Royal Caribbean (RCL)
Market Price (3/19/2026): $268.17 | Market Cap: $72.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Royal Caribbean (RCL)
Market Price (3/19/2026): $268.17Market Cap: $72.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.1x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% | Key risksRCL key risks include [1] a heavy, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 6.5 Bil | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 6.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.1x |
| Key risksRCL key risks include [1] a heavy, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Strong Q4 2025 Financial Performance and Upbeat 2026 Guidance.
Royal Caribbean Group reported a robust fourth quarter for 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.80, meeting analyst expectations. For the full year 2025, adjusted EPS reached $15.64, surpassing the company's prior guidance. Furthermore, the company issued optimistic adjusted EPS guidance for 2026, projecting a range of $17.70 to $18.10, which exceeded the Wall Street consensus of $17.66. This positive financial outlook and guidance led to a significant surge in the stock, including an 8% increase after-hours and a 15% jump at market open following the January 29, 2026, announcement.
2. Record-Breaking Booking Levels and Strong Demand.
Royal Caribbean experienced unprecedented booking momentum, achieving its best seven booking weeks in company history during the Cyber Sales period and the subsequent "Wave season" (January-March 2026). This strong demand translated into approximately two-thirds of its 2026 capacity being booked at record rates. The company also anticipates net yields to increase by 2.1% to 4.1% on a reported basis in 2026, indicating sustained pricing power and revenue growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.1% change in RCL stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 2.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 263.94 | 269.52 | 2.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17,437 | 17,934 | 2.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.3% | 23.8% | 2.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.7 | 17.1 | -3.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 272 | 271 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCL | 2.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.2% | 36.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -6.5% | 31.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.9% change in RCL stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 358.97 | 269.52 | -24.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17,184 | 17,934 | 4.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.0% | 23.8% | 13.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.1 | 17.1 | -36.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 272 | 271 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -24.9% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCL | -24.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.8% | 32.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.4% | 31.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.5% change in RCL stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 241.69 | 269.52 | 11.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,485 | 17,934 | 8.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.5% | 23.8% | 36.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.4 | 17.1 | -23.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 267 | 271 | -1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.5% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCL | 11.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.3% | 61.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 3.1% | 59.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 290.3% change in RCL stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 104.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 69.05 | 269.52 | 290.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,840 | 17,934 | 102.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.0 | 4.1 | 104.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 255 | 271 | -5.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 290.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCL | 290.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.1% | 56.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 55.6% | 55.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RCL Return | 3% | -36% | 162% | 79% | 22% | 0% | 281% |
| Peers Return | -11% | -51% | 80% | 34% | 23% | -0% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -2% | 79% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RCL Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 42% | 53% | 58% | 52% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RCL Max Drawdown | -14% | -59% | -1% | -11% | -23% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -60% | -10% | -22% | -33% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -3% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CCL, NCLH, VIK, LIND. See RCL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RCL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 210.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 342 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -83.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 504.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 389 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 733.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 659 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to CCL, NCLH, VIK, LIND
In The Past
Royal Caribbean's stock fell -67.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -67.7% loss requires a 210.0% gain to breakeven.
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About Royal Caribbean (RCL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlHere are 1-2 brief analogies for Royal Caribbean (RCL):
- The Disney Parks of the high seas.
- A Marriott International, but on the ocean.
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- Contemporary & Premium Cruises: These services encompass a broad spectrum of cruise itineraries and onboard amenities, appealing to a wide range of travelers seeking vacations on the high seas under brands like Royal Caribbean International and Celebrity Cruises.
- Luxury & Expedition Cruises: These services offer high-end, often all-inclusive voyages with personalized service, focusing on unique destinations and immersive experiences, including expedition-style travel under brands like Azamara and Silversea Cruises.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlRoyal Caribbean (RCL) primarily sells its cruise experiences directly to individual consumers rather than to other companies.
The company serves the following categories of individual customers:
- Families and Mass Market Travelers: This segment includes individuals, couples, and families often seeking a wide array of activities, entertainment, and dining options, often at a value or mid-range price point. Brands like Royal Caribbean International frequently cater to this demographic with family-friendly amenities and diverse itineraries.
