Replimune (REPL)
Market Price (7/29/2026): $5.44 | Market Cap: $501.5 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Replimune (REPL)
Market Price (7/29/2026): $5.44Market Cap: $501.5 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -324 Mil Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 174% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 213% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% Key risksREPL key risks include [1] the FDA's rejection of its lead drug candidate due to a flawed clinical trial, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -324 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 174% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 213% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% |
| Key risksREPL key risks include [1] the FDA's rejection of its lead drug candidate due to a flawed clinical trial, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Replimune (REPL) stock has lost about 30% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings Miss and Increased Net Loss.
Replimune reported its fiscal fourth quarter 2026 earnings on June 29, 2026, posting an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.76, which missed the consensus estimate of -$0.66 by $0.10. For the full fiscal year 2026, the company reported a net loss of $3.38 per share, exceeding the expected loss of $3.27. This wider-than-anticipated loss indicated a heavier-than-modeled cash burn and contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's financial outlook.
2. Analyst Downgrades and Reduced Price Targets.
During the period, several analysts downgraded Replimune and significantly cut their price targets. On April 13, 2026, Leerink Partners reissued a "market perform" rating and drastically lowered its price target from $11.00 to $2.00. Similarly, Cantor Fitzgerald downgraded Replimune from an "overweight" to a "hold" rating on the same date. While Wedbush later adjusted its price target to $9.00 from $6.00 on June 30, 2026, it maintained a "Neutral" rating, and the average analyst target of $8.86 (as of July 27, 2026) remained below the stock's recent trading levels, reflecting cautious sentiment.
Show more
Replimune (REPL) stock has lost about 30% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings Miss and Increased Net Loss.
Replimune reported its fiscal fourth quarter 2026 earnings on June 29, 2026, posting an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.76, which missed the consensus estimate of -$0.66 by $0.10. For the full fiscal year 2026, the company reported a net loss of $3.38 per share, exceeding the expected loss of $3.27. This wider-than-anticipated loss indicated a heavier-than-modeled cash burn and contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's financial outlook.
2. Analyst Downgrades and Reduced Price Targets.
During the period, several analysts downgraded Replimune and significantly cut their price targets. On April 13, 2026, Leerink Partners reissued a "market perform" rating and drastically lowered its price target from $11.00 to $2.00. Similarly, Cantor Fitzgerald downgraded Replimune from an "overweight" to a "hold" rating on the same date. While Wedbush later adjusted its price target to $9.00 from $6.00 on June 30, 2026, it maintained a "Neutral" rating, and the average analyst target of $8.86 (as of July 27, 2026) remained below the stock's recent trading levels, reflecting cautious sentiment.
3. Negative Sentiment from FDA Review and Shareholder Lawsuit.
Despite the FDA's acceptance of the resubmission of the Biologics License Application (BLA) for RP1 in combination with nivolumab for advanced melanoma on June 26, 2026, an expected advisory committee meeting in late July and subsequent analyst commentary generated negative sentiment. A BMO Capital analyst noted on July 28, 2026, that FDA briefing documents "read negatively" due to continued concerns about RP1's contribution. Concurrently, a shareholder-rights law firm initiated a probe into potential fiduciary duty breaches, citing alleged misstatements related to the IGNYTE trial and RP1 program, introducing legal uncertainty. These factors collectively heightened investor apprehension and contributed to the stock's decline.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.1% change in REPL stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.65 | 5.35 | -30.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 92 | 92 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPL | -30.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.9% | -3.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 14.1% | -13.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -45.0% change in REPL stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -0.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.72 | 5.35 | -45.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 92 | 92 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPL | -45.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.5% | -4.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -42.4% change in REPL stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.29 | 5.35 | -42.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 91 | 92 | -1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPL | -42.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.9% | 2.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 25.7% | -2.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -77.0% change in REPL stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.22 | 5.35 | -77.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 66 | 92 | -28.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPL | -77.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.0% | 7.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 31.9% | 7.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REPL Return | -29% | 0% | -69% | 44% | -20% | -11% | -77% |
| Peers Return | 33% | -52% | -2% | 35% | 2% | 14% | -0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REPL Win Rate | 25% | 50% | 25% | 58% | 42% | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 35% | 54% | 54% | 56% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REPL Max Drawdown | -44% | -55% | -77% | -46% | -80% | -83% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -66% | -60% | -44% | -58% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PTGX, CHRS, ANIK, ATYR, AVLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | REPL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 45 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Replimune's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | REPL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 45 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Replimune's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Replimune (REPL)
Replimune Group, Inc. (REPL) is a biotechnology company dedicated to developing novel cancer treatments. The company utilizes its proprietary Immulytic platform to create oncolytic immuno-gene therapies. These therapies involve using selectively replicating viruses, derived from the herpes simplex virus 1, to infect and destroy cancer cells while simultaneously stimulating the patient's immune system to recognize and attack tumors throughout the body.
