Tearsheet

Picard Medical (PMI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.23 | Market Cap: $121.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Picard Medical (PMI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.23
Market Cap: $121.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -290%
1  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 3440%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 3440%
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%
3  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 6373%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 7187%
5  Key risks
PMI key risks include [1] its precarious financial health and a stated "going concern" risk, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -290%
2 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 3440%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 3440%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 6373%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 7187%
6 Key risks
PMI key risks include [1] its precarious financial health and a stated "going concern" risk, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PMI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Picard Medical's stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to today, December 18, 2025: 1. Initial Public Offering (IPO) Volatility and Subsequent Crash: Picard Medical (PMI) went public on August 29, 2025, with its stock experiencing extreme volatility shortly after, surging from an all-time low of $4.19 to a peak of $13.36 before a significant crash.

2. Equity Dilution Concerns: A substantial stock plunge, approximately 65%, occurred around October 24, 2025, following a regulatory filing (Form 8-K on October 14) that detailed stockholder approval for amending the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan. This amendment significantly increased the number of available shares to 18,000,000 and introduced warrants, raising concerns about future dilution that would devalue existing shareholder equity.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PMI Return0%0%0%0%0%3551%3551%
Peers Return20%21%-21%7%10%22%65%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PMI Win Rate0%0%0%0%0%25% 
Peers Win Rate55%58%43%50%58%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PMI Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%0%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-10%-32%-15%-9%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JNJ, ABT, MDT, EW, ISRG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPMIS&P 500
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-99.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16636.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX


In The Past

Picard Medical's stock fell -99.4% during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis from a high on 2/7/2007. A -99.4% loss requires a 16636.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Picard Medical (PMI)

Better Bets than Picard Medical (PMI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PMI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Picard Medical

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PMIJNJABTMDTEWISRGMedian
NamePicard M.Johnson .Abbott L.MedtronicEdwards .Intuitiv. 
Mkt Price2.23210.33126.7198.3084.84556.86112.50
Mkt Cap0.5506.5220.7126.049.6198.6162.3
Rev LTM592,14943,84334,7585,8849,61222,185
Op Inc LTM-1424,1467,7136,7191,6192,8164,768
FCF LTM-1418,6796,9175,2068002,2713,739
FCF 3Y Avg-17,8145,9654,9176881,3714,917
CFO LTM-1424,2049,1197,1131,0172,9615,037
CFO 3Y Avg-23,2098,1326,6269552,2686,626

Growth & Margins

PMIJNJABTMDTEWISRGMedian
NamePicard M.Johnson .Abbott L.MedtronicEdwards .Intuitiv. 
Rev Chg LTM9.0%5.1%6.4%5.3%10.6%22.2%7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.1%-0.6%4.1%4.4%16.3%4.4%
Rev Chg Q34.7%6.8%6.9%6.6%14.7%22.9%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.8%1.7%1.7%1.6%3.5%5.1%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-289.6%26.2%17.6%19.3%27.5%29.3%22.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.4%16.3%18.6%28.9%26.7%26.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM41.3%1.7%0.2%-0.1%-0.4%0.5%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-302.6%26.3%20.8%20.5%17.3%30.8%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-26.4%19.5%19.9%18.7%27.8%19.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-302.6%20.3%15.8%15.0%13.6%23.6%15.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-20.3%14.3%14.8%13.4%16.5%14.8%

Valuation

PMIJNJABTMDTEWISRGMedian
NamePicard M.Johnson .Abbott L.MedtronicEdwards .Intuitiv. 
Mkt Cap0.5506.5220.7126.049.6198.6162.3
P/S97.04.85.33.67.716.66.5
P/EBIT-13.827.019.726.656.626.6
P/E-14.717.816.726.533.358.122.1
P/CFO-32.018.425.617.744.753.922.0
Total Yield-6.8%8.4%7.7%6.6%3.0%1.7%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.7%1.7%2.9%0.0%0.0%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.4%3.0%4.3%1.6%1.0%3.0%
D/E-0.10.10.20.00.00.1
Net D/E-0.10.00.2-0.1-0.00.0

Returns

PMIJNJABTMDTEWISRGMedian
NamePicard M.Johnson .Abbott L.MedtronicEdwards .Intuitiv. 
1M Rtn-14.2%6.1%-2.6%2.1%0.1%1.9%1.0%
3M Rtn-70.6%19.5%-5.1%4.7%12.8%28.4%8.8%
6M Rtn3,439.7%41.5%-3.4%16.5%14.7%9.3%15.6%
12M Rtn3,439.7%48.1%14.0%24.8%14.5%2.1%19.6%
3Y Rtn3,439.7%31.2%25.6%41.5%16.2%110.4%36.3%
1M Excs Rtn-15.0%5.3%-3.3%1.4%-0.6%1.1%0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-70.2%20.2%-6.8%2.3%12.5%26.4%7.4%
6M Excs Rtn3,427.3%29.1%-15.8%4.1%2.3%-3.1%3.2%
12M Excs Rtn3,428.6%36.8%2.8%12.0%4.6%-7.9%8.3%
3Y Excs Rtn3,371.2%-38.9%-45.8%-32.2%-55.8%34.9%-35.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Products54
Rentals00
Total54


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity335,768
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202512.0%
Average Daily Volume216,050
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.55
Basic Shares Quantity54,452,140
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/202510.7%-9.8% 
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive100
# Negative011
Median Positive10.7%  
Median Negative -9.8% 
Max Positive10.7%  
Max Negative -9.8% 

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025912202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120249022025424B4 12/31/2024
630202411122024DRS/A 6/30/2024
33120248232024DRS 3/31/2024
123120231242025DRS/A 12/31/2023