Rafael (RFL)
Market Price (7/5/2026): $3.28 | Market Cap: $168.0 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
Rafael (RFL)
Market Price (7/5/2026): $3.28Market Cap: $168.0 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -22% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -36 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3717% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 165x Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 150% Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -51% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 211% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3264%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3264% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 217% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25% Key risksRFL key risks include [1] its critical dependence on the clinical success of its single lead drug candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -22% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -36 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3717% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 165x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 150% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -51% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 211% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3264%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3264% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 217% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25% |
| Key risksRFL key risks include [1] its critical dependence on the clinical success of its single lead drug candidate, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Rafael (RFL) stock has gained about 150% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Completion of Pivotal Phase 3 Clinical Trial.
Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) announced on June 10, 2026, the completion of the Last Patient Last Visit for its pivotal Phase 3 TransportNPC™ study. This study is evaluating Trappsol® Cyclo™ for the treatment of Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1 (NPC), a critical milestone for the company as this is considered its primary drug candidate.
2. Anticipated New Drug Application (NDA) Submission.
Following the successful completion of the Phase 3 trial, Rafael Holdings expects to submit a New Drug Application (NDA) to the FDA in the second half of calendar 2026. This anticipated regulatory filing, which follows a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA, is a significant near-term catalyst, given that the company is largely valued on the potential approval of this NPC drug.
Show more
Rafael (RFL) stock has gained about 150% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Completion of Pivotal Phase 3 Clinical Trial.
Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) announced on June 10, 2026, the completion of the Last Patient Last Visit for its pivotal Phase 3 TransportNPC™ study. This study is evaluating Trappsol® Cyclo™ for the treatment of Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1 (NPC), a critical milestone for the company as this is considered its primary drug candidate.
2. Anticipated New Drug Application (NDA) Submission.
Following the successful completion of the Phase 3 trial, Rafael Holdings expects to submit a New Drug Application (NDA) to the FDA in the second half of calendar 2026. This anticipated regulatory filing, which follows a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA, is a significant near-term catalyst, given that the company is largely valued on the potential approval of this NPC drug.
3. Fiscal Q3 2026 Financial Performance.
On June 11, 2026, Rafael Holdings reported its fiscal Q3 2026 financial results, for the period ending April 30, 2026. The company recorded a net loss of $4.2 million, or $0.08 per share, which was an improvement from a net loss of $4.8 million, or $0.19 per share, in the prior-year fiscal quarter. As of April 30, 2026, the company held $30.5 million in cash and cash equivalents.
4. Patent Licensing Agreement for Alzheimer's Disease.
Rafael Holdings announced a patent licensing agreement with MIT on April 22, 2026. This agreement focuses on "Small Molecules to Improve Myelination in ApoE4 positive Alzheimer's Disease," thereby strengthening the company's intellectual property and expanding its potential therapeutic pipeline in neurodegenerative disorders.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 152.0% change in RFL stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 199.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.25 | 3.15 | 152.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | -15.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 55.1 | 164.7 | 199.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51 | 51 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 152.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RFL | 152.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.5% | 4.0% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 9.4% | 3.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 166.9% change in RFL stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 180.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.18 | 3.15 | 166.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | -4.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 58.7 | 164.7 | 180.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51 | 51 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 166.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RFL | 166.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 14.6% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 11.5% | 4.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 82.1% change in RFL stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 176.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.73 | 3.15 | 82.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | 33.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 59.6 | 164.7 | 176.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 51 | -50.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 82.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RFL | 82.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 21.6% | 13.3% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 10.6% | 8.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 52.9% change in RFL stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 250.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.06 | 3.15 | 52.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 1 | 250.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 174.5 | 164.7 | -5.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24 | 51 | -53.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 52.9% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RFL | 52.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 13.7% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 30.2% | 10.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RFL Return | -78% | -63% | -2% | -10% | -27% | 220% | -84% |
| Peers Return | 23% | 25% | -4% | 12% | 32% | 3% | 124% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RFL Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 17% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 57% | 45% | 62% | 63% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RFL Max Drawdown | -92% | -68% | -42% | -33% | -59% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -18% | -23% | -17% | -15% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RTX, LMT, NOC, GD, LHX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RFL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 12 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 348 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -49.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 235 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Rafael's stock fell -37.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | RFL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 12 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 348 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -49.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 235 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Rafael's stock fell -37.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Rafael (RFL)
Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) is a publicly traded company with a dual business model, investing in and operating across both the pharmaceutical and commercial real estate sectors. This structure enables the company to pursue high-growth potential in drug development while also maintaining a revenue stream from stable property assets in the United States and Israel.
