Porch (PRCH)
Market Price (4/22/2026): $7.95 | Market Cap: $839.2 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Porch (PRCH)
Market Price (4/22/2026): $7.95Market Cap: $839.2 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.2% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Home & Property Management. Themes include Online Home Services Marketplaces, Homeowner Data Analytics, and Integrated Home Solutions. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 17.12 Key risksPRCH key risks include [1] persistent operating losses and cash burn, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Home & Property Management. Themes include Online Home Services Marketplaces, Homeowner Data Analytics, and Integrated Home Solutions. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 17.12 |
| Key risksPRCH key risks include [1] persistent operating losses and cash burn, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Lingering investor concerns regarding profitability despite Q4 2025 earnings beat.
While Porch Group reported a Q4 2025 EPS loss of -$0.03, beating analyst estimates of -$0.07, and Q4 revenue of $112.3 million (or $124.3 million as per some sources) exceeded expectations of $109.13 million (or $108.23 million), the company is still projected to reach breakeven in 2026. This ongoing journey to consistent profitability, coupled with a negative EPS/PE and negative Q4 cash flow from operations of $(5.5) million (despite a positive full-year cash flow of $65.4 million), contributed to investor caution.
2. Broader software sector headwinds.
The stock experienced an overhang from general "SaaSpocalypse" concerns impacting the broader software sector. This macroeconomic sentiment created a challenging environment for software companies, including Porch, regardless of their individual financial performance.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.9% change in PRCH stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.13 | 7.95 | -12.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 463 | 510 | 10.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.1 | 1.6 | -20.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 106 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRCH | -12.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 44.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | -4.5% | 42.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -52.6% change in PRCH stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -56.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.78 | 7.95 | -52.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 456 | 510 | 11.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.8 | 1.6 | -56.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 103 | 106 | -2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -52.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRCH | -52.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 37.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | -2.6% | 33.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.1% change in PRCH stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.29 | 7.95 | 9.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 458 | 510 | 11.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 101 | 106 | -4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRCH | 9.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 37.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.1% | 36.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 455.9% change in PRCH stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 223.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.43 | 7.95 | 455.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 276 | 510 | 84.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 1.6 | 223.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 98 | 106 | -6.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 455.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRCH | 455.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 29.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 69.9% | 28.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRCH Return | 9% | -88% | 64% | 60% | 86% | -13% | -44% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 11% | 16% | 31% | 13% | -0% | 144% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% | 89% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRCH Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 53% | 62% | 68% | 60% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRCH Max Drawdown | -15% | -94% | -72% | -65% | -23% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -11% | -14% | -1% | -7% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HIG, FNF, CB, PGR, TRV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRCH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4787.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 148 days |
Compare to HIG, FNF, CB, PGR, TRV
In The Past
Porch's stock fell -98.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -98.0% loss requires a 4787.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Porch (PRCH)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Porch (PRCH):
- Porch is like Angi (formerly Angie's List) for new homebuyers, helping them find and manage everything from movers to insurance and contractors after they close on a home.
- Porch aims to be the Kayak.com for your home and moving needs, providing a digital platform to find movers, home insurance, warranties, and other essential services.
- Porch is building an ecosystem similar to Zillow, but focused on all the services and needs *after* you buy a home – from moving logistics to insurance and warranties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Software for Home Service Professionals: Provides specialized software platforms for businesses such as home inspectors, roofing contractors, and other general home service companies to manage their operations.
- Home Services Marketplaces: Connects homebuyers and homeowners with a network of service providers for moving, repairs, security, TV/Internet, and other home-related needs.
- Property & Casualty Insurance: Offers various insurance policies including home, auto, flood, and umbrella coverage, through its own carrier and independent agencies.
- Home Warranty Services: Provides policies that cover the repair or replacement of major home systems and appliances for homeowners.
- Mortgage & Title Software: Supplies software solutions to facilitate mortgage loan origination and manage financial disbursements for title and escrow companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH) primarily serves individuals by offering a range of services and products related to the homeownership journey.
Its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Homebuyers: Individuals who are in the process of purchasing a home. Porch provides them with early access to home-related services and information, helping them with their transition into a new home.
- Homeowners: Individuals who own residential properties. This category includes customers seeking property-related insurance policies (such as home, auto, flood, and umbrella insurance) through brands like Homeowners of America, as well as home warranty products and various contractor services.
- Consumers Seeking Home-Related Services: This broad category encompasses both homebuyers and homeowners looking for specific services such as moving, security, and TV/Internet providers. Porch connects these consumers with relevant service providers and facilitates access to these services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Matt Ehrlichman, CEO, Chairman, & Founder
Matt Ehrlichman founded Porch (initially Porch.com) in 2011, scaling it into a leading vertical software platform for the home services industry and successfully guiding the company through its public market debut via a SPAC merger in December 2020, which valued it at $523 million and raised over $322 million. He is a serial entrepreneur, having co-founded Thriva in 2000, which was later acquired by Active Network in 2007 for $60 million. He also co-founded Thumbtack in 2008. Prior to founding Porch, Ehrlichman served as Chief Strategy Officer at Active Network, where he was instrumental in growing its revenues from $65 million to $420 million and leading it to an initial public offering in 2011. He was named USA TODAY's Inaugural Entrepreneur of the Year in 2014.
Shawn Tabak, Chief Financial Officer
Shawn Tabak joined Porch in November 2022, overseeing Investor Relations, FP&A, Accounting, and Treasury. Before joining Porch, he served as CFO at Naked Wines, Plc. His prior roles include Vice President of FP&A at Upwork, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasury at Shutterfly, and CFO at Clean Power Finance. Tabak began his career at KPMG, where he earned his CPA and provided advisory services to clients in the technology and internet sectors.
Matthew Neagle, Chief Operating Officer
As Chief Operating Officer, Matthew Neagle leads initiatives to drive organic growth for Porch's software and services platform and manages the daily business operations. He has held several roles at Porch, including Chief Revenue Officer from 2017 to 2020, Chief Customer Officer from 2016 to 2017, and Vice President, Operations from 2014 to 2016. Before joining Porch, Neagle worked at Amazon, where he led the expansion of Kindle into stores in China, India, and Japan, and at Google, where he led teams focused on helping small businesses acquire and retain customers through AdWords.
Nicole Pelley, EVP and GM, Porch Platform
Nicole Pelley serves as the EVP and GM of Porch Platform. She has also been identified as VP of Product and VP, Product Management at Porch.
Efram Ware, President and GM, Homeowners of America
Efram Ware holds the position of President and GM for Homeowners of America, a brand under Porch Group's Insurance segment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH):
- Reliance on the Health of the Housing Market: Porch's business model is significantly tied to the real estate and housing markets. Its Vertical Software segment provides services to home inspectors and homebuyers, while its Insurance segment offers property-related insurance policies. A downturn in home sales, new construction, or overall housing market activity, potentially driven by factors such as rising interest rates, economic recession, or reduced consumer confidence, would directly impact the demand for Porch's software solutions and insurance products, thereby affecting its revenue and profitability.
- Intense Competition: Both the Vertical Software and Insurance segments in which Porch operates are highly competitive. In the Vertical Software segment, Porch faces competition from various software providers catering to home services companies. In its Insurance segment, the company competes with numerous established and emerging property and casualty insurers, as well as home warranty providers. This intense competition could lead to pricing pressure, increased customer acquisition costs, reduced market share, and challenges in retaining customers, negatively impacting Porch's financial performance.
- Data Security and Privacy Risks: Porch collects and processes a substantial amount of sensitive personal and financial data from homebuyers, homeowners, and home services professionals across its platforms. The company is therefore exposed to risks associated with data breaches, cyberattacks, or other security incidents that could compromise this information. Such events could lead to significant reputational damage, loss of customer trust, regulatory fines, legal liabilities, and increased costs for remediation and enhanced security measures.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Porch Group, Inc. (symbol: PRCH) operates within significant addressable markets across its Vertical Software and Insurance segments, primarily in the United States.
Overall Addressable Market
In January 2021, Porch Group stated that strategic acquisitions had expanded its total addressable market (TAM) in the U.S. to over $320 billion, an increase from a previous estimate of approximately $228 billion. This expansion included a new addressable market in mover marketing. A 2021 filing further estimated Porch Group's total addressable market in the U.S., encompassing moving services, property and casualty (P&C) insurance, contractor services, and mover marketing, to be $362 billion.
Vertical Software Segment
- Home Services Market (U.S.): The U.S. home services market size is projected to be USD 842.04 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 989.22 billion by 2031. Other estimates show the market was valued at USD 520 billion in 2023, with a projection to reach USD 1,030 billion by 2030.
- Home Inspection Software Market (Global): The global home inspection software market size reached USD 1.24 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to approximately USD 3.01 billion by 2033. North America is identified as the dominant market for this software.