- Premium and Upscale Travelers: This category encompasses individuals and couples looking for a more refined, sophisticated, or destination-focused cruise experience. They often prioritize elevated dining, enhanced service, and unique cultural immersion opportunities. Celebrity Cruises and Azamara typically target this segment.
- Luxury and Ultra-Luxury Travelers: This segment consists of high-net-worth individuals who seek exclusive, all-inclusive, highly personalized, and often smaller-ship experiences with bespoke itineraries and top-tier amenities. Silversea Cruises is Royal Caribbean's brand dedicated to serving this ultra-luxury market.
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- Fincantieri S.p.A. (Symbol: FCT)
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Jason Liberty, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Jason Liberty joined Royal Caribbean Group in 2005 as a finance executive and has held multiple senior leadership roles, including Chief Financial Officer from 2013 to 2021, before being named CEO in January 2022. Prior to joining Royal Caribbean, he was a Senior Manager with KPMG, one of the world's leading professional services firms. He also serves as Chairman of the Board for the Cruise Line Industry Association (CLIA) and is on the Board of Directors of WNS Limited, a business process management public company.
Naftali Holtz, Chief Financial Officer
Naftali Holtz was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Royal Caribbean Group in January 2022. He joined the company in 2019, having previously served as a Managing Director and Head of Lodging & Leisure Investment Banking at Goldman Sachs. Holtz is also a veteran of the Israeli Air Force.
Michael Bayley, President and Chief Executive Officer, Royal Caribbean International
Michael Bayley began his extensive career in the cruise industry in 1981 as an assistant purser on Royal Caribbean's m.s. Nordic Prince. He has held various leadership positions within the company, including chairman and managing director of Island Cruises, a joint venture between First Choice Holidays and Royal Caribbean International. Bayley was named president and CEO of Celebrity Cruises in 2012 and subsequently became president and CEO of Royal Caribbean International in 2014. He also previously served as vice president at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas.
Laura Hodges Bethge, President, Celebrity Cruises
Laura Hodges Bethge joined Royal Caribbean Group in 2000 and has held numerous leadership roles across various departments, including hotel and marine operations, sales, marketing, investor relations, and product development. Prior to her appointment as President of Celebrity Cruises in 2023, she was the Executive Vice President of Shared Services Operations for Royal Caribbean Group.
Bert Hernandez, President, Silversea Cruises
Bert Hernandez joined Royal Caribbean Group in 2004 and has held several leadership roles encompassing revenue management, corporate strategy, product development, market development, and corporate finance. He also served as President of China operations for Royal Caribbean International.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Royal Caribbean's (RCL) business include its sensitivity to economic conditions and consumer discretionary spending, fluctuating operating costs primarily driven by fuel prices, and the impact of geopolitical tensions and environmental regulations.
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Economic Conditions and Consumer Discretionary Spending
Royal Caribbean's business is highly susceptible to global and local economic conditions, as cruising is largely considered discretionary spending. Weak or uncertain economic environments can reduce consumer confidence, leading to decreased demand for cruises, lower booking volumes, reduced cruise prices, and diminished onboard revenues, ultimately impacting the company's operating results, cash flows, and financial condition.
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Operating Costs, Particularly Fuel Prices
The company faces significant exposure to increases in operating costs, with fuel prices being a primary concern. Fluctuations in fuel, food, payroll, and other operational expenses can substantially affect profitability. While hedging strategies are employed, they do not fully mitigate the risk of elevated fuel prices, which can be exacerbated by geopolitical events.
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Geopolitical Tensions and Environmental Regulations
Operating globally exposes Royal Caribbean to various geopolitical risks, including regional and local political instability, changes in taxes or duties, and compliance with diverse international laws. Geopolitical uncertainties, such as those affecting Middle East routing, can impact travel itineraries and consumer confidence in international travel. Furthermore, the cruise industry faces growing scrutiny over its environmental impact and carbon footprint, leading to increasing pressure to invest in cleaner fuels and technologies, which could result in higher operating costs and capital expenditures due to new or evolving environmental regulations.