Replimune's pipeline features several product candidates, with the most advanced being RP1. RP1 is currently undergoing Phase I/II clinical trials for a variety of solid tumors and is in Phase II trials specifically for patients with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma. The company is also developing RP2, an oncolytic virus designed to express an anti-CTLA-4 antibody-like protein to further block immune inhibition, and RP3, which aims to express immune-activating proteins to stimulate T cells, both of which are in Phase I clinical trials.
The primary customers and markets Replimune aims to serve are patients with various types of cancer, particularly those with solid tumors and specific skin cancers like cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma. By harnessing the power of the immune system through their innovative viral therapies, Replimune seeks to provide new therapeutic options for individuals battling these challenging diseases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Replimune (REPL):
- Imagine a company like Moderna or BioNTech, but instead of developing mRNA vaccines, Replimune engineers viruses to activate the immune system specifically to fight cancer.
- They're a specialized cancer immunotherapy company, much like a Kite Pharma (known for CAR-T cell therapy), but Replimune uses engineered oncolytic viruses to turn the body's immune system against tumors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- RP1: A selectively replicating version of herpes simplex virus 1 designed to activate the immune system against a range of solid tumors.
- RP2: An oncolytic immuno-gene therapy expressing an anti-CTLA-4 antibody-like protein to block the inhibition of the immune response.
- RP3: An oncolytic immuno-gene therapy designed to express multiple immune-activating proteins that stimulate T cells.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Replimune Group, Inc. (REPL) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the development of oncolytic immuno-gene therapies. Its product candidates, including RP1, RP2, and RP3, are currently in various phases of clinical trials and have not yet received regulatory approval for commercial sale.
As such, Replimune does not currently have commercial products on the market and therefore does not have major customers in the traditional sense of selling therapies to other companies or individuals.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Sushil Patel, Chief Executive Officer
Sushil Patel was appointed CEO of Replimune effective April 1, 2024. He initially joined Replimune three years prior as Chief Commercial Officer and most recently served as Chief Strategy Officer. Dr. Patel brings over 20 years of experience in the biotech industry, with expertise in pre- and post-launch commercialization strategy and execution in both U.S. and global markets. He has been involved in more than eight product launches across various roles in marketing, sales, and franchise management. Before joining Replimune, Dr. Patel served as franchise head for lung, skin, and rare cancers at Genentech.
Emily Hill, Chief Financial Officer
Emily Hill was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Replimune in September 2023. She has over 15 years of experience in the biotechnology and life sciences industry, having held senior financial management and investor relations roles at various public biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies. Prior to Replimune, Ms. Hill was CFO of PTC Therapeutics, a commercial-stage biotech company, where she also headed Investor Relations. At PTC, she was significantly involved in the company's growth from a development-stage company to one with five products generating revenues approaching $1 billion. Before PTC Therapeutics, Ms. Hill was Director of Investor Relations at Warner Chilcott until its acquisition by Actavis for approximately $8.5 billion. She also served as Senior Manager of Investor Relations at Genzyme Corporation.
Philip Astley-Sparke, Executive Chairman of the Board
Philip Astley-Sparke is a co-founder of Replimune and transitioned from CEO to Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors effective April 1, 2024. He was previously the President and CEO of BioVex Inc., a company he relocated from the UK to the US in 2005. BioVex developed the first oncolytic therapy approved in the U.S. and Europe, and was acquired by Amgen for up to $1 billion in 2011. Following BioVex/Amgen, he served as President at uniQure, where he established their U.S. infrastructure, including a large gene therapy manufacturing facility, and later as Chairman. Mr. Astley-Sparke is also an Operating Partner at Forbion Capital and has served as Chairman of Oxyrane.
