Tearsheet

Acadia Healthcare (ACHC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $14.425 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities

Acadia Healthcare (ACHC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $14.425
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 103%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
2   Key risks
ACHC key risks include [1] ongoing government investigations and massive lawsuits regarding its billing practices, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 103%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
6 Key risks
ACHC key risks include [1] ongoing government investigations and massive lawsuits regarding its billing practices, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACHC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) stock moved by -36.7% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Lowered Full-Year 2025 Guidance in November.

Acadia Healthcare reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, and subsequently lowered its full-year 2025 guidance across several metrics. The company revised its revenue outlook to $3.28 billion to $3.30 billion from a prior range of $3.30 billion to $3.35 billion. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was reduced to $650 million to $660 million from an earlier forecast of $675 million to $700 million, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance was lowered to $2.35 to $2.45 from $2.45 to $2.65. This downward revision, despite an EPS beat, reflected investor apprehension regarding ongoing volume softness, rate pressure, and an anticipated increase in professional and general liability (PLGL) expenses.

2. Significant Increase in Professional and General Liability (PLGL) Expenses.

On December 2, 2025, Acadia Healthcare further reduced its full-year 2025 financial outlook, citing a substantial increase in professional and general liability (PLGL) expenses following an annual actuarial review. The company's adjusted EBITDA guidance was further cut to $601 million to $611 million, a $49 million reduction from the already lowered guidance. Adjusted EPS guidance was also revised downward to $1.94 to $2.04. The projected 2025 PLGL expense increased to approximately $116 million, more than double the $54 million incurred in 2024, primarily due to higher expected settlement costs for older claims and a 168% increase in claim frequency during the 2025 policy year. This announcement led to a significant drop in the stock price, including a roughly 23% decline in after-hours trading on December 2, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACHC Return51%21%36%-6%-49%-64%-57%
Peers Return-5%19%24%10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACHC Win Rate58%58%58%42%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate45%55%53%62%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACHC Max Drawdown-65%-1%-17%-18%-52%-65% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-12%-8%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UHS, LFST, SEM, EHC, ENSG. See ACHC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACHCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven58 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven221 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven771 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven650.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1099 days1480 days

Compare to NTRA, THC, ENSG, OPCH, AGL


In The Past

Acadia Healthcare's stock fell -25.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -25.9% loss requires a 34.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Acadia Healthcare (ACHC)

Better Bets than Acadia Healthcare (ACHC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-38.3%-38.3%-41.2%
ACHC_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
33.5%29.2%-1.2%
ACHC_4302018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302018ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%-10.0%-30.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-38.3%-38.3%-41.2%
ACHC_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
33.5%29.2%-1.2%
ACHC_4302018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302018ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%-10.0%-30.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Acadia Healthcare

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACHCUHSLFSTSEMEHCENSGMedian
NameAcadia H.Universa.LifeStan.Select M.Encompas.Ensign  
Mkt Price14.53224.896.9115.01108.55176.6161.78
Mkt Cap1.314.22.71.810.910.16.4
Rev LTM3,26616,9931,3685,3695,7964,8295,099
Op Inc LTM4441,94972931,002402423
FCF LTM-34795011917440349147
FCF 3Y Avg-25277339239304132186
CFO LTM3351,9481514081,108481444
CFO 3Y Avg3081,64172465952385425

Growth & Margins

ACHCUHSLFSTSEMEHCENSGMedian
NameAcadia H.Universa.LifeStan.Select M.Encompas.Ensign  
Rev Chg LTM4.6%10.2%13.4%45.3%11.1%17.5%12.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.0%8.7%18.6%-0.6%10.9%18.4%9.9%
Rev Chg Q4.4%13.4%16.3%7.2%9.4%19.8%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%3.2%3.9%1.7%2.2%4.7%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM13.6%11.5%0.5%5.5%17.3%8.3%9.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.2%9.8%-8.4%4.3%16.1%7.9%8.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%0.5%0.5%0.2%0.2%-0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM10.3%11.5%11.0%7.6%19.1%10.0%10.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.2%10.5%5.5%10.5%18.1%9.2%10.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-10.6%5.6%8.7%3.2%6.9%1.0%4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.8%4.9%2.6%5.6%5.8%3.4%4.2%

Valuation

ACHCUHSLFSTSEMEHCENSGMedian
NameAcadia H.Universa.LifeStan.Select M.Encompas.Ensign  
Mkt Cap1.314.22.71.810.910.16.4
P/S0.70.81.60.32.22.11.2
P/EBIT8.26.5329.14.812.522.610.3
P/E20.99.4-233.414.123.530.217.5
P/CFO6.76.614.13.811.520.69.1
Total Yield4.8%11.1%-0.4%9.7%4.8%3.5%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.4%0.0%2.6%0.5%0.1%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.6%6.1%1.8%8.5%3.2%2.1%2.7%
D/E1.10.40.21.80.20.20.3
Net D/E1.00.40.11.80.20.20.3

Returns

ACHCUHSLFSTSEMEHCENSGMedian
NameAcadia H.Universa.LifeStan.Select M.Encompas.Ensign  
1M Rtn-7.2%-0.6%10.6%17.8%-3.1%-0.5%-0.6%
3M Rtn-33.7%20.1%34.2%22.9%-12.5%6.5%13.3%
6M Rtn-32.5%31.6%40.2%1.6%-9.1%13.0%7.3%
12M Rtn-63.3%23.7%-7.6%-20.1%12.7%26.4%2.5%
3Y Rtn-82.8%68.0%36.6%16.3%92.8%85.7%52.3%
1M Excs Rtn-7.9%-1.4%9.8%17.1%-3.8%-1.3%-1.3%
3M Excs Rtn-35.5%18.3%27.3%18.0%-14.6%4.4%11.2%
6M Excs Rtn-44.9%19.2%27.8%-10.8%-21.4%0.7%-5.1%
12M Excs Rtn-75.3%9.4%-14.7%-32.7%0.2%13.1%-7.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-150.9%9.2%-30.2%-50.3%28.0%22.7%-10.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Behavioral healthcare services2,9292,6102,3142,0902,008
Total2,9292,6102,3142,0902,008


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,473,235
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202524.3%
Average Daily Volume2,719,961
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.32
Basic Shares Quantity90,414,000
Short % of Basic Shares16.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-2.0%-15.8%-32.3%
8/5/2025-17.3%-6.6%8.7%
5/12/20254.3%-2.9%-11.9%
2/27/2025-25.5%-25.7%-25.2%
10/30/2024-18.0%-18.4%-22.0%
7/31/202414.2%9.1%24.7%
2/27/2024-4.5%-3.0%-10.3%
11/2/2023-1.4%-1.4%2.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10811
# Negative9118
Median Positive5.2%6.0%8.6%
Median Negative-5.8%-3.5%-17.0%
Max Positive23.0%33.1%46.5%
Max Negative-25.5%-25.7%-42.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021