Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2   Key risks
PX key risks include [1] the potential for poor performance of its specialized investment vehicles.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x
4 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
5 Key risks
PX key risks include [1] the potential for poor performance of its specialized investment vehicles.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -19.4% stock movement for P10 (PX) from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025: 1. P10's Third Quarter 2025 Revenue Missed Analyst Expectations.

On November 6, 2025, P10 reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $75.9 million, falling short of analyst estimates of $77.65 million by 2.25%. This revenue shortfall was cited as a primary reason for a negative market reaction, with the stock declining by 2.65% immediately following the earnings announcement. 2. Decline in Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income per Share in Q3 2025.

P10 experienced a decrease in profitability metrics during the third quarter of 2025, with adjusted net income declining by 7% to $28.6 million. Furthermore, fully diluted adjusted net income per share fell by 6% to $0.24, compared to $0.26 in the prior year, contributing to investor concerns.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PX Return-23%-3%25%-21%
Peers Return57%-32%65%63%-5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PX Win Rate100%33%67%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate57%63%37%63%77%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PX Max Drawdown-30%-15%-30%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-41%-5%-5%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STEP, HLNE, BX, KKR, APO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

P10's stock fell -39.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/7/2021. A -39.6% loss requires a 65.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About P10 (PX)

Better Bets than P10 (PX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for P10

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PXSTEPHLNEBXKKRAPOMedian
NameP10 StepStoneHamilton.Blacksto.KKR Apollo A. 
Mkt Price9.9163.58134.43151.59130.61146.34132.52
Mkt Cap1.15.05.6118.6116.486.245.9
Rev LTM3011,53573311,37616,72327,4686,456
Op Inc LTM68-1,147316-4268,075316
FCF LTM22193403,6525,0862,5731,456
FCF 3Y Avg52882373,8073,1614,5391,699
CFO LTM28243523,7575,2662,5731,462
CFO 3Y Avg55982473,9503,2964,5391,771

Growth & Margins

PXSTEPHLNEBXKKRAPOMedian
NameP10 StepStoneHamilton.Blacksto.KKR Apollo A. 
Rev Chg LTM9.8%91.8%13.0%21.9%-26.7%-13.8%11.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.8%46.8%15.7%7.7%44.5%89.3%31.1%
Rev Chg Q2.3%67.2%27.3%-6.9%15.5%26.4%20.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%13.5%5.9%-1.7%4.6%8.1%5.2%
Op Mgn LTM22.5%-74.7%43.2%-2.5%29.4%22.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.4%-7.4%44.2%-7.4%25.5%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%-47.1%-0.7%-2.7%1.2%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM9.2%1.5%47.9%33.0%31.5%9.4%20.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.1%14.5%39.3%43.5%13.3%15.9%18.5%
FCF/Rev LTM7.5%1.2%46.4%32.1%30.4%9.4%19.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.8%13.0%37.8%41.8%12.5%15.9%17.9%

Valuation

PXSTEPHLNEBXKKRAPOMedian
NameP10 StepStoneHamilton.Blacksto.KKR Apollo A. 
Mkt Cap1.15.05.6118.6116.486.245.9
P/S3.63.37.610.47.03.15.3
P/EBIT22.0-4.913.7-12.512.312.5
P/E71.1-8.124.543.849.520.134.1
P/CFO39.2211.815.931.622.133.532.6
Total Yield2.9%-10.2%6.4%6.9%2.6%6.3%4.6%
Dividend Yield1.5%2.2%2.3%4.6%0.6%1.4%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%3.2%4.8%3.6%1.6%7.2%3.9%
D/E0.40.10.10.10.50.10.1
Net D/E0.40.00.00.1-0.7-2.70.0

Returns

PXSTEPHLNEBXKKRAPOMedian
NameP10 StepStoneHamilton.Blacksto.KKR Apollo A. 
1M Rtn9.5%5.5%10.5%6.3%10.1%12.6%9.8%
3M Rtn-16.9%-1.5%-10.2%-18.5%-12.2%1.5%-11.2%
6M Rtn12.0%20.9%-0.9%11.7%6.8%9.6%10.7%
12M Rtn-22.1%12.1%-9.4%-8.5%-11.0%-13.2%-10.2%
3Y Rtn4.7%169.3%115.0%123.3%186.8%141.6%132.4%
1M Excs Rtn5.7%1.7%4.9%6.4%8.3%12.2%6.1%
3M Excs Rtn-18.3%-6.6%-11.6%-19.7%-13.1%-0.1%-12.3%
6M Excs Rtn-3.9%7.2%-15.9%-2.2%-6.2%-3.4%-3.6%
12M Excs Rtn-38.5%-8.4%-29.4%-27.6%-26.1%-28.8%-28.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-75.7%76.2%25.9%34.9%99.8%62.1%48.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Management fees234193  
Advisory fees54  
Other revenue2101
Subscriptions1111
Management and advisory fees  14966
Consulting agreements and referral fees   0
Total24219815167


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,962,261
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.8%
Average Daily Volume579,174
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.84
Basic Shares Quantity109,933,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-1.8%-4.0%-7.2%
8/7/2025-0.6%5.7%-0.5%
5/8/20252.7%6.2%-13.2%
2/12/2025-3.9%-1.9%-17.6%
11/7/20242.8%4.8%17.3%
8/8/20245.9%12.6%14.5%
2/29/2024-10.1%-13.3%-8.6%
11/9/2023-4.5%-7.0%-2.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8105
# Negative8611
Median Positive2.8%5.4%15.1%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.5%-7.0%
Max Positive6.9%12.6%20.1%
Max Negative-10.1%-13.3%-17.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022327202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021321202210-K 12/31/2021