Robert Coffin, President and Chief Research & Development Officer
Robert Coffin, Ph.D., is a co-founder of Replimune. He previously served as the Chief Executive Officer of Replimune before transitioning to the role of President and Chief Research & Development Officer in January 2020. Dr. Coffin was a key member of the team from BioVex Inc., which developed Imlygic (T-VEC), the first FDA-approved oncolytic immunotherapy, and was acquired by Amgen.
Christopher Sarchi, Chief Commercial Officer
Christopher Sarchi serves as the Chief Commercial Officer at Replimune. In this role, he is responsible for market strategy and launch preparations for the company's product candidates.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Replimune's business revolve primarily around the successful development and commercialization of its oncolytic immuno-gene therapies.
- Clinical Trial Failure and Regulatory Approval Risks: As a biotechnology company with its product candidates (RP1, RP2, and RP3) primarily in Phase I/II clinical trials, Replimune faces significant inherent risks associated with drug development. The most critical risk is the uncertainty surrounding the timing and outcomes of its clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approvals. For instance, Replimune's lead product candidate, RP1, previously received a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the FDA for its Biologics License Application (BLA) for advanced melanoma, citing inadequate trial design and concerns over data interpretation. While a resubmission has been accepted with a new PDUFA date of April 10, 2026, there remains a risk of further rejections or delays. Biotech companies often face lengthy, expensive, and uncertain regulatory processes, and a high percentage of clinical trials, particularly Phase II trials, fail to advance.
- Financial Risk and Need for Additional Capital: Replimune is currently operating at a loss, burning through significant cash to fund its research and development (R&D) and clinical trials. While the company currently maintains net cash, its high cash burn rate suggests that it will likely need to raise additional capital in the future to sustain operations and continue its development programs. Delays in clinical trials or regulatory approvals, such as the initial setback for RP1, can further extend the period of cash burn and increase financial risk. Future capital raises could lead to the dilution of existing shareholders, especially if the company needs to issue new shares when its stock price is low.
- Competition and Market Adoption: The biopharmaceutical industry, particularly the cancer treatment market, is highly competitive. Replimune's success depends not only on achieving regulatory approval but also on its ability to effectively commercialize its products and gain market adoption. Even if approved, factors such as the competitive landscape, pricing strategies, and reimbursement policies will play crucial roles in determining the commercial viability of Replimune's therapies. For example, RP1 has been noted to potentially face challenges due to its complex administration, narrow label, and unclear payer value, despite an unmet need in melanoma.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
RP1
- Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma (CSCC): The global cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma treatment market is expected to reach $16.86 billion by 2027.
- Melanoma: The global melanoma market is expected to reach $8.9 billion by 2034. In the U.S., Replimune estimates approximately 13,000 patients progress on or after PD-1 treatment annually, with approximately 80% of these patients eligible for treatment with RP1.
RP2
- Metastatic Uveal Melanoma: null
- Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC): The global liver cancer drugs market is expected to reach $14.9 billion by 2031. RP2 targets second-line HCC patients, which represents approximately 31.4% of liver cancer patients who require second-line therapy.
RP3
- null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Replimune (REPL) over the next 2-3 years:
- Commercialization of RP1 in anti-PD-1 failed advanced melanoma: Replimune is preparing for the potential FDA approval and subsequent commercial launch of its lead product candidate, RP1 (vusolimogene oderparepvec), for patients with anti-PD-1 failed advanced melanoma. The Biologics License Application (BLA) for this indication was accepted for Priority Review by the FDA in January 2025, with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) date set for July 22, 2025. The company has already completed late-cycle FDA interactions and manufacturing inspections, and has established a commercial organization, including customer-facing staff and patient support programs, in anticipation of market entry. Management estimates that approximately 13,000 U.S. patients annually who have progressed on PD-1 therapy could be eligible for RP1.