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Increased Environmental Scrutiny and Regulation
Growing global awareness of climate change, stricter international and local environmental regulations (e.g., emissions, waste management), and increasing pressure from environmental advocacy groups represent a clear emerging threat. These factors can lead to significantly higher operating costs for fuel and waste treatment, require costly retrofits for existing ships, restrict access to certain destinations, and damage brand reputation among environmentally conscious consumers. The cruise industry is often singled out for its visible environmental footprint, making it particularly vulnerable to escalating regulatory and public pressure.
Enduring Post-Pandemic Health & Safety Perceptions
The severe impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the cruise industry created a lasting memory and heightened sensitivity among consumers and regulators regarding infectious disease transmission in close-quarters environments. While the immediate crisis has subsided, the persistent public perception of cruise ships as vulnerable to outbreaks, coupled with the potential for future pandemics or novel pathogens, remains a clear and emerging threat. This can lead to sustained periods of reduced consumer demand, necessitate costly ongoing health and safety protocols, and expose the company to rapid and severe operational shutdowns in response to future public health crises.
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The addressable market for Royal Caribbean's main product, cruises, can be identified by examining the global and regional cruise tourism markets.
The global cruise tourism market was valued at approximately USD 86.31 billion in 2025. This market is projected to grow to USD 204.93 billion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.15% during the forecast period.
Regionally, North America is a significant addressable market. The North America cruise tourism market was valued at approximately USD 31.8 billion in 2025. In 2025, North America accounted for 36.84% of the global cruise tourism market.
For Europe, the cruise market generated a revenue of approximately USD 2.53 billion in 2025. This market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.1% from 2026 to 2033, reaching a projected revenue of approximately USD 6.31 billion by 2033.
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Royal Caribbean (RCL) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions:
- Capacity Expansion and New Ship Deliveries: The company is increasing its overall capacity through the introduction of new ships, including the Royal Caribbean Discovery class vessels and an expansion of its Celebrity River Cruises fleet. This growth in available passenger cruise days (APCDs) directly translates to the potential for higher passenger volume and revenue. Royal Caribbean projects capacity increases of 6.7% in 2026, 4% in 2027, and 6% in 2028.
- Strong Pricing Power and Yield Growth: Royal Caribbean anticipates continued strength in pricing, leading to robust net yield growth. This is fueled by strong demand for its vacation experiences and the company's ability to command higher ticket prices. Net yield growth is projected to be between 1.5% and 3.5% in 2026.
- Growth in Onboard Revenue and Exclusive Destinations: Investments in private destinations, such as the Royal Beach Club Paradise Island, Cozumel Beach Club, Santorini Beach Club, and Perfect Day Mexico, are expected to enhance the guest experience and drive increased onboard spending. These exclusive destinations contribute to higher guest satisfaction and ancillary revenue.
- Enhanced Digital Engagement and Operational Efficiencies: Royal Caribbean is investing in AI and digital platforms to improve customer personalization and operational efficiency. These technological advancements are designed to streamline the booking process, enhance the guest experience, and ultimately increase conversion rates and onboard spending.
- Robust Demand and Record Bookings: The company is experiencing strong booking trends for upcoming years at record rates, indicating sustained consumer preference for cruise vacations. This solid demand environment provides a strong foundation for future revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Royal Caribbean Group initiated a $1.0 billion share repurchase program in February 2025, with $100 million in shares already purchased through open market transactions.
- In December 2025, the board authorized a new $2.0 billion share repurchase program.
- The company completed a prior $1.0 billion share repurchase program, and as of December 31, 2025, $1.8 billion remained under its current program authorization.
Share Issuance
- In March 2025, Royal Caribbean completed exchange transactions involving approximately $213 million in convertible senior notes for around 3.3 million shares of common stock and $214 million in cash.
- The number of outstanding shares increased by 10.98% in 2023 from 2022, reaching 0.283 billion.
Outbound Investments
- In January 2025, Royal Caribbean announced the launch of Celebrity River Cruises with an initial order for 10 ships set to sail in 2027.
