Paramount Skydance (PSKY)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $9.77 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Paramount Skydance (PSKY)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $9.77Market Cap: $-Sector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86% | Key risksPSKY key risks include [1] the significant financial, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86% |
| Key risksPSKY key risks include [1] the significant financial, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Mounting Debt and Credit Concerns Intensified by Acquisition Strategy. The company continues to face investor unease regarding its high leverage and financing outlook, which was exacerbated by recent credit-rating actions that pushed portions of its debt into junk territory. This reinforces concerns about increased interest costs and a heavier debt load impacting future cash flow. The recently merged entity is projected to carry approximately $90 billion in debt, a figure significantly influenced by the financing for its strategic acquisitions.
2. $110 Billion Acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. Paramount Skydance (PSKY) agreed to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) for an all-cash consideration of $110 billion, a deal finalized on February 27, 2026, at $31 per share, which is expected to close in the third quarter of 2026. While this acquisition aims for scale, it introduces substantial financial and integration risks, requiring Paramount to secure $54 billion to $57.5 billion in bridge loans and a guarantee of up to $45.7 billion in equity from the Ellison family. To secure shareholder approval, Paramount offered aggressive incentives, including reimbursement of Netflix's $2.8 billion breakup fee and a record $7 billion regulatory termination fee.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PSKY | -39.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 3.2% |
| Sector (XLC) | -0.8% | 19.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PSKY | -33.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 13.3% |
| Sector (XLC) | 3.1% | 32.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PSKY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 10.4% |
| Sector (XLC) | 13.2% | 28.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PSKY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 10.4% |
| Sector (XLC) | 120.2% | 28.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PSKY Return | - | - | - | - | 15% | -26% | -15% |
| Peers Return | -5% | -47% | 40% | 27% | 34% | -2% | 18% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PSKY Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 60% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 35% | 63% | 60% | 50% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PSKY Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -14% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -55% | -2% | -14% | -22% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DIS, WBD, NFLX, CMCSA, AMZN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
PSKY has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.
| Event | XLC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 602 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
Compare to DIS, WBD, NFLX, CMCSA, AMZN
In The Past
The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Paramount Skydance (PSKY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Paramount Skydance:
A media giant similar to Disney or Warner Bros. Discovery, known for its film studios, TV networks like CBS and Nickelodeon, and streaming service Paramount+.
Think of it as a blend of Netflix (for streaming), Universal Pictures (for film production), and a traditional broadcast network like ABC.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the major products and services for Paramount Skydance:
- Broadcast & Cable Networks: Operates a wide array of domestic and international broadcast and cable television networks, including CBS, Nickelodeon, MTV, and Channel 5.
- Streaming Services: Provides diverse streaming options, comprising subscription services like Paramount+ and BET+, as well as the free ad-supported Pluto TV.
- Film & Television Production: Develops and produces films, series, and short-form content through its various studios, such as Paramount Pictures and CBS Studios.
- Content Licensing: Licenses its extensive library of films and television programs for distribution across multiple platforms worldwide.
- Advertising Solutions: Offers advertising services across its broadcast, cable, and streaming platforms.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Paramount Skydance (PSKY)
Paramount Skydance primarily serves individuals and households through its extensive portfolio of media and entertainment offerings. Based on its business model, the company caters to the following major categories of individual customers:
- Streaming Service Subscribers: Individuals who pay for subscriptions to the company's direct-to-consumer streaming platforms, including Paramount+, BET+, and Paramount+ with SHOWTIME.
- Traditional Television Viewers: Individuals who watch content on Paramount Skydance's vast array of broadcast and cable television networks worldwide, such as CBS Television Network, Nickelodeon, MTV, Comedy Central, BET, Paramount Network, Network 10, Channel 5, and Telefe. This category represents the audience for its advertising revenue.
- Content Purchasers and Consumers: Individuals who purchase or rent films, series, and short-form content through various channels, including digital home entertainment, DVDs/Blu-rays, and those who attend theatrical releases of films produced by Paramount Pictures and its labels.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Here is the management team for Paramount Skydance:David Ellison, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
David Ellison founded Skydance Media in 2006. He led Skydance Media, which merged with Paramount Global in 2025 to form Paramount Skydance Corporation. Skydance Media's merger was backed by RedBird Capital Partners, indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms. His father, Larry Ellison, also provided significant financial support to Skydance.
Dennis K. Cinelli, Chief Financial Officer
Dennis K. Cinelli was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Paramount, a Skydance Corporation, effective January 15, 2026. Prior to this role, he served as the Chief Financial Officer of Scale AI. He also held senior finance and operational roles at Uber, including Global Head of Strategic Finance, and was instrumental in taking Uber public in 2019. Earlier in his career, he served as CFO at GE Ventures and founded Webtrafix.com.
