Tearsheet

Ponce Financial (PDLB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.25 | Market Cap: $392.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Ponce Financial (PDLB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.25
Market Cap: $392.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 92%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
  Key risks
PDLB key risks include [1] significant fraud-related losses and future uncertainty from its fintech partnership and microloan portfolio, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 92%
7 Key risks
PDLB key risks include [1] significant fraud-related losses and future uncertainty from its fintech partnership and microloan portfolio, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PDLB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of Ponce Financial (PDLB) stock:

1. Strong Quarterly Earnings Beat. Ponce Financial Group reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.27, surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of $0.22 by $0.05. This positive earnings surprise was announced on October 24, 2025.

2. Significant Annual Earnings and Revenue Growth. The company demonstrated substantial financial growth over the past year, with its EPS increasing by an outstanding 144% to $0.89 and revenue growing by 26% to $96 million as of December 16, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PDLB Return5%33%34%
Peers Return-20%124%-30%15%1%30%89%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PDLB Win Rate45%50%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate50%78%32%48%52%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PDLB Max Drawdown-29%-18%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-59%-1%-34%-51%-31%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DCOM, CUBI, CNOB, MCB, FFIC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPDLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven462 days464 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Ponce Financial's stock fell -38.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/28/2022. A -38.9% loss requires a 63.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ponce Financial (PDLB)

Better Bets than Ponce Financial (PDLB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PDLB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ponce Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PDLBDCOMCUBICNOBMCBFFICMedian
NamePonce Fi.Dime Com.Customer.ConnectO.Metropol.Flushing. 
Mkt Price17.2731.8474.6527.8080.7917.3529.82
Mkt Cap0.41.42.41.40.80.61.1
Rev LTM99386720344298160321
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM422243748513752111
FCF 3Y Avg91213893833661
CFO LTM442305079114156116
CFO 3Y Avg1012611698874092

Growth & Margins

PDLBDCOMCUBICNOBMCBFFICMedian
NamePonce Fi.Dime Com.Customer.ConnectO.Metropol.Flushing. 
Rev Chg LTM29.0%13.7%-0.5%31.5%10.5%-19.0%12.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.9%-1.7%0.6%5.3%7.9%-15.0%2.9%
Rev Chg Q35.6%32.0%39.6%85.0%11.6%12.5%33.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.6%7.8%9.9%19.4%2.9%4.2%7.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM43.9%59.4%70.4%26.4%47.5%34.8%45.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.8%32.7%16.0%33.2%31.0%22.5%26.8%
FCF/Rev LTM42.4%58.0%51.9%24.7%46.0%32.4%44.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%31.2%5.1%31.4%29.6%20.3%25.0%

Valuation

PDLBDCOMCUBICNOBMCBFFICMedian
NamePonce Fi.Dime Com.Customer.ConnectO.Metropol.Flushing. 
Mkt Cap0.41.42.41.40.80.61.1
P/S3.43.32.93.62.62.93.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E15.622.012.020.312.2-13.613.9
P/CFO7.75.64.213.75.58.46.6
Total Yield6.4%7.8%8.3%7.3%8.2%-1.1%7.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.2%0.0%2.4%0.0%6.2%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%12.3%-0.8%10.9%14.3%8.3%9.6%
D/E1.60.60.70.90.41.20.8
Net D/E0.9-0.7-1.6-0.1-0.8-2.1-0.8

Returns

PDLBDCOMCUBICNOBMCBFFICMedian
NamePonce Fi.Dime Com.Customer.ConnectO.Metropol.Flushing. 
1M Rtn14.5%23.5%16.0%19.0%18.1%18.4%18.2%
3M Rtn17.0%4.7%11.4%11.6%3.7%26.1%11.5%
6M Rtn33.2%24.1%45.1%28.8%25.3%56.4%31.0%
12M Rtn31.9%-2.9%45.0%11.9%29.0%23.5%26.3%
3Y Rtn85.7%15.0%177.6%32.2%46.2%6.8%39.2%
1M Excs Rtn13.8%22.8%15.3%18.3%17.4%17.6%17.5%
3M Excs Rtn13.2%-0.3%7.8%5.4%-1.0%20.8%6.6%
6M Excs Rtn20.8%11.8%32.7%16.5%13.0%44.0%18.6%
12M Excs Rtn20.2%-15.0%28.4%-0.8%13.8%11.5%12.6%
3Y Excs Rtn10.9%-57.4%80.4%-44.3%-33.6%-63.5%-38.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment7471  
Total7471  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity212,142
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.6%
Average Daily Volume63,189
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.36
Basic Shares Quantity22,766,195
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/24/20251.6%-1.9%6.7%
7/25/20254.7%2.4%8.8%
4/25/20256.9%10.5%14.0%
1/28/20250.5%1.2%-2.0%
10/30/2024-2.0%11.8%12.6%
7/30/2024-0.7%-6.9%10.9%
4/30/20245.1%7.0%13.4%
1/30/2024-3.6%-5.7%-6.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8810
# Negative775
Median Positive3.6%4.3%9.9%
Median Negative-2.0%-4.4%-6.2%
Max Positive6.9%11.8%18.3%
Max Negative-8.6%-7.4%-16.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023319202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022321202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021