
| CRD | 21 | 22 | |||
| All Other | -8 | -13 | -9 | ||
| Reconciling items | -116 | -119 | -153 | -239 | -250 |
| Other | -13 | -3 | |||
| CRI | 11 | ||||
| CTO | -26 | -28 | |||
| SBG | 251 | ||||
| Total | 71 | 75 | 22 | -90 | -2 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Semiconductor space | 230 | 180 |
| Total | 230 | 180 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $96.01 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 10.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/14/1997 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -43.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $127.98 | $109.07 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | -25.0% | -12.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 94.8% | 80.4% |
| Downside Capture | 696.86 | 377.10 |
| Upside Capture | 361.95 | 362.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 59.3% | 56.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.14 | 4.36 | 4.16 | 3.53 | 3.49 | 2.57 |
| Up Beta | -0.35 | 1.65 | 2.93 | 3.39 | 3.59 | 2.38 |
| Down Beta | 4.28 | 3.51 | 4.08 | 2.77 | 3.45 | 2.32 |
| Up Capture | 623% | 762% | 763% | 870% | 1392% | 9933% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 34 | 62 | 131 | 380 |
| Down Capture | 445% | 435% | 421% | 244% | 187% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 29 | 62 | 119 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RMBS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 45.8% | 80.2% | 0.82 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 35.9% | 24.8% | 1.19 | 65.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.6% | 12.7% | 1.00 | 55.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.2% | 28.1% | 0.61 | 21.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 34.7% | 19.1% | 1.42 | 0.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.8% | 14.1% | 0.69 | 9.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -46.2% | 42.9% | -1.32 | 29.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RMBS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 34.1% | 56.5% | 0.74 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 19.4% | 25.6% | 0.68 | 65.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 56.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.0% | 18.4% | 0.75 | 14.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.6% | 19.5% | 0.38 | 9.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 25.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 15.3% | 53.4% | 0.47 | 24.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RMBS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 22.7% | 47.0% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 24.1% | 24.8% | 0.88 | 63.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 57.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.3% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 11.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 17.9% | 0.32 | 14.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 31.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.1% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 18.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/27/2026 | -21.3% | -21.1% | 5.2% |
| 2/2/2026 | -13.4% | -2.5% | -19.1% |
| 10/27/2025 | -8.7% | -6.9% | -18.6% |
| 7/28/2025 | 13.9% | 17.9% | 16.8% |
| 4/28/2025 | -5.6% | -2.9% | 3.8% |
| 2/3/2025 | 6.8% | 11.3% | -10.6% |
| 10/28/2024 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 29.0% |
| 7/29/2024 | -13.0% | -26.0% | -19.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 7.1% | 14.2% |
| Median Negative | -9.4% | -5.8% | -10.6% |
| Max Positive | 13.9% | 21.3% | 41.3% |
| Max Negative | -21.3% | -26.0% | -19.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/27/2026 | -21.3% | -21.1% | 5.2% |
| 2/2/2026 | -13.4% | -2.5% | -19.1% |
| 10/27/2025 | -8.7% | -6.9% | -18.6% |
| 7/28/2025 | 13.9% | 17.9% | 16.8% |
| 4/28/2025 | -5.6% | -2.9% | 3.8% |
| 2/3/2025 | 6.8% | 11.3% | -10.6% |
| 10/28/2024 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 29.0% |
| 7/29/2024 | -13.0% | -26.0% | -19.3% |
| 4/29/2024 | -9.4% | -5.8% | -9.0% |
| 2/5/2024 | -19.2% | -15.1% | -6.9% |
| 10/30/2023 | 9.5% | 16.6% | 39.2% |
| 7/31/2023 | -12.4% | -14.2% | -11.6% |
| 5/1/2023 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 41.3% |
| 2/6/2023 | -1.5% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| 10/31/2022 | 8.9% | 21.3% | 27.3% |
