Tearsheet

Rubrik (RBRK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.71 | Market Cap: $13.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Rubrik (RBRK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.71
Market Cap: $13.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -428 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 83x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Cloud Security, Software Security, Show more.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.8%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Cloud Security, Software Security, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -428 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 83x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RBRK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Rubrik (RBRK) stock experienced an approximate -20.1% movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Rubrik's stock was perceived as having a stretched valuation. The company's forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio was 9.07X, which was significantly higher than the industry's 4.87X. Additionally, Rubrik traded at a 12.7x price to sales, considerably above the 4.7x software average and a 9.7x fair ratio, indicating investors might have been paying a premium for execution risk.

2. Increased competitive pressure in the cybersecurity market. Despite expanding its clientele and product portfolio, Rubrik faced stiff competition from other companies like Fortinet, which was actively enhancing its cybersecurity ecosystem and expanding its footprint in the market.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RBRK Return-----6%6%
Peers Return13%13%-38%33%-9%-8%-11%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RBRK Win Rate----62%40% 
Peers Win Rate23%40%30%45%45%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RBRK Max Drawdown------21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-1%-42%-20%-26%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

RBRK has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1183 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rubrik (RBRK)

Better Bets than Rubrik (RBRK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RBRK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rubrik

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RBRKGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameRubrik Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Mkt Price71.4127.1914.8616.96-9.8016.96
Mkt Cap13.916.78.05.6--10.9
Rev LTM1,0834,4731,497907--1,290
Op Inc LTM-4281,697-46-328---187
FCF LTM1821,30031017--246
FCF 3Y Avg-1,463268-44--268
CFO LTM2111,32433541--273
CFO 3Y Avg-1,480282-22--282

Growth & Margins

RBRKGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameRubrik Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Rev Chg LTM47.7%16.2%8.3%25.4%--20.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.5%14.6%45.6%--16.5%
Rev Chg Q51.2%25.3%14.4%21.7%--23.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.7%5.8%3.1%5.0%--5.4%
Op Mgn LTM-39.6%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%---19.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-36.7%-12.6%-53.2%---12.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM11.8%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--4.0%
CFO/Rev LTM19.5%29.6%22.4%4.5%--20.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-37.1%20.7%-5.5%--20.7%
FCF/Rev LTM16.8%29.1%20.7%1.8%--18.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-36.7%19.6%-8.7%--19.6%

Valuation

RBRKGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameRubrik Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Mkt Cap13.916.78.05.6--10.9
P/S16.13.94.66.7--5.6
P/EBIT-43.410.9-148.1-19.8---31.6
P/E-39.330.7340.3-14.1--8.3
P/CFO82.713.220.5148.8--51.6
Total Yield-2.5%5.0%0.3%-7.1%---1.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.5%3.6%-1.0%--3.6%
D/E0.10.50.00.0--0.0
Net D/E-0.00.5-0.2-0.1---0.1

Returns

RBRKGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameRubrik Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
1M Rtn-5.8%3.9%-6.4%-4.1%-11.4%-4.1%
3M Rtn-18.6%-7.9%36.6%-5.9%---6.9%
6M Rtn-27.5%-5.7%13.9%-5.6%---5.7%
12M Rtn40.2%-10.3%3.3%-38.4%---3.5%
3Y Rtn-21.7%2.3%14.7%--14.7%
1M Excs Rtn-5.8%4.0%-6.3%-4.0%-11.4%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-22.8%-12.8%31.6%-11.9%---12.4%
6M Excs Rtn-42.3%-20.4%-0.9%-20.3%---20.4%
12M Excs Rtn27.0%-23.9%-9.0%-52.9%---16.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--47.0%-49.8%-67.2%---49.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,566,710
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.5%
Average Daily Volume2,003,118
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.27
Basic Shares Quantity194,890,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025910202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025609202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025320202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241212202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024912202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024613202410-Q 4/30/2024
13120244262024424B4 1/31/2024
13120232052024DRS/A 1/31/2023
13120223032023DRS/A 1/31/2022