Plexus (PLXS)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $154.3 | Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Manufacturing Services
Plexus (PLXS)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $154.3Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Manufacturing Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -28% | Key risksPLXS key risks include [1] significant customer concentration and [2] tepid long-term revenue growth and weak profitability. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Automation & Robotics, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Automation & Robotics, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -28% |
| Key risksPLXS key risks include [1] significant customer concentration and [2] tepid long-term revenue growth and weak profitability. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PLXS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate 12.5% movement in Plexus (PLXS) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025:
**1. Plexus Exceeded Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Expectations.**
On October 22, 2025, Plexus reported robust financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter and full fiscal year ended September 27, 2025. The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.14, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.84 by $0.30. Quarterly revenue also rose by 0.7% year-over-year to $1.06 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $1.05 billion. This strong performance demonstrated solid operational execution.
**2. Positive Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Guidance and Strong Fiscal 2026 Outlook.**
Alongside its impressive Q4 results, Plexus provided optimistic guidance for the fiscal first quarter of 2026, projecting revenues between $1.050 billion and $1.090 billion and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.66 to $1.81. Management also highlighted expectations for accelerated revenue growth in fiscal 2026, aiming for a 9% to 12% increase, driven by new program ramps and market share gains.
**3. Significant New Manufacturing Program Wins.**
During the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, Plexus secured 28 new manufacturing program wins, which are estimated to contribute $274 million in annualized revenues once fully ramped into production. These new program wins are anticipated to be a key driver for future revenue growth.
**4. Strong Free Cash Flow Generation and Improved Return on Invested Capital.**
The company reported a strong financial position, generating $154 million in free cash flow for the full fiscal year 2025, which was well above its projections. Furthermore, Plexus achieved a fiscal fourth-quarter cash cycle of 63 days, its best result in the past five years. This, combined with strong operating performance, resulted in a fiscal 2025 return on invested capital of 14.6%, exceeding its cost of capital by 570 basis points.
**5. Favorable Analyst Ratings and Price Target Reiterations.**
Several Wall Street analysts reiterated "Buy" ratings for Plexus during this period. For example, Benchmark reiterated a "Buy" recommendation on October 24, 2025. Analysts issued price targets for PLXS, with a median target around $157.50 to $159.00, indicating confidence in the stock's future performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PLXS Return | 2% | 23% | 7% | 5% | 45% | 2% | 108% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 28% | 11% | 57% | 83% | 95% | 722% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PLXS Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 58% | 55% | 60% | 63% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PLXS Max Drawdown | -52% | -3% | -22% | -18% | -16% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -55% | -9% | -22% | -12% | -8% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JBL, FLEX, CLS, SANM, BHE. See PLXS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PLXS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 439 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -53.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 293 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 113 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 201.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 318 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FLEX, JBL, TEL, FN, SANM
In The Past
Plexus's stock fell -26.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/24/2023. A -26.1% loss requires a 35.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PLXS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | PLXS | Plexus | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | 29.6% | 68.3% | -7.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | PLXS | Plexus | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | 29.6% | 68.3% | -7.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Plexus
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 150.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| Rev LTM | 9,705 |
| Op Inc LTM | 675 |
| FCF LTM | 436 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 256 |
| CFO LTM | 586 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 403 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 19.6 |
| P/E | 30.3 |
| P/CFO | 13.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 32.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 64.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 179.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 52.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 94.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 2.6% | -4.5% | -9.1% |
| 7/23/2025 | -11.6% | -4.5% | -2.5% |
| 4/23/2025 | -1.4% | -3.7% | 2.6% |
| 1/22/2025 | -10.1% | -15.9% | -19.4% |
| 10/23/2024 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 17.7% |
| 7/24/2024 | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| 4/24/2024 | 3.6% | 6.9% | 16.5% |
| 1/24/2024 | -4.3% | -4.0% | -3.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 14 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -4.5% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 11.6% | 15.9% | 19.7% |
| Max Negative | -17.1% | -15.9% | -19.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-K 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11152024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2022024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11172023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2032023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11182022 | 10-K 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |