Primerica (PRI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $258.77 | Market Cap: $8.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Life & Health Insurance
Primerica (PRI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $258.77Market Cap: $8.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Life & Health Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 9.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18% | Key risksPRI key risks include [1] economic pressures on its core middle-income market impacting sales and policy retention, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, and Digital Insurance Services. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 9.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, and Digital Insurance Services. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18% |
| Key risksPRI key risks include [1] economic pressures on its core middle-income market impacting sales and policy retention, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PRI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining Primerica's stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
**1. Primerica's stock experienced an overall decline in 2025, with shares down 4.73% for the year as of December 17, 2025, and a 1.9% year-to-date loss against industry growth of 1.1% as of November 20, 2025.**
**2. The company's total debt-to-capital ratio of 44.4% remained significantly above the industry average of 14.5%, coupled with a slight softening in operating cash flow, which was down 4.8% over the first nine months of 2025.**
**3. Analyst sentiment saw some price target reductions during the period, with Morgan Stanley lowering its price target for Primerica multiple times, including from $306 to $301 on November 17, 2025, and from $301 to $292 on December 15, 2025.**
**4. Despite a new share repurchase program, concerns persisted regarding underlying business risks such as elevated policy lapse rates and pressure on new policy sales, which were highlighted as critical short-term factors.**
**5. Primerica's dividend yield of 1.62% was noted as being below the industry average of 3.27% as of November 2025, potentially making the stock less attractive to income-focused investors.**
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRI Return | 4% | 16% | -6% | 47% | 34% | -3% | 115% |
| Peers Return | 7% | 33% | -2% | 10% | 27% | 19% | 131% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRI Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 58% | 83% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 65% | 45% | 47% | 63% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRI Max Drawdown | -52% | -3% | -27% | 0% | 0% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -6% | -26% | -18% | -16% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GL, CNO, LNC, AMP, RJF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 253 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 259 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 120 days |
Compare to OSG, MFC, AFL, MET, PRU
In The Past
Primerica's stock fell -37.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -37.4% loss requires a 59.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 4.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -11.0% |
| 09302023 | PRI | Primerica | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 31.2% | 37.4% | -2.6% |
| 03312023 | PRI | Primerica | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 13.4% | 48.8% | -2.6% |
| 03312020 | PRI | Primerica | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | 28.5% | 69.3% | -8.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 4.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -11.0% |
| 09302023 | PRI | Primerica | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 31.2% | 37.4% | -2.6% |
| 03312023 | PRI | Primerica | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 13.4% | 48.8% | -2.6% |
| 03312020 | PRI | Primerica | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | 28.5% | 69.3% | -8.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Primerica
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 149.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.8 |
| Rev LTM | 9,891 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 1,030 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 682 |
| CFO LTM | 1,108 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 696 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.8 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | 8.3 |
| P/E | 12.7 |
| P/CFO | 7.6 |
| Total Yield | 9.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -1.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 74.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Term life insurance segment | 6,544 | 6,434 | 7,275 | 6,985 | 6,546 |
| Corporate and other distributed products segment | 5,528 | 5,328 | 5,399 | 5,151 | 4,544 |
| Investment and savings products segment | 2,537 | 2,424 | 2,920 | 2,769 | 2,598 |
| Senior health segment | 419 | 432 | 529 | ||
| Total | 15,028 | 14,618 | 16,123 | 14,905 | 13,689 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -1.9% | 1.5% | -1.1% |
| 8/6/2025 | -4.4% | -1.2% | 2.7% |
| 5/7/2025 | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| 2/11/2025 | -3.9% | -3.4% | -4.3% |
| 11/6/2024 | -0.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| 5/6/2024 | -1.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% |
| 2/14/2024 | 2.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 16 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -4.5% | -3.1% |
| Max Positive | 9.0% | 12.2% | 22.7% |
| Max Negative | -10.6% | -11.1% | -28.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Life & Health Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |