Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 179%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 8.7 Bil
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  Key risks
PCG key risks include [1] significant wildfire liabilities stemming from its equipment, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Grid Technologies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 8.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Grid Technologies, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 179%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
7 Key risks
PCG key risks include [1] significant wildfire liabilities stemming from its equipment, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PCG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The 2.8% movement in PG&E (PCG) stock for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments:

1. Optimism Regarding Wildfire Insurance Liability Resolutions: Positive sentiment emerged concerning resolutions for wildfire insurance liabilities, which was directly cited as a factor in the stock climbing by 2.49%. This was further bolstered by California lawmakers reaching a preliminary deal to strengthen the state's wildfire insurance fund with approximately $18 billion.

2. Significant Progress in Wildfire Mitigation Efforts: PG&E announced a major achievement in energizing 1,000 miles of undergrounded powerlines, a critical step in reducing wildfire risk. This initiative garnered strong public support in California, recognizing the safety benefits of undergrounding power lines.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PCG Return15%-3%34%11%12%-24%42%
Peers Return4%22%6%-8%18%12%63%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PCG Win Rate67%58%75%58%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%58%62%52%57%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PCG Max Drawdown-34%-33%-19%-7%-11%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-8%-12%-19%-7%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, SO, DUK, SRE, EXC. See PCG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPCGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven104 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven149.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,209 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-94.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1783.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-43.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,253 days1,480 days

Compare to D, XEL, ED, NEE, SRE


In The Past

PG&E's stock fell -33.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -33.5% loss requires a 50.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PG&E (PCG)

Better Bets than PG&E (PCG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PCG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PG&E

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PCGNEESODUKSREEXCMedian
NamePG&E NextEra .Southern Duke Ene.Sempra Exelon  
Mkt Price15.6880.2987.03117.4386.7844.2283.53
Mkt Cap34.5165.895.991.456.744.774.0
Rev LTM24,76226,29828,91231,65913,71124,31725,530
Op Inc LTM4,6697,4047,4268,5833,0865,0606,232
FCF LTM-2,7713,073-1,823-921-6,210-1,595-1,709
FCF 3Y Avg-3,4472,421-1,031-2,122-4,947-2,186-2,154
CFO LTM8,68811,9679,37812,0494,8076,4369,033
CFO 3Y Avg6,84911,8478,61010,5394,0525,3377,730

Growth & Margins

PCGNEESODUKSREEXCMedian
NamePG&E NextEra .Southern Duke Ene.Sempra Exelon  
Rev Chg LTM-0.3%0.2%9.4%4.8%6.1%6.1%5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%11.4%1.3%5.2%-1.3%8.9%5.0%
Rev Chg Q5.2%5.3%7.5%4.8%13.5%9.0%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%1.5%1.9%1.2%2.8%2.3%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM18.9%28.2%25.7%27.1%22.5%20.8%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.2%31.5%23.7%25.1%21.0%19.0%22.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-1.4%0.3%0.3%-0.3%0.8%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM35.1%45.5%32.4%38.1%35.1%26.5%35.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.3%44.6%31.6%34.6%27.8%23.3%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.2%11.7%-6.3%-2.9%-45.3%-6.6%-6.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.4%9.3%-3.7%-7.1%-35.6%-9.9%-8.5%

Valuation

PCGNEESODUKSREEXCMedian
NamePG&E NextEra .Southern Duke Ene.Sempra Exelon  
Mkt Cap34.5165.895.991.456.744.774.0
P/S1.35.93.63.04.31.93.3
P/EBIT6.220.712.510.417.88.611.4
P/E12.224.023.419.327.216.121.4
P/CFO3.813.011.18.012.27.19.6
Total Yield8.7%7.1%7.1%6.0%5.8%9.7%7.1%
Dividend Yield0.6%2.9%2.9%0.8%2.2%3.5%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.5%1.3%-1.3%-2.9%-9.4%-5.5%-4.2%
D/E1.80.60.70.90.61.10.8
Net D/E1.80.60.70.90.61.10.8

Returns

PCGNEESODUKSREEXCMedian
NamePG&E NextEra .Southern Duke Ene.Sempra Exelon  
1M Rtn-4.0%-5.7%-3.9%-6.2%-5.2%-5.1%-5.1%
3M Rtn4.1%15.0%-4.2%-2.2%6.5%3.2%3.6%
6M Rtn11.8%13.8%-0.2%4.3%19.4%6.2%9.0%
12M Rtn-20.0%14.6%8.0%12.8%3.1%25.5%10.4%
3Y Rtn-1.7%4.1%41.3%31.8%22.4%18.0%20.2%
1M Excs Rtn-4.7%-6.5%-4.7%-6.9%-5.9%-5.8%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn4.1%12.8%-5.4%-3.0%5.4%2.1%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-0.6%1.4%-12.6%-8.1%7.0%-6.2%-3.4%
12M Excs Rtn-31.2%1.4%-3.0%0.7%-10.6%13.2%-1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-69.7%-67.2%-30.3%-39.2%-52.1%-52.1%-52.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment24,428    
Electric 15,06015,13113,85812,740
Natural gas 6,6205,5114,6114,389
Total24,42821,68020,64218,46917,129


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity35,714,174
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.5%
Average Daily Volume32,026,829
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.12
Basic Shares Quantity2,198,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20250.6%-2.5%-3.9%
7/31/20250.7%7.3%9.0%
4/24/2025-1.4%-4.1%-2.0%
2/13/2025-1.1%-2.1%4.7%
11/7/20241.2%3.1%-0.7%
7/25/20240.1%2.3%4.3%
2/22/2024-0.8%-1.1%-2.1%
10/26/2023-0.4%5.5%12.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111311
# Negative121012
Median Positive0.6%3.2%9.0%
Median Negative-1.5%-3.0%-2.2%
Max Positive3.5%7.3%39.5%
Max Negative-13.0%-5.8%-43.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021