In its Pharmaceuticals segment, Rafael Holdings focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies designed to exploit metabolic differences between normal cells and cancer cells. The company's lead drug candidate is CPI-613 (devimistat), which is currently in advanced Phase III clinical trials. These trials are evaluating its effectiveness for treating severe conditions such as metastatic pancreatic cancer and relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia (r/r AML). The primary market for this segment comprises patients battling these life-threatening cancers.
Rafael Holdings' Real Estate segment involves the ownership and leasing of commercial properties. This includes a commercial office building and an associated 800-car public parking garage. This segment generates revenue by providing office space to businesses and parking services to the general public, contributing to the company's diversified asset portfolio.
AI Analysis | Feedback
A biotech company like a smaller BioNTech or Moderna, but also owning a substantial commercial real estate portfolio.
A holding company somewhat like a micro Berkshire Hathaway, with its primary bets on advanced biotech drug development and commercial real estate.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Commercial Real Estate Leasing: The company leases commercial office buildings and an associated public parking garage.
- Pharmaceutical Drug Development: Rafael Holdings is engaged in the development and commercialization of cancer therapies, with CPI-613 (devimistat) being their lead drug candidate.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) operates in two primary segments: Pharmaceuticals and Real Estate.
- Pharmaceuticals Segment: This segment is focused on the development and commercialization of therapies, with its lead drug candidate, CPI-613 (devimistat), currently undergoing Phase III clinical trials. As such, it does not currently have commercial customers for pharmaceutical products.
- Real Estate Segment: This segment engages in the leasing of a commercial office building and an associated 800-car public garage. The major customers for this segment fall into the following categories:
- Commercial Office Tenants: These are businesses, organizations, and other entities that lease office space within Rafael Holdings' commercial office building. Specific names of these tenant companies are not provided in the company description.
- Individual Public Garage Users: Drivers who utilize the 800-car public garage for parking.
- Corporate Parking Clients: Businesses or organizations that may lease parking spaces in the public garage for their employees or clients.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Howard S. Jonas, Chief Executive Officer, President, Founder and Executive Chairman
Howard S. Jonas has served as Chief Executive Officer, President, Founder, and Executive Chairman of Rafael Holdings, Inc.. He also previously served as CEO from March 2018 through April 2021. Mr. Jonas founded IDT Corporation in August 1990 and served as its Chairman since inception and CEO for various periods. Rafael Holdings, Inc. emerged as a spin-off from IDT Corporation. He also founded Jonas Media Group in 1979.
David A. Polinsky, Chief Financial Officer
David A. Polinsky has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Rafael Holdings, Inc. since January 28, 2023, and previously held the position from December 2017 through September 2021. Mr. Polinsky co-founded Cornerstone Pharmaceuticals, serving as its Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary from 2002-2018, and later as its President, General Counsel, and Secretary from 2016 through March 2018. He also founded and served as CEO of a company that licensed and developed TheLaw.com, in partnership with former New York City Mayor Edward I. Koch.
Joshua M. Fine, Chief Operating Officer
Joshua M. Fine has served as Chief Operating Officer of Rafael Holdings, Inc. since August 2025. He also served as Chief Financial Officer of Cyclo Therapeutics, LLC (a wholly-owned subsidiary of Rafael Holdings) since June 2019. Mr. Fine previously held the role of Vice President of Finance and Operations at Icagen, Inc. from 2017 until its wind-down in November 2020 after a successful sale of its assets.
