Picard Medical (PMI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.38 | Market Cap: $172.1 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Picard Medical (PMI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.38Market Cap: $172.1 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -331% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 480% | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 3106%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 3106% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -604% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 7186% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -331% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 480% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 3106%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 3106% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -604% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 7186% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PMI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the approximate -56% stock movement for Picard Medical (PMI) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Significant Increase in Net Loss
Picard Medical reported a substantially wider net loss of $10.43 million for the third quarter of 2025, compared to a $6.21 million loss in the same period a year prior. This increase was primarily attributed to non-cash derivative and interest charges related to IPO-related conversions, overshadowing a 35% year-over-year revenue growth.
2. Persistent Liquidity Challenges and Need for Additional Financing
Despite its initial public offering and strategic debt-to-equity conversions, Picard Medical has continued to face ongoing liquidity challenges and has publicly stated the need for further financing to sustain its operations and growth initiatives.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PMI Return | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3043% | 3043% |
| Peers Return | 42% | 3% | -9% | -5% | -14% | 33% | 43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PMI Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 33% | 32% | 28% | 25% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PMI Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -12% | -25% | -25% | -21% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PMI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -99.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16636.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX
In The Past
Picard Medical's stock fell -99.4% during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis from a high on 2/7/2007. A -99.4% loss requires a 16636.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PMI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Picard Medical
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 199 |
| Op Inc LTM | -13 |
| FCF LTM | -3 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -13 |
| CFO LTM | 4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -11 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 30.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -16.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -15.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | -9.7 |
| P/E | -7.2 |
| P/CFO | 42.6 |
| Total Yield | -6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -5.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 26.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 55.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 62.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 52.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 40.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 42.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 9122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 9022025 | 424B4 12/31/2024 |
| 6302024 | 11122024 | DRS/A 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 8232024 | DRS 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1242025 | DRS/A 12/31/2023 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |