Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 9.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, and Digital Insurance Services.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 9.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, and Digital Insurance Services.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PRI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Primerica's stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. General Stock Pullback and Downtrend

Primerica's share price exhibited a general downward trend and pullback during this period, with the stock trending down approximately 7% year-to-date as of November 9, 2025. By November 25, 2025, shares had slipped, continuing a modest downward trend over the preceding month and quarter. Leading up to December 2, 2025, the stock recorded a disappointing 7.2% loss over the prior six months. 2. Anticipated Decline in Term Life Policy Issuance

The company projected a 10% decline in full-year term life policy issuance, attributing this expected decrease to economic uncertainty and cost-of-living pressures impacting the middle-income market. This forecast suggests a potential weakening in a core segment of Primerica's business.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PRI Return4%16%-6%47%34%-5%111%
Peers Return-8%36%12%10%24%6%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PRI Win Rate58%75%42%58%83%60% 
Peers Win Rate53%68%57%58%63%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PRI Max Drawdown-52%-3%-27%0%0%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-2%-12%-18%-4%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AFL, MFC, MET, PRU, PFG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPRIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven259 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days120 days

Compare to AFL, MFC, MET, PRU, PFG


In The Past

Primerica's stock fell -37.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -37.4% loss requires a 59.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Primerica (PRI)

Better Bets than Primerica (PRI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
PRI_9302023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302023PRIPrimericaQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
31.2%37.4%-2.6%
PRI_3312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%03312023PRIPrimericaQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
13.4%48.8%-2.6%
PRI_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020PRIPrimericaDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
28.5%69.3%-8.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
PRI_9302023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302023PRIPrimericaQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
31.2%37.4%-2.6%
PRI_3312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%03312023PRIPrimericaQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
13.4%48.8%-2.6%
PRI_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020PRIPrimericaDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
28.5%69.3%-8.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Primerica

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PRIAFLMFCMETPRUPFGMedian
NamePrimericaAflac Manulife.MetLife Prudenti.Principa. 
Mkt Price255.24109.0435.1077.51109.5785.9497.49
Mkt Cap8.357.860.051.538.919.145.2
Rev LTM3,22617,96247,46270,76057,92615,80132,712
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM8142,57328,60814,6275,2744,1724,723
FCF 3Y Avg7473,05723,42413,5455,7814,0294,905
CFO LTM8342,57328,60814,6275,2744,2524,763
CFO 3Y Avg7753,05723,42413,5455,7814,1174,949

Growth & Margins

PRIAFLMFCMETPRUPFGMedian
NamePrimericaAflac Manulife.MetLife Prudenti.Principa. 
Rev Chg LTM7.3%3.0%10.0%0.2%-21.0%12.3%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.5%-3.5%1.5%1.3%1.9%-4.1%1.4%
Rev Chg Q8.5%57.9%21.7%-7.7%-8.2%22.2%15.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%10.8%6.1%-2.0%-2.7%4.4%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM25.8%14.3%60.3%20.7%9.1%26.9%23.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.0%16.8%54.5%19.6%9.4%28.1%22.8%
FCF/Rev LTM25.2%14.3%60.3%20.7%9.1%26.4%22.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.0%16.8%54.5%19.6%9.4%27.5%22.3%

Valuation

PRIAFLMFCMETPRUPFGMedian
NamePrimericaAflac Manulife.MetLife Prudenti.Principa. 
Mkt Cap8.357.860.051.538.919.145.2
P/S2.83.31.20.80.61.21.2
P/EBIT9.311.26.19.2--9.2
P/E12.514.29.014.314.111.713.3
P/CFO10.823.01.93.77.04.35.7
Total Yield9.5%9.0%17.0%9.8%12.3%12.2%11.0%
Dividend Yield1.5%2.0%5.9%2.8%5.2%3.7%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.0%5.7%51.2%25.3%15.0%21.8%18.4%
D/E0.20.10.20.40.60.20.2
Net D/E0.0-1.1-0.2-1.7-1.3-1.5-1.2

Returns

PRIAFLMFCMETPRUPFGMedian
NamePrimericaAflac Manulife.MetLife Prudenti.Principa. 
1M Rtn-2.0%2.5%7.2%-2.1%6.1%4.5%3.5%
3M Rtn-4.8%2.7%16.3%-3.1%3.3%9.3%3.0%
6M Rtn-4.0%7.2%12.0%-0.2%8.3%14.8%7.8%
12M Rtn-13.2%4.4%13.9%-7.0%-9.4%5.3%-1.3%
3Y Rtn81.4%61.0%122.8%10.6%18.1%3.9%39.6%
1M Excs Rtn-1.9%2.5%7.3%-2.1%6.1%4.5%3.5%
3M Excs Rtn-11.7%-4.4%9.2%-9.8%-3.3%1.4%-3.9%
6M Excs Rtn-18.8%-7.5%-2.7%-14.9%-6.4%0.0%-7.0%
12M Excs Rtn-27.9%-15.8%0.2%-23.2%-24.5%-10.2%-19.5%
3Y Excs Rtn11.1%-8.7%58.3%-60.5%-52.3%-65.0%-30.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Term life insurance segment6,5446,4347,2756,9856,546
Corporate and other distributed products segment5,5285,3285,3995,1514,544
Investment and savings products segment2,5372,4242,9202,7692,598
Senior health segment419432529  
Total15,02814,61816,12314,90513,689


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,226,822
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.6%
Average Daily Volume225,706
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.44
Basic Shares Quantity32,404,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021