- Mortgage Software Market (North America and U.S.): The SaaS mortgage software market in North America was approximately USD 8.21 billion in 2024. The global digital mortgage software market was valued at $3.7 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $35.3 billion by 2032, with North America leading the market in 2022. For digital lending platforms specifically, the U.S. market generated USD 2.42 billion in revenue in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 9.58 billion by 2030.
Insurance Segment
- Home Warranty Market (U.S.): U.S. home warranty providers generated $8.87 billion in revenue in 2025. The U.S. Home Warranty Market was valued at USD 4.26 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 5.68 billion by 2032.
- Property & Casualty (P&C) Insurance Market (U.S.): The U.S. property and casualty insurance market is valued at USD 1.10 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1.33 trillion by 2030. Another estimate places the U.S. P&C insurance market size at USD 1.14 trillion in 2026.
- Homeowners Insurance Market (U.S.): The U.S. homeowners insurance market size is projected to be USD 184.59 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 236.90 billion by 2031. The market size was approximately $175.1 billion in 2025.
- Auto Insurance Market (U.S.): The U.S. motor insurance market size is estimated at USD 532.45 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 826.30 billion by 2031. Other estimates for the U.S. car insurance market show it valued at USD 353 billion in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives, primarily focusing on its evolving Insurance segment and leveraging its data and software capabilities.
The anticipated drivers of future revenue growth for Porch include:
- Growth in the Insurance Services Segment through the Porch Insurance Reciprocal Exchange (PIRE): Porch Group aims to significantly expand its Insurance Services segment, with a target to grow to over $600 million in gross written premium by 2026. This growth is expected to generate higher margins following the launch of its reciprocal exchange. The company has rolled out its new Porch Insurance product, for instance, across all Texas agents at the start of 2026, which is a crucial part of its long-term strategy.
- Leveraging Proprietary Data and AI for Enhanced Underwriting: Porch Group is capitalizing on its expanded Home Factors property intelligence platform, which covers approximately 90% of U.S. homes with over 100 attributes. This AI-driven data expansion is designed to improve underwriting precision, risk segmentation, and overall value for carriers, contributing to better insurance performance and reduced risks. The launch of new insurance products and technological advancements, such as the AI Image Defect Detector, are also expected to bolster its competitive edge.
- Expansion of Agency and Quote Volumes, Coupled with Improved Policyholder Conversion Rates: The company is focused on strengthening its "top of the funnel" by more than doubling the number of active agencies and nearly tripling quote volumes year-over-year. Strategic actions in the market have led to a substantial increase in new policyholder conversion rates, a trend expected to continue into 2026.
- Strategic Price Increases and New Product Development in the Vertical Software Segment: Porch has demonstrated its ability to drive revenue less cost of revenue through software price increases. Furthermore, management has indicated that gains in the Software and Data division have come from raising prices on new and improved products, suggesting a continued focus on optimizing pricing and introducing innovative offerings within this segment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Porch Group authorized a share repurchase program of up to $15 million for common stock or convertible notes.
- The company repurchased $200 million of its 0.75% convertible senior notes due 2026 in April 2023.
- In May 2025, Porch Group repurchased $144.3 million aggregate principal amount of its 0.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026, aiming to reduce its 2026 debt maturity. The board also authorized the repurchase of the remaining $29 million of these notes.
Share Issuance
- In April 2021, approximately $21.7 million of the Homeowners of America acquisition was paid in Porch common stock.
- Porch Group priced a $333 million private offering of 6.75% senior secured convertible notes due October 1, 2028, in April 2023.
- In May 2025, the company issued $134.0 million aggregate principal amount of newly issued 9.00% Convertible Senior Unsecured Notes due 2030 in a private offering.
Inbound Investments
- Porch Group has raised an undisclosed amount of funding over two Post-IPO rounds, with the first funding round occurring on September 17, 2021, and another on April 18, 2023.
Outbound Investments
- In January 2021, Porch Group announced the acquisition of four companies: Homeowners of America (HOA), V12, PalmTech, and iRoofing. HOA and V12 combined were acquired for $122 million, consisting of $97 million in cash and $25 million in cash or equity.
- The acquisition of Homeowners of America (HOA) was completed in April 2021 for approximately $100 million.
- In October 2021, Porch Group acquired Floify, a mortgage borrower portal, for $90 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Porch Group's capital expenditures averaged $1.03 million annually from fiscal years ending December 2021 to 2025.
- Capital expenditures peaked in December 2022 at $2.35 million.
