PG&E (PCG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.66 | Market Cap: $34.4 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
PG&E (PCG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.66Market Cap: $34.4 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 179% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 8.7 Bil | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | Key risksPCG key risks include [1] significant wildfire liabilities stemming from its equipment, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Grid Technologies, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 8.7 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Grid Technologies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 179% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% |
| Key risksPCG key risks include [1] significant wildfire liabilities stemming from its equipment, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PCG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The 2.8% movement in PG&E (PCG) stock for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments:
1. Optimism Regarding Wildfire Insurance Liability Resolutions: Positive sentiment emerged concerning resolutions for wildfire insurance liabilities, which was directly cited as a factor in the stock climbing by 2.49%. This was further bolstered by California lawmakers reaching a preliminary deal to strengthen the state's wildfire insurance fund with approximately $18 billion.
2. Significant Progress in Wildfire Mitigation Efforts: PG&E announced a major achievement in energizing 1,000 miles of undergrounded powerlines, a critical step in reducing wildfire risk. This initiative garnered strong public support in California, recognizing the safety benefits of undergrounding power lines.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PCG Return | 15% | -3% | 34% | 11% | 12% | -24% | 42% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 22% | 6% | -8% | 18% | 12% | 63% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PCG Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 75% | 58% | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 62% | 52% | 57% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PCG Max Drawdown | -34% | -33% | -19% | -7% | -11% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -8% | -12% | -19% | -7% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, SO, DUK, SRE, EXC. See PCG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PCG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 104 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,209 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -94.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1783.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -43.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,253 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to D, XEL, ED, NEE, SRE
In The Past
PG&E's stock fell -33.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -33.5% loss requires a 50.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| PG&E Earnings Notes | |||
| Can PG&E Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| PG&E vs Barrick Mining: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does PG&E Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than PCG Stock: Pay Less Than PG&E To Get More From PPC, CALM | |||
| PG&E (PCG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| PG&E (PCG) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| PG&E (PCG) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| PG&E (PCG) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| PG&E (PCG) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Pay Less, Grow More: D, PCG Outshine Sempra Stock | October 9th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: PKG, SW, HPE | Losers: FSLR, WMT, PCG | August 21st, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: IDXX, WSM, PCG | Losers: ON, PARA, LYB | August 5th, 2025 | ||
| Better Bet Than NextEra Energy Stock: Pay Less To Get More From Industry Peers | July 16th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 15th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PCG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for PG&E
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 83.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 74.0 |
| Rev LTM | 25,530 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,232 |
| FCF LTM | -1,709 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -2,154 |
| CFO LTM | 9,033 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,730 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -8.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 74.0 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 11.4 |
| P/E | 21.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -52.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | 0.6% | -2.5% | -3.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | 0.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% |
| 4/24/2025 | -1.4% | -4.1% | -2.0% |
| 2/13/2025 | -1.1% | -2.1% | 4.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | 1.2% | 3.1% | -0.7% |
| 7/25/2024 | 0.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% |
| 2/22/2024 | -0.8% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 10/26/2023 | -0.4% | 5.5% | 12.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 0.6% | 3.2% | 9.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -3.0% | -2.2% |
| Max Positive | 3.5% | 7.3% | 39.5% |
| Max Negative | -13.0% | -5.8% | -43.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |