Tearsheet

ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $27.79 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $27.79
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
Key risks
CNOB key risks include [1] a significant concentration in New York and New Jersey commercial real estate loans and [2] integration challenges and heightened regulatory scrutiny resulting from its merger with FLIC.
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
7 Key risks
CNOB key risks include [1] a significant concentration in New York and New Jersey commercial real estate loans and [2] integration challenges and heightened regulatory scrutiny resulting from its merger with FLIC.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CNOB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, several key factors contributed to its positive stock performance:

1. Strong Third Quarter Earnings Beat
ConnectOne Bancorp reported robust financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.70, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.68. The company's revenue for the quarter was $110.78 million.

2. Favorable Analyst Coverage and Price Targets
During this period, ConnectOne Bancorp received positive attention from analysts. Piper Sandler initiated coverage on the stock with an "Overweight" rating and a $28.00 price objective in November 2025. Overall, the company holds a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from analysts, with an average price target of $29.50, indicating potential for continued appreciation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CNOB Return-21%68%-24%-2%3%25%27%
Peers Return-16%36%-5%-8%7%15%22%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNOB Win Rate50%83%33%42%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate48%68%47%47%47%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNOB Max Drawdown-63%-1%-30%-43%-23%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-1%-21%-38%-24%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PFS, OCFC, VLY, WSFS, PGC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNOBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven174.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven170.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1016 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven146.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1711 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

ConnectOne Bancorp's stock fell -63.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -63.5% loss requires a 174.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB)

Better Bets than ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CNOB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ConnectOne Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNOBPFSOCFCVLYWSFSPGCMedian
NameConnectO.Providen.OceanFir.Valley N.WSFS Fin.Peapack . 
Mkt Price27.8020.9320.2311.9057.9229.8224.37
Mkt Cap1.42.71.26.73.20.52.1
Rev LTM3448513911,9591,056262621
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM856069053921755153
FCF 3Y Avg933329542422458160
CFO LTM916139653922671161
CFO 3Y Avg9833910342423366168

Growth & Margins

CNOBPFSOCFCVLYWSFSPGCMedian
NameConnectO.Providen.OceanFir.Valley N.WSFS Fin.Peapack . 
Rev Chg LTM31.5%40.9%1.8%7.7%0.5%21.1%14.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.3%21.4%0.7%5.3%9.3%5.1%5.3%
Rev Chg Q85.0%5.3%6.3%10.2%1.1%25.3%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM19.4%1.3%1.6%2.5%0.3%5.7%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM26.4%72.0%24.5%27.5%21.5%27.0%26.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%48.3%24.7%21.6%22.6%27.8%26.2%
FCF/Rev LTM24.7%71.2%22.9%27.5%20.6%20.9%23.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.4%47.3%22.9%21.6%21.7%24.5%23.7%

Valuation

CNOBPFSOCFCVLYWSFSPGCMedian
NameConnectO.Providen.OceanFir.Valley N.WSFS Fin.Peapack . 
Mkt Cap1.42.71.26.73.20.52.1
P/S3.63.02.63.02.91.82.9
P/EBIT-------
P/E20.39.812.611.510.814.112.0
P/CFO13.74.110.411.013.36.910.7
Total Yield7.3%15.2%8.0%12.8%10.5%7.8%9.2%
Dividend Yield2.4%5.0%0.0%4.1%1.2%0.7%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.9%15.9%10.5%8.7%8.8%12.3%10.7%
D/E0.91.01.90.60.10.30.7
Net D/E-0.1-0.40.40.3-0.5-0.6-0.2

Returns

CNOBPFSOCFCVLYWSFSPGCMedian
NameConnectO.Providen.OceanFir.Valley N.WSFS Fin.Peapack . 
1M Rtn19.0%17.8%17.6%15.2%10.8%19.9%17.7%
3M Rtn11.6%7.5%14.5%12.0%6.3%2.0%9.5%
6M Rtn28.8%33.0%23.5%41.6%13.5%12.3%26.2%
12M Rtn11.9%9.2%12.6%25.5%3.8%-13.6%10.5%
3Y Rtn32.2%19.5%11.6%24.1%35.1%-16.0%21.8%
1M Excs Rtn18.3%17.0%16.9%14.4%10.1%19.2%17.0%
3M Excs Rtn5.4%3.0%9.2%6.9%2.4%-1.6%4.2%
6M Excs Rtn16.5%20.6%11.1%29.2%1.1%-0.1%13.8%
12M Excs Rtn-0.8%-2.8%-1.9%11.8%-10.2%-26.2%-2.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-44.3%-56.3%-63.2%-50.8%-39.6%-87.4%-53.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community bank269315278252194
Total269315278252194


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community bank92    
Total92    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community bank9,856    
Total9,856    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,725,235
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.5%
Average Daily Volume269,554
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.40
Basic Shares Quantity50,161,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20250.2%3.6%9.1%
7/29/2025-4.2%-7.5%4.5%
4/24/20252.0%0.8%2.0%
1/30/20255.2%11.0%7.9%
10/24/2024-3.3%-2.9%7.8%
7/25/20244.9%4.2%2.2%
4/25/2024-6.4%-6.0%3.6%
1/25/20240.4%-3.5%-14.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141317
# Negative10117
Median Positive2.3%3.8%7.6%
Median Negative-3.8%-4.5%-7.3%
Max Positive8.8%12.9%23.5%
Max Negative-8.5%-16.8%-14.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021