Joyce J. Mason, Corporate Secretary
Joyce J. Mason serves as the Corporate Secretary of Rafael Holdings, Inc..
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) primarily stem from its reliance on the success of its pharmaceutical pipeline and the inherent challenges of drug development.
- Clinical Trial Failure and Regulatory Approval Risk for Trappsol Cyclo: Rafael Holdings' pharmaceutical segment is heavily dependent on the successful development and regulatory approval of its current lead drug candidate, Trappsol Cyclo. This drug is in Phase III trials for Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1. The failure of these trials to demonstrate efficacy and safety, or the inability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals, would significantly harm the company's business prospects and valuation. This risk is particularly pronounced given that a previous lead drug candidate, CPI-613 (devimistat), failed its Phase III trials in metastatic pancreatic cancer and relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia in October 2021.
- Heavy Reliance on a Single Lead Drug Candidate and Limited Pipeline: The company is largely viewed as a "pure-play biotech gamble" or a "binary bet" on the success of a single drug candidate, Trappsol Cyclo. While Rafael Holdings has interests in other early-stage pharmaceutical companies, its future growth and valuation are disproportionately tied to the outcome of this one program. A limited pipeline means that the failure of this lead candidate, at any stage from clinical trials to commercialization, would have a substantially negative impact on the company.
- Significant Cash Burn and Need for Additional Capital: Rafael Holdings operates with a high cash burn due to the substantial costs associated with late-stage clinical trials and research and development. The company reported a significant net loss in fiscal year 2025. While it has cash reserves, these provide a short-term runway, indicating a continued need to raise additional capital. Such capital raises can be more challenging and costly, especially in a high-interest-rate environment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Rafael (RFL) is the long-term impact of remote and hybrid work models on the demand for commercial office space and associated services, such as public garages. This trend, exacerbated by recent global events, poses a significant risk to RFL's Real Estate segment, potentially leading to decreased occupancy rates, lower rental income, and reduced property values for its commercial office building and 800-car public garage. This shift in how companies utilize office space is analogous to the disruptive impact of Netflix on Blockbuster, as it fundamentally alters the underlying demand for RFL's physical assets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For the public company Rafael (symbol: RFL), the addressable market for their main product, Trappsol® Cyclo™ for Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1 (NPC1), is estimated to be approximately USD 89.0 million globally in 2026. This estimate is derived from the Niemann-Pick Disease Drug Type C treatment market, which was valued at USD 100.9 million globally in 2026. The Niemann-Pick Disease Drug Type C1 segment, which Trappsol® Cyclo™ targets, is expected to constitute 88.2% of this market in 2026.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) over the next 2-3 years:
- Commercialization of Trappsol Cyclo for Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1 (NPC1): Rafael Holdings' lead drug candidate is Trappsol Cyclo, which is currently in a Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1 (NPC1), a rare, fatal, and progressive genetic disorder. Successful completion of this trial and subsequent regulatory approval would be a significant driver of pharmaceutical revenue growth within the next two to three years.
- Successful Commercialization of CPI-613 (devimistat) for Relapsed or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia (r/r AML): While the Phase 3 AVENGER 500 trial for CPI-613 in metastatic pancreatic cancer did not meet its primary endpoint in 2021, the ARMADA 2000 Phase 3 clinical trial for devimistat in relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia (AML) was recommended to continue after an interim futility analysis in 2021. Positive results and eventual commercialization for this indication could provide a substantial revenue stream.
- Growth and Optimization of Real Estate Assets: Rafael Holdings continues to operate its Real Estate segment, which includes commercial office buildings and associated public parking garages in the United States, as well as real estate holdings in Israel. Sustained leasing activity, potential property enhancements, or strategic acquisitions within its real estate portfolio could contribute to incremental revenue growth.
