Tearsheet

Porch (PRCH)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $9.365 | Market Cap: $976.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Porch (PRCH)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $9.365
Market Cap: $976.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Home & Property Management. Themes include Online Home Services Marketplaces, Homeowner Data Analytics, and Integrated Home Solutions.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%
1   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 128%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 132%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Home & Property Management. Themes include Online Home Services Marketplaces, Homeowner Data Analytics, and Integrated Home Solutions.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 128%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 132%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PRCH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. <b>Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Missed Analyst Estimates</b><br><br> Porch Group reported a loss of -$0.10 per share for the third quarter of 2025, which fell short of analyst expectations of -$0.03 per share, leading to a significant stock price decline.<br><br> **2. <b>Disappointing Full-Year Revenue Guidance</b><br><br> The company's full-year revenue guidance, set between $410 million and $420 million, came in below the analyst consensus of $434 million, despite Porch Group raising its gross profit and adjusted EBITDA targets.<br><br> **3. <b>Caution Regarding Q4 Retention and Growth</b><br><br> Porch Group expressed caution about its retention and growth prospects for the fourth quarter, suggesting potential difficulties in sustaining its current growth momentum.<br><br> **4. <b>Market Expectations for Written Premiums Were Not Met</b><br><br> Despite an increase in written premiums, the market had anticipated even higher figures, contributing to the negative investor reaction following the earnings release.<br><br> **5. <b>Shift in Market Focus Towards Profitability Over Growth</b><br><br> The market's valuation of Porch Group appeared to shift, with the price-to-earnings ratio dropping, indicating a stronger emphasis on profitability rather than solely on growth, which may have negatively impacted the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PRCH Return-9%-88%64%60%96%-32%
Peers Return13%-2%-7%5%55%897%1587%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PRCH Win Rate82%58%33%33%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate13%10%9%30%44%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PRCH Max Drawdown--15%-94%-72%-65%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-4%-8%-15%-8%-51% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPRCHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4787.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-10.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven12.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven7 days148 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC


In The Past

Porch's stock fell -98.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -98.0% loss requires a 4787.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Porch (PRCH)

Better Bets than Porch (PRCH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PRCH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.3%8.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.7%14.7%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.3%8.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.7%14.7%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Porch

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PRCHADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NamePorch Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Price9.36306.741.142.283.187.425.30
Mkt Cap1.065.30.1-0.0-0.5
Rev LTM4426,88831-21,026442
Op Inc LTM451,6441--06545
FCF LTM242,083-1--255140
FCF 3Y Avg81,690---216216
CFO LTM392,1552--310174
CFO 3Y Avg201,765---271271

Growth & Margins

PRCHADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NamePorch Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.1%15.6%55.1%--10.6%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.4%12.1%---10.2%12.1%
Rev Chg Q6.2%18.0%90.4%--12.0%15.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%4.3%15.1%--2.9%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM10.2%23.9%4.5%--3.8%6.3%6.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.6%22.0%---6.9%6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.2%0.9%-0.5%---0.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM8.7%31.3%7.0%--30.2%19.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.4%29.1%---29.0%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM5.4%30.2%-2.6%--24.9%15.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.6%27.9%---23.1%23.1%

Valuation

PRCHADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NamePorch Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Cap1.065.30.1-0.0-0.5
P/S4.09.52.1-12.8-6.7
P/EBIT18.442.432.1-737.8-37.2
P/E57.258.844.8--4,265.3-51.0
P/CFO45.330.329.9---30.3
Total Yield1.7%1.7%2.2%--0.0%-1.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.7%3.0%----7.9%
D/E0.20.00.0-0.0-0.0
Net D/E0.10.0-0.1--0.0--0.0

Returns

PRCHADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NamePorch Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
1M Rtn-12.7%3.2%-60.8%4.1%-2.5%-2.6%-2.5%
3M Rtn-48.6%-6.0%-58.2%-15.2%-20.5%-65.5%-34.5%
6M Rtn-13.8%3.0%81.0%-26.5%-20.5%-65.5%-17.2%
12M Rtn69.9%-0.3%--38.9%4,442.9%-65.5%-0.3%
3Y Rtn428.8%56.0%--3,144.9%-65.5%242.4%
1M Excs Rtn-42.4%0.8%-61.1%-5.3%-3.5%-6.4%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-56.6%-11.9%-63.7%-21.3%-26.3%-71.3%-41.4%
6M Excs Rtn-28.3%-11.5%66.5%-41.0%-35.0%-80.0%-31.7%
12M Excs Rtn53.3%-11.0%--39.1%4,429.3%-79.1%-11.0%
3Y Excs Rtn290.4%-16.5%--3,060.0%-133.9%137.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Insurance305121554 
Vertical Software12515513764 
Divested businesses  04 
Managed services revenue    22
Referral network revenue    49
Software subscription revenue    6
Total4302761927278


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Insurance12-590 
Change in fair value of contingent consideration6-72-2 
Vertical Software4152113 
Acquisition and other transaction costs-1-2-5-0 
Restructuring costs-4-1   
Other gains and losses-8    
Stock-based compensation expense-21-27-39-11 
Depreciation and amortization-24-28-16-7 
Recovery of (loss on) reinsurance contract-36    
Impairment loss on property, equipment and software-57-1-1-1 
Eliminations-61-59-54-30 
Impairment loss on intangible assets and goodwill -610  
Investment income and realized gains -1-10 
Loss on reinsurance contract 0   
Divested businesses  0-1 
SPAC transaction bonus  0-3 
Total-190-177-83-42 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,645,205
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.7%
Average Daily Volume3,513,927
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.45
Basic Shares Quantity104,301,000
Short % of Basic Shares15.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-33.4%-36.3% 
8/5/202521.9%17.8%36.4%
5/6/202568.0%65.6%47.2%
2/25/202574.1%78.6%100.0%
11/7/202455.4%33.5%121.0%
8/6/2024-32.4%-28.9%-26.0%
5/8/20246.3%-10.3%-40.1%
2/12/202418.5%32.8%59.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121010
# Negative799
Median Positive19.5%33.1%43.8%
Median Negative-19.4%-10.3%-25.4%
Max Positive74.1%89.9%204.7%
Max Negative-34.3%-36.3%-40.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Reierson Amanda L9162025Sell17.6750,000883,3252,674,266Form
1Neagle MatthewChief Operating Officer9112025Sell18.6955,0001,027,96618,686,263Form
2Lam Rachel8082025Sell15.2125,000380,3282,707,795Form
3Tabak ShawnCHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER6132025Sell11.2330,000336,8191,938,629Form
4Neagle MatthewChief Operating Officer5292025Sell9.9460,000596,62210,720,104Form