Tearsheet

Rubrik (RBRK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $73.64 | Market Cap: $14.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Rubrik (RBRK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $73.64
Market Cap: $14.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -379 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -32%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 60x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Cloud Security, Software Security, Show more.
Key risks
RBRK key risks include [1] a consistent lack of profitability and negative shareholder equity and [2] a high valuation that demands near-perfect execution to avoid a significant stock sell-off.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Cloud Security, Software Security, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -379 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -32%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 60x
5 Key risks
RBRK key risks include [1] a consistent lack of profitability and negative shareholder equity and [2] a high valuation that demands near-perfect execution to avoid a significant stock sell-off.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RBRK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Rubrik (RBRK) experienced an approximate 18.1% stock price decrease during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. This downturn occurred despite the company reporting strong financial results, including exceeding earnings and revenue estimates for its third quarter fiscal year 2026, which ended October 31, 2025. The stock's movement appears to be influenced by several key factors:

1. Valuation Concerns: Analysts and market observers indicated that Rubrik's stock appeared overvalued compared to its fair value. This sentiment persisted even with strong revenue growth.

2. Negative Technical Signals: The stock exhibited several negative technical indicators, including sell signals from both short and long-term moving averages, suggesting a negative forecast for the stock. A "pivot top point" on December 9, 2025, also triggered a sell signal, preceding a nearly 20% decline.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RBRK Return19%
Peers Return22%36%-15%46%58%11%256%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RBRK Win Rate62%42% 
Peers Win Rate58%68%40%55%67%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RBRK Max Drawdown-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-8%-28%-10%-4%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVLT, DELL, NTAP, PSTG, IBM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

RBRK has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,183 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rubrik (RBRK)

Better Bets than Rubrik (RBRK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RBRK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rubrik

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RBRKCVLTDELLNTAPPSTGIBMMedian
NameRubrik CommVaul.Dell Tec.NetApp Pure Sto.Internat. 
Mkt Price73.19123.19127.89110.9666.32303.32117.07
Mkt Cap16.35.595.123.627.6283.325.6
Rev LTM1,1971,096104,0906,6373,48465,4025,060
Op Inc LTM-379866,9241,5007011,544793
FCF LTM2432094,4491,67656711,8541,121
FCF 3Y Avg-2014,7811,36053211,7531,360
CFO LTM2732167,0961,86082113,4831,340
CFO 3Y Avg-2067,4741,53475913,4981,534

Growth & Margins

RBRKCVLTDELLNTAPPSTGIBMMedian
NameRubrik CommVaul.Dell Tec.NetApp Pure Sto.Internat. 
Rev Chg LTM48.9%22.0%10.8%2.5%13.2%4.5%12.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.7%0.2%0.6%9.6%2.6%2.6%
Rev Chg Q48.3%18.4%10.8%2.8%16.0%9.1%13.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.5%4.1%2.6%0.7%4.0%2.1%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM-31.7%7.8%6.7%22.6%2.0%17.7%7.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.7%6.1%20.8%3.0%16.4%8.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.9%-0.7%0.2%0.8%-0.3%0.6%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM22.9%19.7%6.8%28.0%23.6%20.6%21.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-22.3%7.8%23.8%24.2%21.4%22.3%
FCF/Rev LTM20.3%19.1%4.3%25.3%16.3%18.1%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.8%5.0%21.1%17.0%18.6%18.6%

Valuation

RBRKCVLTDELLNTAPPSTGIBMMedian
NameRubrik CommVaul.Dell Tec.NetApp Pure Sto.Internat. 
Mkt Cap16.35.595.123.627.6283.325.6
P/S13.67.60.93.67.94.05.8
P/EBIT-96.5---23.259.8
P/E-43.3104.518.320.0211.933.326.7
P/CFO59.738.913.412.733.719.526.6
Total Yield-2.3%1.0%7.0%6.8%0.5%5.4%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.5%1.8%0.0%2.4%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.9%---6.4%5.2%
D/E-0.1---0.30.2
Net D/E--0.0---0.20.1

Returns

RBRKCVLTDELLNTAPPSTGIBMMedian
NameRubrik CommVaul.Dell Tec.NetApp Pure Sto.Internat. 
1M Rtn5.0%-2.1%4.4%3.9%-21.2%2.1%3.0%
3M Rtn-0.9%-35.0%-1.5%-10.1%-22.7%17.7%-5.8%
6M Rtn-16.0%-31.6%10.6%9.0%25.4%8.4%8.7%
12M Rtn0.3%-26.0%10.1%-7.6%0.9%35.9%0.6%
3Y Rtn-94.8%246.9%96.9%131.7%141.5%131.7%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%-2.8%3.7%3.2%-21.9%1.3%2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-7.5%-38.3%-4.2%-13.2%-25.2%13.7%-10.3%
6M Excs Rtn-28.4%-44.0%-1.8%-3.4%13.1%-4.0%-3.7%
12M Excs Rtn-9.7%-38.1%-1.1%-18.2%-7.0%23.7%-8.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-22.4%149.2%13.5%54.0%58.4%54.0%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Software and services628   
Maintenance 769190
Other 138155135
Subscription 385261163
Total628600506388


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Software and services-354   
Total-354   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,448,039
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.9%
Average Daily Volume2,052,680
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.58
Basic Shares Quantity198,379,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/4/202522.5%23.6% 
9/9/2025-18.1%-23.9%-14.5%
6/5/2025-0.7%-10.0%-7.1%
3/13/202527.8%27.0%6.7%
12/5/202420.4%38.3%19.9%
9/9/2024-1.5%-2.1%8.0%
6/11/2024-8.9%-13.1%-4.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive333
# Negative444
Median Positive22.5%27.0%8.0%
Median Negative-5.2%-11.5%-7.1%
Max Positive27.8%38.3%19.9%
Max Negative-18.1%-23.9%-14.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251208202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025910202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025609202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025320202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241212202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024912202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024613202410-Q 4/30/2024
13120244262024424B4 1/31/2024
13120232052024DRS/A 1/31/2023
13120223032023DRS/A 1/31/2022