- Advancement and Potential Commercialization of Earlier-Stage Pharmaceutical Pipeline Assets: The company has other drug candidates, such as Promitil, which has completed Phase 1A and 1B clinical studies for advanced cancers. Additionally, through its Barer Institute, the company is developing a pipeline of compounds focused on the regulation of cancer and immune metabolism. Successful progression of these earlier-stage assets through clinical development could lead to future revenue, although significant commercial revenue within a 2-3 year timeframe is less certain compared to late-stage candidates.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Rafael Holdings authorized a share repurchase program for up to $5 million of its Class B common stock in April 2023.
Share Issuance
- In August 2021, the company completed a secondary share offering that raised approximately $99 million.
- As part of a merger in March 2025, Rafael Holdings issued shares of Class B common stock to Cyclo Therapeutics' shareholders, representing approximately 22% of the combined company.
- A $25 million rights offering was completed in June 2025, which included a $21 million backstop private placement from CEO Howard Jonas and affiliates.
Inbound Investments
- The company received approximately $21 million from CEO Howard Jonas and affiliates through a backstop private placement as part of a rights offering in June 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Rafael Holdings sold its principal real estate holding for $33 million in net proceeds in fiscal year 2023.
- In fiscal 2023, Rafael Holdings made strategic investments in Cyclo Therapeutics and Day Three Laboratories.
- During fiscal 2024, the company increased its ownership in Day Three Labs to a majority interest of 79% and acquired a 67% ownership of Cornerstone Pharmaceuticals.
Capital Expenditures
- The Capital Expenditure Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the last five years has averaged approximately -99.72%, suggesting minimal traditional capital expenditures.
- Research and development expenses, reflecting investment in pharmaceutical development, were $5.3 million for the nine months ended April 30, 2025, and $1.3 million for the quarter ended July 31, 2023.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Rafael Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Rafael Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 337.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 89.5 |
| Rev LTM | 48,088 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,102 |
| FCF LTM | 4,484 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,138 |
| CFO LTM | 6,017 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,450 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $3.15 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/27/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -16.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.38 | $2.40 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 32.2% | 31.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 96.5% | 74.7% |
| Downside Capture | -295.62 | 109.05 |
| Upside Capture | 193.80 | 141.76 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 5.3% | 13.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.29 | 0.43 | 0.25 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.59 |
| Up Beta | 5.81 | 4.78 | 2.32 | 1.64 | 1.38 | 0.30 |
| Down Beta | 1.81 | 0.42 | -0.88 | -0.08 | -0.42 | 0.32 |
| Up Capture | 662% | 319% | 191% | 241% | 172% | 84% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 26 | 36 | 60 | 106 | 318 |
| Down Capture | -568% | -560% | -445% | -43% | 84% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 14 | 23 | 48 | 115 | 346 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RFL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFL | 57.6% | 74.6% | 0.92 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 9.9% | 14.1% | 0.44 | 8.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.7% | 12.5% | 1.29 | 13.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.1% | 27.7% | 0.73 | 5.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.3% | 18.6% | 0.90 | -12.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.8% | 0.68 | 10.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.0% | 42.7% | -1.15 | 15.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RFL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFL | -42.9% | 74.3% | -0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 3.4% | 19.1% | 0.08 | 14.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 19.