Tearsheet

Picard Medical (PMI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.38 | Market Cap: $172.1 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Picard Medical (PMI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.38
Market Cap: $172.1 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -331%
1  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 480%
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 3106%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 3106%
3  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -604%
5  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 7186%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -331%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 480%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 3106%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 3106%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -604%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 7186%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PMI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate -56% stock movement for Picard Medical (PMI) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Significant Increase in Net Loss

Picard Medical reported a substantially wider net loss of $10.43 million for the third quarter of 2025, compared to a $6.21 million loss in the same period a year prior. This increase was primarily attributed to non-cash derivative and interest charges related to IPO-related conversions, overshadowing a 35% year-over-year revenue growth. 2. Persistent Liquidity Challenges and Need for Additional Financing

Despite its initial public offering and strategic debt-to-equity conversions, Picard Medical has continued to face ongoing liquidity challenges and has publicly stated the need for further financing to sustain its operations and growth initiatives.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PMI Return0%0%0%0%0%3043%3043%
Peers Return42%3%-9%-5%-14%33%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PMI Win Rate0%0%0%0%0%20% 
Peers Win Rate40%33%32%28%25%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PMI Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%0%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-12%-25%-25%-21%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPMIS&P 500
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-99.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16636.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX


In The Past

Picard Medical's stock fell -99.4% during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis from a high on 2/7/2007. A -99.4% loss requires a 16636.7% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Picard Medical (PMI)

Better Bets than Picard Medical (PMI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PMI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Picard Medical

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PMIAATECCERSBLLNBNBXMedian
NamePicard M.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus BillionT.BNB Plus  
Mkt Price2.02149.2621.231.99102.763.1112.17
Mkt Cap0.142.43.20.4--1.8
Rev LTM46,788728199-4199
Op Inc LTM-151,444-74-9--13-13
FCF LTM-111,088-30--14-3
FCF 3Y Avg-1,308-112-15--10-13
CFO LTM-111,495354--134
CFO 3Y Avg-1,662-36-12--10-11

Growth & Margins

PMIAATECCERSBLLNBNBXMedian
NamePicard M.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus BillionT.BNB Plus  
Rev Chg LTM1.5%4.5%27.1%13.0%--51.0%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.8%31.8%8.3%--12.6%4.6%
Rev Chg Q207.1%10.1%30.4%14.5%-34.3%30.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM47.4%2.4%6.7%3.5%-7.5%6.7%
Op Mgn LTM-330.9%21.3%-10.1%-4.8%--306.1%-10.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-21.5%-21.8%-11.9%--170.3%-16.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM166.9%-0.1%3.8%1.3%-42.9%3.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-235.9%22.0%4.8%1.8%--301.5%1.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-24.6%-7.6%-7.5%--141.9%-7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-235.9%16.0%-0.5%0.1%--313.1%-0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.4%-21.7%-9.7%--147.0%-15.7%

Valuation

PMIAATECCERSBLLNBNBXMedian
NamePicard M.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus BillionT.BNB Plus  
Mkt Cap0.142.43.20.4--1.8
P/S1.04.93.01.5--2.3
P/EBIT-0.222.2-19.2-42.1---9.7
P/E-0.227.5-14.2-19.1---7.2
P/CFO-0.422.462.885.5--42.6
Total Yield-599.8%4.5%-7.0%-5.2%---6.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.7%-11.2%-5.1%---5.1%
D/E4.90.10.30.3--0.3
Net D/E4.80.10.20.1--0.1

Returns

PMIAATECCERSBLLNBNBXMedian
NamePicard M.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus BillionT.BNB Plus  
1M Rtn-30.8%3.2%10.1%30.9%--8.5%3.2%
3M Rtn-61.8%19.4%33.5%51.9%--26.5%
6M Rtn3,106.3%30.4%72.9%38.2%--55.5%
12M Rtn3,106.3%8.0%112.3%12.4%--62.4%
3Y Rtn3,106.3%-2.0%106.7%-52.0%--52.4%
1M Excs Rtn-30.8%3.2%10.1%31.0%--8.5%3.2%
3M Excs Rtn-70.1%11.1%22.9%44.3%--17.0%
6M Excs Rtn3,091.6%15.7%58.2%23.5%--40.8%
12M Excs Rtn3,092.8%-4.5%89.0%-6.0%--42.3%
3Y Excs Rtn3,033.5%-72.6%50.7%-119.0%---11.0%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity299,688
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-62.9%
Average Daily Volume411,460
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity72,324,145
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025912202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120249022025424B4 12/31/2024
630202411122024DRS/A 6/30/2024
33120248232024DRS 3/31/2024
123120231242025DRS/A 12/31/2023