Jeff Shell, President
Jeff Shell previously served as the Chief Executive Officer of NBCUniversal and was also the Chairman of RedBird Sports and Media, a firm associated with private equity.
Cindy Holland, Chair of Direct to Consumer
Cindy Holland's background includes serving as Vice President of Original Content at Netflix and as CEO of Sister, and she was a senior advisor to Skydance prior to the merger.
Andy Gordon, Chief Strategy Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Andy Gordon previously held the position of partner at RedBird Capital Partners, which was a key financial backer in the merger that created Paramount Skydance Corporation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks for Paramount Skydance (PSKY)
- Intense Competition in Direct-to-Consumer Streaming and Cord-Cutting: Paramount Skydance operates a significant Direct-to-Consumer segment, including Paramount+, Pluto TV, and BET+. The streaming market is highly competitive with numerous established players, leading to intense pressure on subscriber acquisition and retention. Concurrently, the ongoing trend of "cord-cutting" continues to impact the viewership and advertising revenue of its traditional TV Media segment, which includes CBS Television Network, various international free-to-air networks, and domestic premium and basic cable networks.
- High Content Production and Acquisition Costs: To remain competitive in the direct-to-consumer and studio segments, Paramount Skydance must continually invest heavily in producing and acquiring films, series, and other content. These high content costs, combined with the challenge of achieving widespread subscriber growth and profitability in a crowded streaming landscape, pose a significant financial risk.
- Volatility in Advertising Markets: A substantial portion of Paramount Skydance's revenue is derived from advertising across its TV Media segment (broadcast and cable networks) and its ad-supported streaming service, Pluto TV. Advertising spending is sensitive to economic conditions and industry shifts. Economic downturns or a significant reallocation of advertising budgets away from traditional television and certain digital platforms could negatively impact the company's financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating obsolescence of traditional linear broadcast and cable television as the primary distribution and monetization platform for video content, driven by the widespread adoption of diverse streaming platforms, social media video, and short-form content. This trend directly erodes the subscriber base and advertising revenue for Paramount Skydance's traditional TV Media segment and fundamentally shifts where audiences consume content and where advertising dollars are spent.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Paramount Skydance operates within several large addressable markets globally and in the U.S. for its diverse media and entertainment offerings.
Video Streaming Market
- The global video streaming market was valued at approximately USD 226 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 687.8 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 18.66% from 2025 to 2035. Another estimate places the global video streaming market size at USD 416.16 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach USD 2.47 trillion by 2035, growing at around 19.5% CAGR between 2026-2035. North America is a significant region, leading with an estimated 40% of the global market share in 2025.
- In the U.S., the video streaming market size was approximately USD 45.97 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 156.53 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 16.55% during 2025-2033. Other estimates for the U.S. market size include USD 35.74 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 165.09 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 21.10% over the forecast period of 2026-2033.
Television Advertising Market
- The global television advertising market size was valued at USD 251.81 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 340.19 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.11% from 2026-2034. Another source indicates the global TV ad spending market size is estimated at USD 247.61 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 353.08 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.2% from 2025 to 2032. North America is expected to maintain its dominance, capturing nearly two-fifths of the global market share by 2025.
- The U.S. television advertising market size was approximately USD 60.79 billion in 2024 and is projected to be worth around USD 93.29 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.37% from 2025 to 2034. Connected TV (CTV) advertising within the U.S. is projected to reach USD 33.35 billion in 2025.
Movie Production and Entertainment Market
- The global movie production market size is forecast to increase by USD 90.4 billion, at a CAGR of 14.6% between 2024 and 2029. The global film production and distribution market size was USD 65.7 billion in 2025.
- The U.S. movie and video production market size was USD 40.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to be USD 42.0 billion in 2026. The U.S. movie market is expected to stand at about USD 34.64 billion by 2033, growing from USD 23.44 billion in 2024 at a CAGR of 4.43% during 2025-2033.
Pay TV Market
- The global pay TV market was valued at USD 190.21 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 208.12 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 1.00% during 2025-2033. North America was the largest revenue-generating market in 2021.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives:
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Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Segment Expansion: Paramount Skydance anticipates accelerated growth in its DTC segment, primarily driven by Paramount+. Management projects "underlying healthy subscriber growth" in 2026. This growth will be further boosted by average revenue per user (ARPU) improvements, resulting from price increases implemented in Q1 2026 and a favorable mix shift. Additionally, the company expects a "meaningful recovery" in DTC advertising revenue in 2026, supported by investments in programming and ad technology. The launch of a unified streaming platform by mid-2026 is also a strategic move to drive future growth in this segment.