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.9% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 19.5% | 0.25 | 0.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 16.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.2% | 53.8% | 0.41 | 11.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RFL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFL | -4.5% | 74.6% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 6.8% | 20.4% | 0.29 | 24.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 28.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.1% | 0.61 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 8.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 25.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.0% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 12.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/23/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/11/2026 | 19.1% | 47.8% | |
| 3/16/2026 | 0.8% | -3.8% | -6.9% |
| 12/11/2025 | -2.0% | -16.8% | -16.8% |
| 6/11/2025 | -27.7% | -31.9% | -22.5% |
| 3/14/2025 | 1.1% | 1.6% | -9.8% |
| 12/11/2024 | 1.6% | -2.7% | 1.6% |
| 6/14/2024 | 3.5% | -0.7% | 5.6% |
| 3/14/2024 | 0.6% | -0.6% | 5.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -3.6% | -9.8% |
| Max Positive | 19.1% | 47.8% | 35.0% |
| Max Negative | -27.7% | -31.9% | -79.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/11/2026 | 19.1% | 47.8% | |
| 3/16/2026 | 0.8% | -3.8% | -6.9% |
| 12/11/2025 | -2.0% | -16.8% | -16.8% |
| 6/11/2025 | -27.7% | -31.9% | -22.5% |
| 3/14/2025 | 1.1% | 1.6% | -9.8% |
| 12/11/2024 | 1.6% | -2.7% | 1.6% |
| 6/14/2024 | 3.5% | -0.7% | 5.6% |
| 3/14/2024 | 0.6% | -0.6% | 5.8% |
| 12/14/2023 | 0.0% | 1.7% | -6.1% |
| 6/13/2023 | -2.3% | -3.6% | -4.5% |
| 3/14/2023 | -8.7% | -16.9% | 0.0% |
| 12/13/2022 | -1.6% | -8.4% | 6.3% |
| 6/14/2022 | -5.9% | 8.6% | 18.2% |
| 3/17/2022 | 18.2% | 22.9% | -1.9% |
| 12/15/2021 | -0.9% | -1.1% | -6.8% |
| 10/18/2021 | 1.6% | -0.2% | -79.1% |
| 6/14/2021 | 7.1% | 2.5% | 35.0% |
| 3/17/2021 | -1.8% | -14.8% | -17.6% |
| 12/15/2020 | 4.5% | 15.8% | 21.2% |
| 10/29/2020 | -6.1% | 3.3% | 22.6% |
| 6/9/2020 | -2.5% | -1.9% | -17.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -3.6% | -9.8% |
| Max Positive | 19.1% | 47.8% | 35.0% |
| Max Negative | -27.7% | -31.9% | -79.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/16/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 10/30/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 10/31/2022 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/16/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 10/30/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 10/31/2022 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/17/2022 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2021 | 12/15/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 10/18/2021 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2021 | 06/14/2021 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2021 | 03/17/2021 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/15/2020 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2020 | 06/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2020 | 03/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2019 | 12/09/2019 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2019 | 10/04/2019 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/16/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonas, Howard S | Exec Chairman, CEO & President | Genie A Partners, L.P. | Buy | 6092025 | 1.28 | 457,031 | 585,000 | 585,000 | Form |
| 2 | Jonas, Howard S | Exec Chairman, CEO & President | IDT A Partners, L.P. | Buy | 6092025 | 1.28 | 324,219 | 415,000 | 415,000 | Form |
| 3 | Jonas, Howard S | Exec Chairman, CEO & President | HSJ 2019 Remainder Trust | Buy | 6092025 | 1.28 | 12,299,207 | 15,742,985 | 15,742,985 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonas, Howard S | Exec Chairman, CEO & President | Genie A Partners, L.P. | Buy | 6092025 | 1.28 | 457,031 | 585,000 | 585,000 | Form |
| 2 | Jonas, Howard S | Exec Chairman, CEO & President | IDT A Partners, L.P. | Buy | 6092025 | 1.28 | 324,219 | 415,000 | 415,000 | Form |
| 3 | Jonas, Howard S | Exec Chairman, CEO & President | HSJ 2019 Remainder Trust | Buy | 6092025 | 1.28 | 12,299,207 | 15,742,985 | 15,742,985 | Form |
Rafael — Investor Video Playlist








Industry Resources
| Real Estate Resources |
| The Real Deal |
| Commercial Observer |
| Inman |
| Real Estate Services Resources |
| CBRE Research |
| JLL Trends & Insights |
| Cushman & Wakefield Insights |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.