- The company is expanding its portfolio of private destinations from three to eight by 2028, including the development of new Royal Beach Club collections like Perfect Day Mexico.
Capital Expenditures
- Royal Caribbean's capital expenditures were $3.897 billion in 2023, $3.268 billion in 2024, and peaked at $5.229 billion in 2025.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately $5 billion, primarily dedicated to new ship orders and the development of private destinations.
- The company anticipates welcoming seven new cruise ships into its fleet by the end of 2029.
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Trade Ideas
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | MBLY | Mobileye Global | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | SAH | Sonic Automotive | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.9% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 02132026 | MAT | Mattel | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | SONO | Sonos | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.7% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 02062026 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | -0.8% |
| 02292020 | RCL | Royal Caribbean | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.9% | 17.1% | -72.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 31.7 |
| Rev LTM | 9,828 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,561 |
| FCF LTM | 1,236 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,131 |
| CFO LTM | 2,560 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,048 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 29.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 31.7 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 13.6 |
| P/E | 17.1 |
| P/CFO | 8.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 173.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 90.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $269.52 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 73.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/28/1993 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -25.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $301.90 | $300.77 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -10.7% | -10.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 58.7% | 48.3% |
| Downside Capture | 155.75 | 138.85 |
| Upside Capture | 142.21 | 144.99 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.3% | 60.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.84 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.28 | 1.56 | 1.52 |
| Up Beta | 4.39 | 4.06 | 3.91 | 2.75 | 1.68 | 1.67 |
| Down Beta | 2.21 | 1.37 | 0.82 | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Up Capture | 172% | 215% | 242% | 75% | 207% | 541% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 29 | 56 | 130 | 405 |
| Down Capture | 49% | 112% | 118% | 134% | 126% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 32 | 68 | 121 | 346 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | 24.8% | 48.8% | 0.60 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.1% | 23.7% | 0.46 | 59.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.7% | 18.9% | 0.73 | 60.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 62.0% | 26.4% | 1.81 | -1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 18.3% | 17.3% | 0.85 | 14.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.2% | 16.1% | 0.08 | 48.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -12.1% | 44.3% | -0.16 | 16.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | 25.7% | 48.1% | 0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.7% | 23.6% | 0.25 | 59.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.4% | 17.0% | 0.57 | 57.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.6% | 17.3% | 1.07 | 2.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.7% | 19.0% | 0.45 | 14.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.2% | 18.8% | 0.13 | 42.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.0% | 56.7% | 0.31 | 22.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | 15.8% | 53.0% | 0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.5% | 21.9% | 0.52 | 56.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.6% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 55.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.1% | 15.7% | 0.75 | -1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 21.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 46.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.9% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 15.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/29/2026 | 18.6% | 12.7% | 6.6% |
| 10/28/2025 | -8.5% | -13.3% | -16.8% |
| 7/29/2025 | -5.0% | -10.3% | 0.5% |
| 4/29/2025 | 0.1% | 5.8% | 15.9% |
| 1/28/2025 | 12.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| 10/29/2024 | 3.2% | 0.4% | 20.1% |
| 7/25/2024 | -7.6% | -4.7% | -4.0% |
| 4/25/2024 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 7.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 17 | 16 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 7.1% | 7.3% | 18.0% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -8.9% | -16.8% |
| Max Positive | 18.6% | 18.3% | 97.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -23.0% | -27.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montiel, Maritza Gomez | Direct | Sell | 11042025 | 281.76 | 1,100 | 309,936 | 4,010,572 | Form | |
| 2 | Sorensen, Vagn O | Direct | Sell | 8202025 | 330.04 | 10,300 | 3,399,412 | 5,414,966 | Form | |
| 3 | Fain, Richard D | Direct | Sell | 8082025 | 311.02 | 16,000 | 4,976,286 | 46,743,191 | Form | |
| 4 | Pujol, Henry L | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 8012025 | 329.47 | 5,207 | 1,715,549 | 2,578,431 | Form |
| 5 | Lake, Robert Alexander | SVP, CLO, Secretary & CCO | Direct | Sell | 6302025 | 299.85 | 2,869 | 860,270 | 6,319,938 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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