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Expanded Film and Streaming Content Production: The Studios segment is set to significantly increase its theatrical output, with plans to release 16 movies in 2026, compared to eight previously, aiming for a steady state of over 15 films annually. Paramount Skydance is also making substantial incremental investments of over $1.5 billion in programming across both theatrical releases and streaming content. This expanded and recurring content slate is intended to boost box office performance, downstream licensing deals, and streaming subscription revenue.
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Strategic Content Partnerships and Live Events: The company's partnerships, such as the one with the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), are proving to be significant drivers. The UFC 324 event, for instance, reached approximately 7 million households in the U.S. and Latin America, exceeding initial expectations. The ongoing UFC schedule and an influx of original series are expected to further boost subscriptions and drive advertising revenue for Paramount+ in 2026.
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Efficiency and Synergy Realization: While primarily impacting profitability, Paramount Skydance's increased run-rate efficiency target, from $2 billion to at least $3 billion by 2026, is an indirect driver of revenue growth. These significant cost savings can be reinvested into content creation, marketing, and technological advancements, thereby supporting and accelerating overall revenue expansion in its core segments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Paramount Global (PARA), which aligns with the company described in the background, had a buyback yield of -2.13% in the last 12 months, suggesting net share issuance rather than repurchases.
Share Issuance
- Paramount Skydance (PSKY) shares outstanding increased by 65.96% in 2025, rising to 1.102 billion from 0.664 billion in 2024.
- The number of shares outstanding for Paramount Skydance (PSKY) increased by 27.47% in the last 12 months as of March 2026, reaching 1.13 billion shares.
Inbound Investments
- No significant third-party inbound investments (e.g., strategic partner taking a large stake or private equity firm investment) into Paramount Skydance (PSKY) have been explicitly detailed as completed within the last 3-5 years in the search results.
Outbound Investments
- Paramount Skydance (PSKY) was reportedly involved in a bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery in early 2026, indicating a potential significant outbound acquisition.
Capital Expenditures
- Paramount Global (PARA) reported capital expenditures of $171 million in 2025, $196 million in 2024, $356 million in 2023, $345 million in 2022, and $345 million in 2021.
- For the last 12 months (as of March 2026), capital expenditures for Paramount Skydance (PSKY) were -$296 million.
- Paramount Skydance (PSKY) invested $116.0 million in capital expenditures in Q4 2025.
- A key focus for future capital expenditures (2026 and beyond) is "investing in the transformation of the business and ramping up our content slate" to fuel growth.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| PSKY Stock Falls -11% With A 7-day Losing Spree On WBD Rejection | 01/10/2026 | |
| PSKY Stock Falls -9.2% In A 6-day Losing Spree On WBD Bid Rejection | 01/09/2026 | |
| PSKY Stock Falls -8.4% With A 5-day Losing Spree On WBD Rejection | 01/08/2026 | |
| Paramount Skydance Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02132026 | YELP | Yelp | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.7% |
| 02132026 | TRIP | Tripadvisor | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| 02062026 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.1% | 22.1% | -3.7% |
| 02062026 | MGNI | Magnite | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 20.6% | 20.6% | -0.8% |
| 01302026 | RBLX | Roblox | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.4% | 4.4% | -7.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 62.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 177.3 |
| Rev LTM | 95,716 |
| Op Inc LTM | 13,629 |
| FCF LTM | 7,695 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,803 |
| CFO LTM | 15,631 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 14,549 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 177.3 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 18.1 |
| P/E | 28.6 |
| P/CFO | 15.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 54.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TV Media | 18,779 | 20,085 | 21,666 | ||
| Direct-to-Consumer | 7,632 | 6,736 | 4,904 | ||
| Filmed Entertainment | 2,955 | 2,957 | 3,584 | ||
| Eliminations | -153 | -126 | |||
| Total | 29,213 | 29,652 | 30,154 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TV Media | 4,348 | 4,791 | 5,451 | ||
| Gains on dispositions | 0 | 0 | 56 | ||
| Filmed Entertainment | -96 | -119 | 272 | ||
| Stock-based compensation | -210 | -172 | -158 | ||
| Depreciation and amortization | -392 | -418 | -378 | ||
| Corporate/Eliminations | -427 | -447 | -470 | ||
| Direct-to-Consumer | -497 | -1,663 | -1,819 | ||
| Restructuring, transaction-related items, and other corporate matters | -747 | 31 | -585 | ||
| Programming charges | -1,118 | -2,371 | 0 | ||
| Impairment charges | -6,130 | -83 | -27 | ||
| Total | -5,269 | -451 | 2,342 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | 10.0% | 18.6% | |
| 11/10/2025 | 9.8% | 3.1% | -7.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 9.9% | 10.9% | |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | ||
| Max Positive | 10.0% | 18.6% | |
| Max Negative | -7.4% | ||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/15/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinale, Gerald J | RB Tentpole Holdings LP | Buy | 8112025 | 0.00 | 83,640,992 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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