Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -375 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -156%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 155%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -46%
3   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -192%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -193%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
6   Key risks
RCUS key risks include [1] the recent discontinuation of its Phase 3 STAR-221 study due to futility and [2] a significant bankruptcy risk as indicated by its low Altman Z-Score.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -375 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -156%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 155%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -46%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -192%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -193%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
9 Key risks
RCUS key risks include [1] the recent discontinuation of its Phase 3 STAR-221 study due to futility and [2] a significant bankruptcy risk as indicated by its low Altman Z-Score.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RCUS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Positive Clinical Trial Data for Casdatifan: Arcus Biosciences reported strong efficacy data for its HIF-2α inhibitor, casdatifan, from the Phase 1/1b ARC-20 study in late-line clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) in its Q3 2025 financial results and pipeline update on October 28, 2025. This included a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 12.2 months and an 18-month landmark PFS of 43%, with a 35% confirmed overall response rate (ORR) at the Phase 3 dose. The company highlighted casdatifan's "best-in-class profile" compared to the only marketed HIF-2α inhibitor.

2. Advancement to Phase 3 Studies and Expanded Casdatifan Development: The promising casdatifan data supported the initiation and enrollment of the Phase 3 PEAK-1 study in IO-experienced ccRCC. Plans were also set to advance casdatifan into early-line ccRCC settings, including a clinical study with AstraZeneca. Arcus further emphasized that it owns 100% of the rights to casdatifan, positioning it as a significant value driver for the company.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RCUS Return157%56%-49%-8%-22%48%118%
Peers Return141%-22%-3%26%-0%17%168%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RCUS Win Rate50%58%42%42%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate57%45%42%45%47%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RCUS Max Drawdown-13%-12%-57%-35%-28%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-42%-65%-39%-42%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RYTM, TGTX, PCRX, OPK, ARVN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRCUSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-72.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven260.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven104 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven194 days120 days

Compare to RYTM, TGTX, PCRX, OPK, ARVN


In The Past

Arcus Biosciences's stock fell -72.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -72.3% loss requires a 260.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Arcus Biosciences (RCUS)

Better Bets than Arcus Biosciences (RCUS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RCUS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Arcus Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RCUSRYTMTGTXPCRXOPKARVNMedian
NameArcus Bi.Rhythm P.TG Thera.Pacira B.OPKO Hea.Arvinas  
Mkt Price21.98112.1430.9826.351.3111.6824.16
Mkt Cap2.37.44.51.21.00.91.8
Rev LTM240174532717642312422
Op Inc LTM-375-18610360-214-102-144
FCF LTM-464-109-70124-212-330-161
FCF 3Y Avg-313-140-47149-151-310-145
CFO LTM-462-109-70141-197-328-153
CFO 3Y Avg-303-125-47165-132-307-128

Growth & Margins

RCUSRYTMTGTXPCRXOPKARVNMedian
NameArcus Bi.Rhythm P.TG Thera.Pacira B.OPKO Hea.Arvinas  
Rev Chg LTM-8.7%54.9%100.9%3.1%-9.7%93.9%29.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.7%136.1%1,272.3%3.1%-18.9%40.2%26.5%
Rev Chg Q-45.8%54.3%92.8%6.5%-12.6%-59.1%-3.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.4%11.5%17.1%1.6%-3.3%-16.2%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM-156.2%-106.8%19.3%8.4%-33.3%-32.7%-33.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-179.6%-213.8%-1.4%11.1%-31.3%-150.1%-90.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-27.2%6.7%0.4%-1.4%7.0%-0.9%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-192.5%-62.6%-13.2%19.7%-30.7%-104.9%-46.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-164.2%-133.4%-15.3%23.8%-19.4%-158.6%-76.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-193.3%-62.6%-13.2%17.3%-33.0%-105.5%-47.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-171.1%-148.2%-15.3%21.6%-22.0%-160.0%-85.1%

Valuation

RCUSRYTMTGTXPCRXOPKARVNMedian
NameArcus Bi.Rhythm P.TG Thera.Pacira B.OPKO Hea.Arvinas  
Mkt Cap2.37.44.51.21.00.91.8
P/S9.842.68.51.61.62.75.6
P/EBIT-7.0-43.639.220.4-21.2-8.4-7.7
P/E-6.9-38.610.154.1-5.6-14.6-6.3
P/CFO-5.1-68.1-64.38.2-5.2-2.6-5.1
Total Yield-14.6%-2.6%9.9%1.8%-17.7%-6.8%-4.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.3%-5.9%-1.9%16.0%-13.4%-33.1%-9.7%
D/E0.00.00.10.40.40.00.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.10.00.2-0.0-0.9-0.0

Returns

RCUSRYTMTGTXPCRXOPKARVNMedian
NameArcus Bi.Rhythm P.TG Thera.Pacira B.OPKO Hea.Arvinas  
1M Rtn3.5%11.4%1.7%15.6%0.8%6.0%4.8%
3M Rtn77.4%16.7%-4.3%-1.2%-9.7%55.3%7.8%
6M Rtn155.0%80.9%-14.0%8.7%1.6%57.0%32.9%
12M Rtn41.8%99.8%-3.8%38.8%-14.9%-36.8%17.5%
3Y Rtn-0.8%284.8%250.8%-35.0%12.0%-65.4%5.6%
1M Excs Rtn5.8%5.8%-0.8%5.4%-2.9%-1.6%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn73.5%11.2%-13.5%-2.5%-11.1%53.0%4.3%
6M Excs Rtn141.3%67.1%-28.7%-6.9%-10.3%44.4%18.7%
12M Excs Rtn23.7%84.5%-20.7%19.9%-31.6%-51.8%-0.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-105.7%207.8%167.5%-108.2%-69.5%-140.0%-87.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing and commercializing highly differentiated therapies that have a meaningful impact117    
License and development services revenue 74345  
Other collaboration revenue 3838227
License revenue   558
Total1171123837815


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing and commercializing highly differentiated therapies that have a meaningful impact-307    
Total-307    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing and commercializing highly differentiated therapies that have a meaningful impact1,100    
Total1,100    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,085,675
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.1%
Average Daily Volume1,867,576
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.86
Basic Shares Quantity106,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20252.1%-0.3%28.6%
8/6/2025-2.2%6.0%28.5%
5/6/2025-1.4%6.8%18.6%
2/25/2025-1.0%-5.4%-19.3%
11/6/20244.6%4.5%9.9%
8/8/202414.0%14.9%19.1%
5/8/20245.8%15.0%1.6%
2/21/202419.9%16.7%5.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111116
# Negative13138
Median Positive5.8%9.6%15.7%
Median Negative-2.7%-5.4%-6.1%
Max Positive19.9%22.1%45.9%
Max Negative-10.6%-21.0%-24.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021