- Commercialization of RP1 in cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC): Replimune is actively pursuing other skin cancer indications for RP1. Topline data from the registration-directed CERPASS clinical trial, evaluating RP1 combined with Libtayo® (cemiplimab-rwlc) in CSCC, was expected in Q3 2023, with a Biologics License Application (BLA) submission projected for Q1 2024. The cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma treatment market is anticipated to reach $16.86 billion by 2027, representing a significant market opportunity for Replimune upon successful approval and launch.
- Advancement and potential commercialization of pipeline candidates RP2 and RP3: Replimune's pipeline extends beyond RP1 to include RP2 and RP3, which are engineered with distinct cytokine or co-stimulatory transgenes to target various tumor types and immune environments. Phase 2 programs for RP2 and RP3 were expected to commence around mid-2023 in indications such as third-line colorectal cancer (CRC), first- and second-line hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN). Specifically, the REVEAL Phase 2/3 trial for RP2 in metastatic uveal melanoma is actively enrolling, with a transition to Phase 3 expected in Q1 2027. Progress in these programs and their eventual commercialization could provide additional revenue streams for the company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Replimune conducted a public offering in November 2024, pricing 6,923,000 shares of common stock at $13.00 per share and pre-funded warrants for 3,846,184 shares at $12.9999 per warrant. The aggregate gross proceeds from this offering were approximately $140 million.
- The company received approximately $156.0 million from common equity issuance in Q3 2025 and $96.7 million in Q1 2025 through equity financing.
- Replimune saw $10.4 million in cash inflows from common equity issuance in Q3 2026.
Inbound Investments
- Replimune has received significant cash inflows from the sale/maturity of investments, with $101.8 million in Q3 2026, $95.4 million in Q2 2026, and $92.5 million in Q3 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Replimune's capital expenditures were $6.7 million in fiscal year 2025.
- Capital expenditures in Q3 2026 were $135K.
- For the last 12 months, capital expenditures totaled -$5.35 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 47 |
| Op Inc LTM | -142 |
| FCF LTM | -118 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -60 |
| CFO LTM | -117 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -59 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 62.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -35.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -16.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -279.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -44.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 107.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -260.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -5.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -261.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.1% |
Segment Financials
Operating Income by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Developing and commercializing novel oncolytic immunotherapies in order to treat cancer | -262 | -235 |
| Total | -262 | -235 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Developing and commercializing novel oncolytic immunotherapies in order to treat cancer | -247 | -216 |
| Total | -247 | -216 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Developing and commercializing novel oncolytic immunotherapies in order to treat cancer | 488 | 647 | 461 | 543 | 543 |
| Total | 488 | 647 | 461 | 543 | 543 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.35 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/20/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -54.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $9.19 | $7.81 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -41.8% | -31.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 226.4% | 217.0% |
| Downside Capture | -214.79 | -117.78 |
| Upside Capture | 171.80 | -32.46 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.42 | 1.02 | -0.77 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.75 |
| Up Beta | 0.43 | -2.34 | -3.86 | -0.99 | 2.11 | 0.75 |
| Down Beta | 3.23 | 2.32 | 0.02 | -0.60 | 0.52 | 1.03 |
| Up Capture | -36% | 915% | 59% | 44% | -39% | 5% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 31 | 54 | 120 | 366 |
| Down Capture | -344% | -556% | -203% | 31% | -306% | 81% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 32 | 70 | 130 | 376 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPL | 70.2% | 216.6% | 1.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 24.3% | 15.8% | 1.18 | 0.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.3% | 12.7% | 0.99 | 1.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.2% | 28.1% | 0.64 | 12.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.1% | 19.5% | 1.19 | 2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.4% | 14.1% | 0.72 | -5.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -46.4% | 42.9% | -1.33 | 5.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPL | -30.7% | 121.3% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.0% | 15.0% | 0.28 | 12.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 14.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.9% | 18.4% | 0.74 | 9.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.1% | 19.5% | 0.36 | 2.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 11.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 16.2% | 53.4% | 0.48 | 7.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPL | -10.0% | 108.7% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.3% | 16.6% | 0.50 | 18.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 20.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.3% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 8.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.8% | 18.0% | 0.30 | 7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 16.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.5% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 8.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/29/2026 | -3.7% | -1.4% | |
| 2/3/2026 | 5.8% | 11.5% | 3.9% |
| 11/6/2025 | -0.9% | 5.4% | 25.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | -0.4% | -7.5% | 15.1% |
| 5/22/2025 | 3.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| 2/12/2025 | 7.3% | 7.2% | -7.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -2.5% | -13.8% | 1.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | 2.7% | 7.2% | 12.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -7.4% | -8.8% |
| Max Positive | 7.5% | 11.5% | 25.1% |
| Max Negative | -15.9% | -16.7% | -42.8% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/29/2026 | -3.7% | -1.4% | |
| 2/3/2026 | 5.8% | 11.5% | 3.9% |
| 11/6/2025 | -0.9% | 5.4% | 25.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | -0.4% | -7.5% | 15.1% |
| 5/22/2025 | 3.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| 2/12/2025 | 7.3% | 7.2% | -7.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -2.5% | -13.8% | 1.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | 2.7% | 7.2% | 12.7% |
| 5/16/2024 | -1.3% | -12.9% | 22.8% |
| 2/8/2024 | 4.0% | -7.4% | 21.7% |
| 11/7/2023 | -15.9% | -16.7% | -42.8% |
| 8/3/2023 | -9.7% | -11.1% | -4.2% |
| 5/18/2023 | 0.7% | -2.5% | 22.3% |
| 2/9/2023 | -9.1% | -12.2% | -33.6% |
| 11/3/2022 | 1.2% | -6.9% | 5.8% |
| 8/4/2022 | -0.2% | 0.8% | -6.4% |
| 5/19/2022 | 1.1% | -2.3% | 6.8% |
| 2/3/2022 | -0.7% | 2.4% | -16.4% |
| 11/4/2021 | 0.5% | 0.2% | -16.6% |
| 8/6/2021 | -10.4% | -15.1% | -9.3% |
| 5/20/2021 | 4.8% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| 2/4/2021 | 7.5% | -0.6% | -8.2% |
| 11/5/2020 | 2.1% | -1.6% | -1.1% |
| 8/7/2020 | 3.2% | -1.7% | 2.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -7.4% | -8.8% |
| Max Positive | 7.5% | 11.5% | 25.1% |
| Max Negative | -15.9% | -16.7% | -42.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/22/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/18/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/19/2022 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/22/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/18/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/19/2022 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/20/2021 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 06/03/2020 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/13/2020 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/12/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/14/2019 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2019 | 06/28/2019 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/3/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarchi, Christopher | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 9.24 | 12,000 | 110,880 | 1,672,089 | Form |
| 2 | Xynos, Konstantinos | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 14,023 | 71,237 | 1,197,163 | Form |
| 3 | Schwendenman, Andrew | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 7,894 | 40,102 | 543,850 | Form |
| 4 | Sarchi, Christopher | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 8,626 | 43,820 | 980,247 | Form |
| 5 | Astley-Sparke, Philip | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 17,657 | 89,698 | 7,175,063 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarchi, Christopher | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 9.24 | 12,000 | 110,880 | 1,672,089 | Form |
| 2 | Xynos, Konstantinos | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 14,023 | 71,237 | 1,197,163 | Form |
| 3 | Schwendenman, Andrew | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 7,894 | 40,102 | 543,850 | Form |
| 4 | Sarchi, Christopher | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 8,626 | 43,820 | 980,247 | Form |
| 5 | Astley-Sparke, Philip | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 17,657 | 89,698 | 7,175,063 | Form | |
| 6 | Patel, Sushil | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 37,324 | 189,606 | 3,797,259 | Form |
| 7 | Hill, Emily Luisa | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 5.08 | 7,812 | 39,685 | 1,201,704 | Form |
| 8 | Sarchi, Christopher | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4062026 | 8.01 | 6,500 | 52,065 | 1,214,220 | Form |
| 9 | Dhingra, Kapil | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 10.40 | 3,169 | Form | |||
| 10 | Patel, Sushil | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 11.13 | 10,000 | 111,300 | 3,712,701 | Form |
| 11 | Sarchi, Christopher | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 9.10 | 5,208 | 47,393 | 1,120,101 | Form |
| 12 | Xynos, Konstantinos | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 9.10 | 7,248 | 65,957 | 1,271,134 | Form |
| 13 | Hill, Emily Luisa | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 5.37 | 9,154 | 49,157 | 721,556 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 29, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.