Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 172%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 8.7 Bil
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  Key risks
PCG key risks include [1] significant wildfire liabilities stemming from its equipment, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Grid Technologies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 8.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Grid Technologies, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 172%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
7 Key risks
PCG key risks include [1] significant wildfire liabilities stemming from its equipment, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PCG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. California Regulators Reduce PG&E's Allowed Profit (ROE). On December 19, 2025, the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) voted to lower PG&E's authorized return on equity (ROE) to 9.98% from its previous 10.28%. This decision was less than the 11.3% PG&E had sought, which could negatively impact the company's profitability and investor sentiment.

2. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Positive Guidance. PG&E reported its third-quarter 2025 core earnings per share of $0.50 on October 23, 2025, exceeding analyst forecasts of $0.43. Following this announcement, PG&E's stock experienced a 1.63% increase in pre-market trading. The company also narrowed its 2025 guidance and provided a promising outlook for 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PCG Return15%-3%34%11%12%-21%47%
Peers Return4%22%6%-8%18%13%64%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PCG Win Rate67%58%75%58%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%58%62%52%57%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PCG Max Drawdown-34%-33%-19%-7%-11%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-8%-12%-19%-7%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, SO, DUK, SRE, EXC. See PCG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPCGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven104 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven149.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,209 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-94.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1783.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-43.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,253 days1,480 days

Compare to CEG, XEL, DTE, AEE, ES


In The Past

PG&E's stock fell -33.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -33.5% loss requires a 50.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PG&E (PCG)

Better Bets than PG&E (PCG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PCG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PG&E

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PCGNEESODUKSREEXCMedian
NamePG&E NextEra .Southern Duke Ene.Sempra Exelon  
Mkt Price15.7379.5485.28115.5686.9443.6682.41
Mkt Cap34.6164.294.089.956.844.173.3
Rev LTM24,76226,29828,91231,65913,71124,31725,530
Op Inc LTM4,6697,4047,4268,5833,0865,0606,232
FCF LTM-2,7713,073-1,823-921-6,210-1,595-1,709
FCF 3Y Avg-3,4472,421-1,031-2,122-4,947-2,186-2,154
CFO LTM8,68811,9679,37812,0494,8076,4369,033
CFO 3Y Avg6,84911,8478,61010,5394,0525,3377,730

Growth & Margins

PCGNEESODUKSREEXCMedian
NamePG&E NextEra .Southern Duke Ene.Sempra Exelon  
Rev Chg LTM-0.3%0.2%9.4%4.8%6.1%6.1%5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%11.4%1.3%5.2%-1.3%8.9%5.0%
Rev Chg Q5.2%5.3%7.5%4.8%13.5%9.0%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%1.5%1.9%1.2%2.8%2.3%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM18.9%28.2%25.7%27.1%22.5%20.8%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.2%31.5%23.7%25.1%21.0%19.0%22.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-1.4%0.3%0.3%-0.3%0.8%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM35.1%45.5%32.4%38.1%35.1%26.5%35.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.3%44.6%31.6%34.6%27.8%23.3%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.2%11.7%-6.3%-2.9%-45.3%-6.6%-6.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.4%9.3%-3.7%-7.1%-35.6%-9.9%-8.5%

Valuation

PCGNEESODUKSREEXCMedian
NamePG&E NextEra .Southern Duke Ene.Sempra Exelon  
Mkt Cap34.6164.294.089.956.844.173.3
P/S1.46.23.32.84.11.83.0
P/EBIT6.521.811.29.717.28.310.5
P/E12.825.321.118.026.315.619.5
P/CFO4.013.710.07.511.86.98.7
Total Yield8.4%6.7%7.9%6.4%6.1%10.0%7.3%
Dividend Yield0.5%2.8%3.2%0.9%2.2%3.6%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.5%1.3%-1.3%-2.9%-9.4%-5.5%-4.2%
D/E1.70.60.81.00.61.10.9
Net D/E1.70.60.71.00.61.10.9

Returns

PCGNEESODUKSREEXCMedian
NamePG&E NextEra .Southern Duke Ene.Sempra Exelon  
1M Rtn0.1%-5.0%-4.2%-5.5%-3.8%-4.2%-4.2%
3M Rtn5.7%12.7%-6.3%-3.7%6.0%1.5%3.6%
6M Rtn13.8%12.8%-3.0%1.9%20.1%4.3%8.6%
12M Rtn-18.5%17.6%7.8%11.8%4.5%21.7%9.8%
3Y Rtn-0.1%3.9%38.4%29.8%23.2%16.1%19.7%
1M Excs Rtn-2.8%-7.9%-7.1%-8.4%-6.7%-7.1%-7.1%
3M Excs Rtn5.3%8.6%-9.0%-6.2%5.0%-0.6%2.2%
6M Excs Rtn0.9%0.7%-17.9%-12.9%4.0%-10.6%-5.0%
12M Excs Rtn-32.7%0.5%-7.1%-2.0%-9.7%10.9%-4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-74.3%-71.4%-35.9%-45.1%-53.3%-57.0%-55.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment24,428    
Electric 15,06015,13113,85812,740
Natural gas 6,6205,5114,6114,389
Total24,42821,68020,64218,46917,129


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity35,714,174
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.5%
Average Daily Volume32,026,829
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.12
Basic Shares Quantity2,198,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20250.6%-2.5%-3.9%
7/31/20250.7%7.3%9.0%
4/24/2025-1.4%-4.1%-2.0%
2/13/2025-1.1%-2.1%4.7%
11/7/20241.2%3.1%-0.7%
7/25/20240.1%2.3%4.3%
2/22/2024-0.8%-1.1%-2.1%
10/26/2023-0.4%5.5%12.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111311
# Negative121012
Median Positive0.6%3.2%9.0%
Median Negative-1.5%-3.0%-2.2%
Max Positive3.5%7.3%39.5%
Max Negative-13.0%-5.8%-43.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021