- The company's capital expenditures decreased in 2023 ($851 thousand), 2024 ($523 thousand), and 2025 ($454 thousand).
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Porch Stock Pre-Market (+22%) : Strong Q4 Beat & Raised 2026 Guidance | 02/12/2026 | |
| Porch Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Porch Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| With PRCH Up 21% in a Month, Is It Time to Compare It Against ORCL? | 08/27/2025 | |
| Porch (PRCH) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Porch (PRCH) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Porch (PRCH) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Porch (PRCH) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Porch (PRCH) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Porch (PRCH) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to PRCH.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03202026 | MKTX | MarketAxess | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.7% |
| 03202026 | RYAN | Ryan Specialty | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -2.7% | -2.7% | -8.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 173.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 51.8 |
| Rev LTM | 38,506 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 8,598 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,879 |
| CFO LTM | 8,683 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,950 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 51.8 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/Op Inc | - |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 10.4 |
| P/CFO | 6.7 |
| Total Yield | 10.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 74.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 11.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.95 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/13/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -58.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.63 | $11.53 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 4.2% | -31.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 69.8% | 100.2% |
| Downside Capture | 0.51 | 1.34 |
| Upside Capture | 170.86 | 268.43 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 41.6% | 32.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.44 | 2.39 | 2.44 | 2.22 | 2.04 | 2.51 |
| Up Beta | 5.87 | 6.61 | 6.12 | 3.32 | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Down Beta | 3.60 | 1.84 | 1.78 | 1.79 | 2.09 | 2.41 |
| Up Capture | 149% | 221% | 193% | 116% | 513% | 42978% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 28 | 54 | 118 | 345 |
| Down Capture | 176% | 169% | 204% | 223% | 163% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 23 | 35 | 71 | 130 | 388 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PRCH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRCH | 47.7% | 100.9% | 0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.3% | 15.2% | 0.62 | 30.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.7% | 12.7% | 1.52 | 32.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.4% | 27.5% | 1.25 | -9.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.4% | 16.2% | 1.25 | -7.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 15.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.7% | -0.14 | 23.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PRCH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRCH | -14.1% | 120.7% | 0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.1% | 18.7% | 0.42 | 28.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.8% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 33.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 17.8% | 0.99 | 1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 18.8% | 0.47 | 1.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.1% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 26.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.8% | 56.4% | 0.29 | 19.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PRCH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRCH | -2.4% | 109.7% | 0.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.2% | 22.2% | 0.55 | 20.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 26.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 15.9% | 0.71 | 2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 19.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.0% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 17.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | 12.5% | 7.5% | -0.1% |
| 11/5/2025 | -33.4% | -36.3% | -38.8% |
| 8/5/2025 | 21.9% | 17.8% | 36.4% |
| 5/6/2025 | 68.0% | 65.6% | 47.2% |
| 2/25/2025 | 74.1% | 78.6% | 100.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | 55.4% | 33.5% | 121.0% |
| 8/6/2024 | -32.4% | -28.9% | -26.0% |
| 5/8/2024 | 6.3% | -10.3% | -40.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 18.5% | 28.5% | 43.8% |
| Median Negative | -19.4% | -8.9% | -25.4% |
| Max Positive | 74.1% | 89.9% | 204.7% |
| Max Negative | -34.3% | -36.3% | -40.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 475.00 Mil | 482.50 Mil | 490.00 Mil | 16.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 415.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Gross Profit | 385.00 Mil | 392.50 Mil | 400.00 Mil | 16.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 337.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 98.00 Mil | 101.50 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 45.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 70.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Reciprocal Written Premium | 600.00 Mil | ||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 410.00 Mil | 415.00 Mil | 420.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 415.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Gross Profit | 335.00 Mil | 337.50 Mil | 340.00 Mil | 0.7% | Raised | Guidance: 335.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 70.00 Mil | 3.7% | Raised | Guidance: 67.50 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabak, Shawn | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 12152025 | 9.99 | 10,706 | 106,983 | 1,423,215 | Form |
| 2 | Tabak, Shawn | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 12152025 | 9.66 | 24,294 | 234,767 | 1,141,561 | Form |
| 3 | Tabak, Shawn | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 9.52 | 22,216 | 211,496 | 1,457,798 | Form |
| 4 | Reierson, Amanda L | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 17.67 | 50,000 | 883,325 | 2,674,266 | Form | |
| 5 | Neagle, Matthew | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 18.69 | 55,000 | 1,027,966 | 18,686,263 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.