Tearsheet

QXO (QXO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.08 | Market Cap: $14.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

QXO (QXO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.08
Market Cap: $14.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 8117%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -209 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -97%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 106x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 8117%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -97%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -209 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 106x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

QXO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I am unable to provide the requested information as the specified time period is in the future and I cannot access real-time or future stock market data.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
QXO Return-17%64%-34%508%-86%22%-7%
Peers Return26%36%-10%40%9%6%148%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
QXO Win Rate58%42%42%75%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate43%50%28%50%48%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
QXO Max Drawdown-57%0%-49%-6%-91%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-2%-25%-6%-8%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventQXOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven517.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven596 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven123 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven155.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven578 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3600.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1343 days1480 days

Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST


In The Past

QXO's stock fell -83.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/6/2021. A -83.8% loss requires a 517.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About QXO (QXO)

Better Bets than QXO (QXO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to QXO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for QXO

Peers to compare with:

Financials

QXOWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameQXO Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Mkt Price20.00355.8653.89813.66252.8441.22153.37
Mkt Cap14.313.510.652.249.847.330.8
Rev LTM4,6637,4145,97215,98630,7627,9987,706
Op Inc LTM-2097347004,0092,6831,6161,175
FCF LTM79517-1,8204501,603965484
FCF 3Y Avg37540-1,7174461,7951,069493
CFO LTM1295491,6204,9821,9081,2101,415
CFO 3Y Avg545731,5334,8122,1681,2791,406

Growth & Margins

QXOWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameQXO Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Rev Chg LTM8,117.4%-0.7%5.9%6.7%3.8%6.9%6.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2,715.8%1.0%0.5%13.2%2.5%5.5%4.0%
Rev Chg Q20,726.7%-4.3%3.7%5.9%6.9%11.7%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM139.4%-1.2%1.0%1.5%1.8%2.9%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-4.5%9.9%11.7%25.1%8.7%20.2%10.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.6%10.2%16.6%26.5%9.0%20.4%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM9.3%-0.1%-0.6%-0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM2.8%7.4%27.1%31.2%6.2%15.1%11.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.0%7.7%26.5%32.2%7.2%16.9%18.5%
FCF/Rev LTM1.7%7.0%-30.5%2.8%5.2%12.1%4.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.5%7.3%-29.6%2.9%6.0%14.2%6.6%

Valuation

QXOWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameQXO Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Mkt Cap14.313.510.652.249.847.330.8
P/S2.92.11.93.81.47.02.5
P/EBIT-449.120.917.915.016.434.717.2
P/E-76.629.348.124.223.145.926.8
P/CFO105.927.96.912.322.546.525.2
Total Yield-1.3%6.4%2.4%4.9%4.3%3.9%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.0%0.3%0.7%0.0%1.7%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.6%3.4%-14.2%0.9%-2.7%2.7%
D/E0.30.00.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E0.1-0.00.50.20.10.00.1

Returns

QXOWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameQXO Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
1M Rtn15.7%-1.5%1.6%-4.9%2.1%0.4%1.0%
3M Rtn-2.6%-8.8%-5.7%-13.7%10.4%-16.3%-7.2%
6M Rtn16.3%-18.9%-14.8%17.3%17.9%1.8%9.1%
12M Rtn16.6%-32.7%-25.5%-5.5%16.4%1.7%-1.9%
3Y Rtn-14.5%44.6%-19.4%135.6%-72.8%44.6%
1M Excs Rtn15.7%-1.5%1.6%-4.9%2.2%0.5%1.0%
3M Excs Rtn-8.4%-16.4%-12.9%-20.8%1.2%-22.9%-14.6%
6M Excs Rtn1.6%-33.6%-29.6%2.6%3.1%-12.9%-5.6%
12M Excs Rtn6.6%-47.3%-37.3%-18.8%5.6%-12.8%-15.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-84.3%-30.1%-82.5%68.9%-0.8%-30.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Service and other, net40    
Software product, net14    
Ancillary Service Revenue 15141312
Maintenance Revenue 5678
Professional consulting revenue 13131412
Software Revenue 12887
Total5545424139


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity71,644,513
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.8%
Average Daily Volume8,955,266
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8
Basic Shares Quantity715,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021