| 8/1/2022 | 3.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| 5/2/2022 | 2.9% | -4.5% | -0.9% |
| 2/7/2022 | 4.7% | 4.6% | 14.2% |
| 11/1/2021 | 3.2% | 2.1% | 16.0% |
| 8/2/2021 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| 5/3/2021 | 2.0% | -0.6% | 3.9% |
| 2/1/2021 | -0.2% | 3.1% | 7.1% |
| 11/2/2020 | 5.0% | 10.5% | 20.6% |
| 8/3/2020 | -3.8% | -5.6% | -10.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 7.1% | 14.2% |
| Median Negative | -9.4% | -5.8% | -10.6% |
| Max Positive | 13.9% | 21.3% | 41.3% |
| Max Negative | -21.3% | -26.0% | -19.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/26/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/02/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/3/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sayiner, Necip | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 170.15 | 5,000 | 850,750 | 3,100,643 | Form | |
| 2 | Higashi, Emiko | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 160.50 | 10,000 | 1,605,000 | 7,947,800 | Form | |
| 3 | Stang, Eric B | See Footnote | Sell | 6022026 | 146.00 | 5,000 | 730,000 | 2,805,828 | Form | |
| 4 | Higashi, Emiko | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 157.57 | 5,000 | 787,850 | 9,378,415 | Form | |
| 5 | Fan, Xianzhi Sean | EVP, COO | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 151.69 | 37,914 | 5,751,226 | 25,538,451 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sayiner, Necip | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 170.15 | 5,000 | 850,750 | 3,100,643 | Form | |
| 2 | Higashi, Emiko | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 160.50 | 10,000 | 1,605,000 | 7,947,800 | Form | |
| 3 | Stang, Eric B | See Footnote | Sell | 6022026 | 146.00 | 5,000 | 730,000 | 2,805,828 | Form | |
| 4 | Higashi, Emiko | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 157.57 | 5,000 | 787,850 | 9,378,415 | Form | |
| 5 | Fan, Xianzhi Sean | EVP, COO | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 151.69 | 37,914 | 5,751,226 | 25,538,451 | Form |
| 6 | Shinn, John | SVP, General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 143.63 | 1,000 | 143,630 | 3,032,317 | Form |
| 7 | Sayiner, Necip | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 130.18 | 9,824 | 1,278,888 | 3,023,170 | Form | |
| 8 | Laub, Steven | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 125.52 | 1,500 | 188,279 | 943,781 | Form | |
| 9 | Rao, Meera | Direct | Sell | 4152026 | 118.08 | 8,538 | 1,008,167 | 2,709,464 | Form | |
| 10 | Seraphin, Luc | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 86.65 | 5,426 | 470,188 | 29,962,315 | Form |
| 11 | Shinn, John | SVP, General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 3112026 | 88.68 | 4,556 | 404,008 | 1,637,580 | Form |
| 12 | Seraphin, Luc | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 98.63 | 39,914 | 3,936,696 | 32,653,256 | Form |
| 13 | Lynch, Desmond | SVP, CFO | Direct | Sell | 2242026 | 101.53 | 4,273 | 433,838 | 6,459,136 | Form |
| 14 | Stang, Eric B | See Footnote | Sell | 11122025 | 111.78 | 4,000 | 447,140 | 2,279,743 | Form | |
| 15 | Stang, Eric B | See Footnote | Sell | 11122025 | 102.35 | 5,000 | 511,760 | 2,496,775 | Form | |
| 16 | Lynch, Desmond | SVP, CFO | Direct | Sell | 10062025 | 101.50 | 9,074 | 920,973 | 5,618,400 | Form |
| 17 | Rao, Meera | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 101.99 | 653 | 66,599 | 2,984,329 | Form | |
| 18 | Lynch, Desmond | SVP, CFO | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 91.70 | 9,074 | 832,099 | 5,908,321 | Form |
| 19 | Sayiner, Necip | Direct | Sell | 9122025 | 85.63 | 7,500 | 642,226 | 2,639,462 | Form | |
| 20 | Rao, Meera | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 71.72 | 3,000 | 215,160 | 2,145,432 | Form | |
| 21 | Laub, Steven | Direct | Sell | 9022025 | 78.72 | 2,261 | 177,995 | 535,008 | Form | |
| 22 | Higashi, Emiko | Direct | Sell | 8152025 | 77.75 | 1,075 | 83,581 | 4,843,514 | Form | |
| 23 | Sayiner, Necip | Direct | Sell | 8112025 | 73.53 | 7,500 | 551,448 | 2,817,826 | Form | |
| 24 | Higashi, Emiko | Direct | Sell | 8062025 | 75.00 | 1,111 | 83,325 | 4,752,825 | Form | |
| 25 | Shinn, John | SVP, General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 74.61 | 790 | 58,945 | 1,506,303 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 26, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Rambus — Investor Video Playlist







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